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CTI two recent zones of entry plus one ATM with TP and SL On the chart you can see two executed zones of entry with TP and SL areas, on RSI indicator you can see that when possibility to enter the market opens, RSI tends to flatten itself. Every recent point of entry has it and at the moment you can see it happening again. Also if you look closely on a more visual information from Trend Ribbon, you can see similarities in entry zone appearance at the middle of a local downtrend. I've laid out for you expected TP and SL areas with realistic expectations of growth from 0.07$ up to 0.09$ with expected execution time period around two to three and a half days, judging by previous periods.
by jjlung
⚡️ Understanding Breakout Traps ⚡️If we see a pattern form that retail likes to trade, It is highly likely that this pattern may get manipulated. The reason these common patterns get manipulated is because of liquidity forming. Banks want to make sure they can create enough liquidity for themselves to get positioned nicely in the market. They do this by driving the price up/down into stop loss areas. To avoid being caught out we need to sit on our hands, wait for the stop loss hunt to occur before we go-ahead with our initial position bias.
Education
by AlkalineFX
NVDA Update, Able to reach to next resistance zone at 717-748?NVDA is doing great continuously making higher highs and higher lows in H1 time frame. It seems NVDA has defeated first proposed resistance zone and now is going to attack next one at 717-748 which is a broad one. Stochastic indicator in Monthly, Weekly and daily time frame is in overbought zone which suggests that going long is too risky now. For those who has NVDA shares my recommendation is to adjust their stop loss continuously and carefully. Good Luck everyone.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by SaeedSajedi
Median Has To Break!!Once the Median breaks, then we can hope for another Up Trend! Right now we have a good support on 0.25 Pitchfork (Orange Line) But if 0.25 Breaks... Then we might experience another huge fall! So keep your Stop losses a bit bellow the support (best support is the lowest low that happened recently)! leave your stop bellow it so if the price hit the support and bounced back up, you don't miss out! Usually when we see a huge fall and MACD lines drop bellow the histogram, they have to try to go back up above it! So im confident, we can expect a rise soon. but im not a god so be extra cautious and leave that stop loss there for your protection!! There are lots of good news coming for the whole market and they have to have some good effect on it! Best of luck! Be Profitable!
Short
by jghanavizi
BTCUSD IS IN VERY DANGEROUS AREABtcusd is in very important area. If Btc will break up and do re-test to red resistance with big volume , We can see 47.000. This is good scenario. There is flag formation; Also ıf Btc will reject to red resistance, We are entering supper bearish season. For Now? Now I Usdt since 36.000-37.000. And I am waiting result; Up Re-Test or Reject Resistance? Wait and see.. Thanks for your attention. You can ask everything, I am waiting. Please click like button and Appreciate my hard work. Must follow me for latest crypto real time updates.
B
by abdullahclz46
how to risk smartly? position sizing, risk n reward, SL n TP 👌Risk refers to the probability of a negative event happening in your activities; an event that goes contrary to your intended outcome. Risk is part and parcel of the cryptocurrency trade. It is the chance of an undesired outcome on the trade, which translates to making losses. For instance, a 50% risk on a short position simply means that there is a 50% probability that the Bitcoin price will rise, resulting in a loss on your part. Today, we take you through the simple rules to follow when managing risk in crypto trading. Types Of Risk The crypto trading world is exposed to four main types of financial risks: Credit Risk This risk affects crypto projects. It is the probability of the parties behind the crypto project failing to fulfill their due obligations. Credit risk is mostly attributed to theft and fraud in the crypto market. A good example is the hacking of Binance in 2018, which led to over $40 million loss. Legal Risk Legal risk refers to the probability of a negative event occurring with respect to regulatory rules. For instance, a ban on cryptocurrency trading in a specific country. A practical example of legal risk is when the states of Texas and North Carolina issued a cease-and-desist order to Bitconnect cryptocurrency exchange due to suspicion of fraud. Liquidity Risk Liquidity risk in respect to crypto trading refers to the chance of a trader being unable or incapacitated to convert their entire position to fiat currencies (USD, YEN, GBP) that they can use in their every-day spending. Market Risk Market risk refers to the chance of coin prices moving up or down contrary to your desire in an open position. Operational Risk Operational risk is the chance that a trader is unable to trade, deposit, or even withdraw money in their crypto wallets. Main Risk Management Strategies The rule of thumb in crypto trading is: “Do not risk more than you can afford to lose.” Given the gravity of risk in crypto trading, we generally advise traders to use not more than 10% of their budget or monthly revenue. Also, trading with borrowed money is not advisable as it puts them in a credit risk position. Risk management strategies can be broadly categorized into three: risk/reward ratio, position-sizing, as well as stop loss & take profits. 