Get started

Stocksignals

Welspun Corp Eyes ₹950! TP1 Hit, More Gains Ahead!Welspun Corp (WELCORP), on the 1-hour timeframe, has achieved TP1 and is showing a strong bullish trend, indicating potential movement toward TP2, TP3, and TP4. The Risological Swing Trading Indicator clearly identifies the trade setup with defined levels for an emotion-free strategy. Welspun Corp Key Levels: TP1: 764.60 ✅ TP2: 835.35 (Pending) TP3: 906.10 (Pending) TP4: 949.85 (Pending) Welspun Corp Technical Analysis: The entry point was at 720.90, and the trade setup was confirmed as the price crossed above the Risological Trend Line, signifying a bullish continuation. A safe stop-loss was placed at 685.55, ensuring effective risk management. The current consolidation near TP1 suggests a likely breakout to higher levels, with TP2 and TP3 being immediate targets. As momentum builds, traders should watch for signs of trend continuation or reversals near TP levels for maximizing gains.
NSE:WELCORPLong
by ProfitsNinja
Sonata Software Races to ₹675! TP4 Within Reach!Sonata Software, on the 1-hour timeframe, demonstrates a strong bullish momentum with TP1, TP2, and TP3 successfully achieved. TP4 is within close range and is likely to hit as the trend continues on the Risological Swing Trading Indicator. Sonata Software Key Levels: TP1: 587.45 ✅ TP2: 621.10 ✅ TP3: 654.75 ✅ TP4: 675.55 (Pending) Sonata Software Technical Analysis: The trade was initiated at 566.65, following a clear breakout above the Risological Trend Line. The consistent upward momentum indicates a strong trend, with well-marked take-profit levels and a tight stop-loss at 549.85 to manage risk effectively. With TP4 nearly achieved, the bullish momentum suggests further upside potential. Traders should closely monitor the price action near TP4 for possible profit-taking or further extension. Namaste!
NSE:SONATSOFTWLong
by ProfitsNinja
GPPL Targets 212! Hourly Swing Gains Surge!Gujarat Pipavav Port Ltd (GPPL), on the 1-hour timeframe, showcased a strong long trade setup using the Risological swing trading indicator . Targets 1 and 2 have been successfully achieved, and the trade is poised to hit the remaining targets as momentum builds. Key Levels: TP1: 184.51 ✅ TP2: 195.21 ✅ TP3: 205.91 (Pending) TP4: 212.53 (Pending) Technical Analysis: The entry was precisely placed at 177.90, supported by bullish signals from the Risological swing trader. The stop-loss was positioned at 172.55, ensuring a controlled risk approach. The Risological trend line validated the upward trend, allowing for a seamless move through the first two targets. The trade continues to show strength, with price action staying above key support levels. The setup suggests a high probability of reaching the next targets, backed by steady buying pressure.
NSE:GPPLLong
by ProfitsNinja
Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR): A Pioneer in Autonomous Vehicles Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) is a leader in the autonomous vehicle space, focused on developing cutting-edge self-driving technology for the transportation industry. Looking at the stock chart, we see a confirmation bar with increased volume, signaling strong investor interest. The stock is currently trading above the Fibonacci .236 support zone, which is considered a positive sign for potential upward movement. The indicators used to analyze the chart are the Fibonacci Snap Tool and the Momentum Zones indicators, both available in the indicator search tab. These tools help identify key support and resistance levels, as well as momentum shifts in the stock’s price, providing valuable insights for making informed trading decisions. Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) offers a suite of products, including its autonomous driving software and hardware, which are designed to be integrated into a range of vehicles, from trucks to passenger cars. Aurora's mission is to revolutionize the way people and goods move by creating safer, more efficient transportation solutions through automation. The main drivers of growth for Aurora Innovation include the rapid advancements in artificial intelligence and machine learning, the increasing demand for autonomous driving solutions, and partnerships with major industry players in automotive and logistics. As the world moves toward self-driving vehicles, Aurora is well-positioned to capitalize on these changes and drive growth in the sector.
