Technical
GBPNZD - LongEmbark on this potential opportunity by entering a trade on a bullish flag pattern, following the confirmation of a breakthrough to the upside. Implement wise risk management techniques by limiting your investment to no more than 1% of your account equity, while setting your take profit target based on the chart analysis.
I WOULDN'T KNOW IF I'M THE ONLY SWING LOVER, BUT HERE'S 500 PIPSAs a technical analyst, just learning my fundamentals though😂, I think Eur/Aud is about to down with the head and shoulders pattern showing up, couple with the fact that its first movement for this week is a buy which think is a retracement before the real move downward.
My first post, I wouldn't mind for your comments and likes 😉.
Mastering the Art of Technical Analysis (Part 6)Advantages of Technical Analysis
- Easy to Use: Technical analysis is easy to use and understand, making it accessible to traders of all levels of experience.
- Objective: Technical analysis is objective, as it relies on data and mathematical calculations rather than subjective opinions.
- Helps Identify Trends: Technical analysis helps traders identify trends, which can be used to make informed trading decisions.
- Provides Entry and Exit Points: Technical analysis can help traders determine entry and exit points for trades, allowing them to make profitable trades.
- Can be Used with Any Asset Class: Technical analysis can be used with any asset class, including stocks, commodities, and forex.
Disadvantages of Technical Analysis
- Past Performance Doesn't Guarantee Future Results: While technical analysis is based on historical data, it does not guarantee future results.
- Can be Subjective: Technical analysis can be subjective, as traders may interpret the same data differently.
- Not Suitable for All Market Conditions: Technical analysis may not be suitable for all market conditions, as some markets may be too volatile or have limited historical data.
- Overreliance on Indicators: Some traders may over rely on technical indicators, which can lead to false signals and poor trading decisions.
- Requires Constant Monitoring: Technical analysis requires constant monitoring of market data and indicators, which can be time-consuming.
Mastering the Art of Technical Analysis (Part 4)Candlestick Patterns
Candlestick charts are a popular type of chart used by traders to analyze price movements. They display the opening and closing prices, as well as the highs and lows, of an asset over a specific time period. Candlestick patterns are formed by the arrangement of multiple candlesticks and can provide insights into market trends and potential price movements.
Doji
A Doji is a candlestick pattern that has the same opening and closing price, or a very small difference between the two. This pattern often indicates indecision in the market and can be a signal for a potential trend reversal.
Hammer
A Hammer is a bullish reversal pattern that forms after a downward trend. It is characterized by a long lower shadow and a small body, and it indicates that buyers have gained control and are pushing the price up.
Shooting Star
A Shooting Star is a bearish reversal pattern that forms after an upward trend. It is characterized by a long upper shadow and a small body, and it indicates that sellers have gained control and are pushing the price down.
Engulfing
An Engulfing pattern is a reversal pattern that is formed by two candlesticks. The first candlestick is smaller and the second candlestick completely engulfs the first one. A bullish Engulfing pattern forms at the end of a downtrend and indicates a potential trend reversal. A bearish Engulfing pattern forms at the end of an uptrend and indicates a potential trend reversal.
Harami
A Harami pattern is a reversal pattern that is formed by two candlesticks. The first candlestick is larger and the second candlestick is smaller and is completely engulfed by the first candlestick. A bullish Harami pattern forms at the end of a downtrend and indicates a potential trend reversal. A bearish Harami pattern forms at the end of an uptrend and indicates a potential trend reversal.
Candlestick patterns are an important tool for technical analysis and can provide insights into market trends and potential price movements. By understanding the key principles of each candlestick pattern, traders can gain insights into market trends and make informed trading decisions. However, it is important to note that candlestick patterns are not foolproof and should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis, such as fundamental analysis and market news.
Mastering the Art of Technical Analysis (Part 3)Technical indicators are mathematical calculations that are applied to price and volume data to identify potential trading opportunities. They are based on the belief that certain patterns or trends in price and volume data can provide insights into market trends and potential price movements. Technical indicators can be used to confirm trends, identify potential entry and exit points for trades, and to provide signals for when to buy or sell.
Moving Averages
Moving averages are one of the most common technical indicators used by traders. They are used to smooth out the price data and provide a clearer picture of the overall trend. Moving averages can be calculated using different time periods, such as 50-day moving average or a 200-day moving average. A crossover between a shorter-term moving average and a longer-term moving average is often used as a signal for when to buy or sell.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. The RSI ranges from 0 to 100, with readings above 70 considered overbought and readings below 30 considered oversold. Traders often use the RSI to identify potential trend reversals or to confirm trends.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are a technical indicator that is used to measure volatility. They consist of three lines - a simple moving average (SMA) in the middle, and two outer bands that are two standard deviations away from the SMA. The outer bands represent the upper and lower price ranges, and the width of the bands changes based on the volatility of the asset. Traders often use Bollinger Bands to identify potential entry and exit points for trades.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a trend-following momentum indicator that uses two moving averages of different lengths to identify potential entry and exit points for trades. The MACD line is calculated by subtracting the 26-day exponential moving average (EMA) from the 12-day EMA. A signal line, which is a 9-day EMA, is then plotted on top of the MACD line. Traders often use the MACD to identify potential trend reversals or to confirm trends.
