Supply_and_demand
DOGE/USDT - Rising Wedge Breakout - H4 ChartThe DOGE/USDT pair on the H4 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Rising Wedge Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Days.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 0.3910
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.3188
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Weekly Crypto Facts: What to expect next?Hello traders and investors!
Last week saw several interesting developments in crypto assets that may influence the situation in the coming days.
BTC : The breakout impulse from the range on the weekly timeframe continues. This marks the fourth weekly consecutive bullish candle, with declining volume (!) compared to the previous three. This could indicate a lack of interest from both buyers and sellers at these price levels. We might see a consolidation period. A similar situation occurred recently on the daily timeframe, where consolidation lasted for six days before a new buying impulse formed (see the post from November 15). Note that the key candle for the breakout is now from November 11.
DOT : The price formed a buyer's impulse on the weekly timeframe, surpassing 6.611 (the starting level of the last seller's impulse on the weekly chart). The volume and spread of the weekly candle are impressive. It’s possible that the price may rise further without a correction. If there is a pullback to 7.775–8 and the buyer resumes, it could present a buying opportunity.
OP : The price broke out above the range’s upper boundary on the weekly timeframe (1.989). The weekly candle’s volume and spread are impressive. On the daily chart, the price has been consolidating above 1.989 for three days. We are watching for the price’s reaction to 1.989—whether the buyer will defend the breakout from the range. The key candle of the last buying impulse on the daily chart from November 21 crosses 1.989. If the seller pushes the price back into the range and defends this return (at 1.989), it could be an opportunity to look for short positions.
SOL : The price updated its all-time high at 259.9. The weekly candle’s volume is declining, which may indicate a lack of interest from both buyers and sellers at these levels. A consolidation period could be ahead. We will assess the seller's reaction by the end of this week.
TON : Factors have emerged favoring the realization of the buyer’s vector within the range on the weekly timeframe, with a target of 7.260.
Good luck with your trading and investments!
Alikze »» MOVR | Supercycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Super cycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D
📣 MEXC:MOVRUSDT currency has encountered demand after a zigzag correction in the 3.61 range, which has had a rapid upward rally
🟢 After that, the price has had a double complex zigzag correction to the origin of the third upward wave.
🟢 Again, in the origin of the third movement, with a three-wave movement, it has encountered demand again in the area of the bottom of the ascending channel.
🟢 Currently, selling pressure is also observed in the ceiling of the ascending channel and the supply area.
💎 If this correction is broken in the form of a zigzag to the minor ceiling, it can be extended to the minor ceiling. It can again encounter demand and an upward rally to the minor ceiling of the previous rally.
💎 Depending on the momentum, this cycle can be a super cycle wave 3 or C to touch the red box area.
⚠️In addition, if the area touches the bottom of the previous wave, the bullish scenario is invalidated and should be re-examined and updated.⚠️
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Interesting facts of the week: What to expect next?Hello traders and investors!
The past week brought several interesting events that may impact the situation's development in the coming days.
The U.S. Dollar Index has reached the upper boundary of its range on the weekly timeframe at 106.952. There might be an attempt to reverse the long trend, with the idea of executing the seller’s vector within the range on the weekly timeframe (potential targets are 99.807 and 99.099).
The Euro against the Dollar has reached the lower boundary of its range on the weekly timeframe at 1.04485. There might be an attempt to reverse the short trend, with the idea of executing the buyer’s vector within the range on the weekly timeframe (potential targets are 1.12142 and 1.12757).
Gold , after bouncing off the 50% level (2538.5) of the last monthly buyer’s impulse, has broken through 2710.52, which was the beginning of the last seller’s impulse on the daily timeframe. On the weekly timeframe, there was a manipulation (false breakout) of the level where the last buyer’s impulse started (2604.39), and the weekly bar is impressive with its spread. On the one hand, there is an opportunity to look for buys, but on the other hand, a seller may appear just above in the 2721–2759 range. Let’s see who will win the battle for the 2710.52 level.
SPX500 . The buyer is defending the breakout from the range on the daily timeframe. The buyer has absorbed the seller’s attack bar from November 15 (which had high volume) on the upper boundary of the range at 5891.6. As a result, a buyer’s zone has formed on the upper boundary of the range (upper edge of the zone is 5975.6). Additionally, the price dipped below the 50% level of the last buyer’s impulse on the daily timeframe. You can look for buying opportunities if the buyer reactivates from this zone.
Good luck with your trading and investments!
Sell TURBO/USDT Triangle Breakout in H4The TURBO/USDT pair on the H4 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Days. BINANCE:TURBOUSDT
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 0.0081
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.0047
2nd Support – 0.0023
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Alikze »» ETH | Supercycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Supercycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1W
🟢 BINANCE:ETHUSDT Ethereum currency in the weekly time frame: As mentioned in the previous analysis , the supply area can have two movement paths.