1. Position Sizing Position sizing dictates how many coins or tokens of cryptocurrency a trader is willing to buy. The probability of realizing great profits in crypto trading tempts traders to invest 30%, 50% or even 100% of their trading capital. However, this is a disruptive move that puts you at serious financial risks. The golden rule is: never put all your eggs in one basket. Here are three ways to achieve position sizing. Enter Amount vs Risk Amount This approach considers two different amounts. The first involves money you are willing to invest in every single deal. We advise traders to look at this amount as the size of each new order they take, regardless of its type. The second involves money at risk, i.e. the money that you stand to lose in case the trading fails. This is how you define your enter amount: A = ((Stack size * Risk per Trade) / (Entry Price – Stop Loss)) * Entry Price Let’s say we wish to purchase BTC with USDT with a target of $13,000. Our parameters would be: Stack Size: $5,000 Risk per Trade: 2% Entry Price: $11,500 Stop Loss: $10,500 Our enter amount would be: A= ((5,000 * 0.02) / (11,500 – 10,500)) * 11,500 = 1,150 The ideal amount to invest in this deal is $1,150 or 23%. However, due to our Stop Loss, we only risk 2% as it will stop the trade once it reaches the determined level. Risk trading in cryptocurrency Elder’s “Sharks” and “Piranhas” This concept of position sizing relates to diversifying your investments. Dr. Alexander Elder, who is credited with the concept, suggests two rules: Limiting every position to 2% risk. Elder compares risk to a shark bite. Sometimes you would wish to risk a huge amount, but the risk would be huge and catastrophic as a shark bite. Limiting trading sessions to 6% per session. In a losing streak, you may end up spending everything you own little by little. Elder compares this risk to a piranha attack, which takes small bites of its victim until it consumes it all. Following Elder’s sharks and piranhas approach results in no more than three open positions per 2% each or six ones per 1%. Limiting results in reverse compounding; losses get smaller and smaller with each subsequent loss you make. Kelly Criterion The Kelly criterion is a formula developed by John Larry Kelly in 1956. It is a position sizing approach that defines the percentage of capital to bet. It suits long-term trading. A = (Success % / Loss Ratio at Stop Loss) – ((1 – success %) / Profit Ratio at Take Profit) Using the previous example, the features would be: Stock size: $5,000 Invested Amount: $1,150 Success %: 60% Entry Price: $11,500 Stop Loss: $10,500 Loss Ratio: 1.10 Take Profits: $13,000 Our result would be: A = (0.6 / 1.10) – ((1 – 0.06) / 1.13) = 0.19 This means you should not risk more than 19% of the entire capital of $5,000 for you to arrive at the best possible outcome in a series of deals. 2. Risk/Reward Ratio The risk/reward ratio compares the actual level of risk with the potential returns. In trading, the riskier a position, the more profitable it can get. Understanding the risk /reward ratio enables you to know when to enter a trade and when it is unprofitable. The risk/reward ratio is calculated as follows: R = (Target Price – Entry Price) / (Entry Price – Stop Loss) From the previous illustration: Entry price: $11,500 Stop Loss: $10,500 Target price: $13,000 Our ratio would be: R = (13,000 – 11,500) / (11,500 – 10,500) = 1.5 or 1:1.5 A ratio of 1:1.5 is good. We advise traders not to trade with a ratio lower than 1:1. 3. Stop Loss + Take Profit Stop Loss refers to an executable order which closes an open position when a price decreases to a specific barrier. Take Profit, on the other hand, is an executable order that liquidates open orders when the prices rise to a certain level. Both are good approaches to managing risk. Stop Losses save you from trading in unprofitable deals while Take Profits let you get out of the trade before the market can turn against you. You can make use of Trailing Stop Losses and Take Profits which follow the rate’s changes automatically. Such a feature, however, isn’t available at the majority of crypto exchanges. Fortunately, with crypto terminals like Superorder, you can set your Trailing Stop Losses and Take Profits right from the terminal. Winning Strategies Accept Failures Risk is part and parcel of trading. Besides, we cannot eliminate it but only manage it. You should, therefore, accept your losses and rely on plan-based decision making to realize profits in future trades. Consider Fees New traders often do not know the fees that come along with trading. Such include withdrawal fees, leverage fees, etc. You should consider these in your risk management. Focus on the Win Rate Risks will always be there to discourage you from trading. However, focusing on the number of times you win helps to develop a positive attitude in trading. Measure Drawdown This refers to the total reduction of your initial funds after a series of losses. For instance, if you lost $1,000 from $5,000, your measure drawdown is 10%. The higher the amount, the more you would need to inject into a trade for it to recover. As Dr. Elder advised, stick to a 6% risk limit. Please click LIKE button and Appreciate my hard work. Must follow me for latest crypto real time updates. Thank you.