NASDAQ:AURLong
by traderspro_charts
1
NVDIA Channel Up ready to explode in 2025 for a $350 target.NVIDIA corporation (NVDA) has started the week on a bullish 1W candle, following last week's reversal pattern. Technically that reversal is being formed exactly at the bottom of the long-term Channel Up pattern that started on the October 10 2022 market bottom. This 2-year pattern is technically very similar to the Channel Up that started on the weekly bottom of December 24 2018. The similarities between the two patterns are striking. As you can see both started after an oversold 1W RSI (<30.00) touch, which then formed Higher Lows, making the price rebound on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Then, using the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as the Support, the 2019 - 2021 Channel Up expanded all the way to the 6.0 Fibonacci extension, until the eventual break below the 1W MA50 and the 2022 Inflation Crisis. Observe also how similar their 1W RSI sequences are. Right now it appears that we are after a technical pull-back similar to May 10 2021. The 1W MA50 is supporting and the 1W RSI (which has already made a Double Bottom rebound (green circles)) is bouncing off its MA (yellow trend-line) and looking for a break-out above the (dotted) Channel Down. We have already set two Targets ($190 and $240) for on NVDIA on our previous analysis, but this time we move a little further, making a projection for the end of this Cycle. And the final Target is $350, exactly on the 6.0 Fibonacci extension, the level that formed the November 22 2021 Top. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TradingShot
6
HINDCOPPER : Riding the Liquidity Zone for a Strong Upswing1. Hindustan Copper Ltd. (HINDCOPPER) Current Price: ₹283.45 Chart Observations: The chart showcases a corrective wave labeled as A-B-C, where Wave (C) has approached a liquidity zone (₹252–₹268). This zone is supported by a deep retracement from the last swing low, aligning with Fibonacci 113%–127% levels, making it a potential demand zone. A Break of Structure (BoS) at the earlier swing low indicates seller dominance; however, the liquidity zone offers a counter-trend opportunity. A sharp upward projection anticipates price moving toward the target zone between ₹364 and ₹378. Buying Levels: First buying opportunity: ₹268–₹283 (inside the liquidity zone). Secondary aggressive entry: On confirmation of a bullish breakout above ₹292. Stop Loss: Place the stop loss at ₹252 . Use a dynamic trailing stop-loss strategy by adjusting it above the next immediate swing low as the stock advances. Target: First Target: ₹364 Second Target: ₹378 Pro Tip to Avoid SL Hunting: Monitor for rejections (e.g., long wicks, higher lows) at ₹268 levels before entering. Wait for confirmation of demand in this zone on shorter time frames like 1-hour or 4-hour charts. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only . Investments in stocks and financial markets involve risks, including the loss of principal. Always conduct your own due diligence or consult with a certified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:HINDCOPPERLong
by LiveTradingBox
Micron Technology ($MU): Strategic Buy with AI-Driven UpsideMicron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ): Strategic Buy with AI-Driven Upside Trade Setup: - **Buy Price:** $98.66 - **Stop-Loss:** $84.68 - **Take-Profit:** $160 to $180 **Rationale:** Micron Technology, a leader in memory and storage solutions, is poised to benefit from the growing demand in artificial intelligence (AI) applications. The company's advancements in high-bandwidth memory (HBM) position it favourably within the semiconductor industry. **Financial Performance:** In fiscal Q4 2024, Micron reported revenue of $7.75 billion, a significant increase from $4.01 billion in the same period last year. The GAAP net income was $887 million, or $0.79 per diluted share, marking a substantial turnaround from the previous year's loss. **Analyst Insights:** Analysts have set a 12-month average price target of $146.28, with estimates ranging from $90 to $250, indicating a potential upside of approximately 48% from the current price. **Risk Management:** The stop-loss at $84.68 helps mitigate downside risk, while the take-profit range of $160 to $180 offers a favorable risk-reward ratio. When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, Just Ride the Wave! *Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
NASDAQ:MULong
by SiriusTrading
2
SAP’s Cloud & AI MomentumSAP’s Cloud and AI Momentum: Why This Tech Giant Remains a Top Buy in 2024 SAP is a Germany based company specializing in enterprise application software It operates through three key segments: 1.Applications, Technology & Services: This segment focuses on selling software licenses, subscriptions to SAP’s cloud applications, and related services. It encompasses support services, various professional services, implementation services for SAP’s software products, and educational services to help customers effectively use SAP solutions 2.SAP Business Network:This segment includes SAP’s cloud-based collaborative business networks and related services. It covers cloud applications and professional and educational services related to the SAP Business Network. This segment also encompasses cloud offerings developed by SAP Ariba, SAP Fieldglass, and Concur, which facilitate supplier collaboration, workforce management, and expense management. 