Birlasoft Ltd - Technical Analysis and Potential Trade IdeasPrice Structure and Fibonacci Analysis:
Birlasoft's stock is currently in a descending triangle pattern, with price approaching a critical support level around ₹523, which aligns with the 0% Fibonacci retracement level from the recent peak of ₹859.55.
The Fibonacci levels on this chart highlight major retracement zones:
23.6% Fibonacci level at ₹602.60 served as previous support but has now turned into resistance.
The 50% level at ₹691.35 and the 61.8% level at ₹731.05 acted as strong resistance levels during past retracements.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels:
The stock has a key support zone around ₹523, which has been tested multiple times (green arrows on the chart), indicating a possible demand zone.
If this level fails, there is further support around ₹512.40 and a long-term support zone near ₹476.30.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance is seen near the 23.6% Fibonacci level at ₹602.60, where previous breakdowns occurred.
A descending trendline (marked with red arrows) indicates continuous selling pressure around this level.
Volume Profile Analysis:
The Volume Profile on the right shows a high-volume node around ₹570-₹600, suggesting strong historical trading interest in this area.
If the price breaks out of the descending triangle pattern, this zone could act as an initial resistance on a potential upward move.
Technical Indicators:
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is near the oversold region, which could indicate a potential rebound if buying interest emerges at the support levels.
Volume Trends: A noticeable increase in selling volume has been observed during the recent downtrend, highlighting persistent selling pressure.
Trading Ideas and Strategy:
Bullish Scenario:
A bounce from the ₹523 support level, accompanied by a volume spike, could present a buying opportunity for a short-term recovery to ₹602.60 or higher.
Confirmation of a reversal at this level could open the path towards ₹651.70 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement), where further resistance is expected.
Bearish Scenario:
A breakdown below ₹523, especially with high volume, could lead to further downside toward ₹512.40 or even the long-term support at ₹476.30.
Traders may consider short positions below ₹523, targeting lower support levels with proper risk management.
Conclusion:
Birlasoft is currently at a critical juncture. Traders should keep an eye on the ₹523 support level for potential bullish setups or watch for a breakdown below this level to consider bearish trades. This analysis highlights both opportunities and risks, depending on the upcoming price action around these crucial levels.
Stocktrading
Microsoft’s Big Moves This Quarter | From Activision to AI AgentMicrosoft’s Revenue Surge: The Power of AI, Gaming, and Strategic Investments
Microsoft has released its Q1 FY25 earnings for the quarter ending in September
The stock saw a 6% drop, indicating the results fell short of investors' high hopes. Trading at over 30 times projected earnings for next year, expectations for Microsoft were significant.
CEO Satya Nadella stated
“Our AI business is set to exceed an annual revenue run rate of $10 billion next quarter, making it the fastest business in our history to reach this milestone.”
This means that AI will soon account for about 4% of Microsoft's total revenue in under three years a remarkable feat for a global giant.
If you need a quick summary, here are three main points:
1. ☁️ Azure’s growth is slowing. As Microsoft’s key player in the AI competition, Azure grew 34%, down slightly from 35% in the prior quarter (after adjustments). This comes as Google Cloud raised the bar, with its growth accelerating from 29% to 35% during the same period.
2. 🤖 AI growth is limited by hardware supply, as capacity struggles to meet demand. Data center expansion is a long-term process, and Microsoft is investing heavily in infrastructure, aiming for a growth boost by 2025.
3. 👨👩👧👦 Consumer-focused products like Gaming and Devices are underperforming. Although not essential to Microsoft's core business, their poor performance has impacted overall results.
Here’s a breakdown of the insights from the quarter.
Overview of today’s insights:
- New segmentation.
- Microsoft’s Q1 FY25 overview.
- Key earnings call highlights.
- Future areas to monitor.
1. New Segmentation
Revised Business Segments
In August, Microsoft announced a reorganization of its business segments, effective this quarter. The purpose? To better align financial reporting with the current business structure and strategic management.
Summary of the main changes
- Microsoft 365 Commercial revenue consolidation: All M365 commercial revenue, including mobility and security services, now falls under the Productivity and Business Processes segment.
-Copilot Pro revenue shift: Revenue from the Copilot Pro tool was moved from Productivity and Business Processes to the More Personal Computing segment under Search and news advertising.
-Nuance Enterprise reallocation: Revenue from Nuance, previously part of Intelligent Cloud, is now included in Productivity and Business Processes.
-Windows and Devices reporting combination: Microsoft now reports Windows and Devices revenue together.
Impact of These Changes:
Core Segments Overview:
In summary:
- The Productivity and Business Processes segment has grown significantly.
- The Intelligent Cloud segment has decreased due to the reallocation of Nuance and other revenue.
Products and Services Overview:
- M365 Commercial now includes Nuance, shifted from the Server products category, along with integrated mobility and security services.
