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Supply_and_demand

NZDUSD SHORT TRADE OUTLOOK (SEPT. 24-27)>The New Zealand Dollar experienced an explosive rally today, deeply penetrating and ultimately invalidating the highlighted supply zone, indicating the exhaustion of any remaining unfilled orders. >We can now observe five invalidated supply zones lined up on the chart. >Above these zones lies a high-quality, fresh supply zone, where significant stop-loss orders and a large volume of sell orders could potentially accumulate in anticipation of the upcoming FED speech on Thursday, which may act as a catalyst for a sharp drop. >The US Dollar Index remains undervalued ( refer to my USD analysis for more insights ). >Given that the NZD is currently overvalued, the price may soon seek reasons to turn bearish. For this to happen, a considerable volume of sell orders will be needed to trigger a downward move. ***As always, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.***
Short
by TradersPod
XAUUSD / TRADING UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Gold prices have reached $2,630, driven by the conflict in the Middle East. Trading above $2,600 indicates a current bullish sentiment, with a price increase of 1.20%. If gold continues to rise from the current level, it is expected to increase by an additional 2.21%. If gold breaks below the $2,600 support level, it suggests potential declines: A 1.80% decrease . A more significant decline of 2.70% . Technical Analysis: 1. Current Market Condition: The asset is under bullish pressure , As long as the price remains above 2,600$, the bullish momentum is expected to continue. 2. Upward Condition: - Target 1: If the price trades above 2,620$, it's expected to rise to 2,635$. - Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 2,635$, the next target is 2,657$. 3. Downward Condition: - If the price falls below 2,620$ , it suggests a potential decline: - Target 1: A decline to 2,610$. - Target 2: If it breaks below 2,610$, further decline is expected to 2,600$.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
What Hidden Forces Are Reshaping the Soybean Market’s Future?The soybean market stands at a crossroads, where familiar patterns of supply and demand are being challenged by a web of global forces. U.S. crops, though abundant, face domestic difficulties as adverse weather threatens yield projections. South America, poised to increase production, is battling its climate concerns, leaving traders and analysts questioning what the true state of global supply will be. Despite the current pessimistic outlook, is there more to this story than meets the eye? On the demand side, the rising global appetite for vegetable oils, fueled by population growth and the biofuel industry, adds another layer of complexity. Yet, regulatory changes like the EU’s deforestation rules and China’s ongoing economic struggles continue to shape the trade landscape. How will these evolving dynamics impact global soybean trade flows, and what are the risks and opportunities hidden within? As technological advancements in biotechnology and precision agriculture push the boundaries of efficiency and productivity, the soybean market finds itself on the cusp of transformation. Investors and traders must decipher this intricate puzzle, where geopolitical shifts, weather risks, and innovation collide. Will those who grasp the nuances of these forces be the ones to seize the emerging opportunities?
CBOT:ZS1!Long
by signalmastermind
NAS100USD / TRADING BELOW 19,954 - 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The text indicates a decline in July by 16.62%, followed by a recovery in August with a 15.64% increase. This suggests a reversal or correction phase from the previous decline. Prices are trading below the key level of 19,954. This level is pivotal, as it serves as a reference point for determining future price movements. Technical Analysis: If prices remain below 19,954, the analysis predicts a potential decline of up to 8.29%, with support levels at 19,187, 18,688, and 18,317. A break above 19,954 could signal a trend reversal, with potential resistance levels at 20,194 and 20,714. UPWARD TARGET : 20,194 , 20,714. DOWNWARD TARGET : 19,187 , 18,688 , 18,317.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
1
USOIL / TRADING BELOW TURNING LEVEL - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS July Decline: The significant drop of 15.34% indicates a bearish trend, which could be attributed to various factors such as market corrections, economic conditions, or changes in consumer behavior. August Recovery: The rise of 11.74% suggests a potential recovery or rebound, possibly driven by positive news, increased demand, or market adjustments. However, this increase was followed by another decline within the same month. Second August Decline: The 18.23% drop following the initial recovery may indicate market volatility or the market's inability to sustain upward momentum. This could also signal investor uncertainty or reactions to external factors. September Projection: The forecasted decline of 4.66% in September suggests that the overall trend remains negative. This could imply a continuing lack of confidence in the market, or it may reflect seasonal trends affecting prices. Technical analysis: The level at 71.51 serves as a key resistance. If the price remains below this level, a decline towards 68.80 is expected. If this level is breached, the next support could be around 67.19. Conversely, if the price breaks above 71.51, it may indicate bullish momentum, with targets at 73.99 and then 76.10. UPWARD TARGET : 73.99 , 76.10 . DOWNWARD TARGET : 68.80 , 67.19.
