Alibaba - The Bleeding Is OverNYSE:BABA dropped roughly -75% after it broke the long term trendline towards the downside back in 2021 before it found some strong support at a previous horizontal support level.
Click chart above to see detailed analysis 👆🏻
Bulls are still not giving up on Alibaba and after the strong retest and reversal of the all time low back in 2022, Alibaba managed to consolidate and stop the agressive downtrend. If Alibaba actually manages to break back above the confluence of resistance, this stock is actually back to a bullish market and we could see the beginning of a new uptrend and maybe even new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $81
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Stocks
SQQQ I It will decline from top of the resistance channel
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** SQQQ Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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DigitalOcean ($DOCN) | Cloud Computing Powerhouse - AWS for SMBsNYSE:DOCN
DigitalOcean remains the only pure cloud computing company for small-to-medium-sized businesses (SMBs), offering a robust solution similar to AWS, but with a specific focus on cost-effectiveness and ease of use for smaller enterprises. The introduction of GPU droplets further strengthens its position in the market, catering to the growing need for AI and machine learning workloads.
Despite struggles with corporate governance, the company’s technology is top-tier, making NYSE:DOCN an attractive acquisition target for larger tech players. The stock has doubled in volume recently, indicating bullish momentum is building, and we believe this sets up for a breakout.
This is a long-term hold for those looking for high growth in the cloud sector. GPU droplets could accelerate this growth, positioning DigitalOcean as a critical player in a market poised for massive expansion. It is not too late to enter as we are just beginning to breakout. Should macro-driven events pull down the market, especially SMBs, we will be adding at key levels.
Our entries: $24.50, $31.50, $35, Breakout over $39
Targets: $50, $70, $80
DigitalOcean is not just a small player in the cloud space; it has a specific niche that positions it for explosive growth. As SMBs increasingly adopt cloud technologies, and with GPU droplets creating a new revenue stream, DigitalOcean is set to rise. While near-term volatility exists, the long-term growth story remains intact. Investors should look at this as a multi-year play, with opportunities to accumulate during any market weakness.
$JMIA | First on the Scene, Aiming for 5x-10x BaggerNYSE:JMIA
Jumia, often referred to as the "Amazon of Africa," presents a unique opportunity for long-term investors to tap into the rapidly expanding e-commerce landscape in Africa. Our analyst, Shay Boloor, was one of the first analysts to recognize its potential, and while the company has faced challenges, the long-term thesis remains intact. We have been scaling into position between $3.50 and $4.50 as well as adding Jan 2026 $5 Calls. Trading under $5, this is a steal for investors willing to endure the volatility that comes with small caps in an emerging market. For those with patience, the reward could be substantial, with the potential for a 5-10x return over the next five years.
Key Strengths and the Opportunity:
Capital Strength: Jumia has raised $200 million in capital, significantly reducing solvency risk, which now stands at near zero. This financial cushion provides the company with the flexibility needed to continue its strategic growth.
Long-Term Play: The stock might take time to reflect its true value as the narrative shift, much like we saw with companies like Snowflake and Unity Software, unfolds. Jumia's expansion will need time, but the thesis remains unchanged.
Small Position Allocation: Due to the inherent volatility of small caps, Jumia is a small position. However, it offers massive upside potential for those who can ride out the short-term fluctuations.
Market Context and Timing: We are currently in a phase of seasonal market weakness, where investors shift focus toward large-cap, defensive stocks. This shift makes small caps like Jumia more volatile and higher-risk in the near term. However, for the long-term investor, this is the moment to accumulate a position while others stay on the sidelines.
Range to Watch:
$5.40 to $14: This initial range represents the next key resistance levels as Jumia works its way up.
$14 to $21: Liquidity zone where price can move quickly.
Above $21: Should the stock break above this level, expect significant movement with liquidity zones extending to $27, $33, and potentially $40+.
This stock has remained a high-conviction play. Although Jumia remains a volatile stock, it is well-positioned to capture long-term growth in the African market, making it an excellent buy-and-hold for patient investors looking to capitalize on the next big e-commerce wave. This is a prime opportunity to snag the bottom for the next run-up.
ASX 200 futures enter the “death zone” for bulls ASX 200 SPI futures and bullish moves above 8000 haven’t mixed well in 2024, resulting in a raft of failed breaks, long topside wicks and topping patterns. It’s akin to a “death zone” for bulls, starving rallies of oxygen before eventually reversing.
