APP: price in the important macro-ristance True market leader of past and this year, both fundamentally and technically, is approaching an important mid-term resistance zone of the uptrend from 2022 lows: 322-370-470.
Although the uptrend on the date of writing is very intact and looks strong (since august lows price respects 8/21 ema), these resistance area might provide profit taking or position hedging opportunities for both swing/position traders and investors. These might become especially important when/if price starts trading bellow 8/21 with ema reversing their slope to the down-sideß.
Until price is bellow 470, next important, mid-term support zone 255-175. While price is above 175 resistance level, suggested macro up-trend structure is valid with higher potential price levels in years to come.
Thank you for your attention!
P.S. This is my biggest mistake and investing regret from last and this year. Had a perfect entry on 10th of July with 26.68 cost level and long-term hold-intentions but ended treating it as a short term swing position loosing big picture view, selling everything on 14th of July and moving it out from my focus list.
Good to observe and reflect from this experience of mine and move on being inspired by life-changing potential of TML's like NASDAQ:APP : )
Supportandresitance
XAUUSD Forecast Dec 2024Hi all Traders!
In the XAUUSD H4 chart, it is observed that after breaking the support zone, the price is currently in a correction phase and pulling back towards low level fibonacci or continue to above.
Considering the price structure and hit fibo 50%, it is expected that after reaching the identified resistance area, the price will resume its downward movement and target lower levels or after rejection in fibo 61.8% will be uptrend and then continue to downtrend.
Key Points:
Forecast 1 :
Sell Entry 1 : Consider entering a Short Limit position around Fibs 50% with price of 2663.27, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: 2560.75
Sell Entry 2 : Consider entering a Short Limit position around Fibs -0.382% with price of 2765.78, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: 2516.35
Buy Entry : Consider entering a Long Limit position around Fibs 1.382% with price of 2560.75, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: 2765.78
Forecast 2 :
Sell Entry 1 : Consider entering a Short Limit position around Fibs -0.382% with price of 2765.78, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: 2516.35
Buy Entry : Consider entering a Long Limit position around Fibs 61.8% with price of 2649.55, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: 2765.78
Forecast 3 :
Sell Entry : Consider entering a Short Limit position around Fibs 50% with price of 2663.27, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: 2516.35
like and share your thoughts in the comments thank you
ALT Season AheadHey,
I wanted to share some thoughts on the current market dynamics and what I’m observing in BTC dominance.
If you’re invested in ALT coins—especially legacy coins like ETH, XRP, or even RUNE—you might feel like your returns are lagging significantly. The truth is, they are. Let me break down the relationship between ALTs and BTC dominance to give you some context.
I use TOTAL3 and BTC dominace charts, check them out.
There’s a strong inverse correlation between BTC Dominance and TOTAL3. Historically, when BTC Dominance trends downward, ALTs begin to outperform, experiencing substantial growth relative to BTC. This shift often marks the period when ALT coins start “shining.”
Interestingly, during the last cycle, BTC didn’t peak at the height of BTC Dominance. Instead, BTC peaked after ALTs had a massive rally, during a period when BTC Dominance ranged in the 40-50% zone.
Currently, BTC Dominance remains in a strong uptrend with no clear signs of slowing. For this reason, before heavily shifting into ALTs or taking profits on BTC longs, I’m waiting for a momentum shift in BTC Dominance. Even a simple trendline break to the downside could signal that capital is flowing out of BTC and into ALTs. This doesn’t necessarily mean BTC will lose value; in fact, it might continue climbing. However, it does indicate a tipping point where ALTs could begin to significantly outpace BTC, offering much greater upside potential.
That said, it’s important to consider the growing institutional interest in BTC. Unlike retail investors, institutions are less likely to pivot into ALTs (except for ETH, which benefits from its status as a leading crypto ETF). As a result, BTC Dominance could climb past 70% and may not see a sharp decline even when ALT coin momentum begins.
GOLD--> Trend favors sellersGold prices maintained their recovery momentum on Wednesday, gaining over 70 pips early in the trading session and currently trading steadily around the 2639 USD level.
While the metal is showing signs of upward movement, this momentum appears to be short-lived as the overall trend remains favorable for sellers. The primary driver is the weakening of the US dollar, as investors take profits following last week's strong rally. Since gold is priced in USD, a weaker dollar makes the metal more accessible to buyers using other currencies.
Additionally, ongoing geopolitical tensions continue to provide strong support for gold prices, with the current target aimed at the resistance level of 2665 USD. If the price successfully breaks this level, further recovery could be expected. Conversely, if it fails, the recommended strategy remains selling in line with the primary trend.
Nov.12-Nov.18(ETH)Weekly market recapAs the cryptocurrency market continues to expand, several factors will influence the sustainability of the current upward trend.
