“Nasdaq's Target is 19,500”Today, there is an expectation of a 25 basis point rate cut in the Fed meeting. By the end of the year, a total rate cut of 100 basis points is almost certain. This situation leads to a positive risk appetite being effective on the indices. On the U.S. side, retail sales increased by 0.1%. Meanwhile, industrial production in the U.S. pointed to a positivity exceeding expectations with a 0.8% rise.
Technically, if the resistance level at 19,500 is permanently surpassed, the rise could gain momentum towards the 19,700 and then 19,950 resistance levels. On the downside, if the index falls below the 19,100 level, a pullback towards the support levels at 18,800 and then 18,450 might be seen.
Supportandresistancezones
Brent oil trend moving down or up?Amid supply concerns in the markets, oil prices, which had dropped to the $69.30 level, saw a notable rebound. The American Petroleum Institute reported a 1.9 million barrel increase in weekly crude oil inventories, while a slight decrease is expected in the official crude oil inventories to be announced in the U.S. today. In the U.S., strong expectations remain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points today. Therefore, despite the positive risk appetite, Brent oil prices have continued to trade with a bearish trend below the $73.00 level.
Technically, if the 72.35 support level is broken, further declines toward 71.50 and 69.30 are possible. On the upside, if the 73.0 resistance is surpassed, buying momentum could accelerate toward the 74.30 and 75.50 resistance levels.
USOIL / UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
overall trading above 67.59 , expected under upward pressure .
Currently, prices are holding above the crucial support level of 67.59. As long as they maintain this position, an upward move towards the next resistance levels of 69.98 and 71.59 is likely. The 71.59 level is particularly important, as breaking through it would serve as confirmation of a sustained uptrend, potentially driving prices higher to test the 74.24 resistance zone.
However, if prices fail to hold above the 67.59 support level, it would indicate a shift in momentum, initiating a bearish phase. In such a case, the first target on the downside would be 65.35, with further declines possibly extending to the 63.67 region. This level would serve as a critical area for buyers to step in, and if breached, could signal a deeper correction.
UPWARD TARGET : 69.98 , 71.59 , 74.24.
DOWNWARD TARGET : 65.35 , 63.67.
Sell GBPCHF UK CPIThe GBP/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.1136, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.1080
2nd Support – 1.1040
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.1190. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
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A+ Trade Set ups All From Respecting Simple Levels! We identify high-quality trade opportunities by focusing on key support and resistance levels. By respecting these fundamental price points, traders can enhance their decision-making process. Support levels act as a floor where buying interest tends to emerge, while resistance levels serve as a ceiling where selling pressure usually mounts. Recognizing and adhering to these simple levels helps traders pinpoint entry and exit points more effectively, increasing the probability of successful trades and improving overall trading performance.
AMEX:SPY
BITCOIN / UNDER TURNING LEVEL AT 60,895 - 4HBITCOIN / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
overall trading below 60,895 , it indicates prices of bitcoin under downward pressure.
Currently, prices are rising, approaching a critical turning point at 60,895. As long as trading remains below this level and stabilizes underneath it, a decline is expected, potentially reaching the support level at 57,827, and further down to 55,916.
However, by breaking through this level and closing a 4-hour candle above it, prices could rise toward 63,611. To confirm an uptrend, prices need to remain above this level, which would suggest a continuation toward 66,527.
UPWARD TARGET : 633,611 , 66,525.
DOWNWARD TARGET : 57,827 , 55,916.