🟢As mentioned: The first scenario, after completing the first wave in the supply area with a correction to the support area of the green box area, the range of $2,500 extended. Meanwhile, in the lower time frames, the details of the behavior of the Ethereum currency were also fully discussed.
🟢 However, in the 4-hour time frame, the ascending micro-waves of the first cycle were examined, as predicted, the ascending wave extended to the supply area of 3,200 to 3,500.
🟢 Therefore, the first cycle can end in the current range or slightly higher and form a zigzag correction to form a 3-of-3 ascending wave.
🟢 However, according to the movement path predicted in the previous analysis, this ascending cycle has the ability to grow at least to the 0.78 Fibo area of the previous wave.
🟢 Considering that this cycle is inside a triangle, it can continue as long as the triangle base.
🔴 Important:
Due to the application of the triangle base and the ability to grow to the supply area specified according to the Elliott scenario, this bullish cycle will be able to grow to the large supply area after breaking the 0.78 Fibo area.
Considering the current momentum and the bullish engulfing candle in the green box area, the following targets can be touched.
🎯Previous major ceiling,
🎯 Next target 6832
🎯 9357
🎯 Specified supply area (large red box)
⚠️ In addition, in the first step, considering the first bullish cycle, I expect no correction to extend to the Invalidation LVL area. ⚠️
After that, and after the previous major ceiling area is broken, the Invalidation LVL area will be updated.
In case of a change in behavior and structure, its details will be reviewed and updated.
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NAS100USD / UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Price Action:
The price is currently close to the ATH at 21,250,As long as it remains below this level, it is expected to decline further.
Expected Decline:
If the price does not break above the ATH, it may drop towards a “Fair Value Gap” (FVG) between 20,482 and 20,324, which may represent a target or support zone.
Upward Scenario:
If the price breaks above the ATH, specifically by closing a 4-hour (4H) candle above 21,250, it could indicate a bullish momentum, potentially leading to a new ATH around 21,381.
Overall Sentiment:
The overall outlook is bearish if the price remains below the ATH, suggesting that trading pressure is downward until there’s a clear breakout.
XAUUSD / TRYING TO REACH NEXT DEMAND ZONE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Demand Zone and Initial Price Decline, After a recent decline, gold prices have reached a demand zone, providing an opportunity for a 600-pip profit. A demand zone is a price range where buying interest typically increases, suggesting potential support.
Current Price Movement ,Gold is now aiming for a new demand zone between $2,527 and $2,500. As long as prices stabilize above this zone, there’s potential for an upward push towards higher levels.
Potential Price Levels , Next Supply Zone: Between $2,606 and $2,618. If gold reaches this range, selling pressure could increase, potentially slowing or reversing the uptrend.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) Area, Between $2,636 and $2,664. This level may act as a magnet for prices if the trend continues upwards, as traders may look to close gaps in the price , Further Supply Zone, Between $2,687 and $2,708, where resistance is expected to be strong.
Support Levels and Downside Risk, If gold breaks below the $2,527-$2,500 demand zone, it could decline further to a support level around $2,485, where additional buying interest might emerge.
Market Sentiment , The market is generally under upward pressure (bullish sentiment), though it is currently experiencing a decline.
Buy AUD/JPY Bullish ChannelThe AUD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bullish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 101.04, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 101.94
2nd Support – 102.54
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Sell NZD/CAD Triangle BreakoutThe NZD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 0.8240
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.8210
2nd Support – 0.8195
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Nov.12-Nov.18(ETH)Weekly market recapAs the cryptocurrency market continues to expand, several factors will influence the sustainability of the current upward trend.
Firstly, the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is crucial. If inflation resurges and leads to a tightening of monetary policy, it could pose a significant obstacle to market gains. Additionally, the implementation of specific policies by the Trump administration, including the establishment of regulatory frameworks and strategic reserves, will also play a vital role.
Moreover, the ongoing participation of institutional investors is a key factor, as their capital flows often have a substantial impact on market trends. Currently, the cumulative net inflow for BTC ETFs stands at $27.714 billion, while ETH ETFs have seen a net inflow of $139 million.
It is noteworthy that since August 5 of this year, Tether has minted over $7 billion USDT on the Ethereum blockchain. Changes in the supply of stablecoins have become an important market indicator; an increase in stablecoin supply not only reflects market confidence in cryptocurrencies but also provides potential support for subsequent price increases.
After retreating to around $3,000 last week, ETH has been experiencing fluctuations. The blue bars of the WTA indicator, which represent whale activity, are still present. The orange wave area of the ME indicator has shifted to purple, indicating a strengthening of bullish sentiment.
In summary, we believe that ETH may rise this week, but it is essential to remain cautious of price volatility risks. We maintain a resistance level at $3,400 and a support level at $3,000.
Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies.
Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
Nov.12-Nov.18(BTC)Weekly market recapAs the cryptocurrency market continues to expand, several factors will influence the sustainability of the current upward trend.
Firstly, the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is crucial. If inflation resurges and leads to a tightening of monetary policy, it could pose a significant obstacle to market gains. Additionally, the implementation of specific policies by the Trump administration, including the establishment of regulatory frameworks and strategic reserves, will also play a vital role.
Moreover, the ongoing participation of institutional investors is a key factor, as their capital flows often have a substantial impact on market trends. Currently, the cumulative net inflow for BTC ETFs stands at $27.714 billion, while ETH ETFs have seen a net inflow of $139 million.
It is noteworthy that since August 5 of this year, Tether has minted over $7 billion USDT on the Ethereum blockchain. Changes in the supply of stablecoins have become an important market indicator; an increase in stablecoin supply not only reflects market confidence in cryptocurrencies but also provides potential support for subsequent price increases.
Last week, BTC exhibited a volatile trend, with significant price fluctuations. The WTA indicator shows the appearance of blue bars representing whales, indicating the presence of large capital. The purple wave area on the ME indicator is widening, suggesting a strengthening bullish sentiment.
In summary, we believe BTC may experience an upward movement this week, but caution is warranted regarding price volatility risks. We have adjusted the resistance level to $95,000 and the support level to $85,000.
Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies.
Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
XAGUSD. Trading opportunityHello traders and investors!
On the hourly timeframe, it's a long trend. In the last impulse, the key bar is in the middle at the 50% level of the impulse (!).
Locally, you can look for buying opportunities from the buyer’s defense of the 31.272–31.2 range. It’s better to set close targets, like the local high, or trail the trade. The buyer may be able to reach 32.16.
On the daily timeframe, the seller's vector 9-10 within the range is still relevant.
Good luck with your trading and investments!
Alikze »» FTM | Wave 3 or C super cycle scenario - 2D🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or C super cycle scenario - 2D
- In the analysis presented in the previous post in the weekly time frame, it was mentioned: it is suspicious of a head and shoulders pattern.
- So far, according to the previous analysis, the first target (supply zone) has been touched and it is currently above the target zone.
- In the analysis presented in the 4-hour time frame, it had a zigzag pattern, which is in wave one of three.
- In the daily time frame, it is located in an ascending channel, the previous corrective wave was able to form a reversal pattern in the range of 0.23 fibo.
- Therefore, I expect that it will face demand in the Buyer Zone and continue its growth with the failure of the middle of the channel up to the ceiling of the ascending channel.
In addition, after breaking the ascending channel, it will have the ability to reach the red box area (supply area).
So this bullish wave is wave 3 or big C, which will have the ability to grow up to the indicated ranges.
💎 Alternative scenario: If the Buyer Zone is broken and stabilizes below it, it can touch the 0.23 Fibo range again.
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OKX:FTMUSDT
DXY. When to Expect a Weak Dollar?Hello traders and investors!
At the end of September and the beginning of October, I analyzed AUDUSD and EURUSD, where the technical picture predicted a decline in these currencies against the dollar. You can find these posts in related ideas. There were discussions with colleagues about how many countries' economies need a weaker dollar. I wouldn’t mind profiting from a dollar decline either, but a month and a half ago, there were no signs of a DXY drop. Let's take a look at what the chart suggests and when this might happen.
Weekly Timeframe
A sideways range formed on the weekly chart in March 2023 (point 4 was established). The lower boundary is 99.099, and the upper boundary is 106.952. The buyer's vector 11-12 has reached its obligatory target — the price level of point 10 within the range (106.169). This means we can start watching for seller activity on the weekly timeframe. If the sellers show up, the seller's vector 12-13 becomes relevant, with potential targets of 99.807 and 99.099.
Note that the key bar (with the highest volume) of the buyer’s vector 11-12 is the bar from November 4.
Daily Timeframe
There’s a long trend on the daily chart. The last buyer's impulse ranges from 103.86 to 106.734. The key bar of the impulse (highest volume) is the bar from November 14.
Hourly Timeframe
On the hourly chart, a sideways range has formed. The lower boundary is 106.037, and the upper boundary is 106.734. The current buyer's vector 8-9 has potential targets of 106.681 and 106.734. From there, it's not far to 106.952 (the upper boundary of the weekly range).
Summary
The price has approached levels on the weekly TF where a reversal may begin. For now, there are no signs of a reversal on the weekly and daily TF. We need to see signs of seller activity on the weekly chart to look for short positions with the goal of realizing the seller's vector 12-13 in the weekly range.
You can look for long or short positions on the hourly chart by trading within the range from boundary to boundary (if the boundary holds).
Until the DXY reverses, looking for long positions in other currencies against the dollar is risky.
Good luck with your trading and investments!