“Nasdaq Continues Its Uptrend”Expectations that the Fed will implement a 25 basis point interest rate cut next week are being maintained. This situation is perceived positively for the indices. By the end of the year, a total rate cut of 100 basis points is almost certain. The CPI and PPI data suggest that the Fed might not need to cut rates as aggressively as the market had anticipated.
Technically, if the resistance level at 19,500 is permanently surpassed, the rise could gain momentum towards the 19,700 and then 19,950 resistance levels. On the downside, if the index falls below the 19,100 level, a pullback towards the support levels at 18,800 and then 18,450 might be seen.
Supportandresistancezones
USDJPY / BREAKING THE CHANNEL - 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
After breaking the channel, prices are attempting to reach the support level at 138.810.
As long as they stabilize below 142.231, a decline is expected to reach 138.810, and further below that, 137.306. This downward momentum is contingent on maintaining resistance below 142.231.
However, if 142.231 is breached, it could signal a potential rise toward the next resistance level at 144.401. Breaking this level would suggest bullish momentum, and for a stronger confirmation of an upward trend, prices need to sustain themselves above 144.401, eventually targeting the 147.401 level.
TURNING LEVEL : 142.231
XAUUSD / REACHED NEW HISTORICAL PEAKS - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
as mentioned in the last chart stabilizing above 2,526$ rising and reach historical peak , reached + 240 pip profit .
Currently, prices are trading above $2,531. As long as they remain above this level, an upward movement is expected towards $2,560 and $2,570. This rise is likely to continue as long as prices trade above $2,526 and $2,519.
However, if the price breaks below $2,519, a decline is anticipated, with the first target being $2,507, followed by $2,491.
TURNING LEVEL : 2,519$
Intel - (Much) Lower from here!NASDAQ:INTC is about to create such a massive higher timeframe candle - a drop is immanent!
Within one month, a setup played out and we are back to beginning. During the past 30 days, Intel rejected the support towards the upside with a move of +25% and immediately reversed the entire move. The monthly candle will close so bearish, I do expect a break below the current short term support, followed by a retest of the multi-year long support area.
Levels to watch: $30, $26
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
USOIL / TRADING SENSITIVE AREA - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
In the last chart as mentioned rising and reached +100 pip profit.
Currently, prices are trading above 68.74. As long as they remain and stabilize above this level, a rise toward 69.98 is expected. To confirm an uptrend, prices need to break above 69.98, potentially reaching 71.59. On the downside,
if prices stabilize below 68.74, a decline toward 65.35 is anticipated, and if they fall further below this level, they could reach 63.67.
TURNING LEVEL : 68.74
NAS100USD / UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE - 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
after breaking a turning level NAS100USD remain under bullish pressure .
After breaking a critical turning level at 19,088, the current price movement is attempting to reach the first resistance level at 19,535. If this level is surpassed, the next potential target is 19,844.
However, if the price breaks below 19,088 on a 4-hour candle, a decline toward 18,688 is anticipated. Should the price stabilize below 18,688, further downside pressure could lead to a drop towards the next support level at 18,317.
TURNING LEVEL : 19,088
ETH/USDT Trading ScenarioAs of writing, the asset is trading near the support level of $2130. This level was established following a sharp decline and an attempt at a quick recovery.
If this level is breached, further price drops are likely, with the next support level being the significant volume-based Point of Control level at $1585.25. This zone is attracting heightened attention from market participants, which may contribute to a price rebound.
A break below the $1585.25 level could be seen as a potential buying opportunity, both for speculative and long-term investment purposes.
"DAX Index Rises Ahead of ECB Meeting"In the U.S., the consumer price index increased by 0.2% in August, while the annual rise was 2.5%, aligning with forecasts. Following the drop in inflation, the likelihood of the Fed implementing a 25 basis point rate cut next week has risen to 85%. After this data release, market risk appetite increased, leading to intensified buying activity in the DAX index.
Today, there is an expectation of a 25 basis point rate cut in the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting.
Technically, on the upside if the price holds above the 18,500 resistance, buying could push the index first toward the 18,700 resistance and then to 18,900. if the 18,500 level is broken to the downside, a pullback could extend first to the 18,285 support and then to 18.075.
NOTUSD / UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE - 4HNOTUSDT / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Downward Condition:
The fact that the price is trading below the 0.008 level indicates a bearish sentiment in the market. When prices remain below this level, it suggests that sellers are in control, applying downward pressure on the , If the price continues to decline, it will likely test the 0.007 level as the next support. If that level is broken, the next target would be 0.006, reinforcing the bearish outlook. These support levels are key indicators of how low the price might drop.
Upward Condition:
If the price manages to break above 0.008 with a strong close, it would signal a shift in market momentum. A 4-hour close above this level indicates that buyers are gaining strength, potentially reversing the downward , Once 0.008 is broken, the next resistance would be at 0.009. This level needs to be breached to confirm a sustained upward move , For a full reversal of the downward trend and confirmation of an uptrend, the price would need to break above 0.009, with the next target being 0.010. This would signify buyer dominance and a stronger upward momentum.
