stuck in the middle breakout or breakdown?
FX:HKG33
Hi ya everyone here's to a week filled with optimistic, progress and hapiness - may the market treat us well!
As you can see from previous post ; last week 1h chart that the MACD & KDJ movement that gave us some insights testing the support level. It has climbing up steadily. quite handsome!
It didnt breakdown to 19753 level and staying above 20240 level.
Last Friday HSI closed at 20804.11 (+725.01; +3.61%) ; however it still record a down 447.87 ; -2.11% for the week.
As mentioned, a healthy pullbackis just the market catching its breath before the next big climb!
This D chart showing the momentum has turn weak the MACD had a dead cross and the KDJ is at weak zone too.
For today, we are looking at 20700, if it holds above this level then it could break 20900 and next resistance at 21395.
May trade within the range of 20400 - 20600.
For this week, the key support level at 20400 (the 52MA).
Note : the last high was Jan'23 (closed at 22635); the recent high (closed at 23119) early this month Oct'24.
Happy trading everyone!
My take:- For today I'll watch and wait for a better entry point to avoid my previous mistake enter the party too early. No action is an action.
while waiting let's zenning with 📙🍵
Supportandresistancezones
SWING IDEA - XCHANGINGNSE:XCHANGING has been rallying since the last few months. Currently it is at a S/R zone of 128. We have to wait a couple of weeks to see if this will turn out to be a Support Zone or a Resistance zone.
If it turns out to be a good Support Zone, we also have a MACD crossover incoming and once the crossover completes, it can rally up the stock at least till its Swing High Levels.
Another point to note is while the Lower Low Pattern on Price Action and Higher High Pattern started forming in the April of last year, this is only the next MACD crossover we are going to see after that.
SWING IDEA - ASIANTILESNSE:ASIANTILES seems to be breaking out from its S/R zone at the 90s level. Watch how the same S/R zone played a crucial role right from April 2020 all the way through April 2022.
NSE:ASIANTILES is revisiting the same levels again after more than 2 years later and also with good volumes and a big green candle as well.
Price Action and Moving Averages also gave a good Convergence Divergence signal back in mid of 2023.
As long NSE:ASIANTILES maintains its weekly closing above this level, it should easily be able to revisit its Swing High levels soon.
Stock looks very bullish over the long run especially.
SWING IDEA - TV18BRDCSTNSE:TV18BRDCST is looking good currently on the weekly charts. The stock is currently trying to break out of the Support/Resistance zone of 48. Weekly closings above this levels could take the stock further upward.
MACD also made a cross nearly after the Convergence Divergence that has occurred in March 23.
Technically stock is showing some good hopes and can try to revisit its Swing High levels again.
If market conditions favor, this trade could get completed sooner than expected.
GBPJPY outlookAs we have seen last week the British pound vs Japanese Yen pair was in consolidation phase now in current week we are expecting a bullish move on the pair the reason why is the pair is in bullish trend in H1 in other confluences it has formed a Bullish flag to extent it can consolidate here and can fly also the confluence is the pair has completed its manipulation phase and now could distribute after a liquidity grab
GBPCAD is at its highest level since 2020. Time to sell?The GBPCAD is currently at a crucial resistance level of 1.8000, marking the highest point since 2020. The formation of a double top on the daily chart reinforces the notion of a potential bearish trend reversal. This reversal pattern indicates that the market is testing its ability to sustain prices above this resistance, yet has struggled to produce new consecutive highs, suggesting signs of buyer exhaustion.
Furthermore, the emergence of a pin bar on 15 October highlights a clear rejection of prices above 1.8000, illustrating that the market has rejected attempts to breach this resistance and swiftly retreated to lower levels. The pin bar is recognised as a reversal candle with significant bearish implications, indicating profound selling pressure. When this pattern occurs at important resistance zones, as seen in this case, it increases the probability of a downward movement.
Key Technical Indicators:
Price at its highest level since 2020 at 1.8000.
Formation of a double top on the daily chart.
Classic bearish divergence on the daily chart.
Formation of a pin bar indicating rejection of buying strength.
Potential for Downward Movement
Considering the above elements, a selling strategy could be justified if the price successfully breaks below the support level of 1.7920. This support level would serve as a trigger for confirming the anticipated downward movement. A breach of this level would indicate a loss of buying strength, paving the way for a sell-off towards lower support levels, such as 1.7750 and 1.7550.
Alert for Traders
In conclusion, the current market conditions and technical patterns suggest a bearish reversal may be on the horizon for GBPCAD. Traders should keep a close eye on the key support level of 1.7920, as a break below this point may present a valuable selling opportunity in the market.
