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Swing BTC thesis by Titan_KarmaPrediction( investment_thesis='**Market Sentiment Analysis:** The current market sentiment for Bitcoin is predominantly bullish, driven by recent price highs and positive predictions for future growth. However, the movement of Bitcoin to exchanges by short-term holders suggests potential volatility and price corrections. This mixed sentiment indicates a need for a balanced approach, considering both the bullish long-term outlook and the potential for short-term fluctuations. **Technical Analysis:** The technical indicators present a mixed picture. On the 1-day chart, the RSI is slightly overbought, and the MACD shows bearish momentum, while the ADX indicates a strong upward trend. The price is below the EMA20 and SMA20, suggesting short-term bearishness. The 4-hour chart shows bullish momentum with a positive MACD, but a weak trend as indicated by a low ADX. The 1-hour chart supports short-term bearishness with a negative MACD and low ADX. Key support is around $90,000, with resistance at $98,000. **Fundamental Analysis:** The bullish sentiment is supported by increased long positions among top traders and significant trading volume, indicating strong market interest. However, the potential for increased volatility due to short-term holders moving Bitcoin to exchanges should not be overlooked. Diversification and risk management are crucial in navigating these market conditions. **Risk Management Strategy:** Given the mixed technical signals and potential for volatility, a cautious approach is recommended. Set a stop-loss at $90,000 to protect against downside risk, and a take-profit at $98,000 to capitalize on potential upward movements. Monitor market conditions closely and adjust these levels as needed based on new data and sentiment shifts. CONFIDENCE LEVEL: 78% OUTCOME: HOLD_BUY STOP_LOSS: $90,000.00 TAKE_PROFIT: $98,000.00 EXIT_POINT: $96,000.00 CURRENT PRICE: $95,014.49 ENTRY CRITERIA: - **TIMEFRAME**: 1d - **RSI**: above 60 - **MACD**: Bearish crossover - **MA20**: Below price - **ATR**: Moderate volatility - **Bollinger Bands**: Price near upper band - **Stochastic Oscillator**: Neutral - **News Impact**: Positive - **Historical Data**: Resistance at $98,000, Support at $90,000 CURRENT OPEN LONG POSITIONS: 0 CURRENT OPEN SHORT POSITIONS: 0' )
Long
by titankarma
2
Swing thesis with RAG AI by Titan:KarmaPrediction( investment_thesis="**Market Sentiment Analysis:** The current market sentiment for ETHUSDT is cautiously bullish. Recent news highlights significant technological advancements and venture capital interest in ETH Zurich-related projects, which could positively influence the broader sentiment towards Ethereum. Financial data indicates a strong long position among top traders, with a long-short ratio above 1, suggesting a preference for long positions. However, a recent decline in the long-short ratio and long account percentage suggests some caution is warranted. **Technical Analysis:** On the 1-day chart, ETHUSDT shows bullish momentum with a positive MACD and strong ADX, although the RSI and Stochastic Oscillator indicate slightly overbought conditions. The price is below the EMA20 and SMA20, suggesting short-term bearish sentiment. The 4-hour chart shows a neutral RSI and potential overbought conditions, with the price slightly above the EMA20 and SMA20, indicating potential short-term bullish sentiment. The 1-hour chart shows bearish momentum with a negative MACD and oversold conditions, suggesting a potential short-term rebound. **Fundamental Analysis:** Recent news about ETH Zurich's technological innovations and venture capital funding in Switzerland's tech ecosystem could positively impact Ethereum's price. The strong long position among traders and the historical upward trend in price and volume support a bullish outlook. However, the recent high volatility and potential for pullbacks necessitate careful monitoring of market conditions and news developments. **Risk Management Strategy:** Given the mixed technical signals and potential for short-term rebounds, a cautious approach is recommended. Set a stop-loss at $3,500.00 to manage downside risk and a take-profit at $3,800.00 to capitalize on potential upward movements. Monitor key support at $3,600.00 and resistance at $3,750.00 levels closely. Adjust stop-loss and take-profit levels based on market developments and technical confirmations. OUTCOME: HOLD_BUY STOP_LOSS: $3,500.00 TAKE_PROFIT: $3,800.00 CONFIDENCE LEVEL: 78% EXIT_POINT: $3,750.00 CURRENT PRICE: $3,653.27 ENTRY CRITERIA: - **TIMEFRAME**: 1h - **RSI**: below 50 - **MACD**: Bearish crossover - **MA20**: Price below - **ATR**: Moderate volatility - **Bollinger Bands**: Price near lower band - **Stochastic Oscillator**: Oversold - **News Impact**: Positive - **Historical Data**: Support at $3,600.00, Resistance at $3,750.00 CURRENT OPEN LONG POSITIONS: 3 CURRENT OPEN SHORT POSITIONS: 1" )
