SILVER - GET READY - ONE SHOT ONE KILL!Silver is at a critical position. This is an opportunity for a controlled loss..
Did I say 'loss'? Yes - I did. If you cannot afford a reasonable stop-loss - of your choice - do not go long on Silver.
Those interested in the Gold:Silver ratio, may check out its importance in recent weeks (on the net).
Note that silver is going at roughly USD $ 17.04 at the time of posting. Gold is roughly $ 1468 and Bitcoin $ 9200 .
Which do you think has a better chance of 100% appreciation over the same time scale?
Stoploss
BTC still consolidating?Hi!
That's a real question and I'd like you to tell me what you think, BTC still consolidating?
I hope, so. If Bitcoin shows a bit more confidence and test that dotted resistance line we might see altcoins doing more bullish move and probably outperforms for a bit.
Trading here is a bit risky but I believe in my methods and I also have my stops do keep me safe.
Stop: 7214
BITCOIN : SHORT Here is my last Bitcoin (BTCUSD) idea .
Stoploss = 9922.4
Goal = 4667.1
Risk/ Reward Ratio : 1 / 3
There will be updates.
Especially if our position does not fail immediately, I would like to say the distibutional points and sales amounts in a transparent manner.
I believe that script should be detailed and analysis should be simple.
So that's just it :)
EOS Ascending Channel is highly to bounce upward!!!Hi Beautiful peopleeee again!!
Looking at the Daily EOSUSD chart, you can see EOS did break big falling wedge to go upward and now looks like it is building Ascending channel.
You can see the current price is at the support of ascending channel as well as the RSI and MACD are sitting on the support uptrend.
From this reason, I see a high potential bounce upward from here.
We can play small trade by setting target at resistance of ascending channel $4 with stop loss around $2.95.
IF you love to accept higher risk in case ascending channel is neglected by dropping of the price, it might bounce from strong uptrend support from low Oct 2017 ,low Dec 2018 and low Sep 2019 in green line. The stop loss will be $2.7 below this strong support and target will be $6.53.
***** THIS INFORMATION IS MY IDEA AND IS NOT RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL. IT IS TO BE USED FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. ******
ADA/USDT - Really good shapeHi!
My indicators show that last time LSMA crossed up MA99 we had a really good move up, it's about to happen again and it worth risk.
I will consider go long if price stays above 0.04632 (Green line).
I'm not here to be your guide, but if you want to play this, use stop.
VET/USDT - TURNING BEARISHHi!
Alts been showing a lot of strenght this month, but it's time to take a breath, that's what it should be after 100% legs up.
VET seems strong enough to make new highs, but it face an important resistance as chart tell us... I think it'll accumulate as a triangle or symmetrical triangle and then we'll be ready to face gravity.
I would be long if above 0.006870 and my stop would be 0.006369.
Wait for a move above that green line, use stops.
BNB/USDT - Time to shop. Hi!
BNB has been in bearish since jun19 and then in sep it touchs it's main support.
A leg up it's necessary now, and you can see in the chart that BNB been fuelled since 26Sep
I would go long if price stays above 23.29, my target would be (22%) 28.59 and (5%) 21.87
Part of my strategy is to move my stops to manage my risk.
GBPJPY (1D) - revisiting base of one big head and shouldersThis is not a perfect head and shoulders - and it is rather unusual to find a perfect pattern. I say what I see:
1. One big H&S on GBPJPY (1D).
2. Price had collapsed south from the base, almost the distance of the head.
3. Price is re-challenging the base at an important structure level.
There is an opportunity here for a controlled affordable loss (alias stop-loss). Did I say loss? Yes I did - so if you short this and lose your money kindly sue yourself.
BAT will fly like a Bird !! LONG BATUSDHi Beautiful peopleeee on the weekend!!
Looking at the Daily BATUSD chart, you can see BAT did break big red trend line to go upward. It came with strong bullish divergence on MACD and RSI as well as the price currently stay on top of 21 daily EMA which is bullish sign.
