reversal technical patterns overview part oneReversal Technical Patterns overview: Part One
Reversal patterns are frequently spotted at the end of the bear/bull market cycles. Here are some of the key patterns with higher probabilities. Can be applied to any market, including forex, crypto, stocks, indices and metals.
Double Bottom (Bulls)
Double Top (Bears)
🔸A double bottom pattern is a classic technical analysis charting formation showing a major change in trend from a prior down move. The double bottom pattern looks like the letter W.
🔸The double top is a type of chart pattern that is an indication that the prevailing trend may reverse, in the short or long term.
🔸The double top is a common occurrence towards the end of a bullish market. The price formation looks like two peaks that occur after one another.
🔸The double bottom formation typically occurs at the end of a downward trending or declining market.
🔸 The double bottom is similar to the double top, but the key difference between the two can be seen in the inverse or negative relationship in price.
Inverse Head and Shoulders (Bulls)
Head and Shoulders (Bears)
🔸The inverse head and shoulders pattern begins with a downtrend. This is the extended move down that eventually leads to exhaustion and a reversal higher as sellers exit and buyers step up. That downtrend is met by minor support, which forms the first shoulder. As the market begins to move higher, it bounces off strong resistance and the downtrend resumes. This resistance level forms the neckline.
🔸Pattern is defined by the head / left shoulder / right shoulder and neckline.
🔸The H*S pattern is a bearish market pattern will appear near market tops. The first shoulder forms after a significant bullish period in the market when the price rises and then declines into a trough. The head is then formed when the price increases again, creating a high peak above the level of the first shoulder formation. From this point, the price falls and creates the second shoulder, which is usually similar in appearance to the first shoulder.
🔸The pattern is completed, giving a market reversal signal, when the price declines again, breaking below the neckline. The neckline, as depicted above, is the horizontal line that connects the first two troughs to one another.
Three Drives (Bulls)
Three Drives (Bears)
🔸The three-drive is a rare price pattern formed by three consecutive symmetrical drives up or down. In its bullish form, the market is making three final drives to a bottom before an uptrend forms. In a bearish three-drive, it is peaking before the bears take over. A three-drive contains two overlapping ABCD patterns.
🔸There are multiple ways of trading a Three drives pattern:
You can trade the drive 3. Enter the market when you are sure that the market has formed the point B (buy in a bearish Three-Drive and sell in a bullish Three Drive).
You can trade when the entire pattern is complete.
🔸Extensions are always based on fibs, most of the time 1.27 and 1.62.
Falling Wedge (Bulls)
Rising Wedge (Bears)
🔸The falling wedge pattern is interpreted as both a bullish continuation and bullish reversal pattern which gives rise to some confusion in the identification of the pattern. Both scenarios contain different market conditions which must be taken into consideration.
🔸The Falling Wedge in the downtrend indicates a reversal to an uptrend. It is formed when the prices are making Lower Highs and Lower Lows compared to the previous price movements. It gives traders opportunities to take buy positions in the market.
🔸The rising wedge in an uptrend indicates reversal to the downtrend. It is formed when the prices are making Higher Highs and Higher Lows compared to the previous price movements. It gives traders opportunities to take short positions in the market
🔸Generally, traders will wait for a breakout before executing a trade on buy/sell side. Also traders may chose to wait for a re-test of the breakout area before executing a trade.
Technical
easyMarkets Gold 4-hour - Quick Technical OverviewAfter a sharp decline on Tuesday, Gold is now balancing slightly above our 38,2% retracement on the Fibonacci. Given that we have the Fed rate announcement on Wednesday evening, we will take a cautious approach and wait for the decision first, before getting comfortable with either of the short-term directional moves.
From the technical perspective, a break below the 1935 zone may invite a few more sellers into the game, possibly clearing the way towards the 1915 area, or even the 50,0% retracement.
However, to get comfortable with the upside scenario, we prefer to take a conservative approach and wait for a move back above the 1960 hurdle first. This way, the path towards the psychological 2000 area could opened once again.
Disclaimer:
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
easyMarkets DXY Daily - Quick Technical OverviewLooking at the recent technical picture of the US Dollar index, we can see that from around the beginning of March, the index is trading within a falling wedge pattern. According to the Technical Analysis (TA) rules, such patterns tend to be bullish indications. However, in order to get comfortable with that idea, a break of the upper side of that formation would be needed. If that happens, more buyers could join in and possibly push DXY towards the 50-, 100-, or even the 200-day EMA.
