BTC/USD ANALYSIS BY DAVID JOSH BTC/USD H4 CHART ANALYSIS
The BTC/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe suggests a potential reversal pattern amid recent volatility. After reaching a peak near $109,551, Bitcoin has faced downward pressure, testing key support levels around $92,633. This reflects a corrective move following its upward trajectory.
Fundamentally , the market is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as regulatory news and institutional investment trends in cryptocurrency. Market sentiment remains cautious with traders closely monitoring global economic cues.
Key Levels:
Resistance: Around $104,339
Support: Critical at $92,633
Trading Strategy
Traders might consider buying opportunities if the price breaks above resistance at $101,158 with strong volume. Conversely, a break below current support could signal further downside risk to the lower support level.
Risk management is crucial given Bitcoin's inherent volatility. Monitoring fundamental indicators alongside technical signals can help navigate this dynamic market environment effectively.
Support and Resistance
EURUSD Trade Setup1. Time Frame:
- Daily: FVG Identification
- H4: FVG Identification
- H1: Entry Signal
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
On the H4 chart noted a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 1.0380 - 1.0466
On the Daily chart also note FVG between 1.0422- 1.0480
3. Trend Confirmation:
Price has break support at 1.0453 with massive net sell volume.
Price has rise back to Daily & H4 FVG area.
4. Position:
Entry: 1.0430
Stop Loss : 1.0480
Take Profit: 1.0345 & 1.0240 (fibo 161.8 & previous low)
RRR : 1:1.7x - 1:3.8x
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Disclaimer
The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
USDJPY: Is It Time to Intervene in the FX Market? As noted in the previous analysis, the pair saw an upward movement and reached the 158 supply zone. Given the current fundamental conditions, we don't view a bearish scenario for this pair as likely unless the Bank of Japan intervenes in the currency market. Otherwise, if the pair experiences a correction, a buy opportunity may arise again. The valid demand zone is around 154.
Bitcoin price is on a crossroadHello, Traders!
After reaching a new ATH at $108k, Bitcoin experienced a significant drop following Jerome Powell's speech that the Fed cannot hold Bitcoin and is not seeking to change that, which seems to have caused some uncertainty in the market. As a result, BTC price saw a steep decline, but it recently rebounded, almost touching the $100k level again.
The current focus for Bitcoin is a critical support area at around $91k. This area has held up well in recent price action, and we saw a recovery bounce from this region again. There is a strong chance that BTC could revisit this support area in the coming days, and it could provide another opportunity for a potential rebound. This support area is essential because it represents a significant price range where buyers have stepped in to defend the uptrend.
If Bitcoin does test this zone again and holds above $91k, the probability of a further upward move remains high.
In addition to the immediate price action, there’s a key factor to consider: the monthly candle close. Bitcoin needs to close the current monthly candle above $96k for the market to maintain its bullish sentiment. A green monthly close at this level would provide strong confirmation that the overall trend remains intact and that BTC is on track for further price appreciation.
The next few days are critical for determining whether BTC can sustain momentum to close the month in the green. If Bitcoin can hold above $96k by the end of the month, it would signal that the upward trend is still in play and that a continuation toward higher levels could be on the horizon.
Looking ahead to next week, there are two possible scenarios:
1. Continued Support Test: Bitcoin may dip back towards the $91k support area. If this area holds strong, it could set up another bullish reversal, targeting a move back toward the $100k area or even beyond.
2. Break Below Support: If Bitcoin fails to maintain support in the $91k area, we could see further downside, potentially testing lower levels. In this case, caution is warranted, as the next major support zone would be considerably lower.
Conclusion
The next week could be crucial for Bitcoin’s price action. A monthly candle close above $96k would reinforce the bullish outlook, but if Bitcoin fails to hold support or closes the month in red, we may see more volatility in the near term.
Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
XAUUSD M15 OUTLOOK (23/12/2024)We can see a significant drop in price, followed by consolidation and a potential retracement. The projected movement suggests a rise towards the DEC POI zone, followed by a significant drop.
This setup offers potential entry points and price targets for trading XAU/USD. Keep these levels in mind and trade wisely!
NAS100 DEC 23 -27 MARKET BREAKDOWNAnalysis Based on the Chart:
1. Bullish Context:
The overall trend is bullish, and the market has recently pulled back to a key support zone:
• The 50% Fibonacci retracement level aligns with both historical support and a daily bullish order block (OB).
• Price action respecting this level suggests a potential continuation to the upside.
2. Daily Break of Structure (BOS):
The BOS on the daily timeframe confirms a shift to bullish momentum, indicating that higher highs could be the next target.
3. Liquidity Sweep:
The sharp pullback appears to have cleared out liquidity (stop-loss clusters from retail traders) below the recent swing low. This is a common pattern before a bullish push.
4. Confluences for Entry:
• The pullback to the Fibonacci 50% level gives a high-probability entry point.
• The price has respected both dynamic support (trendline) and horizontal support at the bullish OB.
DOGE | ALTCOINS | All Time High NOT YET INDoge, together with other alts such as ETH and SOL have not yet made a new high that is justified according to the increases on BTC. After a 45% correction over 2 weeks, DOGE is likely ready for another push up.
This reminds me much of the previous cycle, where alts lagged behind until a few weeks AFTER BTC actually topped out.
Here, you can find much more detail on how to watch the BTC.D chart to call the top:
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BINANCE:DOGEUSDT CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
SQ a buy in 2025?SQ is coming out of a long phase of base building that has lasted several years and has repeatedly failed at resistance around the 90 dollar mark. The stock is now at precisely this level, which coincides with the AVWAP from the ATH. It is questionable whether the share can hold above this level or fall below it again.
