US500 expecting a bounce? Here are my thoughts.US500 (Daily Chart)
I'm expecting a bounce to ~4260/70 area. Here's why.
Looking at the AVWAP (Blue lines) from the January 2022 highs and October 2022 lows, we were bound to see some level of support here. I've been saying this for some time now that we'll reach at least 4100.
Given the strong confluence of support around this area (the AVWAP and the horizontal level), I'm expecting a bounce from here. The target for the bounce would be somewhere around the 4260/70 area. If you look at the previous rallies in this correction they're both ~4.7% from the lows of the down moves. If we consider this to be the low of the move, ~4.7% lines up with the 4260/70 area along with the white trend line and potentially with the 50EMA as well, by the time price gets there.
What will determine if this rally will stick or not will be the volume behind the moves. If you look at the volume in the previous rallies you can see that the volume was decreasing quite a bit and rose again as the price began to move lower.
If this rally is to be sustained, we're going to need to see volume and broader participation from the market, otherwise, if/when we get to the 4260/70 area we'll see the next leg lower.
Of course, there will be levels of resistance along the way such as the 4170 area and the 4210 area.
As always, be sure to DYDD and be sure to manage your risk.
Supportandresitance
VWAP again!- Plan for 30th October 2023Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
XAUUSD GOING LONG AND SHORTHi guys I'm back updating my gold scenario.
In my yesterday analysis, I highlighted area 1954 as a supply level , being tested multiple times was broken during Mr. Powell speech. leaving us with only one immediate area ,1978 as a supply zone. But since underlying fundamentals are bullish I need to confirm my entry in lower time frames to go short otherwise it's kind of risky. Should price get through the area I'm expecting 2004 area as another sell zone.
Our immediate demand area is around 1970-1972 which has proven itself once. Going long from this demand level like always requires checking lower time frames for further confirmation.
Below our immediate demand level we have 1962 which is the broken resistance and could support the price should get there.
Make sure you have these levels on your chart and do your own assessment while taking any trades.
Be honorable
BTC 4H Interval Review ChartHello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation of BTC in the USDT pair, taking into account the four-hour interval. First, we will use the yellow line to mark the local downward trend line from which the price came out at the top.
It is worth mentioning that the place where the downtrend line was left is also the place where the yellow Ema Cross 50 line crossed the blue Ema Cross 200 line from below, thus confirming the return to a strong upward trend.
Now we can move on to marking support areas in case the correction deepens. And here, using the trend based fib extension tool, we will mark a very strong support zone from $30,996 to $29,839, but if the support does not hold the price, we still have support at $28,332.
Looking the other way, we can determine resistance areas in a similar way. However, here we will mark the resistance at $36,303, which is a very strong resistance that the price must face before we move towards $40,000.
Please pay attention to the CHOP index, which indicates that a lot of energy has accumulated, on the RSI indicator, despite the recovery, there is room for a further decline, but at this point you should add the STOCH indicator, which shows that the energy in the downward movement is running out, which may result in the opposite direction and the price increases again.
BNB/USDT 1H Interval ReviewHello everyone, let's take a look at the BNB to USDT chart taking into account the one hour time frame. As you can see, the price is moving above the local downtrend line.
After unfolding the Fib Retracement grid, we will mark a support zone from $224 to $221, while we still have support at $218.
Looking the other way, you can see that the price has moved back through the resistance zone from $230 to $234, and then we have resistance at $238.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we can see that there is still some energy left for a move, on the RSI indicator, despite the recovery, there is still room for a decline, and on the STOCH indicator, we have room for the price to go lower.
LTC/USDT 1D ReviewI invite you to review the LTC/USDT chart. Starting with the blue lines marking the upward trend channel from which the price broke down, but locally you can see a sideways exit from the yellow downward trend line.
In order to determine support for the price, we will use the Fib Retracement tool and thanks to it we can see that the price is struggling to climb out of the strong support zone from $68.86 to $56.22. If the current zone did not support the price, we could see a decline to the area support at $40.26.
Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the resistance areas that the price must face. And here we see that the first significant resistance is at $78.72, and then we have a strong resistance zone from $92.60 to $102.46.
The CHOP index indicates that there is still some energy left for the move, the RSI indicator has a slight recovery and there is room for the price to go a little higher, when we look at the STOCH indicator we see that it has exceeded the upper limit, which influenced the recovery, but in combination with the RSI indicator it may be slight recovery and another increase in the LTC price.
ETH/USDT 1DInterval Review ChartHello everyone, I invite you to review the ETH pair to USDT chart, also on a one-day time frame. First, we can use the blue lines to mark the upward trend channel in which the price is currently moving. However, locally it is visible that the price has moved above the downward trend line.
Now let's move on to marking the support places. We will use the Fib Retracement tool to mark supports, and as you can see, the first support zone is from $1,671 to $1,517, but if this support does not hold the price, we may see a drop to the area of the second zone from $1,363 to $1,156.
Looking the other way, we can similarly mark places where the price should encounter resistance on the way up. And here we can immediately notice that the price is approaching a very strong resistance zone from $1,916 to $2,230, only when it breaks above it will it be able to move towards the resistance at $2,557.
When we turn on EMA Cross 50 and 200, we can see that the price has returned above the blue line of the 200 moving average, but it is worth watching whether the yellow line of EMA Cross 50 will cross the blue line from below, which would confirm a strong upward trend.
The CHOP Index indicates that most of the energy has been used. The RSI indicator is approaching the upper limit and it is clear that there is some room for growth, but the STOCH indicator exceeded the upper limit and this resulted in a slight price recovery.
BTC/USDT 1D Interwal 40000$ or 31000$Hello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on the BTC to USDT chart, taking into account the one-day interval. We will start by marking a strong downward trend line from which the price moved sideways, and currently we can mark the upward trend channel in which we are moving with blue lines.
Now we can move on to marking support areas in the event of a correction. And here, first of all, it is worth marking the support zone from $30,687 to $27,750, but when we fall below this zone, we may see a drop to the area of the second zone from $23,135 to $19,884.
At this point it is worth looking at the EMA Cross 50 and 200 as we can see that the yellow ema cross 50 line has returned above the blue ema cross 200 line, confirming that the strong uptrend is continuing.
Looking the other way, we can determine resistance locations in a similar way using the Fib Retracement tool. Here you can immediately see the fight against the strong resistance level at $35,931, which currently lacks the energy for a larger move, but when the price overcomes it, it will have an open path towards the strong resistance zone from $42,223 to $48,495.
Please pay attention to the CHOP index, which indicates that the energy at this moment is mostly used, the RSI and STOCH indicators clearly exceed the upper limit of the range, which may negatively affect the BTC valuation and translate into a recovery after such a dynamic increase. In such a situation, we could see a rebound towards $31,000.
NZDUSD LONG AND SHORT Scenario Hi guys.
This time I'll be looking into NZDUSD. The Currency has been rallying up since yesterday and today reached our supply area for the second time. Last reaction to the zone was considerably good and this time could same happen. In addition to the supply area we have the broken support which turned into resistance. So with these clues going short it's advisable. But later this afternoon it's going to be a news related to dollar which could impact our analysis so make sure you are monitoring price behavior.
Should price go down we have a broken resistance around 0.5836 which could support the selling off and lead to a reaction. Below it the demand area should also be closely monitored for a secure entry.
If price continues further up then multiple other supply areas could be potential short setups or exit point for long trades. Make sure you do your own assessment prior to taking any trades.
Be honorable
#AUDNZD selling opportunity
Hello, dear traders and colleagues. I wish you all a successful trading week.
Let's examine the AUDNZD chart to identify a potential selling opportunity.
As you can observe, the price is currently testing the upper boundary of a bearish channel, which has been acting as a resistance following an extended rally. Recent price movements in the past two days show signs of exhaustion, further increasing the likelihood of a bearish move.
Additionally, by examining the daily candlestick, you'll notice that we've experienced upside rejections in the last two days, indicating the presence of selling pressure.
To initiate a sell position on this pair, we would prefer to witness another upward movement, aimed at clearing liquidity from above the horizontal arrow we've marked on the chart. Subsequently, we'll look for a break below the short-term bullish trendline that has kept the price elevated during the recent bullish movement.
SPX & NQ - Rolling Over??The stock markets are looking extremely weak at the moment and after what turned out to be a "sucker's" rally that lasted about a week from early October, things appear to be heading south quickly again.
SPX has broken out of its rising channel that had begun since the start of the bull run from 13 Oct 2022 even closed (slightly) below its 200 Day moving average last Friday.
Both the SPX's and NQ's momentums had clearly shifted away from a rising trend to sideways in the past 2 months (forming 2 lower peaks now). The descending triangle pattern in NQ is also potentially bearish with higher odds of breaking to the downside eventually.
