50% fib retracement vs macroeconomics price has made new low of the range
price testing big horizontal support zone
price testing 50% fib of two years old bull market
lets see how fundamental analysis aka monetary economics fit into this simple fib retracement
and market found a reason to go up from here
Support
XRP is flying towards the sky!!XRP is emerging from the triangle with a huge upward movement, the price increase itself reaches 165%, which gives a very good result among the leading cryptocurrencies.
You can see here how the price is dynamically approaching a very strong resistance zone from the level of $1.42 to the level of $1.61. This is a very important zone that should be monitored, because moving upwards from this zone will open the way to the previous ATH, but if the zone rejects the increase, we will be able to see the price quickly return to around $1.06, and then we can see the level around $0.8.
GOLD ANALYZEIn this analysis we are focusing on 1H time frame for GOLD. For finding the upcoming moves and changes in gold price. Let's see what happens and which opportunity market will give us.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analyze or prediction.
#XAUUSD 1H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
GBPJPY FORECASTIn this analyze we are focusing on 30M time frame chart for GBP/JPY. On the basis of support and resistance along with price action and liquidity concept. So we will wait for price when price enter into our zone than after any bullish confirmation we will take our long position trade. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis or prediction.
#GBPJPY 30M Technical Analyze Expected Move.
EUR/USD FORECASTIn this analysis we are focusing on 4H time frame for finding the upcoming movement in EURUSD pair. Today I'm looking for potential buy trade opportunity. Let's see what happens and which opportunity market will give us.
Must put stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis or prediction.
#EURUSD 4H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
NVIDIA's Price Action: The Strat Analysis & Key Levels (4-Hour)Candlestick Patterns:
The chart shows 4-hour candlestick patterns with colors corresponding to price movement:
- green fill and green outline indicates price closed above candle open price
- green fill and red outline indicates price closed below candle open price
- red fill and green outline indicates price went below previous candle low but closed above current candle open
- red fill and red outline indicates price closed below previous candle and current candle low
- yellow is the color for a consolidated candle (aka "1" or inside bar)
- blue is the color for the "3" candle that went above and below previous' candle high and low
The numbers "1," "2," and "3" likely represent The Strat methodology, a popular trading framework:
1 (Inside Bar): Price action is contained within the previous candle's range.
2 (Directional Bar): Price breaks either high or low of the previous candle.
3 (Broadening Formation): Price takes out both the high and low of the previous candle.
Support and Resistance Zones:
Multiple horizontal lines represent key support and resistance levels:
- Yellow lines indicate historical highs/lows or significant levels (e.g., "Previous All-Time High Zone").
- Red and blue lines mark specific levels like the "Open WK" or "ABR1 Upper,"
- Labels such as "High of Day," "Previous Weekly High," and "Previous Daily Low" provide context for recent price action.
Broadening Formations:
- Diagonal white lines identify broadening formations, consistent with "The Strat." These formations reflect expanding ranges, suggesting increased volatility or market indecision.
Key Dates and Events:
- Specific dates and times, such as "4hr Mon, Nov 11 @ 1:30 pm," appear next to significant price levels, helping to pinpoint areas where the stock reacted strongly.
Indicators:
- ATR (Average True Range) and DTR (Daily True Range) values are shown at the bottom right:
- ATR: 4.58 — Indicates the average price movement range over a period.
- DTR: 5.16 — Suggests the range within the day (113% implies higher-than-average volatility).
Directional Signals:
- Green and red arrows identify potential buy and sell signals based on the methodology applied, likely aligned with price action breakouts or reversals.
Analysis:
- Trend: The stock has moved from consolidation (inside bars and 2s) to a broader upward trend with several green directional bars (2-ups). However, recent candles show retracement and potential consolidation.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Resistance: $148.68 ("Open WK") and $149.77 ("Previous Weekly High").
- Support: $140.08 and $137.33 ("Low of Day, Tuesday, Nov 5").
- Volatility: Broadening formations and ATR/DTR metrics suggest significant volatility in the price action.
Potential Trading Setups:
- Look for directional moves off major levels (e.g., $148.68 and $140.08).
- Monitor broadening formation boundaries for potential reversals or breakouts.
Alikze »» OP | Ascending channel🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel
- In continuation of the analysis presented in the previous post, after dealing with the descending channel, it was corrected for a while. which led to the completion of correction leg C. Finally, the modification leg in the range of PRZ-1 met with demand.
- Currently, it is moving in a short-term ascending channel.
- Due to the exit from the medium-term downward channel and pullback to it, an upward trend has been formed.
- Therefore, I expect it to move upward in this channel and continue its growth until the supply range.
💎 Alternative scenario: If it does not have the ability to exit the golden zone and faces the weakness of the trend, the correction can continue until the origin of the movement.