3.Customer Experience:This segment offers both on-premise and cloud-based products designed to manage front-office functions, focusing on customer experience management. It provides solutions that help businesses enhance and streamline interactions with customers. These segments enable SAP to offer a wide range of solutions, addressing enterprise needs from back-office functions to collaborative networks and customer-facing operations. SAP remains a top pick, with clear growth momentum that could accelerate further and potential for margin improvements. My buy rating remains unchanged. SAP reported its Q3 2024 earnings, showing a 10% year-over-year revenue increase in constant currency (CC) to €8.5 billion, maintaining the same growth momentum as Q2 2024. The highlight is the cloud segment’s revenue growth, reaching €4.35 billion, with a y/y CC growth rate accelerating from 25% in Q2 2024 to 27% in Q3 2024. This aligns well with my expectations, as the current cloud backlog (CCB) grew by 29% y/y CC, improving 100 basis points from Q2 2024. By product category, the Cloud ERP Suite showed 36% y/y CC growth, a 300bps sequential improvement. License revenue, though still declining, saw a slower drop from -27% in Q2 to -14% in Q3, and maintenance revenue declines also eased from -3% to -2%. This solid revenue performance contributed to a strong profit outcome, with adjusted EBIT beating estimates by approximately 9% at €2.24 billion, and a major free cash flow (FCF) beat of €1.25 billion, far surpassing the consensus of -€676 million. Given this strong performance, it wasn’t surprising that management raised guidance, which is certainly encouraging. They now forecast adjusted EBIT in the range of €7.8 to €8 billion, a €150 million increase at the midpoint, implying y/y growth of 20% to 23% CC, up from the previous 17% to 21%. Cloud and software revenue guidance also increased by €400 million at the midpoint, with a new range of €29.5 to €29.8 billion, reflecting 10% to 11% y/y CC growth versus the previous 8% to 10%. Additionally, adjusted FCF is now projected between €3.5 to €4 billion, compared to the prior €3.5 billion. I am confident that SAP can meet these targets for several reasons. First, the S/4HANA migration remains strong, as indicated by 29% y/y CC CCB growth and 36% y/y CC growth in the Cloud ERP Suite, which accounts for approximately 84% of total cloud revenue. Second, nearly one-third of deals signed in the quarter involved AI, highlighting increased demand for embedded AI solutions. This reinforces my previous view that AI adoption is driving SAP’s cloud migration efforts, as customers must utilize the cloud to fully leverage these AI capabilities. Notably, SAP is moving to the “expand” phase of its strategy by adding generative AI (GenAI) capabilities. With SAP introducing more AI features, the company is well-positioned to continue capitalizing on this growth driver. For example, its AI-based assistant, Joule, now offers collaborative agent capabilities, allowing it to manage multiple AI agents for complex tasks—resulting in significant productivity gains. Additionally, the Knowledge Graph, a part of SAP’s GenAI suite, connects language and data to help users navigate SAP systems more efficiently. SAP has over 100 GenAI use cases and has added more than 500 skills to Joule so far, suggesting substantial growth potential. AI adoption remains robust, as evidenced by AI’s central role in SAP’s sales strategy. Around 20% of deals now include premium AI features, and all ERP and LoB deals involve discussions around AI, signaling that AI is a key growth driver for SAP, especially considering that AI integration was minimal a few years ago. I reaffirm my model assumptions and see continued attractive upside potential, even after SAP’s strong year-to-date share price rally. SAP is increasingly likely to achieve 10% growth for FY24, with further acceleration expected in FY25/26, driven by strong cloud migration and rising AI demand. Management’s upward revision of FY24 adjusted EBIT indicates that earnings margins will improve. Year-to-date, the adjusted earnings margin stands at around 21.1%, making my full-year target of 21.5% feasible. As growth accelerates and SAP completes its restructuring (which impacts 9,000 to 10,000 positions as announced in January 2024), margins should rise to the mid-20% range. I’ve added 300 basis points based on trends from FY22 to FY24. Additionally, with no visible slowdown in growth momentum, I expect the market to continue valuing SAP at a premium, at 36x forward PE compared to the three-year average of 23x. The macroeconomic environment poses risks, especially if supply chain challenges persist or interest rates rise. Political uncertainties, such as the upcoming U.S. election, could lead to reduced business investment, impacting corporate IT budgets and SAP’s sales. Additionally, if SAP’s S/4HANA and cloud products underperform, or if there are delays in product development or launches, investor expectations may be disappointed, particularly regarding S/4HANA. To conclude, I maintain my buy rating on SAP. The company’s strong Q3 2024 performance and revised guidance have reinforced my positive view. The accelerating growth in cloud revenue, driven by solid S/4 HANA migration and increased AI adoption, is highly encouraging. While macro risks remain, SAP’s robust fundamentals and favorable growth outlook support a buy rating.