Long
by titankarma
ASX 200 futures could tease bears at these highsThe ASX 200 futures market has struggled to retest 8500, after a brief and uninspiring spell above it. Overnight gains on Tuesday were seen on low volumes, and Wall Street indices have provided a weak lead today. A bearish divergence has also formed on the daily and 1-hour chart. While prices have rebounded from the weekly pivot point, price action looks corrective. Hence the bias for it being a corrective channel that could break to the downside. If we see prices rise at the open, I am on guard for it being a 'last hurrah", which could make it a suitable market to fade into with a stop above the record high. The weekly pivot (8390), weekly VPOC (8348) and weekly S1 around 8300 make viable downside targets for bears. MS
ASX24:AP1!Short
by CityIndex
Alibaba - It Is So Predictable!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) just rejected a major resistance: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 A couple of days ago Alibaba stock perfectly retested a major previous resistance level after rallying +45% just within a couple of weeks. We can first see more bearish movement and maybe even a retest of the trendline breakout level before Alibaba will continue its overall uptrend. Levels to watch: $80, $110 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NYSE:BABALong
by basictradingtv
24
Start of the impulse wave | DB breakouthello fellow traders, Trent has taken support on ascending trendline and impulse wave of the bull swing at weekly time frame has started. The the DB neckline breakout at daily time frame was the trend change confirmation. The target 1 is 22% and target 2 is 42% from CMP respectively Risk reward ratio for the target 1 is 1:2.37 and target 2 is 1:4.75 The FNO strategy is below: Set the target values as shown in the chart to get the projected profits at the below link. sbull.co
NSE:TRENTLong
by the_paradox
A Risk Tolerance Test for All TradersRisk Tolerance trips up more traders than any other emotional aspect of trading stocks, or any other asset class. How is your risk tolerance? Would you say that you have a good stable risk tolerance? Or is it the main reason you take small gains or losses? If you need help evaluating your risk tolerance, take this Risk Tolerance Test . If any of these apply, then there is a problem you need to address: Do you get stopped out of trades and then watch as the stock moves up? This is caused by setting stops too tightly for the kind of trading style being used. Do you panic as the stock retraces and lower the stop loss to avoid getting stopped out? This actually increases risk rather than lowering it. Do you raise your stop loss before the stock forms a new consolidation for support? This also increases risk rather than lessening it. There is higher risk that you will get stopped out prematurely. Do you check profit or loss everyday on your held stocks? Position traders should only be checking their balance once a month. Swing traders could wait for the end of the month but can do it weekly. Are you a swing trader who checks your positions intraday to see what is happening? This runs the risk of reacting prematurely to intraday volatility that eventually evens out. Have you given up on using stop losses because "they don't work"? You probably just need to learn a better method for placing stop losses. Do you hold and hold with no stop loss, watching a stock tumble, unable to exit and ultimately exiting too late or "holding long term" instead? This is a chronic problem among retail traders that indicates the lack of a complete trading plan, one that provides a plan for when your holdings go against your intent. To keep your risk tolerance in check try adding these simple steps to your trade analysis: Carefully check the Risk to Reward ratio of your picks, and only trade stocks with a good probability for profit vs. loss. Consider the amount of money at risk in each trade. Think about how you would feel if you lost that money should the trade go against you. Add this parameter to your trading rules. Lower overall market risk by trading more than one or two stocks at a time. Spread your capital outlay over a few