Will the US DOLLAR {DXY} continue to RISE? Bulls still Bullin..?TVC:DXY
"Successful trading has always been about understand the convictions, the strength and the weakness of buyers and sellers. Once you understand what the other traders are doing in the market, you can successfully trade with them." -Michael Valtos
As we head into the New Year 2025> I have struggled with the idea of the DXY rising or falling. However, I will sit back and watch PA play out and I will strike once we have further confirmation from the Order Flow. As we can see now on the 4Hr TF Bulls are in control with the Dominant Hand. Now if we back up just a bit and head to a HTF we have a Weekly Supply Zone / Daily Resistance Level ($109.452) above that we could see Mitigated here to come in the next few days/weeks all depending upon Intentional Volume. Let's stay on point>>
Remember; "Our Profession is to Manage the downside costs of printing HIGHSIDE returns of $$$ consistently. Done correctly, well Abundance awaits us." -500KTrey
Support and Resistance
S&P 500: Consolidation and Bearish Momentum Below Key LevelsS&P 500 Technical Analysis
The price dropped on Friday and stabilized within bearish momentum. In general, as long as it trades below 6,022, the bearish trend is likely to continue toward 5,936, with the potential to reach 5,863 if the downward momentum persists.
The S&P 500 is currently consolidating between 5,993 and 5,936 until a breakout occurs.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 5993
Resistance Levels: 6022, 6053, 6099
Support Levels: 5936, 5919, 5863
Trend Outlook:
Consolidation between 5993 and 5936
Bearish Trend while below 6022
XAUUSD 30/12/24Our final gold markup before 2025 arrives and we transition into a new trading year! As expected, the Christmas period brought low trading volume, which leads us to review the setups from last week. With the New Year approaching quickly, we anticipate volume will remain low until 2025. Here’s last week’s text for additional context.
XAUUSD Analysis
Last week, we began with a bullish bias, but our outlook quickly shifted to bearish by Monday's close. This shift led to the significant downside movement observed during the latter half of the week, driven by fundamentals. We saw a substantial run targeting the lower levels, which brings us to today’s bias, which remains bearish.
Currently, we are focused on the three liquidity lows as our primary targets. As always, we look to the highs within the range to provide optimal entries for these targets. At the moment, there is a high in the middle of the range, but we are prioritizing the higher, more favorable highs for potential short positions. If an entry aligns with our plan, this could lead to the final sell-off of the week before the New Year approaches.
Trade safe and stick to your plan.
EURUSD 30/12/24We are back for one last market update before 2025 is here!
Due to low market volume we still have the same markup here on EU this brings us to the same ideas and same setups the we had from last week, because we are so close to the new year we know volumes are low and liquid will not likely be running at its normal levels leading us to believe, these areas may remain into the new years trading session. *last weeks markup information for more context on the chart.
EUR/USD Update: Final Week of Trading Before the New Year
As we head into the last week of trading before closing shop for the year, here’s a recap and outlook:
Last week, we called a short after identifying our "money out" level. With a daily bearish bias and liquidity sitting above the highs, we outlined a clear sell scenario. The market delivered exactly as expected.
Looking ahead to this week, our bias remains unchanged, and the principles stay the same. We are targeting deeper moves lower, focusing on the daily low at the base of the current range. Following the same approach, we anticipate the highs to be swept first, creating opportunities to enter and ride the price down to key lows.
Currently, we have a potential high forming near the centre of the range, but this is unconfirmed for now and remains a possibility. Keep an eye on all the marked highs—we’re waiting for a sweep of these levels, which could trigger the final market move of the year. If an entry presents itself, we’ll look to trade lower.
Stay disciplined, trade your plan, and manage your risk.
SILVER HEAND-n-SHOULDERS FORMATION LIKELY TO DRIVE PRICE DOWN!With the completion of Head-n-Shoulders formation, silver price may further drop lower in coming days.
N.B!
- XAGUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#silver
#xagusd
Understanding Fibonacci Retracementtool fans will like this one XD
Fibonacci Retracement is a popular technical analysis tool used by traders to identify potential support and resistance levels. Based on the Fibonacci sequence, this tool helps traders predict price pullbacks and continuation levels in trending markets.
What is Fibonacci Retracement?
Fibonacci Retracement levels are derived from the Fibonacci sequence, a mathematical pattern where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones (e.g., 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, etc.). Key ratios from this sequence, such as 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 100%, are used to indicate potential price reversal or continuation zones.
How to Use Fibonacci Retracement
1.Identify a Trend:
- In an uptrend: Draw the Fibonacci retracement from the swing low to the swing high.
- In a downtrend: Draw the Fibonacci retracement from the swing high to the swing low.
2. Key Levels:
-23.6%: Represents shallow pullbacks; usually seen in strong trends.
-38.2% and 50%: Common retracement levels where price often consolidates or reverses.
