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Support and Resistance

HDFCBANK Defies Market Panic Amid Election Volatility?HDFCBANK Stock Analysis – June 2024 Overview: On May 30, 2024, the HDFCBANK spot closed at 1514.85 with an ATM IV of 25.69. According to my algorithm, the VVIX (VolatilityVision Index) was at 25.5614, indicating that bullish investors in this stock were not panicking over the impending Lok Sabha election results on June 4, 2024. Key Levels: - Probable Resistance: 1600.10 - Ultimate Breakdown Level (Black Swan Event): 1239.65 - Crucial Midpoint: 1419.20 (derived from the average of the resistance and breakdown levels) Price Action Analysis: Post-May 30, 2024, these levels showed significant correlation with market movements: - June 3, 2024: Following stellar exit polls, HDFCBANK spot opened at 1599, which was also the day's high, demonstrating respect for the resistance at 1600.10. The stock closed at 1572.20. - June 4, 2024 (Election Results Day): The stock opened at 1557.00, peaked at 1559.00, and then collapsed to a low of 1454.00. This action again showed respect for the midpoint price of 1419.20, implying that traders bought the dip with a stop-loss at this level. Outlook: If HDFCBANK spot does not test the midpoint of 1419.20, I expect the stock to retest the resistance at 1600.10. This is my personal view, and I am not suggesting anyone follow this analysis without their own due diligence. Stay updated with more insights and analyses on our channel.
NSE:HDFCBANKLong
by IndexAce
USDCAD Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends In the previous analysis of the currency pair USDCAD, we expected the price to grow and also specified the profit-taking range. Now, if you took your profit at the desired point and exited the trade, you can enter the buy trade again to reach a higher target. The reason for this is the formation of microwaves 1 to 4 of the main wave 5, and currently it is appropriate to enter the buy trade to catch the price growth in the main wave 5 of 5. The stop loss is at 1.3965. And the profit limit is at 1.4200. To support me, I recommend that you install the Trading View application on your phone and see my analyzes and support me with your comments and Boost. Be successful and profitable.
Long
by M_Gheysvandi
USDCAD : Approaching the Historical Resistance of 1.43 Following the breakout of the 1.39 historical resistance and a pullback near this level, as noted in the previous analysis, the pair has continued to rise. On this time frame, the price is approaching the key 1.43 resistance, last touched on March 31, 2020. The reaction to this level will largely depend on dollar movements and the outcomes of the U.S. Federal Reserve meeting. If this level is broken, further growth toward the marked supply zone can be anticipated.
by UtoForex
Near LongNEAR has been attracting attention recently with its strategic partnerships and investments in AI, showcasing strong potential for future growth. Currently, the price is sitting near a significant support level, making this an attractive entry point for a long setup. Trade Setup: Entry Zone: Current support level. Take Profit 1 (TP1): $7.70 Take Profit 2 (TP2): $10.00 Stop Loss (SL): $6.20 This risk-reward setup aligns well with NEAR's recent momentum and technical positioning. As always, manage your risk and trade responsibly. Good luck to all!
Long
by umur957
#nifty50 - 16th DECEMBERNSE:NIFTY Nifty 50 Chart Analysis - Key Insights & Trading Plan Key Observations: Support and Resistance Levels: Support: 24,497 | 24,586.95 | 24,662.40 Resistance: 24,783.85 | 24,837.90 | 24,891.90 Price Movement: The price witnessed a downtrend followed by a strong recovery. A sharp upward movement has brought the price near 24,783.85, a significant resistance level. Current Position: The price is hesitating near the 24,783.85 resistance level, signaling a critical decision point. Trading Plan: Bullish Scenario: Breakout Above 24,783.85: Target: 24,837.90 → 24,891.90. Stop-Loss: Below 24,750. Bearish Scenario: Rejection at 24,783.85: Target: Support levels at 24,662.40 → 24,586.95. Stop-Loss: Above 24,800. Consolidation Strategy: Range-Bound Movement between 24,662.40 (support) and 24,783.85 (resistance): Buy near support, Sell near resistance. Summary: Breakout → Go long (buy). Rejection → Look for short opportunities. Watch for volume confirmation during breakouts or rejections to confirm strength. im not SEBI register.