NYSE:TWTR
by BTC-fire
What is going on with BTC?I reckon zigzag correction for BTC, which is shaping most Cryptocurrency's patterns. It is working on the 5th wave of wave b from B. then we have c of wave B and then we get to wave C , which gives us more opportunities to buy. for me stop- loss is around 38000 Also I am looking to buy between Fibonacci Extension level 0.886 ( 33500 USD)and 1 (21900 USD) (or 1.272!!!! @o@), if I it is possible. Please keep in mind to monitor the situation and always make decisions based on the approved facts; not predictions! Please share your ideas about BTC and this analysis. PS I am not a professional trader. These are not financial advices. Cheers
Long
by TheK19
What is going on with BNB?It is just similar to BTC, and many more cryptocurrencies I think. Finishing wave 5 from b in wave B. So naturally we can wait for a better position to buy (in wave C). I also should say I guess this is a Zigzag correction. Stop- loss around 400, incase price goes up. Expect to find a good purchase point between Fibonacci extension levels .886 and 1 (between 265 and 210 USD). But we should monitor the situation like always. Please let me know what do you think about BNB PS Please note I am not a pro trader, so these are just my Opinions and not financial advice
Long
by TheK19
What is going In with TRX? TRX is working to finish it's wave 1, from c to shape wave B. We expect wave C start after that naturally, so we have better opportunities to Buy later IMHO. A Zigzag pattern I reckon. Same as BTC and few more Cryptocurrencies. I personally set the Stop-loss around 0.085, incase things go south. I also expect to find a good purchase point between 0.886 and 1 Fibonacci Extension levels (between 0.07 to 0.055 USD). Please let me know what do you think about TRX PS Please also keep in mind that I am not pro, and still just learning about the Force. So not a financial advice
Long
by TheK19
Our Favorite Way To Set Take Profit Orders/Levels Typically, most traders have no idea how or where to set their take profit orders on any given trade. Most inexperienced traders will choose a risk/reward ratio and set their take profit based on a specific ratio. For example. The trader defines where their stop loss order will be, then drags their take profit up until it says "Risk/Reward = 3". Determining your take profit order/level based on this provides the trader with no increase in profitability/edge, and we call this gambling. ‌ Generally, the first thing the trader should be doing is setting their stop loss prior to determining the take profit. The stop loss is one of the most important factors to consider that can have a dramatic affect on how profitable your strategy will be. After the stop loss has been determined, assuming we want to go long, the first thing to identify that will aid in determining the take profit price/order is, identifying where key levels of resistance are as well as pivots. ‌ We have found that in the markets, one should never assume the market will break past a specific resistance/pivot. Although it may happen, your take profit should never be at the mercy of the pivot blocking price. With that being said, the trader should ensure their take profit is not beyond the nearest pivot/resistance to increase profitability. For example, if price just broke resistance and is retracing back down for a retest as support, to get the highest profitability/success rate, we recommend to ensure your take profit is slightly below the pivot just above the support, which the price is retracing from. A trader could attempt to take the trade further beyond the first initial pivot/resistance, to increase net profit for the given trade, however, the trader needs to understand that doing this requires close monitoring of the trade to identify rejections at the pivot. Based on our research/back-testing, it is a viable option for traders to try to extend the take profit beyond the first pivot/resistance as long as the trader is monitoring the trade closely. Some of the things that the trader should be looking out for is, a bearish rejection off the first pivot, signifying that price may return to the support/entry price. Based on our research, roughly 39+% of the time, the trader can expect the first pivot/resistance to breakout with high volume and a large candle, which can then be used to extend the take profit if managed properly. ‌ Ensuring that both your take profit and stop loss are placed/managed methodically will greatly increase profitability based on statistics.