TVC:USOILShort
by ArinaKarayi
2
Sell GBPCHF Channel BreakoutThe GBP/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.1304, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.1220 2nd Support – 1.1188 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.1350. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
2
Sell EUR/AUD Bearish ChannelThe EUR/AUD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.6370, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.6300 2nd Support – 1.6260 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.6400. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
16
EURUSD / TRADING BELOW TURNING LEVEL - 4HEURUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Month-by-Month Price Movements: June : Prices increased by 2.48%, indicating a bullish trend during this period. July: A reversal occurred with prices decreasing by 1.48%, showing market correction or loss of momentum. August: Prices surged again by 3.88%, suggesting renewed market strength or positive market sentiment. September (Forecast): A predicted decline of 1.26% could be attributed to cyclical market behavior, profit-taking, or external factors influencing the market. Technical Analysis: If prices drop below 1.114, further declines are anticipated, targeting 1.102 and potentially 1.094. This suggests a bearish outlook below the critical threshold of 1.114, where traders could expect more downside. However , A break above 1.115 signals bullish momentum, with prices potentially rising to 1.120 and 1.123. This implies that breaching 1.115 could trigger buying interest, pushing prices higher. UPWARD TARGET : 1.120 , 1.123. DOWNWARD TARGET : 1.102 , 1.094.
Short
by ArinaKarayi
BTCUSDT / BREAKOUT THE DESCENDING CHANNEL - 4HBTCUSDT / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS 1. August Price Movements: - Early August: The price declined by 29.54%. - Mid-August: The price increased by 32.55%. 2. September Price Movements: - Early September: The price declined by 18.96%. - Mid-September: The price increased by 14.37%. Technical Analysis: 1. Current Market Condition: The asset is under bullish pressure following a breakout from a channel , As long as the price remains above 60.767, the bullish momentum is expected to continue. 2. Upward Condition: - Target 1: If the price trades above 60.767, it's expected to rise to 65.015. - Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 65.015, the next target is 69.573. 3. Downward Condition: - If the price falls below 60.767, it suggests a potential decline: - Target 1: A decline to 56.154. - Target 2: If it breaks below 56.154, further decline is expected to 52.679.
Long
by ArinaKarayi
XAU/USD Sell to buy idea, from 2,590 or 2,560This week’s analysis for gold suggests that the price will slow down and begin to distribute. Once the price corrects and retraces to one of my nearby points of interest (either the 10-hour or 5-hour demand zone), I'll be looking for re-accumulation to occur on the lower time frames. Once this re-accumulation is confirmed, I’ll be looking for buying opportunities to continue the upward trend. I expect this move to happen later in the week, depending on the volume and how long it takes for the price to consolidate and break out. Key confluences for gold buys: - The price has been bullish on both lower and higher time frames. - Two clean demand zones have triggered the recent break of structure. - A bullish move is pending a pullback. - The dollar is bearish, which supports gold’s upward movement. P.S. If the price starts to decline and shifts in character, I’ll be looking for a supply zone to potentially catch a short-term sell down toward the demand level.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hassan_fx
AUDUSD SHORT >We have a Rally-Base-Drop(RBD) Weekly Supply Zone coverage for the RBD Daily Supply Zone >We have a high quality Leg-out(Imbalance) from Weekly TF and an Explosive leg-out from Daily Supply *Stochastic RSI confirmation (This is not a Timing tool, We always follow the Law of Supply and Demand): -Stoch RSI is at Overvalued Zone, meaning price is looking for a Supply Zone to Drop the price. In AUDUSD's case, it already hit the Supply zone. Ride the trend. >5,10,15 year Seasonality is Down-trending until 1st week of October. **NOTE** -Seasonality tool is just a set-up and an add-on guide. -Supply and Demand is our timing tool. Signal is good until 1st week of October or until Updated. Trade Safe
Short
by TradersPod
XAUUSD / TRADING ABPVE ATH 2,600$ - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The asset is trading above its all-time high (ATH) price of $2,600.The price has risen by %1.82. If the price closes below the ATH level of $2,600 on a 4-hour (4h) candle, further decline is expected, estimated at 1.90%. As long as the price remains above $2,600, it suggests a bullish trend. A 4h candle closing below $2,600 would indicate potential bearish movement, predicting a decline of around 1.90%. Technical analysis : If the price remains above $2,600 and breaks above $2,620, we could see an upward move towards $2,635. A break below $2,600 may lead to a decline towards $2,575 and potentially $2,551, indicating a bearish trend. UPWARD TARGET : 2,620$ , 2,635$ . DOWNWARD TARGET : 2,575$ , 2,551$.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ArinaKarayi
XAUUSD - AFTER FOMC SPEECH - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS In the month of August, prices started to increase until September by 10.04%, reaching a new historical peak of $2,600. As long as they remain below this level, it indicates a decline at a rate of 2.66%. Technically analysis : Gold reached a historical peak of $2,600 but began to decline following a speech by Jerome Powell. The decline was significant, hitting the target of +420 pips. Prices are now trading under downward pressure. The key levels to watch are $2,589 and $2,575. As long as the price remains below these levels, it indicates a downtrend If gold continues to stay below $2,575, it is expected to drop further to $2,551, and potentially down to $2,531. Conversely, if a 4-hour candle closes above $2,575, it suggests that prices could reverse upwards, targeting $2,589, and potentially returning to the all-time high of $2,600. overall , that the short-term outlook for gold is bearish, but there is potential for a bullish reversal if the price stabilizes above $2,575. Traders should monitor these levels closely to gauge the next move in the market. UPWARD TARGET : 2,589$ , 2,600$ . DOWNWARD TARGET : 2,551$ , 2,531$.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArinaKarayi
USDCAD - UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE - 4HUSDCAD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Currently, prices are trading below the resistance trend line and the turning level at 1.361. This sets the stage by identifying that the price is under a key resistance line and turning level, specifically at the 1.361 level. The resistance line acts as a ceiling preventing further upward movement. As long as trading remains below this level, a decline is expected, potentially reaching 1.354 and 1.350. Here, you're forecasting a possible downward trend. If prices don't break through 1.361, the expectation is for them to move lower, first targeting 1.354, and possibly continuing to 1.350. These levels are likely key support level where the price could find temporary stability. However, breaking this level would indicate a rise toward 1.370. This section shifts the focus to an alternative outcome. If the price breaches the 1.361 resistance, it would signal the start of an upward movement, aiming for the next key level at 1.370. To confirm an uptrend, it is necessary to break through this level, which would then target the next level at 1.374. Finally, you're stating that for a true and sustained uptrend to be confirmed, the price must break through 1.370. Once this happens, the price is expected to head towards the next resistance level at 1.374. UPWARD TARGET : 1.370 , 1.374. DOWNWARD TARGET : 1.354 , 1.350.
Short
by ArinaKarayi
NAS100USD / KEY LEVEL 19,954 - 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Tendency , prices trading below 19,954 , it indicates under downward pressure Prices are expected to remain under bearish pressure as long as they trade below the key levels of 19,954 and 19,535. Should the price stabilize and remain below these thresholds, a decline towards 19,187 is anticipated. A breach below this point could signal a further drop to 18,688. On the other hand, if the resistance at 19,954 is broken, we could witness upward momentum, with prices potentially rising first to 20,194 and then extending to 20,714. UPWARD TARGET : 20,194 , 20,714. DOWNWARD TARGET : 19,187 , 18,688.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
GBPUSD / UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE - 4H GBPUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The price movement reflects both technical and fundamental factors. The 3.58% decline in July can be attributed to global economic uncertainties, such as inflation fears or weakening consumer demand. This decline likely hit key support levels, prompting traders to adopt a more cautious stance. However, the 4.71% recovery in August suggests a reversal in market sentiment. This could be driven by improving macroeconomic indicators, such as better-than-expected GDP growth or reduced inflation, which restored confidence. Additionally, this rally may reflect a technical bounce off support levels, with short-term traders capitalizing on oversold conditions. The critical resistance level of 1.326 now acts as a psychological barrier. A failure to breach this level could confirm a bearish outlook, suggesting a downtrend continuation to the next support zones at 1.309 and 1.304. Market sentiment, geopolitical risks, or adverse economic data may further pressure prices. On the flip side, a decisive break above 1.326 would likely attract bullish momentum, setting the stage for higher targets at 1.329 and 1.335. In this scenario, buyers would anticipate further gains, with potential drivers such as positive earnings reports or an easing of economic uncertainties bolstering confidence. A sustained move above these levels could even signal a broader market rally. UPWARD TARGET : 1.329 , 1.335. DOWNWARD TARGET : 1.309 , 1.304
Short
by ArinaKarayi
Sell EURUSD Channel Breakout (FOMC) The EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.1117, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.1076 2nd Support – 1.1051 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.1152. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
2
US30 / UNDER FOMC PRESSURE - 4HUS30 / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS In August, the prices saw a price decline of 6.91%, reflecting a period of downturn. However, in September, there was a notable recovery, with prices rising to an all-time high (ATH) of 41,852. This peak represents the highest level achieved thus far in the prices history. Currently, prices are trading below this ATH, which suggests that the market is still testing its limits. If the current price trajectory remains below the ATH of 41,852, further declines could be anticipated. Support levels to watch for potential price corrections are at 41,340 and 40,853. These levels might serve as points where the price could stabilize or experience a rebound. On the other hand, if the prices manages to close above the ATH on a 4-hour candle, it could indicate a shift towards a bullish trend. This would suggest that the market sentiment has turned positive and could lead to further gains. In this scenario, the price might approach new resistance levels, with potential targets at 42,282 and 42,703. These levels represent possible areas where the price might encounter selling pressure or where further gains could be capped. Overall, the price dynamics are influenced by how it performs relative to the ATH, with potential implications for both downward corrections and upward advances depending on market behavior. UPWARD TARGET : 42,282 , 42,703. DOWNWARD TARGET : 41,852 , 40,853.
EIGHTCAP:US30Short
by ArinaKarayi