Fibonacci Retracement
The Fibonacci retracement is a technical indicator that is used to identify potential support and resistance levels based on the Fibonacci sequence. The Fibonacci sequence is a mathematical sequence of numbers, in which each number is the sum of the two preceding numbers. The retracement levels are calculated based on the high and low points of a particular price movement, and they are used to identify potential entry and exit points for trades.
Mastering the Art of Technical Analysis (Part 2)Understanding the Basics of Technical Analysis
Technical analysis is a method of analyzing financial markets that relies on studying past market data to identify patterns and make predictions about future price movements. The aim is to identify opportunities to buy low and sell high or vice versa.
What is technical analysis and why is it important for traders?
Technical analysis is the study of market data, primarily price and volume data, to identify patterns that can be used to make informed trading decisions. It is important for traders because it provides a way to interpret market trends and identify potential entry and exit points for trades.
Unlike fundamental analysis, which focuses on the underlying economic factors that influence a security's value, technical analysis relies solely on the price and volume data of a security. This means that technical analysis can be used on any asset class that has a price chart available, including stocks, bonds, currencies, and commodities.
Technical analysis can be used for short-term trading or long-term investing. For short-term traders, technical analysis can help identify potential entry and exit points for trades based on the movement of price and volume data. For long-term investors, technical analysis can help identify the overall trend of a market or a specific asset class.
The key principles of technical analysis: price action, trends, and support and resistance levels.
The key principles of technical analysis are price action, trends, and support and resistance levels.
Price action refers to the movement of an asset's price over time, and it is the primary focus of technical analysis. Price action can be analyzed using different types of charts, including line, bar, and candlestick charts.
Trends refer to the direction of price movement, and they can be classified as uptrends, downtrends, or sideways trends. Identifying the trend of a market or a specific asset is an essential part of technical analysis, as it helps traders understand the overall direction of price movement.
Support and resistance levels are points on a chart where the price has historically tended to stop moving or reverse direction. Support levels are areas where buyers tend to enter the market, as they believe the price is low enough to represent good value. Resistance levels are areas where sellers tend to enter the market, as they believe the price is high enough to represent good value.
Different types of charts: line, bar, and candlestick charts.
Different types of charts are used in technical analysis, including line, bar, and candlestick charts.
A line chart connects the closing prices of an asset over a period of time with a line, providing a simple view of the overall trend. Line charts are useful for identifying the direction of the trend but do not provide much detail about the price movement within a specific period.
A bar chart shows the opening and closing prices of an asset, as well as the high and low prices during a particular period. Each bar represents a specific time period, such as a day or an hour. Bar charts provide more detailed information about price movements than line charts, as they show the price range for each period.
Candlestick charts display the same information as bar charts, but they use a visual representation of candles to convey price movements. Each candle represents a specific time period, and the color of the candle represents whether the price closed higher or lower than it opened. Candlestick charts provide a more detailed view of price movements than bar charts and are widely used by traders.
Mastering the Art of Technical Analysis (Part 1)Technical analysis is an essential tool for traders to analyze market movements and make informed trading decisions. Whether you are a beginner or an experienced trader, mastering technical analysis can greatly improve your trading performance.
We will explore the basics of technical analysis, the different types of charts and indicators, and how to use them effectively.
Understanding the Basics of Technical Analysis
- What is technical analysis and why is it important for traders?
- The key principles of technical analysis: price action, trends, and support and resistance levels.
- Different types of charts: line, bar, and candlestick charts.
Types of Technical Indicators
- Moving averages: Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
- Oscillators: Relative Strength Index (RSI), Stochastic Oscillator, and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
- Volume Indicators: On-Balance Volume (OBV) and Chaikin Money Flow (CMF).
- Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Levels.
How to Use Technical Analysis for Trading
- Identifying trading opportunities using technical analysis.
- Setting up trading strategies using technical indicators.
- Understanding risk management and position sizing using technical analysis.
- Combining technical analysis with other trading techniques.
Technical analysis is a valuable tool that traders can use to make informed trading decisions. By understanding the basics of technical analysis and using it effectively, traders can increase their chances of success in the markets.
easyMarkets ASX 200 Daily - Quick Technical OverviewLooking at the technical picture of the Australian index ASX 200, we can see that from around the beginning of February, the index has been trading inside a falling wedge pattern, which could be classed as a bullish indication, especially if the upper side of that pattern gets violated. Today we saw that violation and the index made a strong move to the upside. In addition to all that, the price remains above a medium-term tentative upside support line taken from the low of October 3rd. Although the near-term outlook seems to be more positive then negative, we would still prefer to wait for another push above the 7260 barrier and the 50-day EMA, just to get a bit more comfortable with higher areas.