That said, as long as the upper side of the falling wedge remains intact, the trend could remain to the downside.
Disclaimer:
easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
easyMarkets USDCAD 4-hour - Quick Technical OverviewThe technical picture of USDCAD on our 4-hour chart shows that the pair is currently trading inside a descending triangle pattern. According to Technical Analysis rules, such patterns tend to break to the downside. For that, a confirmation break roughly below the 1.3650 zone would be needed. This way, a forthcoming lower low would be confirmed and more sellers may join in. We could then aim for our Downside Target 1 level, a break of which might set the stage for a move towards our Downside Target 2 level, which is the current lowest point of March.
Alternatively, a break of the upper side of the aforementioned triangle pattern may signal a change in the direction of the short-term trend, potentially clearing the path to some higher areas. That's when we will consider our Upside Targets 1 and 2.
03/20/2023 (Monday) SPY and Market Analysis and Deep Dive into cIn this Video I discuss The technical analysis of the SPY ETF which is a proxy the S&P500 that is often a tell on general market movements. I also discuss broader market Macros I have been watching including last week's and next weeks economic events. We also discuss some recession indicators, and other charts that show headwinds and tailwinds to equities.
You can use the links below and hit play to see the progression of these indicators from when I initially published them.
Please remember to like and subscribe in You Tube or Follow and Boost In Trading View. The feedback is very welcome also.
AAPL's Inverted Head and Shoulders: Breakout? Laugh? Caution?Our good friend, Tommy, has been closely watching Apple Inc. (AAPL) with his hawk-like vision and a pinch of dry humor. He recently spotted an interesting technical pattern on the stock chart: an inverted head and shoulders. Tommy believes that if this pattern confirms a breakout, AAPL could rise to $168 before experiencing a more significant downward move closer to $120. Let's dive into the details and explore the importance of the $156-$157 level, while keeping in mind that a healthy dose of humor can't hurt.
Inverted Head and Shoulders: A Classic, But Not a Cliché
Tommy, ever the keen observer, has identified an inverted head and shoulders pattern on AAPL's chart. This pattern, like a good dad joke, is well-known and well-worn but can still pack a punch. The formation suggests a potential bullish continuation, and if it confirms a breakout, AAPL could be on the verge of making an upward move.
The $156-$157 Level: No Laughing Matter
As much as Tommy loves a good chuckle, he's adamant that the importance of the $156-$157 level is no laughing matter. This critical level acts as a linchpin for the inverted head and shoulders pattern. If AAPL manages to break above this level, it could propel the stock towards the $168 target, validating Tommy's keen observations.
However, Tommy wants to make sure everyone understands the gravity of the situation. If the $156-$157 level fails to hold, it would be like the punchline of a joke falling flat. In this case, AAPL could face significant downside risk, possibly sending the stock spiraling towards the $120 level.
Conclusion: Brace for Impact, but Don't Forget to Laugh
In conclusion, Tommy's analysis of AAPL's inverted head and shoulders pattern could prove to be a critical insight for traders and investors alike. If the breakout confirms and AAPL surpasses the $156-$157 level, we could see a short-term rally towards $168 before a more significant decline. However, if this crucial level fails, the stock could plummet, and the joke will be on anyone caught off guard.
As always, it's essential to approach the market with caution, and proper risk management techniques should never be taken lightly. Remember, while a bit of dry humor can lighten the mood, never underestimate the importance of critical price levels and the potential impact they can have on the market.
GBPNZD - LongEmbark on this potential opportunity by entering a trade on a bullish flag pattern, following the confirmation of a breakthrough to the upside. Implement wise risk management techniques by limiting your investment to no more than 1% of your account equity, while setting your take profit target based on the chart analysis.
I WOULDN'T KNOW IF I'M THE ONLY SWING LOVER, BUT HERE'S 500 PIPSAs a technical analyst, just learning my fundamentals though😂, I think Eur/Aud is about to down with the head and shoulders pattern showing up, couple with the fact that its first movement for this week is a buy which think is a retracement before the real move downward.
My first post, I wouldn't mind for your comments and likes 😉.
Mastering the Art of Technical Analysis (Part 6)Advantages of Technical Analysis
- Easy to Use: Technical analysis is easy to use and understand, making it accessible to traders of all levels of experience.
- Objective: Technical analysis is objective, as it relies on data and mathematical calculations rather than subjective opinions.
- Helps Identify Trends: Technical analysis helps traders identify trends, which can be used to make informed trading decisions.
- Provides Entry and Exit Points: Technical analysis can help traders determine entry and exit points for trades, allowing them to make profitable trades.