SkyWater Technology, Inc. | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# SkyWater Technology, Inc.
- Double Formation
* (Neckline) At 8.00 USD
* Retracement Numbered | Subdivision 1
** 1.272))
** (1)
** ((50))
** (0)
- Triple Formation
* 12.00 USD | Area Of Value
* Pattern Recognition | Head & Shoulders | Subdivision 2
* Retracement Not Numbered | Daily Time Frame | Subdivision 3
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
KAIAUSDT - Technical Analysis and Trading Plan
Market Overview
KAIAUSDT has shown a strong bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, with signs of a potential trend reversal. The price is attempting to break the structure, and the target is set at 0.3997.
Key Observations
1. Descending Channel:
- KAIAUSDT has been trading within a descending channel for a significant period.
- A breakout above the channel will confirm bullish momentum.
2. Entry and Stop-Loss:
- Entry is identified around 0.2282, aligning with a rebound point.
- Stop-loss is placed at -5%, below the recent low, to minimize risks.
3. Take-Profit Level:
- The first target is highlighted at 0.3997, which aligns with prior resistance levels.
4. Bullish Momentum Signs:
- Price has been forming higher lows near the lower boundary of the channel, indicating potential accumulation.
Momentum and Indicators
1. Volume:
- Increased buying volume near the lower channel boundary indicates strong bullish interest.
2. Projection:
- If the price sustains above the entry level and breaks the channel, further upward momentum is expected.
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Trading Plan
1. Entry Points:
- Enter around 0.2282, as the price is showing signs of reversal.
2. Stop-Loss:
- Set a stop-loss at 5% below the entry level to manage risks effectively.
3. Profit Targets:
- Primary Target: 0.3997, as highlighted on the chart.
4. Risk Management:
- Avoid over-leveraging and risk no more than 2% of total capital on this trade.
Scenarios
1. Bullish Scenario:
- Price breaks out of the descending channel and continues toward the target of 0.3997.
2. Bearish Scenario:
- Failure to sustain above 0.2282 may lead to a retest of lower levels within the channel.
Pro Summary
KAIAUSDT is showing potential signs of a bullish reversal, supported by the channel pattern and volume analysis. Traders should monitor the breakout confirmation while aligning their trades with the defined entry, stop-loss, and target levels.
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DYOR (Do Your Own Research)
This analysis serves as an overview of potential trading strategies and market behavior but is not exhaustive. Traders are encouraged to perform additional analysis to make informed decisions.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies and other financial instruments involves risks, including capital loss. Always consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc. | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc.
- Double Formation
* (Triangle Structure) | Survey | Subdivision 1
* 12.00 USD | Area of Value
- Triple Formation
* 1)) & 0.382)) | Uptrend Bias
* ((50)) & (1) Retracement | Survey | Subdivision 2
* Daily Time Frame | Entry Settings | Subdivision 3
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
Potential outside week and bullish potential for PBHEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:PBH above the level of the potential outside week noted on 20th December (i.e.: above the level of $1.045).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the low of the outside week on 16th December (i.e.: below $0.925), should the trade activate.
Potential key reversal top detected for GMGLevel of interest: $36.67 area level of interest proved problematic on 22nd July (key support/resistance area to observe). Observe market reaction around this level of interest.
Stop loss for the trade involving ASX:GMG (and indication that this trade is an absolute 'no-go') is any trade above the high of the signal day of 10th December (i.e.: any trade above $39.43).
Stock Of The Day / 12.20.24 / PSNL12.20.2024 / NASDAQ:PSNL
Fundamentals. The second day of growth on the back of $50 million investment from Merck received.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: Strong squeeze on a range movement. Strong daily level 7.20, formed by a two-year high is ahead.
Premarket: Gap Up on moderate volume. We mark the level 6.50 - the high of the post-trading session of the previous day.
Trading session: The price stopped and began to tighten to the level 6.50 after an impulse growth at the opening. Note how the price began to pullback from the level of 6.50, trapping short traders, whose stops will provide us with an impulse movement upon breakout. We are considering a long trade to continue the movement.
Trading scenario: #breakout (#tightening) of the level 6.50
Entry: 6.59 aggressive entry upon breakout of the level.
Stop: 6.48 we hide it behind the level with a reserve for slippage.
Exit: We close the position before the level of 7.20 taking into account that the price has moved 5 ATR (Average True Range).
Risk Reward: 1/5
SMART BUY LIMIT from my past experience I know from a fact that it is going to retest no matter the condition. why? LIQUIDATION bby ! I know that entering now might cancel me out on various FVG so where do I feel safe and confident about my trade and risk management for sure I feel safe @0.000391 LOWEST LOW here my risk management is low and I feel less anxious lets see how it plays out TRADERS> God Bless
NZD/USD Eyes Upside After 1-Year LowHello,
OANDA:NZDUSD has reached a new 1-year low at 0.56080, and from this point, the only direction appears to be upwards. The price is expected to move towards 0.574703, and if it manages to break and sustain levels above the 1-week pivot point at 0.580043, further gains could follow, with the next target being the 1-month pivot point.
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
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AUDUSD: Bullish Potential Above 1D ResistanceHello,
For further upside movement in OANDA:AUDUSD , it needs to establish itself above the strong 1D resistance level. If this confirmation is achieved, we can expect price action to move toward the 1W pivot point.
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344