- Windows & Devices have been merged into a single, slower-growth category.
Additional Insights:
- Azure, Microsoft's cloud platform, is reported within 'Server products and cloud services.' Although its growth rate is shared by management, exact revenue figures remain undisclosed.
Azure’s past growth figures have been adjusted for consistency, with the last quarter’s constant currency growth recast from 30% to 35%, setting a higher benchmark. Tracking these metrics is challenging due to limited revenue disclosure, but this recast indicates Azure's raised growth expectations.
2. Microsoft’s Q1 FY25 Performance
Financial Summary:
-Revenue: Up 16% year-over-year, reaching $65.6 billion (exceeding estimates by $1 billion). Post-Activision Blizzard acquisition in October 2023, the growth was 13% excluding the merger.
New Product and Services Segmentation Results
- Server products & cloud services: $22.2 billion (+23% Y/Y).
- M365 Commercial: $20.4 billion (+13% Y/Y).
- Gaming: $5.6 billion (+43% Y/Y), influenced by Activision.
- Windows & Devices: $4.3 billion (flat Y/Y).
- LinkedIn: $4.3 billion (+10% Y/Y).
- Search & news advertising: $3.2 billion (+7% Y/Y).
- Enterprise & partner services: $1.9 billion (flat Y/Y).
- Dynamics: $1.8 billion (+14% Y/Y).
- M365 Consumer products: $1.7 billion (+5% Y/Y).
Core Business Segments Breakdown:
- Productivity and Business Processes: Increased 12% Y/Y to $28.3 billion, supported by M365 Commercial, especially Copilot adoption.
- Intelligent Cloud: Grew 20% Y/Y to $24.1 billion, with Azure AI driving growth.
- More Personal Computing: Grew 17% Y/Y to $13.2 billion, including a 15-point boost from Activision. Devices fell, but search and ad performance improved under new segmentation.
Key Observations:
- Microsoft Cloud revenue climbed 22% Y/Y to $39 billion, making up 59% of total revenue (+3 percentage points Y/Y).
- Azure continues to drive cloud services and server products' growth.
- Xbox growth has surged due to the Activision acquisition since Q2 FY24, expected to stabilize by Q2 FY25.
- Windows OEM and devices combined, showing a 2% decline in Q1 FY25.
- Office rebranded to Microsoft 365; updated naming will be used starting next quarter.
- Margins: Gross margin at 69% (down 2pp Y/Y, 1pp Q/Q); operating margin at 47% (down 1pp Y/Y, up 4pp Q/Q).
- EPS: Increased 10% to $3.30, beating by $0.19.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Operating cash flow: $34 billion (52% margin, down 2pp Y/Y).
- Cash**: $78 billion; Long-term debt**: $43 billion.
Q2 FY25 Outlook:
- Productivity and Business Processes: Anticipated 10%-11% Y/Y growth, steady due to M365, Copilot inclusion, and expected LinkedIn growth of ~10%. Dynamics set to grow mid-to-high teens.
- Intelligent Cloud: Projected 18%-20% Y/Y growth, slightly slowing, with Azure growth expected between 28%-29%.
- More Personal Computing: Forecasted ~$14 billion revenue, declines in Windows, Devices, and Gaming anticipated, with some offset from Copilot Pro.
Main Takeaways:
- Azure's growth slowed to 34% Y/Y in constant currency, with AI services contributing 12pp, up from 11pp last quarter. This marks a dip from the recast 35% prior and included an accounting boost.
- Capacity limitations in AI persist; more infrastructure investments are planned, with reacceleration expected in H2 FY25.
- Commercial performance obligations grew 21% to $259 billion, up from 20% in Q4.
- Margins were pressured by AI infrastructure investments; Activision reduced the operating margin by 2 points.
- Capital expenditures increased by 50% to $15 billion, half dedicated to infrastructure, with further Capex growth expected.
- Shareholder returns included $9.0 billion through buybacks and dividends, matching Q4 repurchases.
Earnings Call Highlights:
Azure AI saw a doubling of usage over six months, positioning it as a foundation for services like Cosmos DB and SQL DB. Microsoft Fabric adoption grew 14% sequentially, signaling rapid uptake.
AI Expansion: GitHub Copilot enterprise use surged 55% Q/Q, with AI-powered capabilities used by nearly 600,000 organizations, a 4x increase Y/Y.
M365 Copilot has achieved a 70% adoption rate among Fortune 500 companies and continues to grow rapidly.
LinkedIn saw accelerated growth in markets like India and Brazil and a 6x quarterly increase in video views, aligning with broader social media trends.
Search and Gaming: Bing’s revenue growth surpassed the market, while Game Pass hit a new revenue record, propelled by Black Ops 6
Capital Expenditures: CFO Amy Hood highlighted that half of cloud and AI investments are for long-term infrastructure, positioning the company for sustained growth.