NYSE:SAPLong
by moonypto
Riding Wave 5: Is $700 Just Around the Corner?Hey Realistic Traders, Will META Bullish Bias Continue ? Let’s Dive In.... In the Daily timeframe, META rebounded above the 38.2% Fibonacci level, marking the completion of wave 4. Within this wave, a Descending broadening wedge pattern was formed. Recently the price has broken out of the pattern. This breakout was further confirmed by a bullish MACD crossover, signaling increasing momentum and strengthening the case for a continued upward move. Based on these technical signals, I foresee a potential upward movement toward the first target at $638. After reaching this level, a minor pullback is likely before the rally continues toward a new high at $700. This outlook remains valid as long as the price holds above the stop-loss level at 550.00. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on META.
NASDAQ:METALong
by financialfreedomgoals101
7
SMCI This is why investors should always keep a clear mindset.It was only a month ago (November 07, see chart below) when we gave a very strong long-term buy signal on Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI), in the midst of a price collapse following the resignation of their auditor (Ernst & Young) and compliance delays with stock index requirements: Putting the fundamentals aside, we made this bold call by purely looking at the technicals, which in turbulent times like these (market fear on news) tend to deliver a clearer and more objective picture. The price had just hit the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), for the first time in 4 years (since October 26 2020), while reaching Fibonacci level 1.0, which was the former top of the Channel Up for 4 years until it broke and the stock turned parabolic from January 2023 to March 2024. At the same time, the 1W RSI touched the oversold barrier (30.00) for the first time since March 16 2020 and second since October 01 2018, which was the start of the Fibonacci Channel. As a result, that gave us a very strong buy signal combo, which as you saw was immediately translated into a price rebound. Less than a month after, the stock is about to close the gap of the October 28 2024 1W candle, which was the week of the Ernst & Young collapse. This amount of buying pressure indicates that there were a lot of long-term buyers waiting on the buy zone we identified and assuming SMCI continues to restore faith in their reported accounting practices, are looking for a new multi-year rally. Our $122.50 Target remains intact for Q3 2025, which is basically the stock's All Time High (ATH). Technically there is room for a 2025 extension within the 3.5 - 4.0 Fibonacci Zone. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by TradingShot
6
Crossing the hurdles FIEM can fly..Fiem Industries Ltd. is a holding company, which engages in the manufacture and supply of automotive components. It operates through the Automotive and light-emitting diode (LED) Luminaries segment. The Automotive segment comprises of lighting and signaling equipment, rear view mirror, prismatic mirror, plastic molded parts, and sheet metal components for motorized vehicles and others parts for automotive. The LED Luminaries segment includes indoor and outdoor lighting, display panel, and LED integrated passenger information system. Fiem Industries Ltd. CMP is 1580.10. The positive aspects of the company are Company with No Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding, MFs increased their shareholding last quarter and Stocks Outperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter. The Negative aspects of the company are moderate Valuation (P.E. = 22.4), Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash. Entry can be taken after closing above 1594 Targets in the stock will be 1647 and 1719. The long-term target in the stock will be 1752 and 1786. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1448 or 1387 depending upon your risk taking ability. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:FIEMINDLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Infosys is building up positive information for investorsInfosys Ltd. is a digital services and consulting company, which engages in the provision of end-to-end business solutions. It operates through the following segments: Financial Services, Retail, Communication, Energy, Utilities, Resources, and Services, Manufacturing, Hi-Tech, Life Sciences, and All Other. Infosys is one of the top Indian companies and an Indian global MNC. Infosys Ltd. CMP is 1879.80. The positive aspects of the company are Company with No Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, MFs increased their shareholding last quarter, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding and Company able to generate Net Cash - Improving Net Cash Flow. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 29). Entry can be taken after closing above 1880 Targets in the stock will be 1943. The long-term target in the stock will be 1993. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1732 or 1719 depending upon your risk taking ability. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:INFYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Meta I Potential correction and more growthWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** Meta Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
NASDAQ:METALong
by BKTradingAcademy
1