Sell EURCHF Triangle BreakoutThe EUR/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 0.9395
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.9353
2nd Support – 0.9324
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.9412. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
gold 2590 vs 50bps cutgold price were range bound in $60 price area but suddenly it breakout on wsj and ft news article on 50bps first cut size possibility.
after years of ZIRP and QE big size cut can spark second inflation wave risk
since usa economy has not reached into deflation like china
this year alone fed has ignored second inflation wave risk two times
first in march by saying January effect and inflation bump and second times in Jackson hole speech
if fed start cutting rate while ignoring second inflation wave risk is the reason gold breakout the range and trading near $2590
on this h4 time frame - there are two support
yellow line dynamic support
$2530 static horizontal support
if final message of speech stay dovish than gold will stay above $2590
if hawkish then price will retrace back to $2530
USDJPY - BREAKING STRAIGHT CHANNEL - 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
overall , under downward pressure , until trading below straight channel
Currently, prices are trading below the straight trend channel, indicating downward pressure. As long as prices remain below this channel, a decline is expected, potentially reaching 138.810. If prices fall further, they may approach 137.306.
Conversely, if prices break above the 142.232 level, it could signal a reversal in trend, leading to a rise. In this scenario, prices might reach 144.401 and, if the upward momentum continues, could potentially rise to 147.179.
UPWARD TARGET : 144.401 , 147.179.
DOWNWARD TARGET : 138.810 , 137.306.
EURUSD - TRADING TO REACH RESISTANCE TRENDLINE - 4HEURUSD - 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , trading under bullish pressure .
Currently, prices are trading above the 1.102 level. As long as the price remains above this threshold and shows signs of stabilization, it is expected to rise further, potentially reaching 1.110 and then 1.113. Should the price surpass 1.113, there could be additional gains, with the possibility of reaching as high as 1.117.
Conversely, if the price falls below 1.102, it may indicate a downward trend. In this scenario, a decline to 1.099 is likely, with the potential for a further drop to 1.094 if the bearish momentum continues.
UPWARD TARGET :1.110 , 1.113 , 1.117.
DOWNWARD TARGET : 1.099 , 1.094.
XAUUSD / TRADING BELOW RESISRTANCE TRENDLINEXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
overall trading under downward pressure , until trading ATH prices below 2,589$ .
Prices remain under bearish pressure as long as they are trading below the all-time high (ATH) of $2,589. Sustained trading beneath this critical resistance level indicates a continued downward trend, with an expected decline first targeting $2,570. If the price breaks below this level, the next support could be found at $2,551.
However, should the price break above the $2,589 resistance level, confirmed by a 4-hour candle close above this threshold, a bullish reversal is likely. In this scenario, the price may rise to test $2,600 as the next resistance level. Further upside potential could push prices higher, possibly reaching $2,620 if buying momentum strengthens.
UPWARD TARGET : 2,600$ , 2,620$.
DOWNWARD TARGET : 2,570$ , 2,551$.
GOLD Will Remain Bullish Tomorrow As Well 100%!Hello traders,
GOLD is expected to experience a very minor correction, presenting a buying opportunity.
NO BEARISH OPPORTUNITY!
Bullish Opportunities:
We are anticipating two possible scenarios for gold prices;
Scenario 1: Gold may experience a minor downturn to the $2576-$2573 range, where we will seek confirmation and consider entering a long position.
Scenario 2: Alternatively, gold prices may extend their decline to the $2568-$2565 range. While this scenario has a lower probability due to the current buying momentum, it still presents a potential buying opportunity
Shall We See a Drop From Here before the bull trend continues?We don't have to Know What will Happen next to make money.
We have seen some big moves from last week, such as breaking the 2531 level and creating a new All-time High. With some major economic News in the pipeline, this week will be another one with high volatility. Let's see how Price action rolls out this week.
Note: (1) If the price breaks above 2585, we shall continue to ride the Bull trend.
(2) If we see a bearish Price action we shall join bears in their short-term drop to key support levels.
(3) Buying the dip shall be our long-term approach to keep riding with the Bulls.
TSLA / UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE - 4HTSLA / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Currently, prices are trading below the turning level at 250, which indicates a potential for downward pressure.
If prices remain below 250, it suggests a potential decline towards 214. Should prices stabilize below this level, further declines towards 194 could be expected.
However, if prices break above 250, confirmed by a 1D or 4H candle close, the market may shift to an upward momentum, potentially reaching 264 and 277. Breaking the channel at these levels would indicate the activation of an upward trend zone.
