Unveiling Alibaba's Secrets: A Technical Analysis of Its Future NYSE:BABA
Based on the weekly ElliotWaves analysis , BABA is currently in a corrective wave structure. The corrective wave structure is a complex wave pattern that can take many different forms. However, the most common corrective wave structure is a three-wave ABC pattern.
BABA appears to be in the wave B of the corrective wave structure. Wave B is a retracement of wave A.
We can expect to see BABA continue to move higher in the coming weeks . However, it is important to note that wave B retracements can be sharp and volatile, so we may have a final push on the downside, before the long-term uptrend begins.
Therefore, it is important to be cautious when trading BABA during the wave B retracement and a stronger price confirmation is needed.
BABA's RSI is currently at approx. 50, which is neutral territory. This suggests that BABA is neither overbought nor oversold. However, the RSI is trending higher, which suggests that BABA is likely to continue to move higher in the coming weeks.
BABA's MACD is currently above its signal line, which is a bullish signal. This suggests that BABA is likely to continue to move higher in the coming weeks.
Potential Direction of BABA on a Weekly Timeframe
Based on the ElliotWaves, RSI, MACD, and other technical tactics, BABA is likely to continue to move higher in the coming weeks. However, it is important to note that the market is unpredictable and there is always the possibility of a trend reversal. Therefore, it is important to be cautious when trading BABA and to use a stop-loss order to protect your profits.
I hope this post is helpful.
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ABL.N0000Buy Zone has been mentioned in above chart.
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EIHOTEL - INVEST & HOLD FOR 2 MONTHSEntry Level : 222
SL : 202
Targets : 242,256,273+
52wk High : 274.95
52wk Low : 150.35
Mkt Cap : 139.49 B
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SPX: I think it is bullishThe recent correction has everyone rattled. Debt crisis, Fed crisis, Rate crisis, Crises everywhere. On Monday Oct 2nd, market closed with a tail candle that retested 200 EMA and put in a higher low. This itself is a pretty bullish sign, albeit, nothing is certain at the moment. What we do not see is a close below 200 SMA, retest and failure. Bull case is a price movement above 4330 and eventually a break of the resistance trendline.
EW count-wise I believe minute degree wave 4 is complete, although, it can still be a triangle and keep chopping for the month of October as well. Either case, Minute 5 or Minor 3 target would be at an ATH 4827. This price action is following Fibonacci pinball to the T. Minor 4 could also take a couple more months to play out before putting in the intermediate degree wave A or 3 at little of 5k. But that is still far away. NDX is taking the lead on this recovery, which is a very good sign as well. I am going to put in my target trades probably tomorrow. Let's see how it goes!
Time for Pain $SPYAMEX:SPY is now at its support on the Weekly Chart. This support, around the $420 level, is the last major support before we would reach the next target (Pink Box).
The Pink Box is the Median Line of the Downwards facing Orange Pitchfork. Alan Andrew's states that 'price has an 80% chance of reaching the latest median line'. In order to achieve that 80% rule, and to create a double bottom, that point would be around the beginning of 2024 and the $350 price point.
IF this scenario were to play out (Bonds are crashing as I type this up), then we would see about a ~15-20% Selloff.. And that is just to the median line. There is also a 35% chance that we go FURTHER beyond that median line (if achieved).
Buckle up.
Netflix's Bullish Trend Ending: Traders, Prepare for Downtrend!Hi Realistic Traders. Here's my price action analysis on Netflix
In our close examination of NFLX, the streaming titan, a compelling narrative unfolds. Initially, a double-top pattern emerged between July 2020 and January 2022, followed by a significant breakout from the neckline. This breakout confirmed a bearish reversal, resulting in a remarkable 70% decline from its peak.
However, the plot deepens. NFLX recently revisited its double-top pattern's neckline while concurrently crafting a channel chart pattern. Adding to the intrigue, NFLX struggled to regain its former heights and descended below both the lower trendline and the dynamic support line, a classic sign of a sustained bearish trajectory.
Not to be overlooked, the Stochastic indicator chimed in with a bearish divergence, providing further validation for the impending downward movement.
Our target price? Set conservatively at under $300.
Traders, prepare for a captivating journey ahead!
It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/resistance area is reached.
Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below!
Disclaimer:
"Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on NASDAQ:NFLX ."
