Stocks
Nasdaq heading back to previous lows, but only up from thereNDQ has been severely overweight in the recent weeks. Mostly due to the carry trade with
NI225 plummeting practically out of nowhere then rebounding instantaneously. I believe the Nasdaq along with other indices are heading toward last month's lows in the coming weeks but will rebound and move upward from there. Recession? No I don't think so.
NASDAQ Collapse Underway | SHORT $QQQConsistent with my entire market thesis, I am looking for the NASDAQ to selloff back to the 2018 price level, with the additional likelihood that we will test the Covid bottom from 2020.
If you own NASDAQ:QQQ , I advise an immediate sell; if you are looking to increase profit, you can short the Nasdaq.
Folks, we are in a recession and the market-makers are not playing around.
This will go deep.
SPX500 - Support becomes Resistance !Hello Traders !
On the daily time frame, The SPX500 reached the resistance level (5669 - 5629).
Yesterday, The price broke a strong support level (5543 - 5565).
This key level becomes a new resistance level !
So, I expect a bearish move📉
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TARGET: 5424🎯
XAUUSD | Trade idea- **Gold Price:** Gold is holding above $2,500 ahead of the US Non-Farm Payroll data, having reached a high of $2,523 yesterday and currently trading around $2,517.
- **US Economy Expectations:**
- August Non-Farm Payroll is expected to increase by 164,000, up from 114,000 in the previous month.
- Unemployment rate is expected to rise to 6.5%, from 6.4%.
- **Rate Cut Probability:** The likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut in September has decreased to 57% from 70% a week ago (CME Fed Watch Tool).
- **US Dollar Index:**
- Bullish outlook with minor support around 101.20/100.50.
- Near-term resistance at 102/102.80.
- **Gold Price Drivers:**
- **Global Stock Market:** Bearish, which is positive for gold.
- **US Dollar Index:** Bullish, which is negative for gold.
- **US 10-Year Bond Yield:** Bearish, positive for gold.
- **Technical Analysis:**
- **Support:** Near-term support at $2,470; a break below targets $2,449/$2,430.
- **Resistance:** Minor resistance at $2,520; a break above could lead to $2,525/$2,530.
C3.AI is a great buy opportunity for the rest of the year.C3.ai (AI) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern for more than 1 year (since the August 01 2023 High) and yesterday it almost hit its bottom (Lower Lows trend-line). The 1D RSI breached below the 30.00 oversold barrier, and within this 1 year, it has always been a buy signal.
However we can't rule out an extended consolidation or even a slightly Lower Low within those levels until the price recovers fully, but on the long-term and particularly until the end of the year, C3.ai presents a strong buy opportunity on the current level.
The previous two Bullish Legs topped on the 0.785 Fibonacci retracement level, so our Target is 28.50 (marginally below it).
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Which way for Sandstorm Gold?Been in a downtrend since August 2020.
Now repeatedly testing the upper downward channel.
Not much volume though, but upward sloping RSI on the weekly chart.
Is this the right time for a breakout?
You decide. This is not a recommendation to trade (i.e. buy, hold, sell or initiate any other transaction).
IMAX (IMAX) Analysis Company Overview: IMAX is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing recovery in the entertainment industry. As a leader in premium large-format cinema experiences, IMAX leverages its asset-light business model to generate strong returns through system installations and global expansion. The company’s focus on providing immersive, high-quality viewing experiences has proven successful, with blockbusters like Top Gun: Maverick drawing moviegoers back to theaters in droves.
Key Catalysts:
System Installations and Backlog Growth: IMAX has seen a significant rise in system installations, contributing to an expanding backlog. This growth reflects the increasing demand for premium viewing experiences, as theaters capitalize on the higher ticket prices that IMAX screens can command.
Asset-Light Business Model: IMAX’s asset-light approach reduces capital expenditure while maximizing returns, making it a more scalable and efficient business. This model allows the company to focus on expanding its footprint and enhancing its technology, driving long-term growth.
Shift Towards Blockbusters: As the movie industry increasingly focuses on big-budget films, IMAX is set to benefit from its niche in premium cinema experiences. The success of films like Top Gun: Maverick underscores the demand for immersive theater experiences, positioning IMAX as a key player in this evolving market.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NYSE:IMAX if it holds above the $19.00-$20.00 range. Upside Potential: The upside target for IMAX is set at $30.00-$31.00, driven by the growth in system installations, a strong backlog, and the resurgence of blockbuster films.
🎥 IMAX—immersive experiences leading the future of cinema! #IMAX #CinemaRevival 🚀🎬
Double-Top In PlayAs expected, SPY double-top looks to be playing out. I don't expect us to drop much lower than the pink ascending trendline. Maybe we'll touch that 200 dma before our full send. Let me remind you that the pink ascending tl is the neckline of a large cup and handle pattern on the bi-weekly, the target of which remains 650-700. This is still in play on the longer timeframe and as long as we don't break below the pink tl with confirmation on the weekly, I will start to buy back at or around the pink tl and down to the 200 dma. Batting 1000% thus far and hoping to keep it perfect.
TESLA broke above the 2-month Resistance and is aiming for $300Last month (August 15, see chart below) we gave a pull-back buy signal on Tesla (TSLA) and the price action swiftly responded with a August 28 Low and then rebound:
The rebound was on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and today we see a strong bullish break-out above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This alone is enough to confirm the start of the next phase of the Bullish Leg, since the long-term pattern is a Channel Up, as closing above 228.00 will constitute a Higher High.
Technically the structure is similar to the previous mid-Bullish Leg consolidation (April 30 - June 24), even the 1D MACD sequences between the two fractals are similar. In that sense we can't rule out some more ranged trading for September but on the long-term our Target remains unchanged.