Any near term rallies are not to be trusted unless we can break above the trendline resistences (red) for a start, not to mention market breath in both indices need to improve significantly.
Mostly trading short term or sitting on the sidelines for now.
Disclaimer:
This is just my own analysis and opinion for discussion and is NOT a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management (ie trailing stop loss and position sizing) is (probably the most) important!
Take care and Good Luck!
#GBPAUD buying opportunityHello, traders and colleagues.
Let's take a look at the GBPAUD chart to explore the potential buying opportunity it presents.
Recently, the price broke above the 4-hour bearish trendline and subsequently followed by a bearish retracement. This short-term bearish corrective move has also introduced another trendline, which was breached earlier today, due to worst than expected news released for the AUD this morning.
Currently, the price is testing a crucial level, comprising the broken trendline and a short-term support and 1H 200 EMA which could potentially prompt the price to reverse and resume its bullish momentum.
If you have found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to leave a like and a comment or share your idea with me.
BNB 4HInterval Review ChartHello everyone, let's take a look at the BNB to USDT chart on a 4-hour time frame. As you can see, the price is moving above the local uptrend line.
After unfolding the Fib Retracement grid, you can see that the price is moving above the support zone from $212.5 to $210.5, then there is support at $208.5, and then a strong support zone from $205.6 to $201.9.
Looking the other way, you can see that the price is trying to attack the strong resistance zone from $214 to $217.4, when it manages to overcome it, we still have resistance at $221.6.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we can see that the energy is slowly starting to grow, on the RSI we are moving in the upper part of the range, but looking at the STOCH indicator, we can see that the rebound took place to the middle of the range and resulted in another rebound, which slightly limited the space for a new price increase.
BTC Short-Term Review Chart 1HHello everyone, let's take a look at the BTC to USDT chart taking into account the one hour interval. As you can see, the price dynamically moved up from the local downward trend line.
After unfolding the Trend Based Fib Extension grid, we see that the price has returned to the support zone from $28,498 to $28,063, but if this zone does not maintain the price, we may see a drop to the support level of $26,801.
Looking the other way, we see that the first resistance is at $28,898, then the second at $29,423, and then we can mark a significant resistance zone from $29,846 to $30,269.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that the energy is starting to grow, the RSI shows a return to the lower part, which makes room for a new increase, while the STOCH indicator shows a reflection from the lower boundary, which could potentially result in an upward movement in the coming hours.
LINK/USDT 1DInterval Review ChartHello everyone, I invite you to review the LINK chart in pair with USDT, on a one-day time frame. First, we will use blue lines to mark the downward trend channel in which the price is moving upwards, while locally there is an upward trend line visible, along which the price is climbing. As we can see, it also managed to return to a strong upward trend after emerging higher from EMA Cross 200, which is important for the price to maintain this level now.
Going further, we can move on to marking support areas when the price returns to correction, and here we can see the support zone from $7.05 to $6.61, which also contains the previously mentioned 200 moving average, then we have the second zone from 6.17 $ to $5.53, followed by strong support at $4.74.
Looking the other way, we see that the price has bounced off the important resistance zone from $7.78 to $8.58, which it has no strength to break yet, there is still a strong resistance at $9.65, which the price must overcome and test positive before moving further upwards.
Please look at the CHOP index, which indicates that we have a lot of energy for the upcoming move, the RSI shows a return to the middle of the range, which creates room for a new upward move, while the STOCH indicator has rebounded to the lower limit and we have a visible upward movement with energy for it. I wish the price would go up a little higher.
BTC Chart Review 1DIntervalHello everyone, I invite you to review the situation of BTC in pair with USDT, taking into account the one-day time frame. First, we will use the yellow line to mark the downward trend lines from which the price has gone up, while locally using the blue lines we can determine the upward trend channel in which the BTC price is currently located.
Moreover, it is worth mentioning that the price has recently moved above the moving average of 200, returning to the strong upward trend, and it is important that it maintains this trend now.
Now we can move on to marking support areas in the event of a correction. And here, first of all, it is worth marking the support zone from $28,072 to $27,460, but when we fall below this zone, we may see a drop to the area of the second zone from $26,849 to $25,987, and then we have strong support at $24,861.