I’m not outright bearish just because we’re back above the level, especially when momentum indicators are providing mixed signals, but I am interested in what happens near-term as it may dictate what happens longer-term. We’ll either get another topping pattern, or a bullish raid will finally stick. So, I’m waiting. I’m especially interested in how the price fares around 8080, if it gets there. The market has only been able to push through it once and never closed there.
Given the track record and current valuations, I’m more inclined to sell rallies but I want the price signal to do so. If we see another failed attempt around 8080, you could sell with a stop either above the level or the high set in August, depending on your eventual target. On the downside, the 50-day moving average looms as one, with 7871, 7794 and 7721 the next after that.
If the price were to break and close above 8121 before extending the move, the bearish bias would be negated.
Good luck!
DS
Nvidia Go Bye Bye | Short or Take Profits Whenever news commentators feel the need to interview a CEO, and hail the CEO as some kind of benevolent "hero of the people", that is a pretty good indicator that something is awry.
The same applies for rampant social media hype.
At the end of the day, the chart & the macro backdrop tell the real story.
NASDAQ:NVDA will collapse from here. Don't bother trying to buy any time soon, you will only be hurting yourself; this thing, along with the broader market has some significant adjusting (downward) to work through.
Kotak bank can consolidate and move upwardsKotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. Engages in the provision of commercial banking services. It operates through the following segments: Treasury, Balance Sheet Management Unit (BMU) and Corporate Centre; Retail Banking; Corporate or Wholesale Banking; Vehicle Financing, Other Lending Activities; Broking; Advisory and Transactional Services; Asset Management; Insurance and Other Banking Business.
Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. CMP is 1790.15. The positive aspects of the company are low Valuation (P.E. = 16.5), Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, Annual Net Profits improving for last 2 years, Stocks Outperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter and Good quarterly growth in the recent results. The Negative aspects of the company are PE higher than Industry PE, Increase in Provisions in Recent Results and Promoter decreasing their shareholding.
Entry can be taken after closing above 1793 Targets in the stock will be 1828 and 1864. The long-term target in the stock will be 1896 and 1928. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1732 or 1666 depending on your risk taking ability.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
APPLE: Buy lower if this level breaks. Next target = 260.Apple is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.352, MACD = -0.130, ADX = 33.865) as it is consolidating around the 1D MA50. The trend is a bearish one, correcting under LH and until they break, it will remain bearish. Much like the Channel Down corrections of 2023 and 2024, failure to cross above the top of the bearish pattern, should extend the selling to the 1D MA100 again, even the 1D MA200 if it fails.
The 1D RSI of the prior tw fractals indicates that two main LH should be formed before the price recovers. This shows that we should take our time with AAPL and if the 1.5 Fib level breaks, buy on the 1D MA100 and the 1D MA200 for the long term. TP = 260.00 (the 2.5 Fibonacci level).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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SRF can Surf upwards after consolidation. SRF Ltd. engages in the manufacturing of chemical-based industrial intermediates. It operates through the following segments: Technical Textiles Business, Chemicals Business, Packaging Film Business etc. The Chemicals Business segment comprises of refrigerant gases, industrial chemicals, specialty chemicals, fluoro chemicals & allied products and its research and development.
SRF Ltd. CMP is 2529.15. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, MFs increased their shareholding last quarter and Book Value per share Improving for last 2 years. The Negative aspects of the company are High Valuation (P.E. = 61), De-growth in Revenue and Profit, Inefficient use of capital to generate profits and Inefficient use of shareholder funds.
Entry can be taken after closing above 2529 Targets in the stock will be 2579, 2656 and 2693. The long-term target in the stock will be 2756 and 2855. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 2427 or 2285 depending on your risk taking ability.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Oracle (ORCL): Bullish Outlook Ahead of EarningsToday, we’re getting the earnings report on ORCL, and we’ve had to adjust our last analysis accordingly. We are now looking at a more bullish scenario after our previous bearish outlook was invalidated. If Oracle holds the desired level, we believe our current wave count is accurate.
The count is pretty straightforward, and we think we’re now in the intra wave (ii) of the larger wave 3. This wave (ii) might touch the trend channel again, though it doesn’t necessarily have to. The channel seems accurate as waves ((i)), ((ii)), and ((iii)) are all tagging it. It would have been ideal if wave ((iv)) had touched it as well, but perfection is rare in markets.