TESLA Over the 4H MA50 again. Hyper leg rally is starting.Tesla closed over the 4H MA50 again, a strong display of bullish momentum, turning the 1D technical outlook marginally bullish again (RSI = 55.241, MACD = -0.880, ADX = 30.931). The 4H MACD formed a Bullish Cross, same as April 28th that was a bottom on the Channel Up pattern. We stick to our long term TP = 325.00.
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LDEV.N0000Having a resistance on 200 Daily MA and support around 50 Daily MA.
Closely monitor two buy zones.
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
GRAN.N0000There is a gap in above chart. There is a possibility that gap will be filled in near future.
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
SciPlay | SCPLIt's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story even if these companies are loss-making. Unfortunately, these high risk investments often have little probability of ever paying off, and many investors pay a price to learn their lesson. While a well funded company may sustain losses for years, it will need to generate a profit eventually, or else investors will move on and the company will wither away.
If this kind of company isn't your style, you like companies that generate revenue, and even earn profits, then you may well be interested in SciPlay. While this doesn't necessarily speak to whether it's undervalued, the profitability of the business is enough to warrant some appreciation especially if its growing.
If a company can keep growing earnings per share long enough, its share price should eventually follow. That makes EPS growth an attractive quality for any company. We can see that in the last three years SciPlay grew its EPS by 13% per year. That's a good rate of growth, if it can be sustained.
Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. While SciPlay did well to grow revenue over the last year, EBIT margins were dampened at the same time. If EBIT margins are able to stay balanced and this revenue growth continues, then we should see brighter days ahead.
You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.You don't drive with your eyes on the rear-view mirror, so you might be more interested in this free report showing analyst forecasts for SciPlay's future profits.
It's a good habit to check into a company's remuneration policies to ensure that the CEO and management team aren't putting their own interests before that of the shareholder with excessive salary packages. Our analysis has discovered that the median total compensation for the CEOs of companies like SciPlay with market caps between US$2.0b and US$6.4b is about US$6.7m.
The CEO of SciPlay only received US$3.3m in total compensation for the year ending December 2022. That's clearly well below average, so at a glance that arrangement seems generous to shareholders and points to a modest remuneration culture. CEO remuneration levels are not the most important metric for investors, but when the pay is modest, that does support enhanced alignment between the CEO and the ordinary shareholders. It can also be a sign of good governance, more generally.
One important encouraging feature of SciPlay is that it is growing profits. To add to this, the modest CEO compensation should tell investors that the directors have an active interest in delivering the best for shareholders. So based on its merits, the stock deserves further research, if not an addition to your watchlist. While we've looked at the quality of the earnings, we haven't yet done any work to value the stock. So if you like to buy cheap, you may want to check if SciPlay is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
Shares of SciPlay Corp. rose after the company agreed to be acquired by Light & Wonder.
There's always the possibility of doing well buying stocks that are not growing earnings and do not have insiders buying shares. But for those who consider these important metrics, we encourage you to check out companies that do have those features or you can count on our experts.
US10Y: Soaring Bond Yields as Federal Reserve Maintains Hawkish The Fed Hawkish Stance
During Wednesday's address, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reinforced his stance on tackling inflation with a more cautious approach. He emphasized that the central bank is not yet finished with its efforts to curb inflation and hinted at the possibility of implementing multiple interest rate increases during future monetary policy meetings.
Powell's statement comes as a response to the ongoing challenge of bringing down inflation, which has consistently remained above the central bank's target of 2%. Notably, some Fed officials have emphasized in recent speeches that inflationary pressures persist. They specifically highlight core inflation, which excludes the volatile prices of food and gas, as not decelerating as rapidly as overall inflation.
The aforementioned statement supports the potential scenario of higher Government Bond Yields in the future, as an increase in interest rates typically correlates with elevated yields.
Technical Analsyis
The U.S. government's 10-Year Bond Yield has undergone a retracement, precisely at the 0.5 Fibonacci ratio, establishing a support area. Notably, the yield currently exhibits a bullish trend as it remains above the EMA 200 line, indicating positive market sentiment. Furthermore, the Falling wedge pattern suggests a continuation of the prevailing trend. Complementing this observation, the stochastic line crosses within the neutral area, further bolstering the case for a possible upward movement toward the target area.
It is important to keep in mind that once the target/support area is reached, the roadmap provided may no longer be valid.
If you find this analysis helpful, I encourage you to show your support by clicking the rocket button and sharing your opinions in the comments section below.
"Disclaimer: This analysis is intended solely for educational purposes and should not be considered as a recommendation to take a long or short position on the TVC:US10Y ."