4. Future Outlook
Energy Needs: Microsoft, facing higher power demands, plans to revive a reactor at Three Mile Island with Constellation Energy by 2028 to power its AI data centers sustainably.
Autonomous AI Agents: Coming in November, these agents will perform tasks with minimal human input, enhancing efficiency. Copilot Studio will allow businesses to customize these agents, with 10 pre-built options to start.
Industry Impact: Salesforce has launched Agentforce, signaling increased competition. CEO Mark Benioff recently compared Microsoft’s Copilot to the nostalgic Clippy, stoking rivalry.
For further analysis stay tuned
AMD’s Earnings Stumble | A Golden Opportunity for Investors?Post Earnings Dip, Is AMD ready for a 2025 Comeback?
Shares of Advanced Micro Devices dropped over 10% after releasing its third quarter FY2024 earnings report, which fell short of investors’ expectations. Although the results were not poor, the market had high hopes given AMD's premium stock valuation. The company did surpass revenue projections, but its non GAAP EPS matched market expectations plus the midpoint of its fourth-quarter revenue forecast slightly missed estimates.
In my prior analysis, I upgraded AMD from a sell to a buy after a 20% dip, which realigned market expectations. Since that upgrade, the stock has climbed 15%, outperforming the S&P 500 Index by 9%. The recent earnings-driven decline has brought AMD's stock price close to my previously mentioned level.
While the gaming segment saw a sharper decline in revenue in 3Q, the Data Center GPU division continued to exhibit strong growth, boosting overall revenue growth and improving margins. I believe AMD is still in a strong position to further accelerate revenue growth and margin expansion in the fourth quarter and beyond. As a result, I see the post-earnings dip as a buying opportunity and maintain my buy rating on the stock, supported by its anticipated growth phase justifying its premium valuation.
For 4Q FY2024, AMD projects 21.6% YoY revenue growth at the midpoint of its guidance, with a $300 million potential variance. This growth is expected to be driven by continued expansion in Data Center GPUs. Although the midpoint guidance is slightly below market consensus, I believe AMD could exceed this number, given its track record. My estimate suggests a 24% YoY revenue increase, or $150 million above the midpoint.
3Q EPS Analysis Shows Margin Pressure
AMD has shown consistent margin improvement since 4Q FY2023, though the pace in 3Q didn't meet expectations. EPS aligned with estimates despite revenue exceeding forecasts, indicating margin challenges. Non-GAAP gross margin rose by 50 bps sequentially, while non-GAAP EBIT margin showed strong improvement, rising by 350 bps QoQ.
AMD forecasts a 4Q non-GAAP gross margin of 54% and operating expenses of $2.05 billion, driven by a favorable mix from its Data Center segment, which now represents 52% of total revenue. Management noted that gross margins in the Data Center segment are below the company average, focusing on customer needs and market growth for future gains. This contrasts with NVIDIA (NVDA), which reportedly has higher Data Center margins, though specific figures are not disclosed.
With a 4Q revenue consensus at $7.65 billion, AMD projects a non-GAAP EBIT margin of 27.2%, suggesting an additional 200 bps sequential increase. The company appears well-positioned for both revenue growth and margin improvement, despite its valuation declining after the recent stock pullback.
4Q EPS Outlook Signals Continued Growth
Although 3Q non-GAAP EPS met expectations, AMD’s growth accelerated from 18.1% YoY in 2Q to 32% in 3Q. However, the selloff post-earnings implies that investors anticipated even higher growth. Based on 4Q guidance, I estimate AMD’s non-GAAP EPS at $1.10, marking a 44% YoY increase.
AMD's FCF profile also improved, generating $496 million in 3Q, a 13% QoQ increase despite a one-time acquisition-related expense of $123 million. Higher capital expenditures are expected in FY2025 to support MI300 growth and maintain momentum.
Market Expectations and Valuation Impacts
Before the 10% post 3Q selloff, AMD’s EV/EBITDA TTM was higher than NVIDIA’s, but they are now on par, despite AMD’s margins and growth trailing NVIDIA's. AMD’s non-GAAP EV/EBITDA forward multiple is 46.3x, compared to NVIDIA’s 42.6x, and its forward P/E ratio is 50.4x, 17% above its 5-year average and higher than NVIDIA’s 49.7x.
While AMD's premium valuation can be justified given its growth acceleration, NVIDIA’s triple-digit EPS growth is not expected to continue. Moreover, NVIDIA’s gross margin recently declined, reinforcing the case for AMD’s valuation as it expands its growth in FY2025.