Current Market Analysis:
The market is currently under pressure, with sellers driving prices below 0.008. However, should buyers step in and push the price back above 0.008, the market could shift upward, targeting 0.009. Until the 0.009 level is broken, the market remains in a cautious state, and sellers may still hold influence.
TURNING LEVEL : 0.008
XRPUSDT / TRADING INTO ASCENDING CHANNEL - 4H XRPUSDT / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Currently Market Analysis:
The asset is currently trading below the critical turning level of 0.54, indicating that it is under downward pressure. This suggests that bearish sentiment is dominating the market, with sellers outweighing buyers. The price is attempting to retest the turning level of 0.54 before potentially continuing its decline.
Downward Conditions:
As long as the price remains below the 0.54 level, it is likely to experience further declines, If the price fails to break through this resistance level, it may drop toward the next support level at 0.51. A break and stabilization below 0.51 would signal further bearish momentum, potentially pushing the price down to 0.48 , Bearish volume and weak buying interest below the 0.54 turning level would contribute to the likelihood of continued declines.
Upward Conditions:
For a potential reversal and upward movement, the price must decisively break through the 0.54 turning level, A break above 0.54 could shift market sentiment to bullish, allowing the price to rise toward 0.57, which serves as the next key resistance level , If momentum continues, the price could extend its gains toward 0.59. Positive market catalysts, strong buying volume, or bullish indicators could support this upward trajectory.
Turning Level : 0.54
XAGUSD / TRADING IN THE DOWNWARD ZONE - 4H TIME FRAMEXAGUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Market Analysis:
The market is trading below the turning level of 29.07 , and below the channel trend line at 29.38.This means the price action is currently bearish , with a downward bias , The immediate expectation is that unless the price breaks above these levels, the market could continue to decline.
Downward Conditions:
If the price remains below 29.38, it suggests that the market will continue to trend downward, Initial target for the decline: 28.10 , If 28.10 is broken, the next target would be 27.63.
The downward trend remains valid as long as the price doesn't break and stabilize above 29.38.
Upward Conditions:
If the price breaks and stabilizes above 29.38, this would indicate the beginning of a bullish reversal , The first upward target is 29.82 , If 29.82 is broken, the market could aim for the next target at 30.51 , This upward movement would only be valid if the price successfully breaches the channel trend resistance and holds above it.
UPWARD TARGET :
29.82 , 30.51.
DOWNWARD TARGET :
28.10 , 27.63.
XAUUSD / UNDER CPI PRESSURE - 4HXAUUSD - 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
USDJPY , is currently trading below the supply zone between 2,519$ and 2,526$ and remains below the resistance trendline, indicating downward momentum. There are two potential scenarios:
First Scenario (CPI Higher than Expected)
If the CPI reading comes in higher than expected, this typically indicates stronger inflation. In response, the market may anticipate the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, like raising interest rates. Higher rates strengthen the U.S. dollar and increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold , A higher CPI reading would be perceived as , In this case, gold could drop to 2,507$ , and potentially further down to 2,491$ , After this, stabilization is expected below this range, possibly reaching 2,472$ .
Second Scenario (CPI Lower than Expected)
If the CPI reading is lower than expected, it suggests that inflation is easing. This could lead to expectations that the Federal Reserve will pause or slow rate hikes, which could weaken the U.S. dollar and benefit gold, A lower CPI reading would be , The price could rise to 2,526$ , then 2,531$ , Above these levels, gold might reach a new historical peak at 2,551$.
UPWARD TARGET :
2,526$ , 2,531$ , 2,551$.
DOWNWARD TARGET :
2,507$ , 2,491$ , 2,472$.
USDJPY / TRADING BELOW RESISTANCE TRENDLINE - 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
USDJPY , is currently trading below the turning level of 145.446 and remains below the resistance trendline, indicating downward momentum. There are two potential scenarios:
The first scenario, Current price is trading below the resistance trend line at 145.446, If the price remains below this level, it is expected to decline , Target levels for this decline are 142.226 and, potentially, 140.745.
The second scenario , If the price breaks above the resistance trend line at 145.446 and stabilizes above it , It suggests a potential increase , Target levels for the increase are 147.516 and, potentially, 149.310.
UPWARD LEVEL : 147.516 , 149.310.
DOWNWARD LEVEL : 142.226 , 140 .745.
NAS100USD / TRADING INTO SENSITIVE AREA - 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Market Analysis:
The current price is trading within a sensitive range, specifically between the support level at 18,688 and the resistance level at 19,088. The direction of future price movements will largely depend on a breakout on either side of this range.
- Downward Condition:
If the price breaks below 18,688 and stabilizes beneath this level, it may signal a potential decline. In this case, the price could drop to test the next support levels at 18,317 and 17,876.
-Upward Condition:
Conversely, if the price breaks above 19,088 and stabilizes above this resistance, it may indicate a bullish move. The price could then rise towards 19,535, and if momentum continues, it may further ascend to 19,844.
Upward Target :
19,535 , 19,844.
Downward Target :
18,317 , 17,876.
USOIL / TRADING ABOVE SUPPORT LEVEL - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The First Scenario , The support level at 65.35 acts as a critical threshold; as long as prices remain above it, buyers dominate, pushing the price towards 68.74 and then 69.98. This rise reflects increased confidence in an uptrend. For the trend to be fully confirmed, prices must stabilize above 69.98, signaling sustained momentum, which could lead to a further increase to 71.59.
The Second Scenario , if the price breaks below 65.35 and stabilizes, it indicates a shift in market sentiment, with sellers gaining control and potentially driving the price down to 63.35, followed by 62.65 This technical analysis underscores the importance of price levels in predicting future market movements and investor behavior.
UPWARD TARGET :
68.74 , 69.98 , 71.59 .
DOWNWARD TARGET :
63.35 , 62.65 .
Silver is Rising!With the weakening of the U.S. labor market, expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed remain intact. In this context, U.S. 10-year Treasury yields have turned downward. The dollar's depreciation in yesterday's session led to a recovery in commodities, supporting a rebound in silver prices from the 27.75 level. The inflation data to be released today will provide further clues regarding the extent of the Fed's interest rate cuts.
From a technical perspective, if prices hold above the 28.90 resistance level, a rise to 30.0 and then to 30.80 could occur. On the downside, if the price falls below the 27.75 support level, it could decline to 26.75 and then to 25.70.
NAS100USD / TRADING BELOW TURNING LEVEL - 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
NAS100USD is currently trading below the turning level of 19,088 , indicating downward momentum. There are two potential scenarios:
The First Scenario, the asset is trading below the turning level of 19,088, it indicates a bearish sentiment .The immediate support level is at 18,317. If the price breaks this support, the next support level is 17,876,The price staying below 19,088 suggests a continuation of the downward trend. Support levels at 18,317 and 17,876 provide potential targets where the price could find buying interest or further decline.
The Second Scenario, For an upward movement, the asset needs to break above the turning level of 19,088 and stabilize above it , If the asset closes a 1-hour candle above 19,088, it could move towards 19,535, and possibly reach 19,844,Breaking and stabilizing above 19,088 indicates a shift in sentiment from bearish to bullish. The price targets of 19,535 and 19,844 are based on potential resistance levels or previous highs that could attract further buying.
XAUUSD / STILL CONTINUES A DOWNTREND - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
overall , prices under downward pressure , until trading below 2,507$ , yesterday prices rising to reach turning level , currently trading below it , have two scenario .
The first scenario, where gold prices remain below2,507$, suggests a downtrend because this level is acting as resistance. If prices continue to struggle below this threshold, it increases the likelihood of further declines toward the support levels at 2,491$ and 2,472$. Breaking and stabilizing below the supply zone between 2,472$ and 2,459$ would confirm a bearish trend, as it indicates that sellers are overpowering buyers, driving prices down.
In the second scenario, if the price closes a 4-hour candle above 2,507$, it signals bullish momentum. This would likely push prices to test the next resistance levels at2,519$ and 2,531$. Additionally, if the price stabilizes above 2,526$, it would suggest a breakout from the current range, potentially driving prices to new historical peaks around 2,551$. This is because breaking through key resistance often signals strong buyer interest, pushing prices higher.
KEY LEVELS :
Turning Level : 2,507$.
Resistance Levels : 2,519$ , 2,526$ , 2,531$.
Support Levels : 2,491$ , 2,472$ , 2,459$.
USOIL / UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
USOIL is currently trading above the turning level of 67.09 and remains above the support trendline, indicating upward momentum. There are two potential scenarios:
The First Scenario , USOIL's trading above 67.09 and staying above the support trendline signals strong buying interest, which suggests upward pressure. The target of 69.98 is a logical resistance level, followed by 71.59, which marks the next significant zone. Stabilization above 71.59 and 72.20 would confirm the strength of the uptrend, as breaking these levels would show that demand is outpacing supply, leading to further price gains.
The Second Scenario , If USOIL fails to maintain the 67.09 level and closes below it on a 1-hour or 4-hour chart, it indicates bearish momentum. This would increase the likelihood of a decline toward 65.35 and 63.67, the next significant support levels. A break below 65.35 could trigger a stronger downtrend as it would suggest sellers are gaining control, particularly if the price falls below the descending channel, reinforcing the bearish sentiment.
KEY LEVELS :
Turning Level : 67.09.
Resistance Levels : 69.98 , 71.59.
Support Levels : 65.35 , 63.67.
DAX Index Recovers Its Losses!Following the release of the U.S. non-farm payroll report, which came in below expectations, market risk appetite weakened. The DAX index also accelerated its decline, targeting the 18,257 support level. Expectations for a Fed rate cut have strengthened to 50 basis points, while the ECB is expected to lower rates by 25 basis points at its meeting this week.
Technically, if the 18,285 level is broken on the downside, a pullback could extend first to the 18,075 support and then to 17,920. On the upside, if the price holds above the 18,500 resistance, buying could push the index first towards the 18,700 resistance and then to 18,900.