Supply Zone
SWING TRADING: LONG USDCAD. TARGET 1.42000TRADE TYPE: INSTANT ENTRY LONG
TRADE DIRECTION: LONG
TIMEFRAME: DAILY
ENTRY PRICE: 1.34500 TO 1.35000
STOP LOSS: 1.28600
TAKE PROFIT: 1.420000
RISK TO REWARD: 1:1
ANALYSIS: Price broke the supply zone comfortably and now shall look to aim towards the upcoming supply zone . stop loss ideally placed below swing low.
Follow this thread for any future updates regarding this specific trade.
CAUTION: Trading outcome is Probability Based and could wipe out your account if risk management and strategy is not followed properly. Cheers
Bearish Look on EURUSD until end of WeekBearish
Funadamental Background : CPI helped price to pullback and breathe
and now we have returned to the lows.
Momentum: Bear Candle from Last week with solid body
Technicals
1) Large Top wick rejection
on weekly candle after printing
Bear Candle last week
2) Was anticipating Bears to show up this
week AFTER a potential pullback ..
Which we did get a pullback to 1.07900
3) Price just pierced last week's
low , Monday's Low, and Wednesday's
Low
4) Price respected 1.07100 as anticipated
across the duration of current daily candle
5) Range to fill to downside down to 1.5500
USOIL - Break of Structure 📉The USOIL price touched the Daily Resistance Level 🧐
The Key Level (Higher Low) is broken 🔥
so, i predict a bearish move 📉i'm Waiting for confirmation 🧐
TARGET 1: 77.11
TARGET 2: 75.94
TARGET 3: 73.36🎯
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if you agreed with this IDEA, please leave a LIKE, FOLLOW or COMMENT!
Gold short towards $1830 and $1825Xauusd price fell below $1850 on Wednesday. Currently pressured near $1836 gold may fall to test $1830 and $1825 demand zones from January 5 2023. The strong US dollar drive flows away from gold price and is near multi week high with high expectations from the Fed. A recapture of $1850 and $1860 zones are essential for the commodity otherwise the fall below $1825 can be expected. Long term trend is bullish but currently gold is experiencing correction phase.
GOLD on a potential bearish move 🦐Gold has been experiencing a recent drop in price, which saw it test the ascending trend line on a 4-hour chart. After retracing to the 50% Fibonacci level, the market broke below the trend line yesterday and is currently testing a supply area. If the price also breaks this area, it may indicate a bearish continuation, providing a good opportunity for a short order.
In technical analysis, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level is considered an important support level, and a break below this level can signal a potential trend reversal. In this case, the recent break below the ascending trend line and testing of the supply area suggest that the trend may be shifting to the downside.
However, recently the main trend has been bullish and is always riskier to trade against the main trend specially on the last trading day of the week.
In conclusion, while a break below the supply area in the current scenario may indicate a bearish continuation, traders should exercise caution and monitor the market closely to confirm the trend before entering a short order.
GBPJPY short setupGBPJPY closing on a major supply, while also reaching the top of an ongoing channel with a low volume rally. Would be easy to turn around and might offer a great short setup.
Previous supply got broken with the current mark up, so these often turn into support. So a great target to set for short position.
Might wanna observe price behavior and signs of a reversal before entering the short.
Amazon - Feb - Daily AnalysisBasing Candle with closing below the previous trend line which indicates - Short position.
However we need to wait & watch for the next candle for DBR or DBD.
Reasons to Go Short:
1. MACD cross over is awaiting.
2. Super trend indicates short
3. Candle closing below the previous break out line
4. Weak Demand zones
5. If 13-Feb closes below 97, then Drop based Drop is confirmed else next candle should be strong green to consider it as a drop based Rally.
Strong supply Area
Its tested once with 1:4 risk reward ratio from 114 to 97
Weak Demand Area
Might give 1:1, if this level breaks our then the target is 83.
AMD TRADE IDEASI'm loving how AMD looks across the board! On the Daily, we have the 200 holding as support at 79, and the 10ma holding it as resistance around 82.56. MACD is starting to show weakness on the D with the histogram fading and losing momentum and it looks as if the MACD line is about to cross below he signal line.
I will look to enter towards the downside if we break below 80, with a target of 78, and a break below there to fill the gap down to 75.
if we see strength with AMD, I will look to enter above 82.80, with targets of 84.20, 86, and 88.20
XAUUSD weekly biasSo XAUUSD has shown us in the last week that it may have to downside potential... this is due to the tap into supply above along with a breakdown of some of our midterm structures, we have yet to confirm this downtrend so we don't want to bank on it just yet...
With the CPI looming and a heavy FVG above we could be set to clear some gaps and head lower, Of course, this is dependent on the CPI results, but overall we are looking for possible bearish moves lower.
Remember, overall gold is in an uptrend, so we could just see the price continuing in that movement. But if we see a clear reaction at one of our points of supply above, then we could look to take price short.
If we see Price had lower in the beginning of the week, this would make me believe that an upward shift coming in the latter half of the week is very probable. If we see an upward shift at the beginning of the week with a consolidation midweek, we could see the drop coming for the CPI.
As per all trade ideas, we will be watching this on a lower time frame to establish whether price truly wants to move in the direction we believe.
Update On SPY Triangle Correct Prediction From JanuaryNow that we are at the top of the symmetrical triangle, I will expect prices to fall probably back down to the bottom triangle 3700-3800. I still hold in my belief that July will break the apex of the triangle and in the mean time we are range bound.
Here is a now updated post on the Russel 2000 that played out perfectly as I planned. Compare it to the post linked below.
MATIC is at Resistance, Will We See a Breakout?MATIC is currently at the $1.32 resistance. Can it break through and head toward the all-time high?
About MATIC: Polygon (MATIC) is a blockchain platform that provides Ethereum compatibility through its Layer 2 scaling solution. It aims to solve scalability issues in the Ethereum network, and make it easier for developers to build and deploy decentralized applications (dApps). Polygon has been making waves in the cryptocurrency world due to its innovative approach to solving the scalability issue and its potential to revolutionize the Ethereum ecosystem.
MATIC, a Different Cryptocurrency
MATIC has been behaving differently from the rest of the cryptocurrency market. Unlike other cryptocurrencies that reached their lowest levels in November following the FTX crash, MATIC hit its lowest level in June 2022. This shows that MATIC has been resilient and has followed a different trend than the rest of the market.
After reaching its lowest level, MATIC has been mainly ranging between $0.70 and $1.00 from July 2022 to January 2023. However, at the end of January 2023, it broke above this range and is now heading toward the $1.32 resistance level. If MATIC successfully breaks this resistance, it will likely head toward its all-time high of $2.91.
However, if the resistance holds, MATIC will head toward the $1.00 support level. Additionally, there are 2 more support levels at $0.70 and $0.30, but it is improbable that MATIC will reach the $0.30 level considering the current market conditions. The key to predicting the future price of MATIC is to keep a close eye on how it behaves at the current resistance level.
Looking Ahead: Polygon (MATIC) is a promising project that has the potential to revolutionize the Ethereum ecosystem by providing a scalable solution. With its strong performance, MATIC is a cryptocurrency worth keeping an eye on in the coming months.