LIC is can defensively insure your portfolioLife Insurance Corporation of India or LIC engages in the provision of insurance plans. It operates through the following segments: Life Business, Pension Business, Annuity Business, Variable Business, Health Business, and Linked Business. Life Insurance Corporation of India CMP is 985.50. The positive aspects of the company are Attractive Valuation (P.E. = 15), Company with No Debt, Stocks Outperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, MFs increased their shareholding last quarter, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding and High Volume, High Gain. The Negative aspects of the company are Declining profits every quarter for the past 2 quarters, Companies with high market cap, lower public shareholding. Entry can be taken after closing above 990 Targets in the stock will be 1034, 1070 and 1100. The long-term target in the stock will be 1134, 1161 and 1190. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 877 or 818 depending upon your risk taking ability. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:LICILong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
GSFC can grow and make it greenGujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd. engages in the manufacture and distribution of fertilizers and chemicals. It operates through the following segments: Fertilizer Products and Industrial Products. The Fertilizer Products segment includes urea, ammonium sulphate, di-ammonium phosphate and ammonium phosphate sulphate and nitrogen-phosphorus-potassium products. The Industrial Products segment comprises of caprolactam, nylon-6, nylon filament yarn and nylon chips, melamine and polymer products. Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd. CMP is 224.13. The positive aspects of the company are Attractive Valuation (P.E. = 16.9), Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, MFs increased their shareholding last quarter and FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding. The Negative aspects of the company fall in Quarterly Revenue and Net Profit, Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash and Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income. Entry can be taken after closing above 227 Targets in the stock will be 232, 241 and 250. The long-term target in the stock will be 258, 268 and 283. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 218 or 188 depending upon your risk taking ability. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:GSFCLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
VISA flashing a short-term sell signal.Visa Inc. (V) has been one of our most accurate recent stock predictions (August 29, see chart below), as it is about to complete the buy signal we gave on the Channel's bottom to a +27.36% rise and hit our $320.00 Target: Needless to say, if you took that call, evaluate your options as the profit is already enormous. Moving forward, specifically zooming in on the 1D time-frame, we can see that Visa is flashing its first sell signal in a while. The price isn't only almost at the top of the 2-year Channel Up but more importantly, the 1D MACD has completed a Cup sequence on a Bearish Cross, similar to all early corrections at the start of this Channel. As you can see all MACD Bearish Crosses were followed by pull-backs of similar size with the minimum being -7.30%. As a result, we can expect the stock to hit and even break below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) at $295.00 (-7.30% decline), which would be also near the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level (similar to the December 22 2022 Low). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:VShort
by TradingShot
Frontline FRO possible Breakout targeting $28Analysis Trendline Breakout: Recently broke above a downward trendline; potential for bullish momentum. Support and Resistance: Watch for support near the trendline and next resistance around 25-26 levels. Recent high volatility. Key Points for Trading: Entry Point: Consider entering on pullbacks to the trendline if volume confirms. Risk Management: Set tight stop-losses below the trendline. Target: Aim for resistance levels at $26,60 and $28,60 for potential profit taking. Continued Monitoring: Watch price action and volume for sustained breakout strength. Trend Forecast: Bullish Bias: Short-term bullish trend possibly forming. Support Level: Watch for support around the $23 mark. Resistance Level: Immediate resistance near $25-$26. Forecast Summary: Expected Movement: Potential retest of resistance near $25-$26, with pullbacks to support. Triggers: Earnings reports, market news, or geopolitical events could impact movement. Risk: Tighten stop-losses to manage risk effectively.
NYSE:FROLong
by candlefire-trading
2
From Market Underdog to Tech Titan| AppLovin’s Explosive Growth AppLovin: Making Ads Great Again, One Algorithm at a Time AppLovin Corp, a prominent software company valued at $57 billion, offers an advanced mobile marketing platform. Over the past year, its stock price has surged by an impressive 500%, far outpacing the S&P 500’s 39% increase. The company’s financial growth is equally remarkable, with a year over year revenue boost of 40%, a 188% jump in operating profits, and a 300% surge in net income in its latest quarterly report With 40% of the company held by insiders and a shareholder friendly stance that includes share buybacks, AppLovin presents a compelling investment opportunity. Additionally, its valuation remains competitive relative to other software companies, supporting my "buy" rating. From Ad Nerds to Tech Lords, AppLovin’s Secret to Winning Over Wall Street AppLovin operates a comprehensive software platform that helps clients achieve crucial KPIs, such as revenue growth and business expansion. Leveraging AI, its software platform stands out as a powerful tool for advertisers, providing capabilities like automated marketing, customer engagement, and monetization. It’s built to optimize targeted content delivery to the most suitable audience, supported by analytics and monetization features