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BINANCE:OPUSDT
MKR/USDT 1W interval chartHello everyone, let's look at the current situation of MKR taking into account the interval of one week. As we can see, the price has left the trend triangle with a dynamic downward movement, currently we are staying below the downward trend line.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1 = $1,745
T2 = $2192
T3 = $2546
T4= $2,900
Looking the other way, there is a strong support zone that managed to keep the price from further correction, the zone from $1,278 to $936, but if this zone is broken, we may see a strong price drop to around $514.
Believe it or not, Bear Market is almost finishedhello traders
Bitcoin is outside its price range and approached a strong retracement area that is difficult to pass (MONTHLY IMBALANCE _ RESISTANCE BECOMES SUPPORT _ NOT FRESH DEMAND)
At least for the next period, Bitcoin will return to its price range, and there are other TARGETS that it can reach
Alikze »» TRX | Wave 3 or C bullish scenarioIn time 2W, after an ascending wave and a double correction at the bottom of the channel, after successfully exiting the concentration, it is moving towards the specified targets. This upward wave is due to the structure in wave 3, whose micro waves will be presented in the next updates. But this upward move will have the ability to reach at least $0.58 and $1.2 in the long term. If no candlestick penetrates below 0.5177, this analysis will be valid for the specified purposes.
🟩Sup:0.097
⛳️Tp 1:0.177
⛳️ Tp2 : 0.58413
⛳️ Tp3 :1.23008
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NZD/USD at Strong Support: Is a Move Higher on the Horizon?Since the end of September 2024, the NZD/USD pair has been in a pronounced downward trend, experiencing a depreciation of over 8% without any significant retracements. This downward movement has found crucial support around the 0.5850 level, where the price is now showing early signs of exhaustion. This support level has been tested on previous occasions, indicating it may serve as a key area of interest for buyers. As the market awaits a potential upward corrective movement, traders should remain vigilant, particularly with the upcoming release of US Retail Sales data, which could significantly impact the pair's volatility.
Scenario 1: Upward Correction
The rejection of the support at 0.5850 and the formation of a potential bottom signal the presence of buyers. A break above the previous day's high at 0.5885 could confirm the entry of buying pressure. The 38.2% Fibonacci level at 0.6040 serves as the first projected target for this upward correction, coinciding with an important resistance zone.
A buying opportunity may arise if the price breaks yesterday's high at 0.5885. In this instance, we could see the formation of an Engulfing Pattern on the daily chart, a strong bullish signal.
Initial Target : The target could be set around 0.6040, where mid-term resistance aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop Loss: A suitable stop loss might be positioned below the support line, around 0.5800, to protect against adverse movements.
Scenario 2: Continuation of the Downtrend
Conversely, if the price breaks below the 0.5850 support level, it will immediately encounter another significant support zone at 0.5790. Given the proximity of these support levels, a 60-pip move may not justify the risk, especially considering the sharp downward trend observed over the past two months.
Potential Short Trade if Major Support is Broken:
From a risk/reward perspective, a short opportunity could become attractive only if the price breaks below the 0.5790 level. In this case, the next level of support would be sufficiently distant to offer a favourable risk/reward ratio for traders.
In summary, the NZD/USD pair is currently at a pivotal support level, displaying signs of potential exhaustion. The next price movements will be critical in determining whether we witness a significant corrective rally or a continuation of the downtrend. Traders should exercise caution, particularly in light of forthcoming economic data, and closely monitor key levels to make informed trading decisions.
Disclaimer:
74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Gold, strong support coming inHello everyone,
after the election in the US Gold started a sharp pullback and lost 9% within 2 weeks.
Now the price reached very strong support zones, built from former consolidations. These zones also match with order blocs on the weekly, 4H and 1H time frame (not shown on the chart).
The RSI is highly oversold and the drop was the biggest one this year. All in all I think it's time for a correction at least.
According to the Elliot wave theory we finished three waves down, the C wave was formed by a five wave move which is very common on five waves. If you are interested in the micro count, let me know in the comments.
The orange area shows the potential resistance for the larger B wave. The green support zone should ideally hold to keep the bullish trend alive and the upper zone shows the fifth wave targets. The price could easily extend to 3000 dollar before a major correction should come.
EUR/GBP at Critical Support: Is a Move Higher on the Horizon?The EUR/GBP pair has been in a persistent downtrend since February 2023, reflecting the strengthening of the Pound against the Euro. However, after more than 1.5 years of decline, the pair is beginning to show potential signs of exhaustion on the daily chart. Recently, an “Engulfing” candlestick pattern has formed, suggesting a possible reversal or at least a significant correction before any further continuation of the downtrend. This brings forth two potential scenarios:
Scenario 1: Immediate Upside
One possible scenario is that EUR/GBP begins to rise from its current position near 0.8330, without a significant pullback. The bullish engulfing pattern formed over the past two days may indicate buyer interest, suggesting that the pair has found critical support.
Possible Buy Entry:
An immediate buy entry could target the resistance level at 0.8440 as the final objective.
Stop Loss:
A suitable stop loss could be placed just below the support level on the daily chart.
Scenario 2: Retracement Before the Rally
Another possibility is that EUR/GBP retraces to the 0.8297 region, which corresponds to the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent upward movement, before continuing higher. This type of retracement is common and can significantly enhance the risk/reward ratio of the trade when managed effectively.