- Can be Used with Any Asset Class: Technical analysis can be used with any asset class, including stocks, commodities, and forex.
Disadvantages of Technical Analysis
- Past Performance Doesn't Guarantee Future Results: While technical analysis is based on historical data, it does not guarantee future results.
- Can be Subjective: Technical analysis can be subjective, as traders may interpret the same data differently.
- Not Suitable for All Market Conditions: Technical analysis may not be suitable for all market conditions, as some markets may be too volatile or have limited historical data.
- Overreliance on Indicators: Some traders may over rely on technical indicators, which can lead to false signals and poor trading decisions.
- Requires Constant Monitoring: Technical analysis requires constant monitoring of market data and indicators, which can be time-consuming.
Mastering the Art of Technical Analysis (Part 4)Candlestick Patterns
Candlestick charts are a popular type of chart used by traders to analyze price movements. They display the opening and closing prices, as well as the highs and lows, of an asset over a specific time period. Candlestick patterns are formed by the arrangement of multiple candlesticks and can provide insights into market trends and potential price movements.
Doji
A Doji is a candlestick pattern that has the same opening and closing price, or a very small difference between the two. This pattern often indicates indecision in the market and can be a signal for a potential trend reversal.
Hammer
A Hammer is a bullish reversal pattern that forms after a downward trend. It is characterized by a long lower shadow and a small body, and it indicates that buyers have gained control and are pushing the price up.
Shooting Star
A Shooting Star is a bearish reversal pattern that forms after an upward trend. It is characterized by a long upper shadow and a small body, and it indicates that sellers have gained control and are pushing the price down.
Engulfing
An Engulfing pattern is a reversal pattern that is formed by two candlesticks. The first candlestick is smaller and the second candlestick completely engulfs the first one. A bullish Engulfing pattern forms at the end of a downtrend and indicates a potential trend reversal. A bearish Engulfing pattern forms at the end of an uptrend and indicates a potential trend reversal.
Harami
A Harami pattern is a reversal pattern that is formed by two candlesticks. The first candlestick is larger and the second candlestick is smaller and is completely engulfed by the first candlestick. A bullish Harami pattern forms at the end of a downtrend and indicates a potential trend reversal. A bearish Harami pattern forms at the end of an uptrend and indicates a potential trend reversal.
Candlestick patterns are an important tool for technical analysis and can provide insights into market trends and potential price movements. By understanding the key principles of each candlestick pattern, traders can gain insights into market trends and make informed trading decisions. However, it is important to note that candlestick patterns are not foolproof and should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis, such as fundamental analysis and market news.
Mastering the Art of Technical Analysis (Part 3)Technical indicators are mathematical calculations that are applied to price and volume data to identify potential trading opportunities. They are based on the belief that certain patterns or trends in price and volume data can provide insights into market trends and potential price movements. Technical indicators can be used to confirm trends, identify potential entry and exit points for trades, and to provide signals for when to buy or sell.
Moving Averages
Moving averages are one of the most common technical indicators used by traders. They are used to smooth out the price data and provide a clearer picture of the overall trend. Moving averages can be calculated using different time periods, such as 50-day moving average or a 200-day moving average. A crossover between a shorter-term moving average and a longer-term moving average is often used as a signal for when to buy or sell.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. The RSI ranges from 0 to 100, with readings above 70 considered overbought and readings below 30 considered oversold. Traders often use the RSI to identify potential trend reversals or to confirm trends.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are a technical indicator that is used to measure volatility. They consist of three lines - a simple moving average (SMA) in the middle, and two outer bands that are two standard deviations away from the SMA. The outer bands represent the upper and lower price ranges, and the width of the bands changes based on the volatility of the asset. Traders often use Bollinger Bands to identify potential entry and exit points for trades.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a trend-following momentum indicator that uses two moving averages of different lengths to identify potential entry and exit points for trades. The MACD line is calculated by subtracting the 26-day exponential moving average (EMA) from the 12-day EMA. A signal line, which is a 9-day EMA, is then plotted on top of the MACD line. Traders often use the MACD to identify potential trend reversals or to confirm trends.
Fibonacci Retracement
The Fibonacci retracement is a technical indicator that is used to identify potential support and resistance levels based on the Fibonacci sequence. The Fibonacci sequence is a mathematical sequence of numbers, in which each number is the sum of the two preceding numbers. The retracement levels are calculated based on the high and low points of a particular price movement, and they are used to identify potential entry and exit points for trades.