We’re focusing on the area between $133.43 and $129 to hold. We’re not setting any limit orders for ourselves just yet, as we want to see if our new count proves correct before making any moves.
NVDIA Is disaster just ahead of us?NVIDIA corporation (NVDA) is on a 3-month pull-back, the first it had on a 1M basis since September - October 2023. The latter was simply a mid-Bull consolidation phase within the wider picture of a Channel Up pattern that started almost 10 years ago.
The price is pulling-back from the Channel's top (Higher Highs trend-line) and if the 1M MACD forms a Bearish Cross, we should be preparing for a cyclical correction within the pattern which in the previous two times (November 2021 and October 2018 tops) it corrected back to the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) to form a bottom.
The Nov 2021 top was formed exactly at the time of the 1M MACD Bearish Cross, while the October 2018 top was formed 10 months after. If this is a 3-year Cycle then in October or November (2024) we should really see the extent of the correction. If not then this might be another Mid-bull consolidation and we may have (roughly) another 10-12 months before this Cycle tops.
What do you think it's going to be??
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e.l.f. Beauty (ELF): Oversold and Ready for a ReboundIt has been quite some time since we last took a look at e.l.f. Beauty, and our previous conclusion was that we could be seeing some more selling pressure. We were right about it; after a brief relief pump, the stock sold off by more than 45%.
In the end, our prediction about ELF being due for a sell-off was correct, and we are now back in the targeted area. Although we haven't touched the HVN POC yet, the situation looks both promising and concerning at the same time.
Additionally, the RSI is oversold for the first time since October 2023. Given the current market conditions and the prevailing uncertainty, we are not planning to go long on ELF at this time. However, it does appear ready to either fall a bit more or take off. We will continue to monitor it closely and have already set alerts. If we see an upward push, we might consider entering on a retest, but for now, we're staying on the sidelines.
We hope this update has been helpful to you 🔥
COINBASE at the bottom of the 20month Channel. Will it go lower?Coinbase (COIN) has been trading within a long-term Channel Up since the first week of January 2023 (almost 20 months). Within this time span, it has seen 4 corrections with the latter being the longest as we haven't seen a new High since the week of March 25 2024.
Last Friday saw the week close on the strongest red 1W candle (-20%) since the 2022 Bear Cycle, as it failed to rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). This on its own is a very pessimistic development, with the presence of only the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) remaining to offer support long-term.
However, this Friday closing made an exact Higher Low at the bottom of the Channel Up, something we hadn't seen since the June 05 2023 1W candle. That was the candle that completed the longest (until the current one) correction on Coinbase. Both Bearish Legs have similar declines (-47% then and -48% now). The minimum % rise of a Bullish Leg within this Channel Up has been +146.82% (two times).
As a result, as long as we close this week inside the Channel Up and ideally the 1W RSI remains above the 30.00 oversold barrier, we can expect a long-term bullish reversal on COIN with the start of the Channel's new Bullish Leg, with a minimum expectation being at $360.00 (+146.82% rally).
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Dole (DOLE) AnalysisCompany Overview:
NYSE:DOLE PLC is a global leader in the fresh produce industry, with a strong portfolio of fruits and vegetables. As consumer demand for healthier food options continues to grow, Dole is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend. The company’s vast global network and operational scale give it a competitive edge in meeting this rising demand for fresh, healthy produce.
Key Catalysts:
Health-Conscious Consumer Trends: The increasing consumer shift toward healthier eating habits supports Dole’s premium valuation. As more consumers prioritize fresh produce, Dole stands to benefit from expanded market share and revenue growth.
Strong Start in 2024: Executive Chairman Carl McCann expressed optimism about Dole’s performance, aiming to maintain its adjusted EBITDA levels comparable to 2023. This guidance reflects the company’s strong operational execution and market positioning.
EMEA Segment Growth: The EMEA Diversified Fresh Produce segment has been a major driver of growth, posting a 44% year-over-year increase in Q4 segment adjusted EBITDA, driven by strong sales and improved margins. This robust performance is expected to continue supporting the company’s overall profitability.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on DOLE if it holds above the $14.00-$15.00 range. Upside Potential: The upside target for DOLE is set at $23.00-$24.00, driven by consumer trends toward healthier eating, strong EMEA segment performance, and operational execution.