We expect the $300 level to break before November.
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Amazon Has An Incomplete Five-Wave ImpulseAmazon is trading an in impulsive bullish cycle since the beginning of 2023 and it looks to be unfinished from technical point of view and from Elliott wave perspective, because it needs to be finished by five waves.
Recent decline has occurred due to recession fears, but it was in three legs A-B-C, which belongs to a higher degree wave 4 correction, especially if we consider a nice rebound away from the strong trendline connected from 2023 lows.
So, watch out on a bullish continuation at the end of 2024 that can send the price back to new all-time highs for wave 5.
ROCKET LAB has started a new 9-month correction phase.Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) topped on August 19 after a more than +100% rise from the bottom that eventually reached the top of the Sine Wave count and as a result even though it failed to reach our $8.75 mark (Target 2), we will take profit on the last buy signal we issued (May 29, see chart below):
As you can see by the Sine Waves, RKLB is repeating a 2-year cyclical pattern (since the June 30 2022 bottom), which every time it provides a buy opportunity that delivers a little over +100% return (3 times so far within this time span).
Now that we got our +111% rise, we expect a new multi-month correction phase to start, initially in the form of a Channel Down (red). The previous correction phase lasted for 9 months and the one before for 10 months, before the +100% rallies commenced.
As a result, we are far away from a buy opportunity at the moment and the best course of action is to short below even the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Our Target is $4.35, the middle of the High Volatility Zone, which is located just above the (green) Support Zone, where our next long-term buy will be.
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Nasdaq - Very weak start of the stock market in September!The US100 is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H time frame and is trading in its descending channel
The index has reached the target of the downward movement of its previous analysis, and you can save a part of your sales position and place your SL in profit
If the index continues to decline towards the specified demand zone, which also intersects with the midline of the descending channel, we can look for buying positions for the Nasdaq index
An upward price correction of the index will provide us with new sales position with a suitable risk reward
Rotation - Growth Stocks > Value Stocks Growth Stocks:
Growth stocks are shares in companies expected to grow at an above-average rate compared to other companies in the market. These companies typically reinvest their earnings to accelerate growth in the short term rather than paying dividends.
Value Stocks:
Value stocks are shares in companies that appear to be undervalued by the market. These companies typically have stable earnings and often pay dividends. They are often found in more established industries like finance or utilities.
In different economic conditions, one type may outperform the other, leading to rotations between growth and value in the market cycle.
Analysis:
The stock market is currently experiencing a unique situation where major indices like the S&P 500, NASDAQ, and Dow Jones are setting new highs, but this growth is primarily driven by a small number of large tech companies (the "Magnificent 7"). This has led to a significant divergence between growth and value stocks, with growth stocks outperforming.
Raj Rayon : {"Potential for Best investment for 2024";}
We are at the Biggest Picture available as per the data;
Price has formed a Wave 1 which is an Impulse Wave In the Upward direction;
Wave 2 is a downward 3-Wave-Simple-Correction Structure, retracing Wave 1 by less than a 100% which suffices the Laws of Wave as per the Elliott Wave Theory and now.
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Let's talk about the most interesting part The Most Awaited Wave 3 is expected to come out, showing the move which is the reason why we trade,
According to the Elliot Wave Theory the Projection of Wave 3 is at least 161.80% of the Wave 1.
Let's see on the charts the Extension Levels as per the Best Leading Indicactor Fibonacci Extension;
Yo !!!!
Now Last Month that's in August 24, Price has closed above the EMA and hence I see a Buying Momentum in the Monthly chart,
Looking at the Promotor Holding of this company which is more than 90% only confirms my belief in the future growth of the company.
So we have an Overall Target Projection of Rs. 158.03 {Derived as per Fibonacci Extension}
Now Let's look at the other side the {downside/ stop loss/ risk against the reward}
NETFLIX starting the 2nd bullish leg of its expansion phase.Netflix (NFLX) has been consolidating above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since the August 20 High and is on the exact same level where during all previous Bullish Legs of the 2-year Channel Up, it ended the consolidation and moved to the 2nd rally of the expansion phase.
This is also evident on the 1D RSI, which is about to start a Channel Down that in previous Legs it moved parallel with the price's 2nd rally. Our Target is $900.00 representing a +70.48% rise from April's low, which is the smallest rally recorded within the 2-year Channel Up, thus the more realistic target.
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Will Nu Continue Rally After Unusual Volume Activity Last Week?Above 9.67 low, it favors upside in fifth wave and expect to finish the impulse started from all time low before the major correction starts. Last week, it traded with unusually high volume above 10X, which provides few scenarios. (1). It favors upside in v and can unfold 5 internal waves, while dips remain above 9.67 low but still main momentum divergence. (2). It may see minor upside as v and the volume can be exhaustion move before it reverses in larger correction, which confirms below 9.67 low or by breaking the trendline. (3). It will start nesting higher and erase the momentum divergence, which extend higher. That move should ideally supported by gap up move.
NVIDIA BUY ZONES ACTIVE ?As posted before after the earnings report we’ve seen the stock drop from 127 to 105 after a blowout report. Here’s my current idea of a scenario
1. NVDA Settles around the price of $111 & $100 before US DATA Thursday and Friday
2. NVDA buy opportunities towards
$125-$140 or above
3. Stocks can rise on a worst than expected US Data, propelling the index market to all time highs as well as gold. This current correction phase is healthy, and needed.
4. NVDA can form a double top resistance at $138-$141 sending the stock into more selling power. Consequently to a price of $90-$50. Waiting for a bounce between this area.
Until new points of possible AI is found and chips are being sold at a higher volume. This can be the EOY stock price. Overall whoever wins presidency will have a significant impact on AI markets.
This is a prediction. Good luck to all!