Turning Level : 250
XAGUSD / BREAKING DESCENDING CHANNEL - 4HXAGUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
overall , under downward pressure as long as trading below supply zone .
as long as remain below supply zone between 31.01 and 31.41 , it suggest decline to reach 30.57 , then breaking and stabilizing below it by open 4h candle expected further decline to 30.09 .
however , stabilizing above 31.41 , it indicates still continues rising to reach 31.74 and 31.96 , then stabilizing above it reach a ATH at 32.50 .
Turning Level : 31.01 and 31.41
XAUUSD / TRADING BELOW 2,572$ (ATH) - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
gold under bearish pressure if stabilizing below 2,570$ but breaking this level reach a new resistance zone between 2,580$ and 2,592$.
As long as the price remains and stabilizes below $2,570, it suggests a potential decline, with the first target being $2,551. If the price falls below this level, further downside movement could lead to a drop toward $2,531.
However, if the price breaks above the $2,570 resistance, it may initiate an upward movement, aiming for a new resistance zone between $2,580 and $2,592. This zone will act as a potential barrier to further upward momentum.
Turning Level : 2,570$
GBPUSD / TRADING BELOW SUPPLY ZONE - 4HGBPUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
currently prices trading below supply zone , it suggest under downward pressure.
If the price remains under 1.319, it is likely to decrease to around 1.304, with a further potential drop to 1.293. For the price to increase and reach new historical highs.
it must break through the supply zone and surpass the all-time high of 1.326. Achieving this would enable the price to rise to 1.333 and possibly even to 1.340.
Turning Level : 1.319
GBPJPY / TRADING UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE - 4HGBPJPY / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Market Analysis:
Trading below the turning level at 188.478 and within a descending channel, indicating a bearish trend.
Downward Conditions:
As long as the price remains below 188.478, the trend suggests a potential decline , If the price continues to trade below 188.478, it may decline towards support levels at 183.218 and 180.212.
Upward Conditions:
A 4-hour candle close above 188.478 would signal a potential shift in momentum , If the price breaks above 188.478 and stabilizes, it could rise towards 191.993 and, further, to 196.534.
TURNING LEVEL : 188.478
EURUSD / UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE - 4HEURUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
EURUSD is currently trading above the turning level of 1.099 and remains above the support trendline, indicating upward momentum. There are two potential scenarios:
The First Scenario , Since the price is trading above the turning level 1.099, it suggests an initial bullish sentiment , If the price rises and reaches the resistance level at 1.107, it indicates that the upward momentum is strong. A price movement above this level suggests further bullish potential , If the price stabilizes above 1.107 and continues rising, reaching 1.110 would confirm a sustained uptrend, as the market would have shown resilience and strength above previous resistance.
The Second Scenario , If the price falls below 1.099 and closes a 4-hour candle below it, this indicates a bearish shift as the price has broken through a support level , A decline to the support level at 1.094 would be a further bearish signal, For a confirmed downtrend, the price needs to break through the established channel and stabilize below it. This would indicate that the bearish trend is likely to continue, as the price has not only broken support but also failed to recover.
UPWARD LEVEL : 1.107 , 1.110 .
DOWNWARD LEVEL : 1.094 .
USOIL / UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
currently prices trading above turning level at 78.74 , overall under bullish pressure.
In order for the price to reach 71.59, it first needs to establish a period of stabilization above two critical levels: 68.74 and 69.98. These levels act as key support zones, signaling strength in the market if maintained. Once stability is confirmed above 69.98, upward momentum is expected to build, pushing the price toward 71.59. If this bullish trend continues, the price may extend further, reaching the next target at 74.24.
However, if the price fails to hold above 68.74, it indicates weakening bullish momentum, and the market may shift towards a downtrend. In this scenario, breaking the turning level at 68.74 could trigger a decline toward 65.35. A more pronounced drop could push the price even lower if this support level is breached.
TURNING LEVEL : 68.74