NSE:NIFTY
by thetradeforecast
POV: BHARTIARTL - Breakout of Descending Triangle PatternPOV: BHARTIARTL - Breakout of Descending Triangle Pattern 1️⃣ Breakout: A neat and clear breakout of the **Descending Triangle Pattern**, confirmed by high volume, signals strength. 2️⃣ Trend & Momentum: On the daily timeframe, both trend and momentum are in positive sync, adding confidence to the breakout. 3️⃣ Concerns: - On the weekly timeframe, the trend is positive, but momentum is still improving, suggesting the journey to the target could be bumpy. - Range expansion indicates waiting for a pullback is ideal. However, with the Point of Action (POA) around 75 points away, my plan is to: - Take half an entry at the breakout of the current candle. - Add the other half at the pullback level, if the opportunity arises. Disclaimer: For educational purposes only, not financial advice. #NiVYAMi
NSE:BHARTIARTLLong
by kzatakia
POV: ULTRACEMCO - Edge of Channel BreakoutPOV: ULTRACEMCO - Edge of Channel Breakout 1️⃣ Channel Formation: The stock has been trading in a range of ~12–14%, forming a channel. The top of the channel has been tested 4 times, confirming it as a strong resistance zone. 2️⃣ Last Leg Setup: The last leg started with: - A double bottom pattern. - Divergence indicating reversal. - A bounce back after taking support at the 200 SMA. 3️⃣ Consolidation: After reaching the top of the channel, the stock is consolidating instead of pulling back—a positive sign for a potential breakout. 4️⃣ Flag Pattern: The 5-day consolidation appears to be forming a **flag pattern**, adding to the bullish sentiment. 5️⃣ Concerns: - Volume is around the average, lacking the confirmation of a spike. - Entry is set slightly above for safety due to range expansion, which is nearly 100 points away. Disclaimer: For educational purposes only, not financial advice. #NiVYAMi
NSE:ULTRACEMCOLong
by kzatakia
Reliance - A Reversal from bottom? Reliance fell 2.95 % and made a bearish pattern on the weekly chart. Week’s OHLC were 1303, 1315, 1239 and 1272. On Friday, it rose sharply from week’s low to close near day’s high. I dived deeper into Reliance's whole week performance on multiple timeframes to see whether Friday's rise had any signs of bottom formation or reversal. On Monday 9 December 2024, Reliance took rejection from 100 dema on the 5 minutes chart placed at 1315. It closed the day at 1295, down 1.25%. On Tuesday it fell another 0.80%. On Wednesday, it tried to go past the 100 dema, then placed at 1290, in the opening hour but did not succeed. Later in the day, it made another attempt but this time took a rejection from the moving average then placed at 1288. It closed the day at 1279 (-0.52%). On Thursday, it kept trading below the short term moving averages and fell 1.20% on the day. On Friday, after falling 1.22% in the opening hour, the stock made a doji in the second hour with the low at 1239. In the third hour it rose sharply. At 12:15 pm, the stock gave a breakout above the 100 dema on the 5 minutes chart placed at 1258. Later it took support from the moving average and closed at 1272, above the midpoint of the bollinger band on the 5 minutes chart placed at 1267. The 100 and 200 dema are now at 1264 and 1268 respectively and could act as support. The stock is a clear breakout on the 5 minutes chart. On the 15 minutes chart, the 100 and 200 dema are placed at 1273 and 1283 respectively. So a breakout is pending on the 15 minutes chart. I already described how the stock behaved on the hourly chart, where it made a doji at day’s low and rose sharply to close near day’s high. It is clearly visible on the hourly chart that the stock made a double top formation below the resistance of 1330 on 5 December 2024. It fell more than 6% from the top. On the daily chart, the stock made a bullish candle and also a higher low. It is making a double bottom formation. It made a low of 1217 on 21 November 2024. Friday’s high and low were 1275 and 1239 respectively. It closed at 1272 with a gain of 0.79%. Once the stock closes above 1275, it will be a breakout on the daily chart. The resistance for the stock is placed at 1290/1315/1325/1370/1430. Whereas the stock should find support at 1260/1250. A close below 1250 could take the stock to 1200 levels. We write daily and weekly technical analysis on the Indian Stock Market. Read our blog here: medium.com Also follow us on Instagram.