Education
by VitalAlgo
8
BTCUSD: Diamond hands? Make more or lose more. Some will learn, some won't learn and some need to feel the pain but still won't learn. Few may recall that recently (linked post below), I said that the sharp switch on the Daily ATR was indicative (not predictive) of a trend switch for the south. That was transformed into a other lower time frame trend switches. On this chart you see a flattening of the 4H ATR then price collapses. The reasons are not important because this is technical analysis (TA). TA tracks the collective direction of sentiment and has built in many of the underlying fundamental issues. The 4H time frame is important in about 75% of all trading instruments - which doesn't mean that you just jump in on first sign of a 4H switch (long or short). In the 4H scenario shown here, I fully expect (not predict) price to return to a 'psychologically magical' $50,000. If it does short-sellers will be looking for a short with a reasonably tight stop loss probably at $56,500-ish. Oh yes, that means a loss, if shorting - for a trend following scenario moving south. And of course, anybody doing proper trend following knows that losses are heavier than any other trading methodology - but that the gains are tremendously more. (Read that brutal disclaimer below) For those wishing to gamble going long, also expect a rough ride north to around $50,000 if it gets there- with heavy potential losses. I do not promote gambling. Taking calculated, measured and affordable risk is not gambling. Whatever you do, watch out for tweets like 'diamond hands', from you know who (and to be clear, it's not from me)! If you don't know about this, what are you doing trading Bitcoin? Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities on live accounts. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which have a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Captain_Walker
2
BTC swipe spot stops and trap shortsPretty obvious h&s here on weekly chart. I don't think this is the top because of the cycle theory and the fact that as long as BTC holds 38-40k we're still in bull trend. A drop down to 38k-42k will just make a hidden bullish divergence on weekly, and from there go straight toward 70ks Alts have been exploding recently and the Bitcoin dominance chart is at the support. I find this to be similar to May 2017 where BTC dominance found support and dominance increased by 26%. Just taking 20% from the alt market of $1.33 trillion would be $266 billion. Add the $266 billion to BTC's market cap and divide the total by the number of coins in circulation you get the value of around $70k I think the best play here is to buy BTC if it drops to 38-40k, maybe buy some alts if they are showing strength vs BTC. Then as BTC gets to around 70k, I think it would be good to move into alts. Tldr: I think btc drops to $38k-$42k, traps shorts, clears stop losses, and then reverses hard and makes a move toward $70k. Take it easy, buy some BTC and wait. Then convert into alts when BTC reaches $70k. Let me know what you think, Thanks
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by bunge_e
Is the trend really your friend?This is a short take. I'm showing a 30 min ATR trend line. Loads of traders know that ' the trend is their friend ', but do they truly exploit it? I don't think so. There were three main opportunities to exploit this trend. The problem is - now you see it but when it's developing you can't. But at each of two points where price hit the 30 min ATR line, it was worth a short, with a very tight stop loss. Trend following is a very difficult strategy, but rewards can well exceed other methods of trading. It makes sense to explore it, and develop the skill (safely on paper trading accounts). Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions and not intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which has a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts or investing in any asset class. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Captain_Walker