AMD’s stock has retraced to a 0% YTD return due to margin concerns and underperformance in Gaming and Embedded segments, though the latter is gradually recovering. However, the company’s strong Data Center gains and continued margin expansion indicate a solid growth phase. The recent selloff has recalibrated market expectations, and with ongoing AI-driven demand, AMD’s growth is likely to extend into FY2025, making the pullback an attractive buying opportunity.
What you think, Are you Moonish on AMD?
KPGEL Diwali Pick 2024Stock Analysis and Trade Setup
This chart shows the stock breaking out of a long-term downward channel, suggesting a potential trend reversal:
• Bullish Setup : The price has broken above the descending channel, indicating bullish momentum. A strong consolidation above the support level around 631.1 could confirm this breakout. If the price maintains this upward trend, the next resistance at 716.75 would be the primary target, followed by further gains if momentum persists.
• Bearish Scenario : If the price fails to hold above 631.1, there could be a retest of lower levels. Watch for a potential short entry below the key support level at 525.9, as a breakdown could signal a continuation of the downtrend.
The RSI indicates room for further upside, and increasing volume supports the bullish breakout. Monitor these levels closely for entry and exit signals.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
ASI Weekly Chart Update - 29/04/2024Resistance Zone - 13300 to 13600
Support Zone - 11000 to 11275
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Argenx (ARGX) AnalysisCompany Overview: Argenx NASDAQ:ARGX is making significant strides in the field of autoimmune treatments, especially following the FDA approval of VYVGART Hytrulo for chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy (CIDP) on June 21st. This approval not only enhances Argenx's product portfolio but also opens up new revenue channels for the company.
Key Developments:
Strong Revenue Generation: Argenx demonstrates a robust global presence with revenue streams across various regions:
U.S.: $407 million
Japan: $20 million
EMEA: $35 million
China: $14 million
This diversified revenue generation helps mitigate regional risks and showcases the company’s ability to penetrate multiple markets effectively.
Upcoming Trials: The company plans to launch four new registration trials by the end of 2024, further expanding its therapeutic offerings. This proactive approach to research and development positions Argenx for future growth and diversification in its product line.
Strategic Collaboration: Argenx's collaboration with Monarch is aimed at enhancing operational efficiency and customer service. This partnership is expected to boost market penetration and strengthen the company's competitive edge.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on ARGX above the $484.00-$489.00 range, driven by its recent FDA approval, diverse revenue streams, and plans for further clinical expansion. Upside Potential: Our target for Argenx is set at $740.00-$750.00, supported by the company’s strong market presence and growth initiatives.
🚀 ARGX—Pioneering the Future of Autoimmune Treatments. #Biotech #AutoimmuneTherapy #MarketGrowth
SMCI Is it a buy after -35% dip and the leave of their auditors?Super Micro Computer is oversold on all timeframes and is approaching that level even on 1W (RSI = 35.160, MACD = -7.190, ADX = 44.214). The reason for the -35% daily collapse is of course the resignation of their auditors, Ernst & Young, which have raised concerns over SMCI's governance since late July. News have even hit the market that there are fears of delisting. Now fundamentally, even though the street has seen its fair share of accounting frauds in the past, those make up only a tiny minority.
Normally when such pessimistic news hit the market, long term investors should be viewing the dynamics objectively. Is it worth buying despite all the negatives? A quick answer can be given by just looking at the technicals. Any high cap stock that falls roughly -75% from its All Time High (ATH) is objectively a great long term investment opportunity.
For SMCI in particularly it has almost lost -75% of its value in 8 months, with the company absorbing almost any negative news there could be out there. The price is right now at $33.00 with its 1W MA200 currently sitting at $22.95 (and rising), which is the long term support since April 20th 2020. Before that trendline, there is the HL 2 to consider that started on July 5th 2022. In the meantime, the 1W RSI is testing sideways the S1 Zone, a buy level that is holding since July 2015.
It has to be said that the -75% decline is SMCI strongest within such period of time, with the most recent before it being during the U.S.-China trade wars (October 1st 2018 at -68.30%). That collapse recovered in 6 months as it reached its 0.786 Fibonacci level.
If SMCI announces soon their new auditing firm and calm the market about their practices, there is a strong probability to see the price testing the current 0.786 Fib (TP = 90.00).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
SasanSeifi|Can We Expect $80 or More?Hey there, ✌ NYSE:RDDT In the daily time frame, it can be observed that we have experienced an upward trend from the $50 mark, with the price currently moving within an ascending channel. At present, the price is situated at the midline of this channel. The outlook remains predominantly bullish, and it is expected that after a brief consolidation, the price could rise to the previous peak of $78.
Furthermore, if the price breaks above the previous all-time high (ATH), we may witness further gains towards the targets of $80, $85, and even $90. To better understand the continuation of this upward trend, it will be crucial to observe how the price reacts to these anticipated levels. The potential trend is also illustrated in the accompanying chart.