🍍 Dole—cultivating a healthy future! #DoleFresh #HealthyLiving 🌱📈
Tesla Stock Correction: Eyeing a $300 Target? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the Tesla stock chart on the weekly (logarithmic) timeframe, we can see that, as expected, the price entered the supply zone at $235. After reaching this level, the stock faced a decline and corrected down to $210! It is likely that we will see further correction in Tesla's stock price. However, as mentioned in the previous analysis, due to the recent interest rate cuts, we might gradually witness a price increase after this initial correction. I am forecasting a mid-term target for Tesla stock above $300.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 6, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Throughout the trading sessions of the current week, the S&P 500 Index has demonstrated significant downward movement, completing an Inner Index Dip at 5408 and establishing a new Mean Resistance level at 5530. There is a strong likelihood of a rebound to this level. Further, emphasis is placed on achieving the extended downward move to the target marked at Mean Support 5344, where a resilient rebound is anticipated.
SWING IDEA - SBI CARDS AND PAYMENTSThis setup presents an attractive opportunity for swing traders to capitalize on the potential uptrend in SBI Cards .
Reasons are listed below :
Strong Support at 670-700 Levels : SBI Cards has established a robust support zone in the range of 670-700 levels, indicating strong buying interest and potential reversal points.
Bullish Marubozu Candle : A bullish Marubozu candlestick pattern has formed in both the weekly and daily timeframes, suggesting strong buying momentum and potential upward movement.
Engulfing Pattern : The bullish engulfing pattern on the weekly chart, engulfing four previous candles, reinforces the bullish sentiment and indicates a potential reversal of the downtrend.
Double Bottom Pattern : A double bottom pattern has emerged on the daily timeframe, indicating a potential trend reversal and bullish continuation.
Target - 790 // 855 // 935
Stoploss - weekly close below 670
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
SWING IDEA - CHALET HOTELSChalet Hotels is offering a promising swing trade setup, backed by key technical factors.
Reasons are listed below :
Break of Symmetrical Triangle : The price has broken out of a symmetrical triangle pattern, signaling a potential upward move and a shift in market sentiment.
Bullish Marubozu Candle on Daily Timeframe : A bullish Marubozu candle on the daily chart shows strong buying momentum, which reinforces the breakout and indicates further bullishness.
Trading Above 50 and 200 EMA on Daily Timeframe : The stock is trading above both the 50 and 200 EMAs on the daily timeframe, indicating strong upward momentum and a positive long-term trend.
Volume Spike : The recent surge in volumes supports the breakout, confirming increased market interest and participation in the stock.
Target - 910 // 960
Stoploss - daily close below 760
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
Marico can make merryMarico Limited, headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, carries on business in branded consumer products. Marico manufactures and markets products with the brands such as Parachute, Parachute Advanced, Nihar, Nihar Naturals, Saffola, Hair & Care, Revive, Mediker, Livon, Set-wet, etc.
Marico Limited CMP is 665.25. The positive aspects of the company are Dividend yield greater than sector dividend yield, Company with Low Debt, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding and MFs increased their shareholding last quarter. The Negative aspects of the company are High PE (PE=56.7), High promoter stock pledges and Promoter decreasing their shareholding.
Entry can be taken after closing above 668. Targets in the stock will be 682 AND 692. The long-term target in the stock will be 702 and 719. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 632 or 591 depending on your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Bajaj Electricals looks electrifying for the long termBajaj Electricals Limited was incorporated in July, 1938. The Company is engaged in business of consumer products (appliances, fans, lighting), EPC (illumination, power transmission and power distribution) and exports. Powered by a Pan-India presence and a market leading position in the industry, the Company functions through 20 branch offices which are duly supported by a chain of approximately over 700 distributors, 2.20 lakhs retail outlets and over 600 consumer care centres. The company has also a strong foothold in power transmission and distribution business.
Bajaj Electricals Limited CMP is 1003.90. The positive aspects of the company are Mutual Funds Increased Shareholding in Past Month, Dividend yield greater than sector dividend yield and Company with No Debt. The Negative aspects of the company are High PE (PE=94.8), Low durability companies, Declining profits every quarter for the past 2 quarters.
Entry can be taken after closing above 1022. Targets in the stock will be 1053, 1084, 1111 AND 1146. The long-term target in the stock will be 1189, 1274 and 1357. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 933 or 891 depending on your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.