Firstly, the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is crucial. If inflation resurges and leads to a tightening of monetary policy, it could pose a significant obstacle to market gains. Additionally, the implementation of specific policies by the Trump administration, including the establishment of regulatory frameworks and strategic reserves, will also play a vital role.
Moreover, the ongoing participation of institutional investors is a key factor, as their capital flows often have a substantial impact on market trends. Currently, the cumulative net inflow for BTC ETFs stands at $27.714 billion, while ETH ETFs have seen a net inflow of $139 million.
It is noteworthy that since August 5 of this year, Tether has minted over $7 billion USDT on the Ethereum blockchain. Changes in the supply of stablecoins have become an important market indicator; an increase in stablecoin supply not only reflects market confidence in cryptocurrencies but also provides potential support for subsequent price increases.
After retreating to around $3,000 last week, ETH has been experiencing fluctuations. The blue bars of the WTA indicator, which represent whale activity, are still present. The orange wave area of the ME indicator has shifted to purple, indicating a strengthening of bullish sentiment.
In summary, we believe that ETH may rise this week, but it is essential to remain cautious of price volatility risks. We maintain a resistance level at $3,400 and a support level at $3,000.
Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies.
Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
Nov.12-Nov.18(BTC)Weekly market recapAs the cryptocurrency market continues to expand, several factors will influence the sustainability of the current upward trend.
Firstly, the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is crucial. If inflation resurges and leads to a tightening of monetary policy, it could pose a significant obstacle to market gains. Additionally, the implementation of specific policies by the Trump administration, including the establishment of regulatory frameworks and strategic reserves, will also play a vital role.
Moreover, the ongoing participation of institutional investors is a key factor, as their capital flows often have a substantial impact on market trends. Currently, the cumulative net inflow for BTC ETFs stands at $27.714 billion, while ETH ETFs have seen a net inflow of $139 million.
It is noteworthy that since August 5 of this year, Tether has minted over $7 billion USDT on the Ethereum blockchain. Changes in the supply of stablecoins have become an important market indicator; an increase in stablecoin supply not only reflects market confidence in cryptocurrencies but also provides potential support for subsequent price increases.
Last week, BTC exhibited a volatile trend, with significant price fluctuations. The WTA indicator shows the appearance of blue bars representing whales, indicating the presence of large capital. The purple wave area on the ME indicator is widening, suggesting a strengthening bullish sentiment.
In summary, we believe BTC may experience an upward movement this week, but caution is warranted regarding price volatility risks. We have adjusted the resistance level to $95,000 and the support level to $85,000.
Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies.
Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
EURUSD continues to extend sharp decline from 1.0600Dear Traders... Let's discuss and strategize with Ben today!
Overall, after updating the low around 1.0497, the price recovered around 0.08% on the day.
However, EUR/USD remained on the defensive near 1.0550 during the European session on Monday. The pair remained weak as geopolitical risks between Russia and Ukraine resurfaced although the US Dollar limited its gains. The divergent policy outlook of the ECB-Fed also weighed on the pair ahead of the central bank talks.
Today, there will be no high-impact data that could influence the action of EUR/USD. Therefore, market participants will pay close attention to comments from central bank officials.
Technically, price resistance at 1.0550 - 1.0660 and resistance at 1.0663 should be watched. A false breakout and consolidation below these areas could trigger a decline.
Currently, Euro is hinting that the pullback could be a bit longer. MMs are likely to look for liquidity (above these levels) ahead of the news. A false breakout could trigger sellers to act, which would only add to the selling pressure.
However, a mild recovery from 1.0550 and back to 1.0497 would increase the likelihood of a breakdown and decline.
GOLD--> Buyers stop believing in gold. Are the bears coming?OANDA:XAUUSD rose, but remained below $2,600 early on Monday, snapping a six-day losing streak. Geopolitical risks favored the safe-haven metal amid reduced demand for the US Dollar.
However, expectations of a less aggressive Fed rate cut and rising US Treasury yields are likely to limit further gains for XAU.
Attention is now focused on the upcoming speech by Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, as there are no major economic releases due on Monday. Geopolitical developments will also be closely watched to see if they have any significant impact on the safe-haven asset.
Technically, Gold is forming a smooth and calm move towards new highs after a false breakout near $2,575. Notably, an uptrend is emerging on the H1 timeframe.
A pullback to the imbalance zone or local resistance level may form before the news as traders try to recover losses. However, I predict that after this correction, the price will likely continue its downtrend.
Friday Gold Chart Support Resistance Alert!Attention traders! XAUUSD is on fire, setting new highs with precision! Check this out:
XAUUSD Insight: Locked in a fierce contest between 2563 and 2573. Is a breakout near?