Key support levels for this bullish scenario are found between $65 and $60. If these supports are lost and the price stabilizes below them, the bullish analysis will lose its credibility.
💢 This is just my personal analysis, not financial advice. If you found this helpful, feel free to like and comment – I'd love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
Amazon.comHello community,
A little analysis of Amazon stock.
We must watch the break of the trend line.
The movement is bullish, the 200-period simple average is bullish.
The 3 green zones on the chart indicate the accumulation zones.
The end-of-year holidays should be beneficial for the stock.
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
► Thank you for boosting, commenting, subscribing!
AMD: New bullish wave to $197 has started.Advanced Micro Devices have entered a healthy bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.730, MACD = 0.360, ADX = 17.320) as the price crossed over the 1D MA200 today, with the 1D RSI above its MA since yesterday. Technically, it has started the 3rd bullish wave of the 3 month Channel Up. The two waves before this have risen by at least +31%, and that is our next target (TP = 197.00) for the next 2 months.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Uranium Energy Corporation (UEC) AnalysisCompany Overview: Uranium Energy Corporation AMEX:UEC is strategically positioned for growth with the restart of its in-situ recovery (ISR) uranium production at the Christensen Ranch project. This project commenced sending resin to the Irigaray Central Processing Plant in August 2024, marking a significant step in UEC’s operational ramp-up.
Key Catalysts:
Global Nuclear Energy Demand: The increasing demand for nuclear energy, propelled by partnerships with major technology firms like Google and Amazon, bolsters UEC’s market position. These collaborations highlight the role of nuclear energy in achieving sustainability and energy security amid growing global energy needs.
Strategic Focus on North America: UEC's emphasis on North American uranium production aligns with recent U.S. and EU bans on Russian uranium, ensuring a reliable domestic supply. This local production capability enhances UEC's competitive advantage in the face of geopolitical challenges affecting the uranium market.
Unhedged Strategy: UEC’s unhedged approach allows investors to benefit directly from rising uranium prices, which are currently hovering around $80/lb. This strategy positions UEC favorably to capitalize on the anticipated increase in uranium demand and prices in the coming years.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on UEC above the $6.50-$7.00 range, as the resumption of production and the company’s strategic initiatives pave the way for significant growth opportunities. Upside Potential: Our target for UEC is set at $14.00-$15.00, driven by strong market fundamentals, the growing demand for nuclear energy, and UEC's proactive approach to domestic production.
🚀 UEC—Capitalizing on the Future of Clean Energy. #NuclearEnergy #UraniumMarket #CleanEnergyGrowth
NVIDIA at a Crossroads: Breakout to $150+ or a Dip to $138 Morning, trading family! Hope you’re all doing well. Let’s chat about NVDA—things are shaping up, and it feels like we’re at a bit of a crossroads. I’ve got a few scenarios in mind, so let’s walk through them together.
Scenario 1:
If we can break above this trendline, NVDA could gather some steam and make a nice run into the 150s. That would be a pretty strong move, and if momentum holds, we could keep cruising higher from there.
Scenario 2:
There’s also the chance we dip down into the 139-138 zone first. If buyers show up here, it might just be a little reset—kind of like taking a breath before pushing higher again.
Scenario 3:
If the market decides to break below 138, we could see a deeper pullback toward 136. It might feel like a bigger drop, but that could be the market giving us a better entry point before it starts building back up.
The key here is not to get ahead of things—just let the market show us its hand. It’s all about staying patient and prepared. What do you guys think? Do we break up, or do we get a dip first? I’d love to hear your thoughts—drop a comment below and let’s talk it through.
Mindbloome Trading/ Kris
Trade What You See
Genus Power Infra: Bullish Breakout – Buy now for higher targets🔍 Technical Analysis: NSE:GENUSPOWER (NSE: GENUSPOWER)
1️⃣ Overview:
📈 Current Market Price (CMP): ₹430.15 (+2.26%)
🗓️ Date & Time: As of 15:25 (UTC+5:30)
🕹️ Chart Analysis: Daily (1D)
2️⃣ Technical Indicators Overview:
📊 Moving Averages:
🟢 50-Day EMA: ₹399.89, currently acting as a support zone.
🔵 200-Day EMA: ₹332.71, indicating the longer-term trend remains positive.
📦 Volume Profile: Strong demand visible between ₹360-₹380, suggesting robust buying interest at lower levels.
📈 MACD: Bullish crossover with the MACD line above the signal line, implying momentum is still positive.
MACD Line: 3.76
Signal Line: 1.04
Histogram: 📈 Positive, indicating rising momentum.
📉 Williams %R (14): At -5.59, signaling overbought conditions, which might result in a short-term pullback.
💹 Stochastic RSI (14, 3): At 100, indicating strong bullish momentum, though caution is advised as overbought zones can precede minor corrections.
🟣 Parabolic SAR: Positioned below the price, supporting the ongoing uptrend.
3️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The stock is retracing from the swing high of ₹451.55 to the swing low of ₹351.05.
📐 38.2% Retracement: ₹399.30 – Strong support.
📐 50% Retracement: ₹414.05 – Intermediate resistance.
📐 61.8% Retracement: ₹428.80 – Currently breached, signaling bullish strength.
📐 78.6% Retracement: ₹442.80 – Next resistance level to watch .
4️⃣ Rationale for Buy:
🚀 Breakout above 61.8% Fibonacci Level: The breach above ₹428.80 indicates a potential continuation of the upward move.
🔥 Bullish Momentum: MACD crossover, Stochastic RSI in overbought territory, and Parabolic SAR below the price all point to a continuation of the bullish trend.
📈 Volume Surge: Increased volume activity supports the bullish move, suggesting robust buying interest.
📦 Demand Zone: The significant demand between ₹360-₹380 acts as a strong base, providing a good risk-reward opportunity for entry.
5️⃣ Recommendation:
🔔 Action: Buy
🎯 Target 1: ₹442.80 (78.6% Fibonacci Level)
🎯 Target 2: ₹451.55 (Recent Swing High)
🛑 Stop Loss: ₹414.05 (50% Fibonacci Level) to protect against downside risk.
6️⃣ Risk Management:
📥 Entry Strategy: Consider entering near the current price or on minor pullbacks towards the 61.8% retracement level (₹428.80).
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The trade setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:2 based on defined targets and stop-loss levels.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is based on technical indicators and market patterns and is intended for educational purposes. Market conditions may change, and this is not investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
#GenusPower 🚀 #TechnicalAnalysis 📊 #StockMarket 📈 #FibonacciLevels 📐 #SwingTrading 💹 #MACD 🔵 #StochasticRSI 💠 #VolumeProfile 📦 #BuyRecommendation 🛒 #IndianStocks 🇮🇳 #NSE 📉 #FinogentSolutions 💼
Zebra Technologies (ZBRA) AnalysisCompany Overview: Zebra Technologies NASDAQ:ZBRA is making significant strides in AI integration within its enterprise asset intelligence and data capture services. The company is positioning itself as a leader in AI-driven innovation, with broad applications across multiple sectors. CEO Bill Burns has emphasized the strong rebound in enterprise mobile computing, reflecting sustained demand for Zebra’s innovative solutions.
Key Catalysts:
AI Integration: The use of AI in enterprise solutions is key to Zebra’s growth strategy. By enhancing its asset intelligence and data capture services, Zebra is positioned to lead in industries such as logistics, retail, and healthcare. AI can drive operational efficiency and improve decision-making for its clients, increasing demand for its advanced technologies.
Strong Enterprise Demand: The rebound in enterprise mobile computing across verticals signals long-term demand for Zebra's mobile and automation solutions, further solidifying its market leadership.
Productivity and Cost Savings Plan: Zebra’s 2024 Productivity Plan and Voluntary Retirement Plan aim to achieve $120 million in annualized savings, which should lead to improved profitability. These cost-saving measures could enhance both gross margins and operational efficiency, providing additional capital for strategic investments in technology.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on ZBRA above $340.00-$345.00, with the integration of AI in its services, coupled with cost-saving initiatives, positioning the company for sustained growth. Upside Potential: Our upside target is $500.00-$510.00, driven by increased AI adoption, strong demand in mobile computing, and the financial benefits from its productivity and cost-reduction efforts.
🚀 ZBRA—Leading the Future with AI and Enterprise Intelligence. #AIInnovation #MobileComputing #CostEfficiency
VISA: 2 year Channel Up seeks the next bullish wave.Visa is on a neutral 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.426, MACD = 2.190, ADX = 43.132) and just above neutrality levels on 1W (RSI = 56.042) as despite being supported by the 1W MA50, it has been rejected twice on the R1 level. That would have been concerning on any other occasion but this time it's not as we consider this similar to the November 2022 R1 pullback, which after being contained by the 1W MA50, it reversed to the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. The 1W RSI trading above its MA for 2 months now, is also similar to October-November 2022. Consequently, we turn bullish again, aiming for the 1.382 Fib (TP = 305.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
GANDHAR OIL BUY NOW Stock Name - GANDHAR OIL REFINERS
Trend - Uptrend Focus on Buy
Good Fundamentals take this stock .
Trade Reason :
Day - Uptrend and Complete Correction at Golden ratio Level 0.618 .
1Hr - Trend Reversed - Confirm the Entry .
Entry - 225 Rs
Stoploss - 217 Rs
Target - 244 Rs
Happy Trading ...
TATACOMM: Ascending Channel Breakdown & Critical Support LevelsPattern Identified:
The stock is trading within an ascending channel (parallel trendlines) that has been in formation since early 2021. Recently, it appears to be approaching the l ower support of the channel , signaling potential risks of a breakdown if selling pressure continues.
Key Technical Observations:
Channel Breakdown Threat: The price has been trending within an upward-sloping channel. However, it recently fell sharply from the upper boundary of the channel and is now testing the lower boundary. A confirmed breakdown below the lower trendline could trigger a further downtrend.
Critical Support Levels:
The ₹1,783 level has held strong as an immediate support zone. If broken, the next support lies at ₹1,693 , a significant historical level from previous price action.
A break below ₹1,693 could lead to a deeper correction, potentially targeting the ₹1,500-1,400 zone.
Resistance Levels: If the stock manages to bounce, it will face overhead resistance at:
₹1,873 (previous resistance)
₹2,000 (psychological barrier)
₹2,200 (channel top)
Moving Averages:
The stock is currently hovering near its 20-week EMA , which aligns with the lower channel support.
It is also far above its 200-week EMA , indicating long-term uptrend strength, though the current pullback should be monitored closely.
Volume and RSI:
Volume spiked during recent sell-offs, suggesting a significant distribution phase.
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is nearing oversold territory, which might lead to a short-term bounce. However, a lower RSI could indicate bearish momentum persisting.
Outlook:
A channel breakdown may indicate a trend reversal, with the possibility of a deeper correction towards ₹1,500 if key support levels don’t hold.
Traders should watch for a confirmed breakdown or a bounce off the lower channel to time potential trades.
Conclusion: The stock is at a pivotal point, testing the lower boundary of its ascending channel. A decisive move below the ₹1,783 support could accelerate the downside, whereas a successful defense might offer a good risk-reward for a bounce. Investors should closely monitor price action and volume for signs of confirmation.
Bharat Electronics Ltd: Key Support Zone and Potential Breakout Technical Overview
Descending Triangle Pattern:
The price action appears to be forming a descending triangle, which is typically considered a bearish continuation pattern. The triangle's resistance line is a downward-sloping trendline connecting the series of lower highs, and the support is horizontal around the 270-265 INR level.
Support and Resistance:
Immediate Resistance: The first resistance is at 289.60 INR, as indicated by the horizontal line.
Major Resistance: Above this, significant resistance exists around 312.70 INR and 340.25 INR.
Support Zone: The highlighted yellow area between 265-270 INR indicates strong support. The price has tested this zone multiple times without breaking down, suggesting that it is a key area to watch for either a bounce or a breakdown.
Moving Averages:
50-Day Moving Average: The price is currently close to the 50-day moving average. A breakout or breakdown from this average could provide a signal for further price movement.
200-Day Moving Average: The 200-day moving average is trending upwards and acts as long-term support. It's a key indicator for identifying the overall trend, which remains bullish in the long term.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
The RSI is showing a bullish divergence. Even though the price has made a lower low, the RSI has formed a higher low, signaling a potential reversal or bounce from the current levels.
Volume:
There is a noticeable drop in volume over the recent sessions, suggesting that traders are waiting for a decisive move. If the price breaks either the support or resistance lines, a spike in volume will likely confirm the direction of the move.
Target Price:
Bullish Target: If the price breaks above the descending triangle and crosses the resistance at 289.60 INR, the next target could be 312.70 INR, with a long-term target around 340.25 INR.
Bearish Target: A breakdown below 265 INR could lead to further declines, with the next significant support level around 240 INR.
Conclusion:
The stock is currently trading near a critical support zone in a descending triangle pattern. Given the bullish divergence in the RSI, there's potential for a bounce. However, traders should wait for a breakout above the 289.60 INR level for bullish confirmation or a breakdown below 265 INR for bearish continuation.
Risk/Reward Tip: Use stop-loss strategies close to support and resistance levels to manage risk effectively, as either scenario (breakout or breakdown) can lead to significant moves.
WE GOT A 5/5 TRADE SETUP ON MBLY. LARGE MOVE INCOMING! NASDAQ:MBLY
🖐️WE GOT A 5/5 TRADE SETUP ON MOBILEYE.
My trading strategy consists of 5 Indicators:
1.) A clear and clean Charting pattern setup.
✔️For this chart that is a symmetrical pattern.
2.) A Volume Gap to fill and strong buying area.
✔️ Clearly sitting on a large "Volume shelf" - JW
3.) The MACD up trending. Crossing Zero line=Bullish
✔️ We are indeed up trending and a Zero line crossing is imminent for this chart.
4.) Stochastic rising and making higher lows.
✔️ Up trending and just crossed the middle RSI band. Higher lows are being made on this chart.
5.) Weekly Stochastic Up Trend. Most bullish once it crosses up through lower band or down through upper band.
✔️ Clearly had a red through yellow flip and are up trending on this charts stochastic heading toward Lower band.