CHEVRON: Best buy on the current market conditions.Chevron is trading inside a Channel Up pattern with the 1D technical outlook bearish (RSI = 42.924, MACD = 1.030, ADX = 27.596). This is expected since the 1D RSI entered the Buy Zone where the last two HH legs started. As seen on the chart, the price hit the bottom of the Channel Up, a standard buy entry inside such patterns. The slightest rebound will also form a 1D Golden Cross. The stock is therefore sitting on a triple buy signal, with an obvious R Zone right above it. We are targeting the R2 level (TP = 172.90).
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COCA-COLA: Bad for your health and pocket?The Coca-Cola company has been inside a non-stop decline since July 27th, rending the 1D timeframe technically oversold massively (RSI = 20.830, MACD = -1.200, ADX = 60.609). Even on the 1W timeframe that we are looking at, the 1W RSI (28.402) is on its lowest valuation since COVID.
The stock crossed under the 1W MA200, which supported last October (2022), and is about to enter the S1 Zone. When it does, we can attempt a first buy, keep it as long as the Zone's bottom is intact and target the top of the Channel Down pattern (TP = 63.50). If it crosses under the S1 Zone, we will attempt one last buy at the bottom of the Channel Down, again targeting its top (TP = 62.00).
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Island reversal pattern forming for Home Depot?Island reversal pattern forming for Home Depot NYSE:HD ?
Started in Feb 22 almost a year ago after earnings report.
If it completes, exceeding 339, then it will be a bullish reversal and 400-420 will be in play. So for next earnings it's possible that price will gap higher. Still watching though.
This is not advice. Do your own research and trade your own plan!!
COSTCO: Watch this buy breakout level leading to All Time HighsCostco Wholesale Corporation is testing the R1 level (571.65) for the third day straight on a nicely balanced bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.287, MACD = 2.930, ADX = 22.559). Since the dominant pattern thus far is a Channel Up, if the 1D candle closes over the R1 level, traders should regard it as a bullish breakout opportunity, targeting the R2 level (TP = 612.00) which is the stocks ATH.
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NFLX, Severe Factors to Confirm Huge BEARISH-Wave Breakout Next!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis of NFLX. The NFLX price action already determined a heavily bearishly inclined bear-market wave towards the downside printing a bearish wave of over -70% and liquidating a ton load of bull-trapped positions with the crucial bearish wave A. Now, NFLX is in this meager uptrend which is not anything than a next continuation pattern as the volume is decreasing and the institutional smart money operator's short-side positions increased heavily.
Now, NFLX is already approaching the crucial upper distribution resistance channel within the gigantic bearish descending channel formation from where the next bearish wave towards the downside is likely to emerge next. In this case, the next bearish wave acceleration phase is going to happen when NFLX breaks out below the 100-EMA which will be the last frontier to the massive bearish determinations to follow once this breakout happened.
With the huge ascending wedge formation that NFLX formed before the bear market decline, NFLX already set the origin of this bearishly inclined structure. This means that with the current weak uptrend that has no volume, no momentum, and no smart money backing the final bearish bear flag breakout is more than overwhelmingly likely. Once this breakout has been activated it is going to be the origin of the bearish expansion wave C towards the lower levels.
Taking all these factors into consideration NFLX is definitely a bearish inclined stock currently and the major disruptional bearish momentum continuations are likely to emerge anytime soon. In this case, it is necessary to approach the short-side opportunity appropriately, a potential entry setup has already formed as the volume declines more and more and NFLX already finalized the bear flag formation. Because of the significance of this whole bearishly inclined determination, I am keeping NFLX on the short candidate's watchlist.
Thank you everybody for watching my idea about NFLX. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
"In a bear market, you have to use sharp countertrend rallies to sell."
VP
DELL, Massive BULLISH Price-Action Spikes, EXPANSION-Setup!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis of DELL. In recent times I have spotted and analyzed important setups in the stock market that have the ability to emerge with a worthwhile hedge against the severe inflation, recession, and supply-chain events currently going on. In today's times, it is more than necessary to pick the gems that have the potential to be the primary hedge for the crucial transformational events going on. In this case, my main approach within the stock market is to only pick the top trading setup opportunities to move forward with a total-return approach to hedge against bearish liquidation events.
With DELL, it has to be mentioned that DELL had the ability to emerge with this momentous all-time-high breakout printing this over 30% bullish spike wave towards the upside. In this case, the volume is also an important factor here, because without the increased volume this would just be a huge bull trap and the bears are likely to turn the market again. However, this is not the case and DELL had the ability to confirm this important bullish price-action spike with the necessary volume confirming it as a legit breakout and establishing the base for further expansions.