From these reasons, I see a opportunity here to go long with a tight stop loss around $0.2-$0.198 as well as my sensible first target is $0.28 and the second target is $0.36. If you like this idea, pls click thumb up to support me more and more!! Have a nice weekend : )
***** THIS INFORMATION IS MY IDEA AND IS NOT RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL. IT IS TO BE USED FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. ******
Journal analysis: Looking at my past gamblesOnly 1 way to get anywhere...
Time to look at some trades I posted, going to focus mostly on the exit. Most important part, that's when you make (or lose) money.
There are a couple of ideas marked "short/long" on 3D & W charts, these are not trades I took or intended on taking, it's a general bias idea.
Maybe I should not tag "long" and "short" so they are more easy to filter...
05 September: CHFJPY
Original idea:
Outcome:
A loser, and didn't miss much. Lots of buying pressure. The reversal area was correctly identified thought.
Not much to trail here...
10 September: EURJPY
Original idea:
Outcome:
Kinda repeated what I did on CHFJPY...
12 September: Gold
Original idea:
Had 11 losers in a row, was aiming for 12. Get ready to get big losing streaks if you go for RR of 5, 10+.
Outcome:
I am keeping it in the back of my head, but I don't think there is much to learn from that specific trade.
More generally there is something to learn, that when the recession is looking close, and there is an uptrend and great news catalysts, and on the weekly/monthly chart we broke out of accumulation and are going up; then buys are a good idea.
12 September: USDCHF
Original idea:
"Watch me end my losing spree live"
Normally I won't post a trade way after I entered and it went my way, but this was ending my lose spree I wanted to...
Outcome:
Conclusion: Well don't try running winners in choppy markets (if you even can trade them). Nothing much else...
16 September: NatGas
Original idea:
Outcome: Not sure how to explain that one without swearing. I'll use a little monkey emoji instead.
Need to look at Oil:
Of course in this case, EMAs cannot be used to trail... It makes no sense...
It did not go much higher and went way down. I can't see H4 & H1. Probably would end up a 5R to 10R.
There is alot of fear and uncertainty in these events, possible price just has some wild sudden moves in 1 direction.
So ye, no opportunity for a very large winner, but still a great 5R in 5 days with what I think are high odds.
18 September: USDMXN
Original idea:
Outcome:
I got kicked out early, as price was retracing alot several times before the rising wedge broke bullish.
Only got 1R out...
If I waited for 3 or 4 R before trailing my stop I'd catch the move.
Was hard to stay in this one I find, but maybe I should risk it, and wait for at least 3-4 R before trailing my stop.
Usually I do...
18 September: Dow Jones & Dax
Original idea:
Uh, another winner, I did not take the shot thought.
Hmmm ok great. Had a winner that would have almost entirely paid for my entire losing spree by itself (if I managed it perfectly and also went into the right indice which would not have happened).
Bummer. Had alot of winners at around the same time during that period I remember, then back to lose spree ^^.
---- Checking my log I had 15 trades that were trades I lost, missed, broke even, small winners. But mostly losses ;)
Going to fast forward or this post will never end.
- 1 exception I want to look at thought, from this idea:
Lost on GBPCHF, went the other way, then in an update Imentionned I went short GBPJPY
Stopped at the top then it went my way, very much. Pretty fun.
Also going to skip those recent yen pairs. USDJPY going down of course ahah.
CHFJPY and EURJPY, same as on the 5 september. I shorted vertical candles.
No waves, just a straight candle. And lost. Again.
I want to look at a complicated BitconnectCoin trade a while ago...
Shorting Bitcoin is not rewarding. Bears should be buyers too.
I don't recommend shorting it honestly, expect when it breaks down vertically, very short term trades.
I keep repeating this lol. For 1 year now.
No one ever listens so I'll keep repeating it.
It moves exponentially... So obvious. Bulls think they have discovered something...
So obvious it hurts.
What to learn here is (apart from that pennants work wonders), just set a buy order on a predetermined price,
and it will get filled by a vertical candle...
Have to short on Bitmex as a hedge or (*0) to be flat... Really sucks. Have to be around the PC. (Because bitmex is all in btc not stable currencies).
OR use Kraken/etc buuut if you use leverage and your stop gets ignored, go enjoy.
Great, by analysing Bitcoin, I have convinced myself once again that it sucked and I didn't like it. Not on my timeframes.
09 October: EURGBP & GBPNZD
Original idea:
Outcome:
No central bank meeting/release all week.
Is giving back 1-2 R on most winners to get 20R once in a while worth it?
YES! Well has to happen at least 10% of the time...
Those 20R are just insane. Arrr I feel like a pirate. Because I found a treasure.
Staying in a winner, nothing feels better. You just need 1 big winner and you are so done.
On higher timeframes think about the people that bought Bitcoin here and stayed in until perfect exit:
Say they're a long term trader. Let's try finding something that makes some sense.
Another example:
Well in general I have a whole lot of small losers, really tons of those, a few small winners (they are pointless, I need to keep trying to have as little of those as possible they really are pointless), a few ~5R, and the 10-20 or even more R is super rare but the rare time it happens my account takes a huge leap. Worth giving up some on 5Rs to get these huge winners once in a while. 5Rs almost feel as "meh" "they're just small winners that cancel themselves out with the losers".
Trailing Stop or Trailing Take ProfitCase scenario: Short Position based on a moving average crossing
Stop Loss 0.50%
Take Profit 0.50%
Trailing Stop 0.41%
Trailing Take Profit 0.41%
Using a Trailing Take Profit of 0.41% that gets activated at the Take Profit level of 0.50% results in locking in the profit with minimal risk of closing the position too soon.
A Trailing Stop used with the same 0.41% trailing distance results in a high risk of closing a potentially profitable position too soon.
In this example, the position was almost closed at a loss by the 0.41% Trailing Stop .
Both TS and TTP are good tools to close a position. Using a Trailing Stop with a higher trailing distance, as well as a Trailing Take Profit , should improve our odds of getting that profit.
Bitcoin Analysis on the WeeklyGood evening traders! Bitcoin is bouncing off of $7,700 support on the weekly, holding strong so far. Interestingly, starting in August, Bitcoin is following an odd green, red, red, red pattern weekly. So far, we appear to be in a green candle. Not that I can say I have firm reason to believe this will continue, but I would be skeptical of any red candle closes below $7,700. If I were in Bitcoin, my stops would be set up to protect the huge gap between $5,253.74 and $7,700. $10,148.51 is the next High Volume Node going in the opposite direction. It is noteworthy that as we zoom out on this chart, there is a more historic high volume node at the $6,400, which may provide support. These figures may seem far fetched, but we've seen some huge price moves in August and September, only time will tell if Bitcoin continues to bounce.
Keep an eye out for my daily and 4h charts for some short term fun! I'll link in the comments.
Disclaimer: This is NOT trading advice! These are merely my opinions that I have posted for educational reasons only. I hope you all kill it, but I am not responsible for any financial losses. Thanks for reading!
NIKE 1D BULLISH RANGE BREAKOUTRanges are repeatable trading chart pattern.
Ranges are consolidation chart patterns that can breakout either direction.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size.
b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
2 - Enter two trades.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
BTC Bear break from pattern we've been watching for weeks!Same pattern we have had on the charts for weeks now. Bulls finally lost the battle and bears took price down much lower. Those using the triangle were using stops anywhere from $9400-9500 area and as of this posting, we are down under $8700 a couple hours later. RSI on 4 hour and daily is oversold so lets see if bulls try and offer a solid bounce opportunity. Keep in mind, what was once support (bottom of triangle - purple line), when it fails and breaks down often later becomes resistance. As traders, oversold bounce opportunity here or watch and see if bulls can get above bottom of triangle on any move back up.
Just My 2 Sats!