Alternatively, to shift our view towards lower areas, a break of the aforementioned upside line and a drop below the 7110 territory would be required. Such a move would not only break the current medium-term trend but also would confirm a forthcoming lower low. That's when we would get comfortable with examining lower levels.
Disclaimer:
easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
easyMarkets EURGBP Daily - Quick Technical OverviewEURGBP found resistance near a short-term downside line. In order to consider a further move north, a push above that line would be required.
Please watch the video for the analysis.
Disclaimer:
easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
easyMarkets EURUSD Daily - Quick Technical OverviewEURUSD got a good boost yesterday, traveling back to its 50-day EMA, where it found resistance. If we clear that area, more buyers might join in.
For today, watch out for the ECB's Account of Monetary Policy Meeting, together with the EU preliminary CPI numbers.
Please watch the short video for the remaining analysis.
Disclaimer:
easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
easyMarkets Dow Jones Daily - Quick Technical OverviewAfter a recent decline, the DJIA index found support near the 32700 area, which is near the lowest point of December. If, eventually, that support area surrenders, this could clear the path towards the 31740 zone.
Alternatively, a break above a short-term tentative downside resistance line, drawn from the high of February 14th, could help attract the bulls back into the game. More of them may join on a move above the 200-day EMA.
Disclaimer:
easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
easyMarkets Brent Oil Daily - Quick Technical OverviewBrent oil continues to trade between two trendlines, a short-term upside one taken from the low of December 9th and a downside line drawn from the high of July 28th. As long as the commodity remains between those two lines, we will stay neutral.
If the downside line gets violated, we will start examining higher areas as potential targets, however, more buyers may join in if Brent oil jumps above the 89-dollar mark. Additionally, the commodity could also rise above the 200-day EMA, which also could be seen as a bullish indication.
Alternatively, a break below the aforementioned upside line and an additional move below the 80.43 zone may attract more sellers into the game, possibly clearing the way to the 75.00 area.
Disclaimer:
easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPNZD: SELL LIMIT OPPORTUNITYThe pair is about to reach an important Resistance area (purple rectangle) that indeed was previously a Support. On this level bears already showed powers on Wed 22 February (rejection of price at 1.95407). For these reasons we can set a Sell Limit order at 1.95300 with Stop Loss at 1.962 (too often tight stop losses and quick false breakouts of resistances invalidate signals) and take profit around 1.92900.
Thank you.
GOLD; possible buy or sell continuationOver the past five weeks, the global Gold trend has exhibited a bearish sentiment. A notable decline was observed on Friday, 24th February. Subsequently, on the 27th of Feb, there was a corrective move to an equilibrium price region (1818.50-1820.063), which coincides with an intraday resistance level. This level demonstrated strength as sellers defended the area, driving prices further down towards an intraday support region. This price behavior suggests a range-bound market for the precious metal (Gold).
The intraday support region has been tested five (X5) times with a liquidity grab, establishing it as a significant stronghold for buyers to propel prices upwards. Despite the ongoing bearish trend, I anticipate the price to rebound from this support zone (at 1807.029-1809.11) first to the internal supply level (1815.80) and then to the resistance level.
However in the event of a violation of the support zone, a price drop to the 1800.00 price level is likely to occur. Therefore, I will adjust my position accordingly.
easyMarkets DAX Daily - Quick Technical OverviewThe technical picture of DAX on our daily chart shows that the index is currently stuck between two trendlines - a short-term downside resistance one taken from the high of February 9th and medium-term upside support line drawn from the low of October 3rd. Given that DAX has been on a roller coaster ride for the whole month of February, we need to see a clear violation of one of the trendlines in order to consider a near-term directional move, either up or down.
However, we would get more comfortable with higher areas if we also see a break somewhere above the 15700 zone.
For the downside, a drop below the 15200 territory might attract more sellers into the game.
Disclaimer:
easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
easyMarkets GBPUSD Daily - Quick Technical OverviewFrom around the beginning of December 2022 GBPUSD is trading inside a range, roughly between the 1.1840 and 1.2440 levels. As long as the pair stays inside that pattern, the medium-term outlook remains neutral. We need to see a clear breakout through one of the sides of the range in order to consider the next medium-term directional move.
From a short-term perspective, GBPUSD is trading below a short-term tentative downside resistance line drawn from the high of February 2nd. To aim higher within the range, a break above that short-term trendline is needed. If that happens, the rate would also be placed above all the EMAs, which may attract a few extra buyers.
Disclaimer:
easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bitcoin Marco Idea going into Halving Event (Apr 2024)Tl;dr:
- Bearish Q2 & Q3 2023 (rejected from 50 and 200 weekly MAs, with death cross first time in BTC history)
- Fed likely eases stance around late Q3 2023 (disinflation)
- Strong Bull rally into the halving ($75-95k) April 2024
- Sell the halving news (strong sell off) --> Bearish Q3, Q4 2024
- What's next in 2025? depends on the macro environment then (the Fed, yield rates, employment data, etc)
Yours truly,
Leb Crypto