Together with this major all-time-high breakout DELL also is trending in this gigantic expansional wave-count with the wave A and B already being completed and now the wave C is within the expansion phase. This means that with the bull-flag formation that completed wave B the DELL price-action already set a 350% wave expansion target within the 180-200 area. Especially when the volatility as it is currently doing increases 3x, 4x, 5x, or more this means that these targets will be reached at a much faster pace than is the case with other setups in the market.
Currently, DELL is already forming the continuation setup with the ascending triangle on the local term which will be completed within the next time, especially when this happens with a high volatility the increased momentum will be determined. Because of the significance of this important setup and because DELL has been approved as a major potential gem I am keeping the stock on my watchlist and elevating important changes, especially in terms of events that could trigger a huge demand rally here.
Thank you everybody for watching my idea about DELL. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
“Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.”
VP
ORCL, Crucial, Massive Double-TOP, BEARISH-Triangle Setup!Hello There!
Welcome to my new idea about ORCL. In recent times ORCL already increased with heavy bearish determinations towards the downside as it printed this massive bearish momentum spike candle forming a -15% dump and liquidating almost over 100 Billion positions. Such crucial bearish inclinations should be never underestimated because especially in a time in which the stock market is forming several mixed determinations it is necessary to consider such stocks as ORCL as potential short-side stocks, especially with continued bearish momentum. This is why I have analyzed the main underlying dynamics within the analytics backend to consider to most prevalent crucial dynamics in this current market.
As when looking at my chart ORCL continued to emerge with the major -15% dump from the most severe upper 125 resistance level from where it already pulled back towards the bearish direction in the past. Now, as ORCL emerged with these bearish spikes towards the bearish directions it moved below the previous support levels at 114 and marked several crucial lower lows below this level exaggerating the bearish momentum especially as these previous supports are now major resistances. Furthermore, ORCL dumped below the main 100-EMA and 200-EMA, these two EMAs are now major resistance levels together with the 114 resistance indicating that there is not of a lot possibility for ORCL to turn around and move above these crucial resistances again.
On the bigger global scale ORCL has completed a major double-top formation breaking below the 114 area as marked in my chart, especially as the second top has formed with this accelerated bearish momentum this double-top is the most prevalent formation within this whole determination. Furthermore, now that ORCL has dumped below the main levels it is forming a confirmational triangle formation below the 114 level and this triangle formation is about to be finalized within the next times. The triangle formation will be finalized with ORCL dumping below the lower boundary of the formation as marked in my chart and once this breakout has shown up this is going to be the origin of the wave-C extensions towards the downside. With the completion of the double top and the bearish triangle formation, ORCL will have set up a doubled bearish ABC wave count.
Taking all the major prevalent determining factors into consideration here it has to be mentioned that ORCL is in a crucial bearish development that has the ability to increase with the bearish momentum acceleration every time soon especially as ORCL already confirmed several main bearish determinations here. The completion of this major bearish momentum acceleration is going to form the next -15% dump into the targets of 95 and investor's open interest turning into a bearish sentiment is likely to increase this dynamic to an accelerated determination. It has to be mentioned that not every stock within the market is so bearishly inclined like ORCL, this is why this formation within ORCL is important right now. Such determinations can offer important hedge potential opportunities when considering a total-return approach considering other assets like the DXY and bonds are up, this is going to be an important bearish indication for ORCL as well.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of ORCL. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
IBM, This is Huge, Massive BULL-Acceleration, BREAKOUT-Setup!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis of IBM. In recent times I have analyzed the stock and I have detected major important historical determinations within the analytics backend that are actually indicating an epical breakout has a high potential to emerge within the next times. Not every stock within the market is bullish however with IBM there are clear signs that it already had the potential to rebound since the grievous corona market shock lows and now as digitization increases this is already building a bullish base for IBM.
Within my chart, I have detected this gigantic inverse head-shoulder formation in combination with the paramount bull flag formation, both being two bullish formations that have the potential to be major bullish trend accelerants once the breakout above the boundary has shown up this is going to activate a major double confirmation here. The trend is supported by the major underlying demand structure as well as the EMAs and the main ascending trend line. Once the final breakout above the upper boundary of the inverse head-shoulder formation in combination with the upper boundary of the bull flag has shown up this is going to accelerate the demand trend dynamics.