Possible Buy Entry:
A buy entry could be initiated if the price reaches the 0.8297 level, targeting the previous resistance at 0.8440.
Stop Loss:
A stop loss positioned below the support level on the daily chart would be prudent to guard against an unexpected break of support.
Combining the two possibilities.
Given the uncertainty around which entry point will yield the best results (immediate or after a retracement), a strategic approach could be to enter with a smaller lot at the current price and follow up with additional entries if the price retraces to the 50% Fibonacci level.
By doing so, if the price begins to rise immediately, you can take advantage of the uptrend with a smaller position. Conversely, if the price does retrace, you would already have the full-sized position ready to take advantage of a better risk/reward scenario.
Alternative Scenario: Breaking Support
It is crucial to acknowledge that, despite the pair being at a significant support level on the daily chart, there remains a risk of a breakdown below this level. If the support at 0.8263 is breached, the bullish scenario would be invalidated, and we could see a continuation of the downtrend consistent with the prevailing movement since February 2023.
Possible Short Entry:
Traders might consider entering short following a confirmed break below 0.8263, targeting the 0.8100 region, which represents the next important support level on the daily chart.
The EUR/GBP pair is at a pivotal juncture, displaying signs of exhaustion after an extended downward trend. The forthcoming price movements—particularly around the current support zone—will be crucial in determining whether we witness a significant correction or a continuation of the decline. Traders should remain alert for confirmation signals before making any trading decisions.
Disclaimer:
74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Anticipating Short-Term Prospects: What's on the Horizon?Kaspa indicates a bearish bias, particularly with the potential for further downside if the reverse cup and handle formation plays out. However, there is a possible bounce scenario near the key support around $0.125, which aligns with a long-term ascending trend line. If buying pressure increases, the price could see a bounce from this area, potentially targeting the $0.146 to $0.160 resistance levels.
The 20 EMA (red) is currently below the 200 moving average (purple), indicating continued bearish momentum. The price has recently rejected the 200MA, suggesting that this moving average will be a key resistance level on any bounce. Breaking above the 200MA at $0.146 would be critical for signaling a potential shift in momentum to the upside.
The BB Power indicator shows stronger selling pressure than buying pressure, reflecting ongoing bearish sentiment. This adds weight to the downside risk, though a bounce remains possible if the price holds support at $0.125 and selling pressure weakens.
Additionally, it’s important to keep a close watch on Kaspa since it seems volatile at the moment. Don't doubt the signs but hope for the best for a continuation in the upward trend.
Support - $0.125
Resistance - $0.180
Fear and Greed Index (Binance) - 72 Greed
BTC is in the range of $85-90kAs you can see, BTC has made large upward movements in recent days, resulting in a move of approximately 35%, which broke the critical point around $84,600, reaching nearly $90,000. You can see how we are struggling to maintain this movement and the price itself is in the range of $85,000-$90,000.
However, here you can see another resistance point at the level of $90,900, then very strong resistance may appear at the price of $94,400, and then the zone in the range of $98,400 to $99,760 will be important, which is a strong psychological barrier.
In a situation where we see further price recovery, support is visible at the level of $84,580, then there is a support point at $81,235, then we have the level of $78,481, $75,727 and $71,784.
You can see how the price is climbing along the upward trend line and looking at this line, we can expect an attempt to rebound towards this trend line.
Intel - Still Got Another +15% From Here!Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) is perfectly respecting structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For more than two decades, Intel has not been trading in any clear trend. We saw a lot of swings towards the upside which were eventually always followed by corrections, making Intel a very easy to trade stock. After the current retest of support, a move higher will eventually follow.
Levels to watch: $20, $27
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Review and plan for 14th November 2024 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
GOLD FORECASTIn this analysis we are focusing on 4H time frame for finding the upcoming changes on gold price. As we know that bearish momentum is very strong. So what do we need to do is just wait for price when it comes to our level and give any kind of rejection or any buy confirmation, then we will execute our buy trade. In my opinion and I'm expecting that price will bounce back toward upside after testing the zone. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis or prediction.
#XAUUSD 4H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
Japan Nikkei index- just a quick post to show u something.
- As always everything is in the graphic.
- Now look at Japan Index closely.
- So a quick crash happened but look where Nikkei Bounced.
- i always speak in my posts that :
- " Supports are always turning to resistances ".
- " Resistances are always turning as supports ".
- Here you have a perfect exemple with Nikkei225.
- if u can trade Cryptos, u can trade anything else!
Happy Tr4Ding !
Solana - We Will See A New All Time High!Solana ( CRYPTO:SOLUSD ) is preparing for an all time high breakout:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After dropping -95% in 2022, Solana then rallied an incredible +2.000% and retested the previous all time high. Then we saw a quite long term but tight consolidation and just two months ago, Solana retested the lower support again. It is just a matter of time until we will see a breakout.
Levels to watch: $120, $210
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)