Technical-analysis
CHF JPY TECH TECHIt is the most interesting situation for me this week on market.
We got strange moves here and this is my technical analysis.
H2 Chart the price is in trouble strong resistance and its looks like this resistance are very strong.
Also, the price is now in an upward channel weekly but it looks like to check the lower level of this channel maybe.
This Downside Line in the third one is pretty important!!
The conclusion is it is a good time to Sell but not the BEST. :)
My prediction is Short until the price of 124.447
It is a total of 90 Pips from this point now.
What do you think? Have any idea?
FxCROWN
XRP - Heading back to $1?XRP
Daily Time frame
We have seen XRP make an impulse / correction / impulse to the down side finding support at the 70cent where we have monthly structure. Price has rejected this structure level twice and price has now broken out of the counter trend line. You can see after the first rejection of the monthly structure level price made an impulsive move to the upside but failed to break past the $1 region. After rejecting $1 price fell back down to the monthly structure creating an arguable double bottom but what we should focus on is how price moved down in a corrective manner giving indiction that the selling pressure is slowing down and that we could expect another impulsive move to the upside. Now that price has broken the daily counter trend line i will be looking on the lower timeframes for entries to go long (H4 & H1) with the first target being $1 where i will take partial profits or close the whole position depending on what price action develops.
$UVXY meltdown preparation *This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
Some of you may have already noticed, but my team has taken this very bullish market day as an opportunity to close out the majority of our trades that trade with the $SPY. Our bullish stance on most of these companies still stand, but we just don't see any opportunities where we can capitalize and make a profit from them in the near-term.
My team isn't against trading with the retail crowd, but we do not plan to rush to our deaths. Instead we will be investing our funds into a $SPY inverse ETF. Lucky for us this ETF is down -17% today because futures jumped so high today.
This is simply our opinion. Feel free to hold on to your positions, you will be rewarded in the long-term. My team just expects further discounts on these companies in the next couple months.
Closed Trades: $TLRY $CHPT $GORO $PINS $MU $BABA $FB $KOS $CLF $GE $SNE $TARA $LODE $MIRM $CINR
Our Entry: $17
Take Profit: $28
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
Sol Touch the Strong Resistance and Now It's BullishThe Back Ground
Sol Start a new bullish tend every time we see RSI in oversold region and every time it was so quick to gain the new high, while on the other side the preciously established 50% fibo retracement level is in play.
Point:
RSI is is recovering from oversold zone, price already retrace above to previous day close, last day candle is a rejection signal with decent volume which will be confirmed with today close. It also lose 50% from its all time high which is a opportunity for byers.
Pay Attention to Today Close and Rejection Confirmation
It is better to plan your trade above test confirmation candle and ride that trade till ATH , and you may enjoy TP1 at psychological level of 200.
Use a wise stop loss below 115 as in a quick move I am still expecting the deep pockets may move it down to liquidate the leveraged positions.
It is not financial advice; always do your research.
Please, feel free to ask your question; write it in the comments below, and I will answer.
Bitcoin Technical Analysis - 9-Jan-2022Bitcoin has completed the Head & Shoulders pattern which we specified about a month ago and retested the major support area (40500 - 41000). Bitcoin is now holding the neckline of the pattern and trading above the major support area. Bitcoin should hold that major area, or we will see more downward price movement toward the next support area (48000 - 48200). For now, Bitcoin trying to retest the local resistance area and its first target is to reach 43200. If Bitcoin can achieve that goal, the next target is 44800 - 45000.
IM NO SCHOLAR!!!! but I tend to be rightive placed a (1,2,3,4) and a (A,B,C) correction.... so far it has done a 1-2 correction I expect IPC to be huge.
Once ICP hits double money at $54, there could be a scalp again at $38 or just straight through up
to $54 and after that a sell off to $30-$33.....
HEAVY BUY at RETRACE---- sell at $76 for scalp or hold---well see
USD CAD TECH + IllustrationHello, again Dear Traders! Here we got a funny illustration somehow.
It is Triangles downside so the price is falling down (I HOPE SO) Ha Ha.
I think there is a chance of getting near 40 pips via Shorting. = )
IF you have any questions? Ask me!
Thank you for your time. Wish you all great.