Downside Watch: Stay cautious for potential drops if it dips below this range! Targets: 2560, 2555.
Upside Watch: Look for buying signals if it rises above! Targets: 2570, 2585.
Thursday Gold confirm Signal FOMC Alert!Attention traders! XAUUSD is on fire, setting new highs with precision! Check this out:
XAUUSD Insight: Locked in a fierce contest between 2570 and 2584. Is a breakout near?
Downside Watch: Stay cautious for potential drops if it dips below this range! Targets: 2559, 2565.
Upside Watch: Look for buying signals if it rises above! Targets: 2592, 2605.
Close to Key Resistance with Strong MomentumNYSE:DELL is in a clear recovery phase after a substantial drop. Following the recent uptrend, it’s now approaching a significant resistance level near $135. This resistance level represents a prior high from June, a point where price previously struggled to hold.
Volume has increased slightly on this approach, suggesting that buyers are gaining confidence. However, if the stock fails to break above this level, it could face a pullback to test the support zone around $120.
Watch for a breakout above $135 with volume confirmation, as this could signal a continuation of the upward trend.
XAUUSD RECAP & TRADE IDEAFrom the previous setup, we can see that the movement of gold made a breakout at the 2728 level before dropping to the take profit level at the 2.618 Fibonacci extension (2651) and then made a correction to the 50-61.8 Fibonacci retracement level (2709). So this week, I am waiting to see if the current price will head towards the 1.618 Fibonacci extension before deciding to continue the buy position. If the price successfully breaks the support level at 2642, it is likely that the price will head towards 2360-2500/90. However, if there is a bounce at the support area, the price might continue to rise towards 2690-2700.
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
Is it the time to Buy the Dip? FX:HKG33
As you can see from 1D chart - the MACD & Signal line both are on downtrends.
Be cautious if the MACD fast line break below the zero line.
From W chart, you can see the MACD & Signal lines are both staying zero line i.e bullish mode but on a weaker momentum ( the KDJ is on bearish zone and the MACD histogram with ligher green). Also the MACD line (blue line) seems forming a curving down movement.
The next Support level at 18186 (the sudden surge on the 26Sept2024 +1239.06;6.41% that day)
From 1h chart, at point of commenting it seem that the index is on Bearish mode, it might take a while to rebound to previous support level (the new resistance ) at 19500-19520.
You may not want to open bullish too early if it's not break through the level.
Shorterm
Bearish - it seems the index will continue to be downtrend based on 4h BB; but SL at 19834, you may set TP at 19146 (the next support level)
Peoples Sell on News
www.tradingview.com
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From Reuters : China and Hong Kong stocks fell on Thursday after Beijing's latest measures to revive the struggling property sector failed to boost investors' mood.
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Longterm
Let's continue to monitor the D chart with MACD & KDJ indicator if there is clearer signal to take position.
While waiting let's zen with 🍵 & 📙
Nov.05-Nov.11(ETH)Weekly market recapLast week, Trump defeated Democratic candidate Harris on Wednesday to win the 2024 U.S. presidential election, following his promises of several supportive cryptocurrency initiatives that are expected to materialize. These include the dismissal of the Chair of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the establishment of a strategic BTC reserve to hold digital currencies obtained from assets seized from financial criminals by the federal government, and the promotion of the U.S. BTC mining industry, with the hope that the remaining global BTC will be mined in the United States.
Currently, the U.S. is in a rate-cutting cycle, with a reduction already implemented on November 8, and another expected this year. As long as the CPI data on November 13 does not exceed expectations, the likelihood of further rate cuts is significant.
Last week, there was a substantial net inflow into ETH ETFs, indicating that following Trump's victory, the favorable monetary policy has sparked optimism and speculative behavior among investors, leading to a significant influx of capital into the cryptocurrency market.
Given the current landscape, the cryptocurrency-friendly regulatory environment, the substantial inflow of funds into ETH ETFs, and the macroeconomic benefits of the Federal Reserve's rate cuts are all catalysts for ETH's rise last week and its potential future increases.
Under the leadership of BTC, ETH exhibited a one-sided upward trend last week, with the increase nearly compensating for the decline experienced since July of this year. The WTA indicator has shown blue bars, indicative of whale activity, suggesting significant capital inflow. Meanwhile, the orange wave area of the ME indicator is rapidly tightening, signaling a weakening of bearish sentiment.
In summary, we anticipate that ETH may rise this week, although caution is warranted regarding potential pullbacks. We have adjusted the resistance level to 3400 and the support level to 3000.
Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies.
Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
Nov.05-Nov.11(BTC)Weekly market recapLast week, Trump defeated Democratic candidate Harris on Wednesday to win the 2024 U.S. presidential election, following his promises of several supportive cryptocurrency initiatives that are expected to materialize. These include the dismissal of the Chair of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the establishment of a strategic BTC reserve to hold digital currencies obtained from assets seized from financial criminals by the federal government, and the promotion of the U.S. BTC mining industry, with the hope that the remaining global BTC will be mined in the United States.
Currently, the U.S. is in a rate-cutting cycle, with a reduction already implemented on November 8, and another expected this year. As long as the CPI data on November 13 does not exceed expectations, the likelihood of further rate cuts is significant.
Last week, there was a substantial net inflow into BTC ETFs, indicating that following Trump's victory, the favorable monetary policy has sparked optimism and speculative behavior among investors, leading to a significant influx of capital into the cryptocurrency market.
Given the current landscape, the cryptocurrency-friendly regulatory environment, the substantial inflow of funds into BTC ETFs, and the macroeconomic benefits of the Federal Reserve's rate cuts are all catalysts for BTC's rise last week and its potential future increases.
BTC exhibited a one-sided upward trend last week, continuously reaching new highs near $90,000. The WTA indicator shows the appearance of blue bars representing whales. This macro shift is beginning to attract large capital. The purple wave area on the ME indicator is widening, indicating strengthening bullish sentiment.
In summary, we believe BTC may rise this week, but caution is warranted regarding potential pullbacks. We have adjusted the resistance level to $90,000 and the support level to $79,000.
Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies.
Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
Short Term Buy ( pullback ) ConsolidationGBP has seen a lot of Bearish Pressure and with the failure to break and meaningful highs on the higer time frame, constant 23.6 retracements are sign of continuation/ consolidation , has struggle to break past the lows, based on the technical and market sentiment its ranging between 0.00% and 23.6 % . Any news could shoot gbp/usd in any direction right now overall gbp is bearish as a currency.
USDJPY UPDATEFrom the weekly chart, the price has reached the 61.5 Fibonacci retracement level and made a rejection at the price of 145.470 before dropping again to the level of 152.134 on the 1-hour time frame. Therefore, I am waiting for any possibility of a rejection as shown in the chart before deciding to continue selling USD/JPY
Gold out Lookthose who are bearish should see weekly Rejection till the trend line price broke its daily recent trend line and got back in i suggest that gold will remain bullish over this week as it has not broke its trend line to the downside if it does so and breaks below 2678 level of support we can consider it will drop towards 2661 and then 2648-45 level of support and will not come upwards easily then another confluence is gold has closed back in position and remained near 2700 level and retested it several times
Gold : BUYGold bullish trading is a compelling option for investors and traders who aim to capitalize on the rising value of gold in global markets. Often considered a "safe haven" asset, gold tends to attract significant attention during times of economic uncertainty, inflation, and market volatility. A bullish approach to gold trading generally involves betting on its price increase through a variety of strategies, from spot trading and futures to gold ETFs and mining stocks.
One of the primary appeals of a bullish gold strategy is its potential to hedge against inflation. As fiat currencies lose purchasing power, gold's intrinsic value often holds steady or rises, making it an ideal asset to protect wealth. Furthermore, global demand for gold remains robust, with central banks, jewelers, and technology sectors consistently creating a strong foundation for its long-term appreciation.
In terms of trading, bullish positions in gold can be profitable, especially when paired with technical analysis and macroeconomic indicators. Many traders look for signs of economic instability, like geopolitical tensions or declining interest rates, as signals to enter bullish gold trades. In such conditions, spot prices often surge, rewarding those with bullish positions.
However, gold trading also requires caution, as the market can experience pullbacks due to profit-taking or shifts in monetary policy. Moreover, gold’s movements can sometimes be sluggish compared to other assets, so timing is essential to maximize gains. Risk management strategies, such as stop-loss orders, are essential in volatile markets to safeguard profits.
Overall, gold bullish trading is a reliable way to diversify a portfolio and hedge against economic downturns. With the right market insights and risk management, traders can benefit from this timeless asset’s long-standing value and stability.
XAUUSD TRADED IDEAHi all
There are two movements, buy and sell. If the price respects the trendline, it is likely that the price will continue to drop to TP 1. However, if there is a breakout at the trendline and it makes a new high, it is likely that the price will change direction to a buy and target an all-new time high of 2874
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
Sensex Support and Resistance Levels for 6th Nov 2024I’ve created a chart highlighting the key support and resistance levels for #Sensex, designed to help traders make informed decisions.
These levels provide critical insights for understanding potential price movements, enabling traders to identify ideal entry and exit points.
Use these levels to gain a clearer perspective on Sensex trends and optimize your trades with greater confidence.
Remember, these levels serve as guidance, so always combine them with your own analysis and risk management.