that drive maximum value. At the core of AppLovin’s technology is AXON, an AI engine that powers AppDiscovery. This feature matches advertiser demand with publishing opportunities through a sophisticated real-time auction algorithm, shifting from traditional waterfall systems to an intelligent, programmatic approach. AppLovin has positioned itself as a leader in the future of advertising, driven by its cutting-edge AI capabilities. I believe there’s immense growth potential here that the company is just beginning to explore. Performance In the third quarter, AppLovin reported a 39% year-over-year revenue increase, moving from $864 million to $1.2 billion. This marks its highest-ever quarterly revenue and extends its streak of sequential topline gains to seven quarters. For the first nine months of 2024, AppLovin saw a 43% year-to-date revenue increase, largely fueled by a 76% rise in software platform revenue. This growth was driven by AppDiscovery, whose installations surged by 39% in Q3, underscoring its strong appeal to advertisers. Beyond software platform growth, AppLovin’s in-app purchases and advertising revenues also increased modestly by 3% and 7%, respectively, despite challenging comparisons, supported by a 53% boost in advertising impressions. The company achieved record operating cash flows of over $550 million in Q3, alongside significant margin improvements across gross, operating, and EBITDA levels. These gains highlight the company’s explosive growth and underscore the stock’s 500% rise over the past year. Given AppLovin’s strategic success and positive advertiser response, I anticipate ongoing improvements in cash flow and profit margins. With over $3.3 billion spent on share buybacks since 2022—$980 million in 2024 alone—the company continues to reward its shareholders while capitalizing on its profitable AI-driven platform. Valuation Although APP’s trailing P/E ratio of 74.52 and PS ratio of 19.33 might appear high compared to the IT sector averages, a comparison with peers in the Application Software industry reveals a different perspective. In a peer group of large software companies, APP ranks third in EV/Sales ratio at 18.65 but also boasts a forward topline growth rate of over 24.1%, placing it among the top performers. This high growth potential appears to justify the stock’s premium, positioning it attractively in terms of PS ratio relative to anticipated growth. Despite recent heavy buying, APP remains an appealing value investment. As long as it maintains its relative positioning, I continue to view the stock favorably. Risks Despite my optimism, I recognize that AppLovin’s momentum could be part of a broader AI-driven market surge, raising concerns about a potential AI bubble. If the market faces a downturn similar to the dot-com bubble, APP could experience a sharper decline than its peers, especially given its relatively weak balance sheet. Additionally, with an RSI of 96 signaling heavy overbuying, there may be potential for a future correction. While APP’s 500% rise is impressive, it could be vulnerable if the market undergoes a broader correction Conclusion Advertising is on the cusp of an AI driven transformation, and AppLovin is well-positioned to capitalize on this shift with its powerful AI-enabled platform. Despite the stock’s impressive 12-month performance, there’s still significant growth potential
NASDAQ:APPLong
by moonypto
2
JP MORGAN Expect a 1D MA50 correction before it turns into a buyJP Morgan Chase (JPM) posted a strong bullish leg on our last analysis (September 17, see chart below) that easily hit our $229 Target: From a wider perspective on the 1D time-frame, the price is now right at the top of the 13-month Channel Up on an overbought 1D RSI and a 1D MACD that is about to form a Bearish Cross. All previous Higher Highs of the pattern formed MACD Bearish Crosses and pulled back to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on a minimum of -7.35% correction. Note that the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) never broke, so as long as it holds, the long-term bullish trend is intact. As a result, we now expect a pull-back to the 1D MA50 and a minimum of -7.35% decline puts the Target a $236.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:JPMShort
by TradingShot
1
Can Tencent salvage Ubisoft's sinking ship?Ubisoft’s stock pumped 35% couple of days ago following a Bloomberg report suggesting that Tencent may either acquire the company or take it private Although the French gaming company didn’t confirm or deny the speculation, it did state that it’s considering "all strategic options" for the benefit of its stakeholders and will notify the market when necessary If Tencent proceeds, it would mark another significant acquisition in a wave of major gaming deals over recent years: - Activision Blizzard acquired by Microsoft for $69 billion in 2023. - Zynga acquired by Take-Two for $12.7 billion in 2022. - ZeniMax Media acquired by Microsoft for $7.5 billion in 2021. - Savvy Games acquired by Scopely for $4.9 billion in 2023. - Bungie acquired by Sony for $3.7 billion in 2022. - Glu Mobile acquired by EA for $2.4 billion in 2021. - Keywords Studios acquired by EQT for $2.4 billion in 2024. Ubisoft’s valuation sits at just $2 billion, nearly 90% below its peak in 2021! The stock fell by more than 40% in September alone, so this recent surge is only a brief reprieve. Given its diminished value, a potential buyer offering a premium wouldn’t necessarily be a massive win. So, how should we interpret this news, and what can we anticipate for future gaming M&A activity? Let’s break it down. Key Points 1.Ubisoft’s Challenges 2.Potential Buyers 3.IP Gold Rush 4.Future of Gaming M&A 1. Ubisoft’s Challenges Ubisoft has faced