NSE:RELIANCE
by moneyorder_official
What to expect from Bitcoin next week and recommendations1. General analysis of the current trend Moving Averages (SMA) : The price is trading above all major moving averages (fast, medium, slow), confirming the presence of an upward trend. The widening gap between the moving averages indicates that the trend is currently strong. Conclusion : The uptrend remains intact, but a temporary correction or false breakout is possible. ADX (Average Directional Index) : ADX = 16.64, indicating weak trend strength. A rise in the ADX above 20 would confirm a stronger continuation of the trend. Conclusion : The trend is weak but could strengthen or experience strong volatility. RSI (Relative Strength Index) : RSI = 62.42. This value is in a neutral to bullish range and not yet in overbought territory (above 70). In an uptrend, the RSI often lingers in the 60-80 range without signaling a reversal. However, the current level indicates the possibility of a mild pullback. Conclusion : The RSI does not indicate a reversal yet, but a further move towards 70 or a divergence may signal a weakening momentum. ATR (Average True Range) : ATR = 1.1, indicating low volatility. Such conditions often precede a strong move in either direction. Conclusion : Be prepared for a sudden increase in volatility that could result in a sharp price movement. Volume : Trading volume has decreased, a common sign of trend exhaustion or consolidation. If volume spikes during a breakout, it will be crucial to assess whether the breakout is sustainable or fading. Conclusion : Weak volume suggests that any breakout may be temporary unless confirmed by increased trading activity. 2. Key levels to watch Resistance : 102,500-103,000 USDT is a critical zone where many stop losses from short sellers and buy stop orders are likely to be concentrated. Support : 99,500 USDT is the next support level for a potential pullback. 97,000 USDT is a stronger support zone that could attract buying interest. Critical support : 95,000 USDT is a key level. A break below it could signal a trend reversal. 3. Possible scenarios Scenario 1: Continuation of the bullish trend (30% probability) Conditions: Price breaks through resistance at 102,500-103,000 USDT with increased volume. ADX rises above 20, confirming the strength of the trend. RSI moves into the 70-75 range without showing divergence. Target: 105,000-107,000 USDT. Scenario 2: Correction (40% probability) Conditions: Price fails to hold above resistance at 102,500 USDT and volume remains low. RSI fails to break through 70 and begins to fall towards 50. Price retreats to support levels at 99,500 or 97,000 USDT for liquidity accumulation. Target: 99,500-97,000 USDT. Scenario 3: Liquidity accumulation above resistance followed by a decline (20% probability) Conditions: The price briefly surges above resistance at 102,500-103,000 USDT, triggering stop-loss and buy-stop orders. After gathering liquidity above resistance, the price quickly reverses back below 102,500, confirming a false breakout. Volume spikes during the breakout, but quickly diminishes, signaling a lack of follow-through from buyers. RSI shows divergence (price makes a new high, but RSI fails to follow). Expected movement: First leg up: The price rises to 103,500-104,000 USDT to gather liquidity. Second leg down: Price falls back to 99,500 or 97,000 USDT. Scenario 4: Trend reversal (10% probability) Conditions: Price breaks below key support at 95,000 USDT, accompanied by a volume spike. The RSI drops below 40 and the ADX signals a strong bearish impulse. The structure shifts to "lower highs and lower lows". Target: 90,000-85,000 USDT. 5. Recommendations For those holding positions : Protect your profits by placing a stop loss just below 99,500 USDT. If the price breaks through resistance at 102,500, monitor whether it holds above this level. A failure to hold could signal a liquidity grab. For those looking to enter : For long positions: wait for a pullback to 99,500 or 97,000 USDT and look for confirmation (e.g. bullish candlestick patterns, increased volume). 6. Additional factors for analysis Candlestick patterns : The current candlestick patterns do not indicate a clear reversal. At the 102,500 resistance level, look for doji, shooting star, or hammer patterns that could signal a reversal or correction. Near the 99,500 support level, look for bullish patterns such as Engulfing or Morning Star, which could indicate a bounce. Fundamental Factors : News and macroeconomic events: Monitor updates related to BTC (e.g., ETF approvals, regulatory changes) or macroeconomic events such as Federal Reserve interest rate decisions (Dec. 17-18) and inflation data, as these can impact market sentiment. Liquidity Reports: Track BTC liquidity on exchanges. For example: if whales or institutional players withdraw significant amounts of BTC from exchanges, it could reduce supply and drive up the price. Conversely, increased deposits on exchanges could indicate selling pressure. Conclusion The most likely scenario is a pullback to the 99,500–97,000 USDT levels, providing liquidity for a continuation of the uptrend. However, a liquidity grab above resistance (Scenario 3) could also occur, where the price briefly spikes above 102,500–103,000 USDT before reversing sharply to lower levels. A full trend reversal remains unlikely unless the support at 95,000 USDT is breached.
by Crypto_Strateg
Can You Smell It? / BTC 110K is Closer than you thinkBINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD Consolidation in Key Resistance Zone: BTC price has repeatedly tested the dark-yellow resistance block (~102,000 USDT) without strong rejection, indicating seller exhaustion. Higher Lows and Rising Trendline: The ascending trendline shows strong buying interest at higher levels, pushing BTC upward. Volume Profile (VRVP): The visible range volume profile reveals a volume gap above the current resistance, meaning BTC could move swiftly once it clears the 102K region. Breakout Signal: A potential breakout candle has formed near the resistance, with smaller consolidations (orange circles) and consistent higher lows acting as a springboard. Measured Move to 110K: If BTC breaks cleanly above the resistance zone, the green path suggests a measured move toward the next psychological level at 110K USDT, backed by strong momentum. This bullish structure aligns with accumulation and breakout patterns, indicating Bitcoin's next leg up may be imminent. Monitor for confirmation above 102K. Follow for the Updates
Long
by CrazyS