FxCROWN
SPX: Market and Macroeconomic OutlookTechnical Simple overview:
It is well known among professionals that moving average 200 is one of bear market indicators as when the market is below it, the market considered in a bear market and when the market is moving above it, it will be considered as bull market. From chart perspective, we can see that the market can deviate from the moving average when bull market create big run in a short period of time.
I have measured the approximate deviation between major tops and their MA200 at a time to see the percentage of deviation between the price and MA 200. We can clearly see that the last year and year 2020 shown a huge deviation from the moving average which due to Quantitative Easing, Stimulus and inflation.
Interest Rate forecasting:
Yesterday in the Fed Meeting, overview FOMC indicated a hawkish sentiment over interest rates, in simple english they need to increase interest rate in order to fight inflation which is said to sit around 3% at YE 2022. They also indication the interest to decrease Fed balance sheet to around PRE-COVID19 levels.
From yesterday's minutes, we can take these two major statements:
"Participants generally noted that, given their individual outlooks for the economy, the labor market, and inflation, it may become warranted to increase the federal funds rate sooner or at a faster pace than participants had earlier anticipated."
"Some participants also noted that it could be appropriate to begin to reduce the size of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet relatively soon after beginning to raise the federal funds rate,"
I will continue to talk a little technical words and then I will explain it in simple english relevant to the market.
In order for the Fed to shrink their balance sheet which reached around $8 trillions, there are arguments of either selling bonds they have or more probably they will wait until maturity of these bonds. In theory, by shrinking its bond holdings, the Fed could prop up longer-term yields. Relying less on rate hikes would meantime reduce the amount by which short-term rates rise.
“A few of these participants raised concerns that a relatively flat yield curve could adversely affect interest margins” for lenders, the minutes said, referring to a sub-group of those favoring greater reliance on balance-sheet measures. Such a yield curve “may raise financial stability risks,” according to these officials."
Now to the simple english in relation to the stock market:
1- When reducing Fed Balance sheet, long term rates may rise (for bonds..etc), but if hikes is not too much, short term rates won't move that much.
2- Interest rates increases make investor to search for less risky investments (long term and short term) with consideration for inflation rates
3- In repeat to what happened during 2018, the market will look for a correction if the Fed applied what is being anticipated (increase interest rate).
4- Expectation will be that same market movement as 2018, growing but slowly or may even be a neutral year. This will provide long term opportunities.
until next time,
AgentHK
Gold - 04 / Jan review. What happened today?Sadly for all of us Gold today never managed to break through 1800.80 support level or through the channel ever. So, no selling orders today…
My fundamental analysis whisper to my ear that so aggressive drop in the price yesterday has been caused partially by Bank Holiday in the UK (London). Forex trades got affected badly as well ( almost all trades went to reversal direction ) Well, all trades start returning to the normal way today and in another day or two this all mess going to be cleared up.
Dow Jones Negative Divergence like 2000 Dow Jones Negative Divergence like the 2000 top so an important top has formed on the Pitchfork and the RSI is flashing danger ahead in 2022, time to be careful in your investments, 40-60% drop in the cards. Pitchfork is in the high end historically just like 2000, price reached one deviation from the mean so a topping is in progress.
BTC/USD daily chartafter breaking the falling channel and testing the resistance at 51,500$ , bitcoin failed to close above it , in this condition it shows weakness for the bulls and the bears are gaining the control , breaking the support at 46,100$ will lead the prices for more bearish move targeting 33,000$ , the supports at 44,500 $ and 38,500$ are not strong enough to handle this % of correction that started after touching 69,000$.
EUR JPY TECHHello everybody. Here I'm for sharing this my trading idea.
As we see the trend passed resistance 1 and make price confirmation by candles (above it).
The Price now is back to near support 1. It is the point where we can think about buying :)
I'm opening my position to reach take profit 1. (It's somewhere 30 pips)
At this moment, it all.
Have questions? Ask me :)
Thank you
Technical Analysis for AUDUSD - H1 Timeframe - December 29, 2021- AUDUSD is below MA and below Pivot Point. RSI is below 50 level. Down Trend is observed.
- Price is following upward triangle but could not sustained above up the top trend line, reversing from here will make it move downward.
- Good example for consolidation at top with narrow range is formed.
- Alternative Scenario – One can wait for it to check S2 - 0.72073 (Horizontal Line) Below that intraday down trend may start.
- Watch out levels for intraday trading.