picks rather than putting it all on one trade. Use stop losses on every trade. Place stops under the appropriate support levels for the chart patterns and your intent. If you are a Swing Trader, it is important to enter trades only on strong market days. Not every flat day is a good day to swing trade. You'll keep more of your profits over time if you wait for ideal days and picks. The simplest way to improve risk tolerance is to continually paper trade on a Simulator even after you've started trading live. Most beginners do not practice executing their trading plan sufficiently before jumping into the market. They allow emotion to cloud better judgment and let greed overwhelm decisions. Trading is the only business where normally calm, intelligent, and wise people do really greedy things that end up being foolish and risky. And it all comes down to the emotions that come with money, especially fear, greed and pride. Traders have one thing to compete against and that is their own emotions, which can cause poor decisions. My best advice for all traders is this: compete against your own prior trading history to improve results, and ignore what is going on with everyone else. Summary: Emotional control comes from having a sound plan, sticking with it, and not changing it because the market has moved on a whim or some guy on social just made a lot of money. Create your trading style, which is a plan of attack for the market. Set out your strategies and use the correct ones for the current Market Condition. Only trade stocks that have a risk factor you can live with. Use stop losses appropriately, and you will be successful. Problems occur somewhere in all of this, when traders miss a step and deviate from the plan. When you feel emotions getting out of hand, controlling your trading decisions, consider the above checklists for help evaluating and adjusting your mindset. Greed is a tough emotion to control, because it is insidious and hard to identify in ourselves. Fear is easy to identify and much easier to control or harness. A certain amount of fear is necessary and good in the market, because it keeps individuals from taking too much risk. However, fear that dominates daily emotional energy only creates constant losses. Think about this and study prior trades. If they performed well after being stopped out, then there is a risk problem to address in your trading plan.
NYSE:AXPEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
XRPUSD: The Next Bull Run is NearXRPUSD is currently positioned for a bullish breakout, and I'm excited to share my analysis with fellow traders. Market Context and Probabilities In this environment, I will leverage probabilities to strategically position myself for long entries. The key support level at $0.54 has held strong, and breaking through the resistance at $0.68 could pave the way for a rally towards $0.93 and beyond. With the altcoin market gaining traction, XRP is poised to attract more buyers, especially if we see increased trading volume that confirms this bullish trend. Global Fundamentals Aligning with Bullish Sentiment On a broader scale, several fundamental factors are supporting this bullish bias. The recent US elections have injected optimism into the crypto market, contributing to XRP's impressive 134% increase since November 6. Additionally, ongoing developments in regulatory clarity around cryptocurrencies are fostering a more favorable environment for digital assets like XRP. The combination of technical indicators and supportive fundamentals creates a compelling case for a bullish outlook. Let's capitalize on these opportunities together! P.S. If you have any questions about how I trade probabilities with the overall market direction, feel free to reach out. 12M: 2W: 4H:
CRYPTO:XRPUSDLong
by Jasminex1x2
PUFFERUSDT, D1 chart Range Breakout trading plan,Long setup👋Hello Traders, Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is a H4 or higher timeframe ICT Long setup in PUFFERUSDT for swing trade (a couple of weeks) Here is a swing trade idea (since it is near support surface, we should use small lot size) Please refer to the details Stop loss, Buy Zone,open for take profit. We are waiting for next Long setup after price discount in coming days. Crypto is highly risky, please do your own research on that coin before trading. For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview. Have a good day! Please give this post a like if you like this kind of simple idea, your feedback will bring our signal to next better level, thanks for support!
OKX:PUFFERUSDT.PLong
by ICT_Trader_SB