setbacks including canceled games, delays, and a dip in quality in the post-pandemic era. Let’s take a look at the fiscal year 2024, which ends in March. Consider this metric reflects the total amount spent by users within a period, covering game sales, in-game purchases, subscriptions, and downloadable content (DLC). It’s an important measure of business performance, with net bookings recognized as revenue over time, depending on content delivery and user engagement Key takeaways: Digital-first: 86% of Ubisoft's net bookings come from digital sales (premium, free-to-play, and subscriptions). It was 12% in 2013, illustrating the transformative past decade. Far behind on mobile: Ubisoft has trailed its peers, with only 7% of revenue coming from mobile. In contrast, nearly half of the industry’s revenue comes from smartphones. Margins improved after cost-cutting: Digital games are a high gross margin business, particularly with the back catalog (title released in previous years) making up nearly two-thirds of net bookings. Targeted restructurings impacted FY23, making the short-term margin trend misleading. Ubisoft laid off 1,700 employees between September 2022 and March 2024, roughly 6% of its workforce. Short-lived turnaround: FY23 was a challenging year, with Net bookings collapsing by 18% with the underperformance of Mario + Rabbids: Sparks of Hope and Just Dance 2023. In FY24, Net bookings rebounded sharply, growing 34% with the successful release of Assassin’s Creed Mirage and The Crew Motorfest. FY25 Collapses in a Week: After the underperformance of Star Wars Outlaws (released at the end of August and originally expected to be a blockbuster) and the delayed launch of Assassin’s Creed Shadows from November to February, Ubisoft revised its FY25 net bookings forecast down to €1.95 billion, a 16% decline year-over-year (compared to the "solid growth" expected earlier). The company now anticipates barely breaking even on an adjusted basis. The decision to delay Assassin’s Creed Shadows just weeks before its scheduled release was influenced by the poor reception of *Star Wars Outlaws*. However, the three-month delay might not be enough to resolve concerns over game quality or criticisms from the Japanese community regarding historical and cultural inaccuracies. But that’s not all! In addition to these financial and operational difficulties, Ubisoft has faced allegations of a toxic workplace. Several former executives from the *Assassin’s Creed* studio were arrested as part of an investigation into sexual assault and harassment. This situation mirrors the downfall of Activision Blizzard in the months leading up to its acquisition by Microsoft, which leads us to potential buyers for Ubisoft. 2. Potential Buyers Ubisoft remains a family-run company, largely overseen by its founders. The latest annual report reveals the following voting rights: - The Guillemot family controls 20.5% - Tencent owns 9.2% In September, minority shareholder AJ Investments claimed it had gained backing from 10% of shareholders and called for Ubisoft to be sold or taken private, estimating a fair value of €40 to €45 per share. With shares currently trading at €13, this seems highly optimistic. So, who are the likely candidates for a Ubisoft buyout? Key Players: -Tencent: Already a significant shareholder, Tencent could increase its stake or seek majority control. As the largest gaming company globally by revenue, Tencent has a history of acquisitions, such as its purchase of Finnish publisher Supercell (*Clash of Clans*) for $8.6 billion in 2016. However, Tencent's aggressive expansion has drawn regulatory scrutiny, especially in the US and Europe, which could complicate any attempt to acquire majority control of Ubisoft. Guillemot Family: The founding family might be interested in reclaiming greater control of Ubisoft and steering it in a new direction. To finance the buyout, they could collaborate with a private equity firm or a strategic investor. However, given Ubisoft's current size and the significant cost associated with a buyout, it could be difficult for the Guillemot family to pursue this path on their own. Other Potential Investors: Private equity firms or strategic investors within the gaming sector might also join a buyout consortium. These investors could be drawn to Ubisoft’s valuable intellectual property (IP) and see potential for a turnaround under new leadership. Gaming Companies: Besides Tencent, the largest gaming revenue players in 2023 are highlighted in the visual. -Apple and Google: Although both tech giants have been expanding into gaming, acquiring Ubisoft seems unlikely given their current antitrust scrutiny. -NetEase, EA, and TakeTwo: These companies would find an Ubisoft acquisition to be a straightforward studio consolidation. NetEase, in particular, might find it appealing to broaden its console and PC presence in the West, but Tencent’s involvement could complicate this. -Sony and Microsoft: As first-party publishers, both would benefit from boosting their subscription services with exclusive content. They’ve aggressively acquired studios in recent years. Given that the Activision Blizzard deal was approved, there’s no reason a Ubisoft acquisition couldn’t pass as well. In their latest fiscal year, gaming accounted for 32% of Sony’s revenue and less than 9% of Microsoft’s. 3. IP Gold Rush In the gaming industry, intellectual property (IP) is crucial. Iconic franchises like *Call of Duty*, *Mario*, and *Grand Theft Auto* are multi-billion-dollar assets that significantly impact a company’s future. As a result, many companies are eager to acquire established IPs or gain access to the teams behind them. Why is IP so valuable? -Lower risk: Developing a new AAA game can cost hundreds of