Taking all these factors into consideration here as digitization since the corona pullback lows have been completed increased massively this is increasing the actual digitization demand within the market and for a stock like IBM, this means that there is a main underlying demand base that is accelerating a bullish trend dynamic. Once the main breakouts as mentioned within the next times have shown up this is going to activate the minimum target of 250 and above further continuations have an increased potential once the main demand and momentum spread into the trend direction increases. Because of the importance of this setup forming here, I am keeping the stock in my current watchlist.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of IBM. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
HPAL - At Support - Pullback TradeI identified this stock as a probable candidate for a breakout trade (Refer to the previous post linked here)
And we did see a breakout and run up to 540-550 levels.
Now the stock has come back to the breakout level, the previous resistance area which now would serve as a support area( 455-463)
and this week a hammer-like candle is also formed in the support area, portraying a good opportunity for a pullback trade.
The structure of the stock is still very positive and this could be a great risk to reward swing to positional trade.
The initial target is recent highs i.e. 540-550 and the further target is around 600 levels.
Close below 450 would negate the trade.
ADBE, Second BEAR-Fractal, SHORT-Momentum DOOMSDAY Incoming!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis of ADBE. This stock has been massively battered by the major bear market decline setup in the gigantic bear channel. This stock did not exceed any new highs and did not have the potential to emerge with new bull momentum. The bears are still present within this stock and this is exactly why the bear momentum for this stock can accelerate heavily any time soon. There are several major bearish indications that are underlining the bearish scenario for the stock in an overwhelmingly precarious way.
Three reasons why the bear doomsday scenario for the stock is present, starting any time soon:
1.) Massive Liquidations: Over 250 Billion positions have been liquidated within the previous bearish doomsday market decline wave towards the downside.
2.) Weak Momentum: The momentum with which the recent meager recovery wave setup is highly fragile and is likely to turn anytime soon.
3.) Major Short-Side Positioning: A vast amount of institutional and smart money operators are positioning their selves on the short side. Always an important indication especially with retail traders positioned in the other direction.
Why shorting the stock through the upcoming second bear doomsday scenario will be the best approach in the current and upcoming market conditions:
1.) Second bearish ascending wedge fractal: The stock is going to complete exactly the same bearish ascending wedge fractal towards the downside once again.
2.) Total-Return Approach: By shorting the stock a trader has the candidature to a total-return approach, the trader is profiting when prices fall and at other times when they go up.
3.) Liquidation Acceleration: Once the whole ascending fractal has been completed it will trigger a fast-paced bearish wave making profits much faster than in an uptrend.
The most prevalent determining indications that are going to activate the upcoming bear market scenario wave for the stock:
As it is seen in my chart ADBE completed the huge bearish ascending triangle fractal exactly by moving into the upper distribution zone from where it emerged with the pullback towards the downside and set up the massive 250 Billion bearish liquidation wave towards the downside. This wave developed very fast and by positioning oneself before this huge bearish wave and completion of the fractal towards the downside a trader could make a big load of profit in the market.
Now, ADBE is still trading within the gigantic descending channel formation in which it has the most prevalent upper resistance distribution channel which has been the origin of the massive bearish waves towards the downside before and is now already setting up the upcoming 300 Billion bearish liquidation wave towards the downside which is going to activate the completion of the second ascending wedge fractal and the preceding wave C towards the bearish direction.
In the next times, the whole bearish ascending wedge fractal will be completed with the breakout below the lower boundary followed by the breakout below the 65EMA and 100EMA from where the bearish trend acceleration is going to unfold huge accelerations towards the downside and the severe bearish continuations towards the lower target zones. Especially, in this case, the market could still continue beyond this level in the bearish direction.
Upcoming Perspectives and the major underlying factors that are primarily important for consideration on the short side for the stock, the sector, and the economic field:
It has to be mentioned that an economic field with high interest rates, spreading inflation, a stagnation within the sector is setting up the determination to increase this whole bearish wave development, especially with a more bearish volume moving into the market. Also, highly determining in this case is the actual technology developments because when they reverse in an economic field this will have massive bearish effects on the stock as well.
Now, for traders it is highly important to follow such market situations with the appropriate setup within the market, especially in such times it is necessary to have the right positioning within the market because a massive bearish pressure acceleration can start anytime soon considering a huge acceleration in the inflation, a smart money operator bearish market making in which the bearish conclusion will be inevitable, an expiring futures market in which a lot of futures turn to an bearish volatility in the market. This is why traders need to position their selves before all these heavy bearish scenarios are set up.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of ADBE. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP