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Nestle is a strong candidate for Breakout. Nestle India Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of food products. The firm offers beverages; breakfast cereals; chocolates and confectionery; dairy; nutrition; foods; vending and food services; imports; exports; and Nestle ad campaigns brands. It operates through the India and Outside India geographical segments. Nestle India CMP is 2508.50. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Annual Net Profits improving for last 2 years, Dividend yield greater than sector dividend yield, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding AND Company with Zero Promoter Pledge. The Negative aspects of the company are High PE (PE=74.5), MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter AND Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash. Entry can be taken after closing above 2529. Targets in the stock will be 2560, 2603, 2626 AND 2649. The long-term target in the stock will be 2692, 2715 and 2760. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 2400. Nestle can be considered as a Portfolio stock due to its strong moat and near monopoly business. The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NESTLEINDLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Asian Paints can rally on low crude oil price. Asian Paints Ltd. manufactures and markets paints and coating products. Asian Paints CMP is 3101.75. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Annual Net Profits improving for last 2 years, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding AND MFs increased their shareholding last quarter. The Negative aspects of the company are High PE (PE=58.6), Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash, Highest increase in pledges by promoters AND Companies with growing costs YoY for long term projects. Partial entry/tracking quantity can be taken after closing above 3105. Main entry can be taken after closing above 3152. Targets in the stock will be 3221 AND 3304. The long-term target in the stock will be 3368 AND 3423. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 2848 or 2671 depending upon your risk taking ability. Asian paints is considered by many as a portfolio stock due to its huge market share and deep penetration in the market. The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:ASIANPAINTLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Is This the Start of a Recession? Why You Shouldn’t PanicMarkets have been selling off amid the latest fears of a recession, with the NASDAQ dropping over 10% and Bitcoin dropping over 20% in just a matter of days. Last Friday’s unemployment report further affirmed investors’ sentiment, exceeding expectations by 0.2% and sparking one of the biggest rotations of capital since the COVID crash. Investors are gearing up for tough times by flocking to bonds and panic-selling risky assets, but has a recession really begun? Should you panic? Understanding the Economic Data Recent unemployment numbers have triggered the Sahm Rule Recession Indicator, created by Claudia Sahm in 2019 to identify recessions as they start. This indicator is triggered when the three-month simple moving average (SMA) of the US unemployment rate rises by 0.5% above the lowest rate observed over the past year. Despite its growing popularity, it’s important to note that this tool has never actually identified any recessions in real time, except for the 2020 recession. In contrast, more established indicators like the Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities, developed by Marcelle Chauvet and James Hamilton in 1998, have not indicated that the economy is currently in a recession. Unlike the Sahm Rule, this nearly 26-year-old tool, which relies on complex calculations and various datasets, accurately identified the 2001 and 2008 recessions in real time. Moreover, recessions in the US typically occur when the US Composite Leading Indicator (CLI) is on a downward trend, which hasn’t happened yet. This further suggests that other indicators besides the unemployment rate aren’t currently showing signs of concern. Even though the unemployment rate has risen sharply, other leading unemployment indicators, such as initial claims and continued claims, remain at historically low levels. Typically, these leading indicators rise sharply before a substantial increase in the unemployment rate, not the other way around. With the market pricing in substantial rate cuts following the unemployment numbers, yields have dropped, increasing the spread between the short and long ends of the yield curve. Historically, recessions haven’t usually unfolded during inverted yield curves. Additionally, expected looser monetary policy from the Fed combined with surprisingly tighter monetary policy from the BOJ pushed the DXY substantially lower. This resulted in a breakout in global liquidity, which is inversely correlated with the DXY and serves as a helpful indicator of future trends in risk assets. Understanding the Market Trends While the real economy hints that we are likely not currently in a recession, it’s crucial to examine the charts to better understand the downside risks and how to position oneself in order to stay on the right side of market risk. The spike in the VIX and the put-to-call ratio on Monday indicated extremely fearful sentiment, which historically suggests limited downside risk and the potential for a short-term rebound. The sudden surge in fear was reflected in the sharp increase in bond prices as investors shifted from high-risk to low-risk assets. With bullish short-term and long-term trends since early June, bond prices have reached overbought conditions, suggesting they are likely to slow down in the short term but continue outperforming in the long term, aligning with market expectations of future rate cuts. The inverse can be observed in the equity markets, with US indices in oversold conditions and exhibiting recent bearish short-term and long-term trends. This suggests that equities are likely to experience a short-term bounce but will continue to decline in the long term, providing a potential opportunity to sell. The cryptocurrency market tells a similar but much more pronounced story, with bearish short-term and long-term trends evident since late June. Despite being oversold, the future outlook for the cryptomarket remains pessimistic and is likely to underperform equities, especially if investors continue to reduce risk. This flight to the relative safety of mega caps has been a recurring theme since March 2021, when both the small cap and mid cap to mega cap ratios turned bearish, a trend that remains unbroken and is likely to continue unless a recession materializes and forces a shift to looser monetary policy. Similar trends are likely to continue in the cryptocurrency markets, as evidenced by the breakout in Bitcoin dominance, which currently positions Bitcoin’s market cap at 62% of the entire cryptocurrency market when stable coins are excluded from the calculation. Concluding Thoughts While the market is starting to panic amid recessionary fears, the data does not yet confirm that the economy is currently entering a recession. Investors should avoid panic selling, as a rebound is likely to occur in the short term given the current overextended conditions. For the mid to long term, the situation calls for a cautious approach, focusing on managing risk and gradually shifting from riskier to less risky assets, as indicated by longer-term trends in asset markets. Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice.
AMEX:SPY
by ingeforberg
Coca-Cola (KO): Strength in Uncertain TimesAfter not taking a look at Coca-Cola for quite a while, it's definitely worth analyzing. As one of the biggest assets in the stock market, Coca-Cola seems to have the most resistance with a relatively low risk/return profile, making it very interesting in times of uncertainty. A shift from risk-on assets to risk-off assets could happen easily. Just by looking at the latest rise, we can see that while there was a big sell-off in all stocks, NYSE:KO only fell by about 1.2%. This showcases the strength I am talking about. After finishing Waves 1 and 2, we got the structure shift for a possible bullish rise. Because the intra-waves aren't very clear on NYSE:KO , we are looking at it from mostly the market structure perspective. Two points are highly interesting: the 3D POC just above the 3D Demand at around $60 and the Weekly Demand at $54. We are looking for a possible long bid on Coca-Cola but will wait for the opportunity to come. When it does, we will share it with you, of course. 🤝
NYSE:KOLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Tesla (TSLA) VOL 2. | Retest After The Breakout!Hi, Some months ago I shared the Tesla idea, and it worked out perfectly! Now the second opportunity, we have seen that the price of Tesla has made a breakout from the trendline. It has seen quite a few attempts to break through it, all failed but not the last attempt, the last attempt was quite powerful and the retest area is also quite strong so these are the major reasons I would like to share this idea. Obviously, do your own work but if it is matching with mine then you are probably ready to go ;) Good luck, Vaido
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by VaidoVeek
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: What a day on the markets! Yesterday we said we would want to see price push up into the higher resistance levels for the long trades and if we got a RIP there an opportunity to short would be available to traders. What an opportunity that was! We update trades during the London sessions stating that there was no clear sign of the move stopping or a reversal in play, and for that reason to hold runners until we find support to long. We had the 2360 level in mind, and once attacked said if it didn't break the bounce should take us back up into the 2390-95 region initially. Now we have that flip again making the 2420 price point the resistance to be attempted and broken in order to complete and correct the move back upside to create a new ATH. Our issue here as mentioned earlier is that price is looking like it will want to retest that low, so if you're in long it might be an idea to protect and take partials. Levels are to be tested with a risk model in place, if you're uncomfortable and less experienced, let the chop end before entering these markets. If we do struggle above, they will want to clear the BE traders before then attempting to move it again, which will now likely be tomorrow. So, resistance 2320 key level, needs to hold to then retest. If we can break above, bar the extreme stretch, we should get the move we wanted. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
2
Red Monday: Emergency rate cut needed? US equities just experienced their worst day since 2022, with the S&P 500 dropping 3.0%, the Nasdaq falling 3.4%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeting by 1033 points. All sectors in the US saw declines, with mega-cap tech stocks performing particularly poorly. Notably, NVIDIA saw a sharp fall of 15% during the trading day, though it managed to “recover”, ending down 6.4%. Some have called for an emergency rate cut from the Fed, but this is unlikely as this event, as it stands, is not an existential threat to the markets. It's just a large sell off. Did US stocks get off lightly? Ahead of the US trading session, Japan's stock market experienced its steepest decline since Wall Street's Black Monday in 1987, fueling fears of widespread market instability. Despite the severe sell-off, some relief came from the ISM Services PMI, which indicated a stronger rebound in the services sector, helping to alleviate investor concerns to some extent. Riskier assets, such as Bitcoin, were not spared, plunging from nearly $62,000 on Friday to around $54,000 by Monday. Contributing factors to the market turmoil include fears that the Federal Reserve is lagging in cutting interest rates, potential unwinding of the Yen carry trade, and the Sahm rule signaling the onset of a recession. This rule signals the onset of a recession when the three-month average unemployment rate rises by 0.5 percentage points or more above its lowest point in the past year. The threshold was surpassed recently when the unemployment rate climbed to 4.3%.
BLACKBULL:NAS100
by BlackBull_Markets
NDX Mega Rally Will Continue..Don't let the "fundamentals" mess with your head.. NDX has another 36% climb ahead of it, before it's next serious correction... I called the bottom of this correction quite accurately (In fact, I called it but 4 days in advance to my predicted date it bottomed... This is a text book bull flag with a measured move to the 161.8 Perfect technical structure.. Time to be long is now.. QE is coming back, rates are going to ease off, money will flow out of bonds and T-bills and back in risk assets, elections are coming up soon, war is raging and is sadly a cash machine for defence stocks, CPI lags and the market is going to pump in expectation of further inflationary pressures down the road.. AI is booming and is inherently deflationary.. The most upside I believe will be in any crypto related stock plays, as it's tech category + highest asymmetry..
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by TheTraderAndy
Seadrill (SDRL) AnalysisCompany Overview: Seadrill provides offshore contract drilling services for the oil and natural gas industry. The company achieved a record day rate of $545,000 for a one-well contract in Q1 2024, the highest in the current cycle, significantly boosting its Q2 earnings outlook. Key Highlights: CEO Simon Johnson: Emphasized a strong start to the year with safe, efficient operations, high day rates, and capital returns to shareholders. Competitive Fleet: Seadrill's fleet and strong balance sheet are expected to sustain durable earnings and capital returns as the cycle progresses. Order Backlog: Approximately $2.8 billion, including $108 million in new contracts since February. New Contracts: $32 million contract in South Korea for the drillship West Capella and an $86 million six-month extension in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico for the drillship West Neptune. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NYSE:SDRL above the $47.00-$48.00 range. Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $78.00-$80.00, investors should consider Seadrill's strong performance, high day rates, and substantial order backlog as key drivers for potential stock appreciation. 📈🌊 Monitor Seadrill for promising investment opportunities! #SDRL #OffshoreDrilling 🛢️🚀
NYSE:SDRLLong
by Richtv_official
Vericel (VCEL) AnalysisCompany Overview: Vericel is a biopharmaceutical company specializing in cellular treatments for severe burn care and sports medicine. The company's flagship product, MACI, is used for knee cartilage replacement and has been a significant growth driver, achieving a 22% revenue increase along with record numbers of implants, biopsies, and surgeon usage. Product Pipeline: Vericel is poised to launch two potential blockbuster drugs: Epicel: A skin graft for severe burns, which also experienced a 22% revenue growth. Nexobrid: An ointment for removing dead burned skin to improve healing, became available in Q4. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NASDAQ:VCEL above the $43.00-$44.00 range. Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $64.00-$65.00, investors should consider Vericel's strong product performance and promising pipeline as key drivers for potential stock appreciation. 📈🔍 Monitor Vericel for promising investment opportunities! #VCEL #Biopharmaceuticals 💉🏥
NASDAQ:VCELLong
by Richtv_official
Jammu & Kashmir Bank looking NorthwardsJammu & Kashmir Bank Ltd. CMP 117 engages in the provision of banking and financial services. The firm's products and services include personal loans, personal accounts, term bank deposits, mutual fund, life insurances, business loans, business accounts, and business insurance. It operates through the following segments: Treasury Operations, Corporate and Wholesale Banking, Retail Banking, and Other Banking Business. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Annual Net Profits improving for last 2 years, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge and FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding. Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Declining Net Cash Flow and MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter. Entry can be taken after closing above 124. Targets in the stock will be 131 and 138. The long-term target in the stock will be 144 and 152. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 102. The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:J&KBANKLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Delhivery can deliver post a good resultDelhivery Ltd. CMP is 416.10. engages in the provision of logistics solutions to eCommerce partners. It involves in building the operating system for commerce, through a combination of infrastructure, logistics operations, and cutting-edge engineering and technology capabilities. It offers express parcel, partial-truckload, freight, truckload freight, cross-border, and supply chain services. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, MFs increased their shareholding last quarter, Annual Net Profits improving for last 2 years and with increasing Profit Margin (QonQ). The Negative aspects of the company are negative Valuation (P.E. =-292), and Declining Net Cash Flow. Entry can be taken after closing above 422. Targets in the stock will be 434 and 457. The long-term target in the stock will be 476 and 487. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 396 or 368 depending on your risk taking ability. The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:DELHIVERYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment