Get started

Technical Analysis

Red Flag in Tech: SMH vs. QQQ Breakdown Signals Potential Introduction: Despite the bullish seasonality currently supporting the market, a concerning signal is emerging from a key driver of this stock market rally: the ratio between semiconductors NASDAQ:SMH and the Nasdaq 100 NASDAQ:QQQ . This ratio serves as a critical gauge of tech sector health, as the major tech and AI players fueling this bull market rely heavily on semiconductor innovation. Analysis: Tech Sector Health: The SMH-to-QQQ ratio has historically been a strong indicator of tech sector momentum. When semiconductors outperform, it signals strength and optimism in the broader tech sector. Conversely, underperformance by chip stocks raises concerns about the sustainability of tech-driven rallies. Emerging Concern: Currently, this ratio appears to be breaking down from a rounding top formation—a bearish signal. If this trend persists, it could lead to increased market volatility, potentially as early as year-end or into early 2025. Market Implications: For the bull market to maintain its momentum, this ratio needs to reverse course soon. Semiconductors are not just another tech subsector—they are foundational to the AI and big tech themes driving this rally. A continued breakdown could dampen market sentiment, impacting broader indices. Conclusion: The SMH-to-QQQ ratio is flashing a warning signal, with a potential breakdown that could lead to increased volatility in the near term. However, chip stocks still have time to recover and restore market confidence. This ratio will be a crucial indicator to watch as we approach the end of the year. Will chip stocks regain their footing, or are we headed for a turbulent 2025? Share your insights below! Charts: (Include relevant charts showing the SMH-to-QQQ ratio, the rounding top formation, and support and resistance levels) Tags: #Semiconductors #Nasdaq #TechSector #SMH #QQQ #MarketTrends #TechnicalAnalysis
NASDAQ:SMH
by Richtv_official
TradeCityPro | TIAUSDT Analysis Battling a Daily Resistance👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel! Let’s analyze this promising coin on a day when Bitcoin has set a new all-time high (ATH). As always, we'll break it down step by step to find optimal entry points. 🚀 🏆 Bitcoin Overview Before diving into TIA, let’s take a quick look at Bitcoin BTC recently broke its price ATH and achieved a market cap of $2.04 trillion, surpassing Saudi Aramco and securing the 7th position globally in asset rankings. Following the breakout above 98,857, Bitcoin’s dominance surged, directing attention back to BTC. If dominance remains strong, expect focus to stay on BTC or strong-performing pairs like SUI. 📅 Weekly Time Frame TIA is a newly listed coin with no prior bull market experience but has achieved a solid market cap, ranking 44th overall. After an 80% drop, it ranged in a short box before breaking the 6.268 resistance alongside a trendline break. Currently, TIA faces resistance at 8.783, and an RSI overbought condition post-breakout could trigger a sharp rally towards 11.794. On a pullback, consider support at 6.268 , After 8.783 breakout, confirm the move with lower time frame analysis for safer entries. 🕐 Daily Time Frame The range between 4.221–6.268 shows a consistent pattern of higher lows, indicating growing buyer presence. After closing above the trendline, TIA now struggles at 8.373, with a potential breakout signaling further upward momentum. For safer entries, wait for a daily close above 8.373, setting your stop-loss at 4.67 , The main breakout point was 6.268, but entering now carries slightly higher risk. ⏳ 4-Hour Time Frame TIA is ranging between 7.189–8.740, forming clear triggers for futures trades , As long as 7.189 holds, focus remains on a breakout above 8.740 for long positions. 📈 Long Position Trigger After a clear break of 8.740, ideally with increased volume and momentum. 📉 Short Position Trigger Avoid shorting during a bull run. Wait patiently for new long opportunities. 💡 BTC Pair Insight The TIA/BTC pair has shown downward pressure, but recent green candles indicate a bounce from key support. breakout above 0.00001061 could mark the start of a bullish trend, making it a strong altcoin candidate for growth. 🎯 Conclusion TIA is showing promising bullish potential, but patience and strategic entries are key. Focus on breaking 8.783 and monitor volume for confirmation. Let the market work in your favor while you position for the next major move! 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
7
#BTC - Bitcoin to $100K - What's Next? Major milestone for #BTC hitting $100K After a short correction we saw a break to the long awaited $100K Why I believe a sweep below is in the forming for the nex 5-10 days: The highest liquidity was above 100K, it got swept Price retraced to 60%, then extended to the current zone with forming a HTF FVG Given the liquidity now is way low, it needs to extend a bit more to the 1.382 - 1.618, which is a deviation, form some liquidity then trick everyone that we'll continue to 110-115k Plenty of retail will now go long on it given it passed the psychological barrier - will attract even more late longs the #TOTAL market cap is already extended and the funding rates are heating up quite fast Be on the lookout, take some profits if possible and prepare for the next leg up in around a week!
by tamastery
3
GJ Breakout trade, Asian sessionToday's trade was a GJ short, in the Asian session at approx 00:30. The Price broke out of the range I set up and took entry on Close with SL above the breakout candle. However, before entering trade, I knew it was more of a risky trade with a lower probability of winning. When you look left for the target, there are no clear targets to aim for. The first target was right near the entry, but also wicked down further into the 2nd target. As a result not allowing for a clean set up. As the trade could have easily reversed in the other direction which it did after a while. Prior to entering the target, I knew I had to watch it closely and be ready to exit the trade at any point, as it may wick down into target range, but also reverse back up, as when you look left that is what occurred as well. As a result, this trade did not hit my TP, but had to be managed and closed with profit earlier. Always have to remind yourself markets repeat themself, but can also be unpredictable, better to take a small profit and survive for the next day. This is for education purposes only, not financial advice.
by GurjotFX
Can Bitcoin reach 100k?Hello, Traders! Bitcoin price keeps reaching new all-time highs following the recent U.S. election. BTC recently surged past its previous ATH and quickly touched the 80k level. Now, many traders are wondering - how much higher can Bitcoin go before we see a correction? Based on current trends, Bitcoin can potentially reach the 84k-86k range before taking a breather. However, this will largely depend on external factors, such as Bitcoin-ETF activity, political statements, and overall market sentiment.  At the moment, market sentiment remains extremely bullish, which suggests that Bitcoin upward trend may continue for some time. However, if a correction does happen, the 74k support level will likely play a key role in determining whether the uptrend continues or not. On the other hand, BTC price might just keep pumping up to 100k before correction happens. Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below. 
by Real_CryptoRoy
8
PFC: Bullish Breakout with Raghanseda Project Development 1.Chart Pattern: The stock has broken out of a downward-sloping trendline after a prolonged consolidation phase within a rectangle pattern (yellow box). This breakout is supported by higher volumes, signaling strong buying interest. 2.Fundamental Trigger: Power Finance Corporation has incorporated an SPV for the Raghanseda Transmission Project, enhancing its growth outlook. 3.Technical Levels: Current Price: ₹512.20 Immediate Support: ₹499.95 (near breakout zone). Critical Stop-Loss: ₹472.95 (below previous support). Upside Targets: ₹527.45 (minor resistance) and ₹556.00 (major target, ~11% upside potential). 4.Indicators: RSI is trending upwards, indicating positive momentum but not overbought. Moving averages are aligning for a bullish crossover, supporting further upside. 5.Projection: If the price sustains above ₹500, we could witness a rally towards ₹556 in the near term. Traders may consider entering on pullbacks near ₹500 with a stop-loss at ₹472.95. Risk Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
NSE:PFCLong
by AngshumanSaikia
AUDNZD Analysis - Bullish - Trade 07AUDNZD Analysis Overview --- 1. Seasonality AUD: Strong **buy** signal for the first week of December, suggesting upward momentum. NZD: Range-bound signal, indicating weaker performance compared to AUD. Seasonality Bias: Buy AUDNZD. --- 2. COT Report AUD: COT RSI : Decreasing from the top but still indicates bullish positioning. COT Index : Near the top, signaling strong institutional interest in AUD. Net Non-Commercial : Increasing, aligning with a buy sentiment. NZD : COT RSI : At the bottom (0%), but overall positioning is weak. COT Index : Bottomed at 0%, reflecting limited institutional support for NZD. Net Non-Commercial : Decreasing, suggesting bearish momentum. COT Bias: Buy AUDNZD. --- 3. Fundamental Analysis Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) : AUD : Increasing, pointing to improving economic conditions. NZD : Increasing, but weaker overall impact compared to AUD. Endogenous Factors: AUD : Mix to decreasing, but seasonal strength supports AUD’s buy case. NZD : Increasing, but weaker compared to AUD. Exogenous Factors : AUDNZD exogenous signal supports a buy AUD, sell NZD bias. Fundamental Bias: Buy AUDNZD. --- 4. Technical Analysis RSI Divergence: Bullish divergence spotted on the 4H timeframe, signaling potential upward movement. Parallel Channel : Price is at the bottom of a bearish parallel channel, indicating possible reversal to the upside. Daily Support : Currently holding above a strong daily support zone, reinforcing the bullish setup. Technical Bias: Buy AUDNZD. --- Final Bias: Buy AUDNZD All factors—seasonality, COT data, fundamentals, and technicals—align in favor of a BUY setup for AUDNZD. This pair shows potential for upward movement, supported by strong economic and technical signals.
Long
by asadamalik
JIOFIN 1D TFAs discussed in the previous posts NSE:JIOFIN , which came back after gaining liquidity from the demand zone is now forming a trend line with 3 touch points. The stock could be traded once it breaks out of the trend line. A good risk reward ratio of 1:1.5 can be gained from this trade. We have discussed this more on our previous post. You can view the previous post by clicking the attachment below this post. Disclaimer:- This analysis is only for educational purpose. Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades
NSE:JIOFINLong
by Joassh
COAL INDIA 1D TFNSE:COALINDIA has been bearish for a long time and now is retracing. The bearish run could continue if the stock breaks the demand zone with a strong bearish candle and a good volume. Recently Coal India has invested in creating a solar power plant.This news could even disrupt the bearish run.But if the stock breaks the demand zone, the stock could be expected to move to the next lower demand zone. Disclaimer:- This analysis is only for educational purpose. Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades
NSE:COALINDIAShort
by Joassh
TradeCityPro | GBPUSD : Long-Term PerspectiveWelcome to TradeCityPro! In this analysis, I will review the GBPUSD pair in the Forex market. The analysis is conducted on the weekly timeframe with a long-term outlook. 🔍 In this timeframe, after a sharp drop in price from the 1.41548 peak to the 1.08659 bottom, the price began an upward correction and is currently moving upward along a rising trendline. 🔑 If the trendline is broken, the likelihood of a bearish move increases. For short positions, the 1.25096 support level is ideal. The next important supports are 1.19225 and 1.08659. Breaking below 35.25 on the RSI could increase the probability of a bearish move and introduce bearish momentum into the market. 📈 As long as the price remains above the rising trendline, the trend is considered bullish. For long positions, breaking through 1.32073 and 1.33744 is ideal. The target for this move will be 1.41548. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
by tradecitypro
3
TradeCityPro | CADCHF Weekly Triggers for Precision Trading👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel! Let’s step away from the crypto world and dive into a Forex analysis to prepare solid triggers for opening positions this week :) 🌐 Fundamentals Recap CAD: Strengthened by oil prices and Bank of Canada policies. Hawkish stances and higher oil prices are supportive. CHF: safe haven gaining in risk-off markets, driven by Swiss National Bank actions and global uncertainty. Key Dynamics: Risk-on sentiment supports CAD; risk-off favors CHF. 📊 4-Hour Chart Analysis The pair is in a range-bound structure between 0.6274 (support) and 0.6316 (resistance). The last 4-hour candle engulfed the previous 6, signaling a bearish outlook. Before this range, a strong green weekly candle formed but was fully engulfed in the subsequent week, emphasizing the longer-term downtrend. CADCHF is near its historical lows, which might attract selling pressure for continuation moves. 📈 Long Position Trigger Avoid longs for now. A bullish breakout above 0.6351 with higher highs and lows would be necessary to justify a long position. 📉 Short Setup break below 0.62741 with confirmation (e.g., RSI below 31.21) offers a solid shorting opportunity. Stop Loss Tip: Let the range consolidate for one or two more candles to tighten your stop-loss and refine your entry. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Short
by tradecitypro
1