Disclaimer:
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Gold reached all-time high and hit weekly targetHello traders,
As you can see gold reached all time high time record.And reached the weekly target as anticipated, so the analysis went to our favor and gave us a Great trade. After gold broke the fourr hour level, it Made a break and a retest and made a rebound on the one hour time frame at exactly 2673 The bullish momentum took place againand buyers.Took control of the market and pushed gold higher and higher until reached the weekly target.
After this long run making a tree leg extension as you can see on the chart, there is a high probability that the market will reverse.And we might see a huge sell off of gold in order to breathe until.Buyers and bullish momentum comes back again and takes the gold market higher again because this is very normal. After a long run being bulish or bearish.There should always be a big.Correction. Remember.After every long run there is a steep pullback and that's what we gonna see in the coming days. So guys.Be prepared for selling gold, but not this week, probably next week or the following week.
EURUSD sellEur vs Us dollar we expecting a pull back to Daily Resistance trendline and as we are putting our idea EUR vs US dollar having a bull run over to its trendline we are expecting a rejection from there and a Drop to its Support under lying Suppot level remember its a Bearish trend and following its technical data
Dollar index LongYesterday everything was unexpected to some extent we will expecting gold to be bearish to its new previous all time high but the asain session rocked and Gold has gained new highs
Now taking turn towards Dollar index we are expecting a Bullish move in DXY to its global resistance price can Retest its previous Resistance became Support confluence is geopolitics and 50SMA and Resistance under american elections are also the big reason so we are bullish over dollar index and other co-relations will be bearish
Buy GBP/NZD BreakoutThe GBP/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 2.1480
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 2.1600
2nd Resistance – 2.1675
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2.1385. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Gold OutlookFor tomorrow gold we have a different prespective over gold as lastly we had a rally upwards with good profit margins to bullish trend now as we have seen a New ATH and now we are expecting a Bearish move from New ATH (all time high) to Previous ATH, here one thing i want to mention is we are still bullish over gold from Monthly to weekly to daily to H4 to H1 and we expect a bull run in next week
Bullish Butterfly EURUSD DailyLooks like EURUSD is forming a Bullish Butterfly pattern as the Dollar strengthens across most pairs. I'm looking for the pair to continue decline into support around 1.0575-1.0675, consolidate and possibly dead cat bounce before proceeding towards the 1.05 range. I'm also looking for the 14-period RSI to enter oversold territory during this time, which I project may go through the end of November.
I'm currently already short, having racked up ~300 pips. My current stop loss is about 150 pips trailing.
EUR-USDThis EUR/USD chart shows a recent decline after reaching a resistance level around 1.12137, forming a double-top pattern that suggests a trend reversal. The price has since dropped sharply and is approaching a significant "Order Blocker" zone between 1.07515 and 1.08022, where institutional buying may occur.
If the price holds in this area, a potential bounce toward the 50% retracement level near 1.1000 could happen, indicating a bullish correction. However, if the price breaks below this zone, further bearish momentum could push it toward the next support at 1.0715.
In summary, the market is currently bearish, but the reaction at the "Order Blocker" will determine whether a reversal or further decline is likely. Traders should monitor this key zone closely.
Sell ETH/USDT Channel BreakoutThe ETH/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 2620, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2488
2nd Support – 2410
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2700. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Nike - Catch this reversal!NYSE:NKE continues its overall uptrend despite the recent drop of -60% to the downside.
All you need in order to catch the reversal of the decade is simply one line: a support trendline. Nike is currently approaching a support trendline, which has been sending prices higher for the past 30 years. Just this fact alone makes me believe that we will see (much) higher prices on Nike over the next couple of weeks and months, but we still need bullish confirmation first!
Levels to watch: $70
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Technical Analysis of Digital Turbine (APPS)Looking at the stock's (APPS) historical performance, we can see a long lateral phase that lasted about 10 years. It broke out of this sideways trend with a strong bullish rally, reaching a peak of around $100. After that, the uptrend ended, and a downward phase began, following the formation of a Double Top technical pattern.
The downtrend appears to have stopped near a support zone.
When zooming in with a lower timeframe, we notice that the downtrend halted around this area. The stock broke a descending trendline and formed a bullish Head and Shoulders pattern. The neckline was broken with strength, accompanied by a substantial increase in volume, coinciding with the release of earnings and revenue reports.
After the strong rally, the stock retraced and is now sitting at the Point of Control (POC) of a key volume area, which considers the entire history of the stock.
Bullish Scenario
The stock seems to be in a rebound phase after touching the POC. A continued upward movement could target the $7 area, which aligns with another significant volume area.
Bearish Scenario
If the POC area fails to hold, one could consider entering at the $1 level, which corresponds to a support area.
Note of Caution: The stock has experienced a massive loss over three years, dropping from $100 to around $1.50. Therefore, it’s crucial to proceed with caution when evaluating this stock.
Along position on XAUUSD on the 15mn chartAs you can see from the chart.I'm on a long position on goal.4X.I'm setting setting My target at 2689.In making my my.Stop loss.My stop loss at At 2662 and.Sitting on my hands and.I I saw, I saw that, I saw that the market started correcting and making a move downward, but that was just a correction. That's a normal.A normal.Process in the market.Whenever there is a move upward or downward, the market should have some kind of rest and then.Retain its original direction. Here we are having a move upward and we're waiting to reach our target.You have to be patient and sit on your hands, do not panic after making your setups and everything, uh, do not try to close your position earlier so that you miss the opportunity to make money on the market.So let's wait and see what's gonna happen. There is a high probability that the market is going to hit our target. Once it hits the target, we might see some reversal.To the downside because.The goal has reached all time high record and there will be probably a move downward and if you want to take another trade, a short trade, you may take that. But.Make your target.To the next level, then you can see on a chart.All right, go log everyone and let's make money together.
MANYAVAR: Analyzing Potential Bullish Reversal, Festive DemandNSE:MANYAVAR : Analyzing Potential Bullish Reversal Amidst Festive Demand Surge
Current Price: ₹1337
Date: 16 October 2024
In the dynamic landscape of the retail market, MANYAVAR is currently navigating a pivotal phase, with signs indicating a possible bullish turnaround. As the festive season unfolds, characterized by heightened consumer activity due to significant celebrations like Karwa Chauth and Diwali, this analysis provides a comprehensive outlook on key support and resistance levels that could influence trading strategies.
Key Technical Levels:
Support Levels:
₹1305: A significant psychological support level. A decisive move below this could trigger bearish sentiment and signal increased selling pressure.
₹1316: This level serves as a secondary support. Maintaining prices above this threshold is vital for sustaining bullish momentum.
₹1336: Currently serving as immediate support, this level is crucial for determining short-term price action and trader sentiment.
Resistance Levels:
₹1346: The first major resistance level. A breakout above this price point could catalyze bullish sentiment and attract momentum traders.
₹1357: An additional resistance zone. Close monitoring of price reactions here will be essential to confirm a potential uptrend.
₹1376: Further up the chart, this level is critical for the validation of sustained bullish momentum.
₹1427, ₹1466, ₹1496: Long-term resistance levels that, if breached, could signify a strong bullish phase and draw in significant institutional interest.
Breakout Zone:
The pivotal breakout zone lies between ₹1346 and ₹1357. A robust close above ₹1357 may set off a chain reaction of buying activity, propelling the stock towards higher resistance levels and potentially unlocking significant upside.
Market Sentiment and Context:
The approach of the festive season presents a unique opportunity for retail stocks, particularly in the ethnic wear segment. With consumer spending historically surging during this period, demand for jewelry and traditional attire is expected to increase. This favorable market environment positions MANYAVAR well to capitalize on the seasonal uptick in consumer behavior.
Strategic Outlook:
Given the current price action and the backdrop of impending festive demand, traders should closely observe key support and resistance levels to refine entry and exit strategies. A careful assessment of price movements around these thresholds will be critical for identifying potential bullish opportunities.
Conclusion:
MANYAVAR stands at a crucial crossroads that may lead to a bullish reversal, particularly as market conditions favor increased retail activity during the festive season. By monitoring key technical levels and market sentiment, traders can position themselves effectively to leverage potential price movements.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI Registered Research Analyst (RA). This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Gold OutlookAs i told in my previous anylisis gold will break its Resistance level and after a retest it will retouch its previous ATH, so exactly gold has broken its Resistance level above, and going to test it 💪, if price sustains over the Resistance and Resistance becomes Support , it will be a potential buy another confluence for being Bullish is we have observed a 1H Bullish morobozou Momentum candle,
and price is above its high which is not yet broken , if price Hits its low (not high) then we will be thinking 🤔 about being bearish, another confluence is 50 SMA which also tells us price is in buy Mode on Monthly to weekly to daily to H4 to H1 timeframe, so after seeing these many confluences we will remain bullish on Gold until next move to either side
Sell EUR/CHF BreakoutThe EUR/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Wedge Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 0.9385
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.9350
2nd Support – 0.9330
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.9410. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.