-61.8%: Known as the "golden ratio," a significant level for potential reversals.
-100%: Indicates a full retracement of the trend.
3. Support and Resistance Zones:
- Price may bounce or consolidate near these Fibonacci levels, acting as dynamic support in an uptrend or resistance in a downtrend.
How to Interpret Fibonacci Retracement Levels
-Reversal Zones:
- If the price retraces to a Fibonacci level and then resumes the trend, it confirms the level as significant.
- **Breakouts:**
- A break above or below a Fibonacci level may signal continuation in the direction of the breakout.
Strengths of Fibonacci Retracement
-Simple to Use:Visual and straightforward for identifying support and resistance levels.
-Widely Applicable:Works across various markets (stocks, forex, crypto, etc.) and timeframes.
-Combines with Other Tools:Enhances the effectiveness of indicators like RSI, MACD, and trendlines.
Limitations of Fibonacci Retracement
-Subjectivity:The placement of swing highs and lows can vary among traders, leading to different retracement levels.
-Lagging Nature:Like most technical tools, Fibonacci Retracement relies on past price action and doesn’t predict future movement.
-False Signals:Not all retracement levels lead to reversals, especially in volatile or news-driven markets.
Best Practices for Using Fibonacci Retracement
1.Combine with Other Indicators:
- Use with momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) or candlestick patterns for stronger confirmation.
- Pair with trendlines or moving averages to validate Fibonacci levels.
2.Use Multiple Timeframes:
- Analyze Fibonacci levels on higher timeframes for broader trends and lower timeframes for precise entries and exits.
3.Set Realistic Expectations:
- Don’t rely solely on Fibonacci levels for decision-making. Use them as part of a broader strategy.
Example of Fibonacci Retracement in Action
Imagine Bitcoin (BTC) last uptrend movement which I'm showing here, and the price moves from $67,000 to $106,000. After reaching $106,000, the price begins to pull back. By applying the Fibonacci Retracement tool from $67,000 (swing low) to $106,000 (swing high), you can identify key levels at $97,000(23.6%), $91,300 (38.2%), $86,700(50%), and $82,100 (61.8%). If the price retraces to $ 91,300 and bounces upward, this confirms the 38.2% level as strong support. (Green line)
(shown on the chart)
Conclusion
Fibonacci Retracement is a valuable tool for traders seeking to identify potential price reversal zones and continuation points. While it’s easy to use, its accuracy improves when combined with other technical indicators and a thorough understanding of market conditions. Practice drawing Fibonacci levels on historical charts to develop confidence and refine your trading strategy.
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Bullish potential detected for LRKEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:LRK along with swing up of indicators such as DMI/RSI.
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the support level from the open of 5th December (i.e.: below $0.985), or
(ii) below the support level from the open of 27th September (i.e.: below $0.96), depending on risk tolerance.
Best Buy in DOT📊 DOT/USDT Analysis
🔹 The price remains in a short-term downtrend, currently testing the dynamic resistance of the descending trendline.
🔹 The EMA50 ($7.26) is acting as strong resistance, and breaking above it could trigger a bullish wave.
🔹 Key support lies in the $6.11 - $6.90 range, and losing this zone might lead to further downside risk.
🔹 If resistance levels are broken, the next target could be the $10.42 range. 🚀
📈 RSI Indicator suggests reduced selling pressure and a potential trend reversal.
💡 What do you think of this analysis? Is DOT ready for a breakout? 🤔
Bitcoin Sell Zones based on previous trend and timelinesYou will see on the chart that the ideal sell zones are marked from the previous bull runs. I based this on timescales from tops to tops / bottoms to tops and a potential double top. I would be very mindful that this time around people who were left holding the bag last time around will take profit earlier... as will I! :)
ADAUSDT: Trend in daily time frameThe condition of Cardano (ADA) coin is very sensitive and in case of further correction of Bitcoin and reaching the retest area, this condition and trend can be considered for Cardano.
Anyway, the color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames, and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trend, colored levels, and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
Be careful
BEST
MT
BTCUSD BITCOIN BTC/USD is presenting an ideal opportunity for a sell position if you're targeting a broader downtrend. Alternatively, traders can capitalize on the current market fluctuations with scalping strategies to secure quick, short-term gains. Always prioritize risk management and stay vigilant with your trading plan.
BITCOIN 1 HR POSSIBLE SCENARIOS 🚨 BITCOIN 1-Hour Analysis 🚨
Here’s what we’re watching:
📈 Upside Targets:
• TP1:94650
• TP2: 95150
📉 Downside Targets:
• TP1: 93380
• TP2: 92400
So we have to watch out for $93900- $9400 level. If BTC stays below then you can target downside targets and if above then you can target above levels mentioned as TP(take profit)
Keep an eye on key levels and trade smart! 💹
What’s your take? Drop a comment below and share this with your trading crew! 🚀