Bonus: We are staying above the 50MA and about to have the 25MA cross upward through the 50MA as well (BULLISH Signal). Finally, I've been following this stock for awhile now and every market open we get a massive amount of short volume in order to try and drive down the stock and get the 20% of shareholders who aren't NASDAQ:INTC to sell them their shares for them to cover at lower prices.
I hope you enjoyed it!
Like ❤️ Follow 🤳 Share 🔂
NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY AMEX:IWM NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:ENPH NASDAQ:SBUX NYSE:MCD #Stock #stocks #Stockmarket #EarningsReport #TradingTips #investing #investingideas
ZensarTec Ready to Rally! Waiting for Targets to Fire!Technical Analysis:
ZensarTec on the 15-minute timeframe is poised for a long trade after a solid entry signal. The price is currently moving upward, following the support from the Risological Dotted Trendline, confirming the strength in momentum.
Key Levels:
Entry: 680.00
Stop Loss (SL): 658.20
Target 1 (TP1): 706.90 (Next target)
Target 2 (TP2): 750.50
Target 3 (TP3): 794.05
Target 4 (TP4): 821.00
Observations:
The price has recently shown signs of strength, bouncing off the Risological Dotted Trendline and gaining bullish momentum.
With volume support, the price is likely to hit the initial target of TP1 soon, potentially leading to a cascade of target completions.
ZensarTec is gearing up for an upward breakout as it tests its first target. Watch for TP1 to confirm and the possibility of higher targets being hit as bullish momentum builds. Stay tuned for a strong price movement ahead!
BlueStarCo Soars from 747.95 to 1926: All Targets Reached!BlueStarCo has shown a remarkable bullish run since entering at 747.95 on 6th September 2023. The price has not only reached all take profit targets but also surged far beyond expectations, currently trading at 1926.
Key Levels:
Entry: 747.95 – This marked the point where the bullish momentum took hold.
Stop-Loss (SL): 724.85 – Positioned below the entry to minimize downside risk.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 776.55 – Reached early in the trade, confirming a strong start.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 822.80 – Hit as the upward momentum continued.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 869.10 – Met, indicating strong sustained buying pressure.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 897.65 – Final target hit, followed by a significant price surge beyond all targets.
Trend Analysis:
The price action has been well-supported by the Risological dotted trendline, confirming a consistent uptrend. The continuous rise from the entry point shows no signs of reversal, with the current price sitting at 1926, nearly doubling the initial entry value. Traders who held on to this trade have seen tremendous returns, and further gains are still possible as the momentum remains strong.
JPM: Overbought on 1M. Buying becomes risky now.JP Morgan is almost overbought on its 1M technical outlook (RSI = 69.452, MACD = 20.800, ADX = 54.049), trading very close to the top of the 12 year Channel Up. Being overbought on the wider/ longest timeframe available, indicates trend exhastion and a potential bearish reversal. Basically, we continue to use the same pattern that helped us get a strong buy last time and this time it shows that the last two times the 1M RSI was this overbought, the stock pulled back to at least the 0.236 Fibonacci level. Consequently we expect a lengthy but relatively controlled correction to start in the coming candles to test the 0.236 Fib and approach the 1M MA50 (TP = 187.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Sweetgreen (SG) AnalysisCompany Overview: Sweetgreen NYSE:SG is strategically expanding its footprint, with four new restaurant openings in Q2 2024, including a significant location in New Hampshire. This move underscores Sweetgreen's focus on untapped markets, aimed at driving revenue growth and geographic diversification.
Key Catalysts:
Expansion into New Markets: Opening in new locations, particularly in New Hampshire, demonstrates Sweetgreen’s plan to broaden its market presence, catering to new customer bases, which could meaningfully contribute to its overall growth trajectory.
Infinite Kitchen Concept: The successful implementation of the Infinite Kitchen at Penn Plaza is a game-changer. This innovative concept, which reduces wait times to under 3 minutes while improving operational efficiency, enhances the customer experience. As this model is scaled across more locations, Sweetgreen stands to gain from higher margins and enhanced customer satisfaction, potentially leading to stronger unit economics.
Operational Efficiency: The Infinite Kitchen rollout improves labor productivity and reduces operational bottlenecks, allowing Sweetgreen to serve more customers in less time. This could be instrumental in improving both top-line growth and profit margins.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We remain bullish on SG above $33.00-$34.00, with the company's ability to innovate through its Infinite Kitchen model and its focus on entering new markets. Upside Potential: Our upside target for SG is $62.00-$64.00, driven by operational improvements, increased restaurant count, and scalability of its efficient kitchen model, which should bolster profitability and revenue growth.
🚀 SG—Innovating in Food Service with Efficiency and Expansion. #RestaurantGrowth #OperationalExcellence #Scalability