Looking the other way, we can determine resistance locations in a similar way using the Fib Retracement tool. And as we can see, the price is struggling to stay at the resistance level of $28,377, we still have a strong resistance zone from $29,211 to $30,365, which rejected a strong upward movement, only when we get out of this zone and it is positively tested will the path towards a strong resistance at $31,866.
Please pay attention to the CHOP index, which indicates that most of the energy has been used, on the RSI indicator we are moving in the upper part of the range, but there is room for the price to go slightly higher after this recovery, also the STOCH indicator shows that there is still some room left for the continuation of the movement.
🔔BTCUSDT🔔In the weekly time frame, after breaking the blue upward trend line, the price was in a several-week trend that fluctuated between the ranges of 25,000 and 30,000, and today, after a pump, it reached the resistance range of 30,000, and from there, the price was strongly rejected. This shows the importance of the desired range. During this period, the price tried to break the 30,000 range 3 times, but was disappointed in all 3 times and it seems that there is no more force left for it to break the desired range. We expect the price to fall from this range and finally end its downward trend from the range of 19,000 to 20,000 or the range of 15,000 to 17,000...
WOMAN , LIFE , FREEDOM ✌
MKR/USDT 1D Review ChartHello everyone, I invite you to review the MKR chart in pair with USDT, on a one-day time frame. First, we will use blue lines to mark the upward trend channel, which contains data around the additional range.
Going forward, the point of support will be marked in the event of a larger correction. And here, the first one is our support zone from $1,404 to $1,539, then the zone at the border from $1,292 to $1,209, and then there is a strong shock near the support level at $967.
On the other hand, the price reached the important resistance zone from $1,476 to $1,565, from which it was rejected. However, if you manage to get out of this zone, it will be in the second zone from $1,773 to $1,864.
Please check the CHOP index, which indicates that we have a lot of energy at the exit of the movement, the RSI indicator, which is visible near the outer area, making it difficult to determine the direction, but when displayed on the STOCH indicator, to display a rebound to the exit of the border and the original exit from the place because the price went higher.
ETH-USDT 4HInterval Review Chart DayHello everyone, I invite you to review the chart of ETH in pair with USDT, also on a four-hour interval. First of all, we can use the blue lines to mark the downward trend channel from which the price goes up again, but at this point it is worth defining the main sideways trend channel, where we can see that the price has bounced off the lower border for the second time, which resulted in increases.
As we can see, the attempt to break the blue ema cross 200 line was unsuccessful and we remained in a downward trend.
Now, using the Trend Based Fib Extension tool, we will check what the current supports look like if the price had a greater recovery, and here we can see that after a dynamic increase we returned to the support zone from $1,585 to $1,551, we still have support just below the lower border of the channel at $1,524, and then it is worth marking the second zone from $1,497 to $1,459.
Looking the other way, we can similarly mark places where the price should encounter resistance on the way up. And here again we have an active resistance zone, the price of which failed to hold from $1,604 to $1,631, then there is a second zone from $1,657 to $1,694, and then strong resistance at the upper border of the sideways trend channel at $1,741.
The CHOP index indicates that most of the energy has been used up, the RSI indicator is moving in the upper part of the range and there is still some room for an upward movement, while the STOCH indicator shows the moment of exceeding the upper limit, which exhausted the energy and resulted in a strong rebound.
BTC/USDT Review Chart 4HIntervalHello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC in the USDT pair, taking into account the four-hour interval. First, we will use the yellow line to mark the downward trend lines from which the price has broken upwards, and currently we can use the blue lines to mark the upward trend channel in which the price is currently moving.
Now we can move on to marking support places in case the traffic jam starts to deepen. And here you can see that after a dynamic upward movement, the price returned to the support zone from $28,056 to $27,457, but if we break below this zone, there is a second zone from $26,858 to $25,997, and then we have support at $24,921.
At this point, it is worth looking at the EMA Cross 200 and here we can see that the price has broken the 200 moving average and we have returned to the strong upward trend, it is important to maintain it now.
Looking the other way, we can determine resistance locations in a similar way using the Fib Retracement tool. First of all, you can see that the first resistance is again the place of $28,364, then we have a resistance zone from $29,178 to $30,346, which has rejected the price for now, but if it manages to break out of it, the price will move towards the strong resistance at $31,807.
Please pay attention to the CHOP index, which indicates that energy is very much consumed, the RSI indicator shows that we are moving just above the upper limit of the range, but the minimal rebound gave room for a very dynamic increase, while the STOCH indicator exceeded the upper limit, which slowed down further increases. and we have a reaction.