millions and take years, with no guarantee of success. Acquiring a popular IP allows companies to tap into an existing fanbase and reduces the risk of failure. -Brand power: Consumers are more inclined to purchase games with familiar characters, worlds, or studios behind them. Well-known creators like Hideo Kojima (*Metal Gear*) and Hidetaka Miyazaki (*Elden Ring*) are just as significant. -Content scalability: Famous IPs can generate revenue through sequels, spin-offs, and licensing deals. Large publishers have the infrastructure to maximize returns across multiple channels. This strategy isn’t unique to gaming. Media giants follow similar patterns: -Amazon’s acquisition of MGM: In 2021, Amazon acquired MGM for $8.5 billion, gaining access to franchises like *James Bond* to enhance its Prime Video content. -Disney’s acquisition of Lucasfilm and Marvel: These acquisitions have delivered massive returns through movies, TV series, and licensing opportunities. Why now? -Consolidation pressure: Subscription services and cross-platform gaming are driving consolidation. Big companies want to secure valuable IPs to differentiate their services and attract loyal customers. Meanwhile, smaller studios are more open to selling early to avoid competing in an increasingly crowded and capital-intensive market. -Value in ownership: Owning IPs in gaming allows companies to create expansive worlds and engage players long-term through updates, expansions, and live services. This keeps players coming back and generates recurring revenue, which is harder to achieve in video content. -Cross media expansion: Popular games can expand into movies, TV series, or theme parks. For instance, *The Last of Us* became a hit HBO show, and Sony is developing TV adaptations for Horizon Zero Dawn and God of War. This leads to more revenue, a broader audience, and long-lasting IP appeal. The Ubisoft Angle Ubisoft’s IPs, like *Assassin’s Creed*, *Far Cry*, and *Tom Clancy’s Rainbow Six*, have significant potential for future growth, despite recent struggles. However, realizing that potential might require new leadership or a fresh strategy, which a new owner could provide. Even though Ubisoft faces challenges, its strong portfolio might attract various buyers. For the right acquirer, Ubisoft's problems could represent a chance to buy low and rework its creative direction. As more studios seek to hedge their risks in this changing industry, we can expect more mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in the future. 4. The Future of Gaming M&A The gaming industry is constantly evolving, and several trends are fueling a surge in mergers and acquisitions: -Mobile-first: Mobile gaming is the largest and fastest-growing segment, making companies with a strong mobile presence attractive. Examples include Playrix (Gardenscapes,Homescapes) and Scopely (MONOPOLY GO!,Stumble Guys) -Cross-platform: Cross-platform play is becoming the standard, and companies with expertise in this area are in high demand. Unity and Epic Games play vital roles with their popular game engines, while major studios are also building in-house solutions. - Cloud gaming: Still in its early stages, cloud gaming has the potential to revolutionize how games are played. Companies with cloud infrastructure are becoming more valuable, with leaders like Microsoft (Game Pass Ultimate), Sony (PlayStation Plus Premium), and NVIDIA (GeForce Now) pushing the trend. -Metaverse: Beyond AR/VR, virtual worlds like *Roblox* and *Fortnite* have created immersive, social spaces that keep players engaged beyond traditional gameplay. Companies developing these experiences are attractive targets for firms looking to capitalize on this trend. -Web3 & Blockchain: Web3 games enable decentralized ownership and in-game economies powered by blockchain. This trend lets players own and trade digital assets, opening new revenue streams and drawing interest from companies exploring the intersection of gaming and crypto. -AI driven studios: AI is already influencing game development, and its role will only grow. Companies with AI expertise, particularly in game design and player behavior analysis, are becoming highly sought after. As AI reduces development costs, budgets could shift towards live services and marketing. The Big Picture The gaming industry is consolidating, with major players acquiring valuable studios and IPs. While there will always be space for indie games—especially as AI lowers the barrier to entry—industry consolidation will likely strengthen the top companies and leave less room for those in the middle. If a company like Ubisoft, valued at over $12 billion in 2021, is struggling to survive on its own, the future looks bleak for many smaller studios
EURONEXT:UBI
by moonypto
4
India Cements can jump after solid consolidationIndia Cements Ltd. is a holding company, which engages in the manufacture and sale of cement and clinker. It operates through the following brands: Sankar Super Power, Coromandel King, and Raasi Gold. India Cements Ltd. CMP is 358.30. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company able to generate Net Cash and Mutual Funds Increased Shareholding in Past Month. The Negative aspects of the company are Negative Valuation (P.E. = -32.6), Companies with High Promoter Pledge, Annual net profit declining for last 2 years and Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income. Entry can be taken after closing above 363 Targets in the stock will be 375 and 381. The long-term target in the stock will be 390 and 405. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 324 or 309 depending upon your risk taking ability. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:INDIACEMLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment