SPY Pullback: Time to Consider New Swing Long Positions!While AMEX:SPY remains in a strong uptrend, today’s 0.5% decline offers a healthy retracement for swing traders looking to enter long positions at more favorable levels. I don’t expect this pullback to last long or be of significant magnitude, but the short-term weakness is evident, creating an attractive window to buy into the trend. Watch for upcoming signals, as this dip could present a fresh opportunity for the next upward move.
The technicals support this outlook:
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 63.85 (Neutral), indicating the market isn’t oversold yet, leaving room for more downside before a potential rebound.
MACD Level: 5.77 (Buy), signaling positive momentum and supporting the overall bullish trend.
Momentum (10): 12.81 (Buy), confirming underlying strength in the uptrend.
Exponential Moving Averages (10, 20, 50, 100, 200): All in “Buy” territory, reinforcing that the uptrend remains intact despite today’s pullback.
However, Stochastic %K (90.36) and Commodity Channel Index (192.15) point to potential short-term exhaustion, suggesting this is a brief pause before the next leg higher. Swing traders should stay alert for a better entry point at any moment.
Action: Stay tuned for a buying opportunity and follow me to see when I make my next move into the trend!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risks, and you should only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Stocks
ALDO - CUP WITH HANDLEIDX:ALDO (CUP WITH HANDLE)
28-10-2024
(+):
1. Low risk entry point, first time the stock showing it’s buying point
2. Volume dries up on handle
3. Stock showing it’s strength while market is corrected
4. Price above MA 50 > 150 > 200 over 10 weeks
5. Price is within 25% of 52 weeks high
6. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
7. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
8. RS Rating is over 70 (82)
(-):
1. Not really confirmed Stage 2, there is high that need to break out at price 520
Investment-Grade Debt vs. Treasuries and Stock Market ImplicatioIntroduction:
The ratio between investment-grade corporate debt (LQD) and 3-7 Year Treasuries (IEI) serves as a key measure of market liquidity, carrying important implications for the stock market. When this LQD-to-IEI ratio rises, it indicates stronger market liquidity, typically reducing the risk of a stock market downturn. Monitoring this ratio can provide early signals on the market’s broader risk environment.
Analysis:
Liquidity Signal: A rising LQD-to-IEI ratio reflects improved liquidity conditions, which can offer a more favorable environment for stocks by reducing systemic risk and easing funding conditions.
Technical Pattern: Currently, the LQD-to-IEI ratio is approaching a potential breakout from a rounding bottom formation, which is a bullish pattern. A confirmed breakout, possibly supported by recent Federal Reserve liquidity measures, would strengthen the case for a continued stock market uptrend.
Market Implications: A breakout in this ratio would indicate robust liquidity, offering a supportive backdrop for stock gains. Strong liquidity tends to encourage investment in equities, as it alleviates funding pressures and risk concerns.
Conclusion:
The LQD-to-IEI ratio offers a vital signal of market liquidity, with a potential breakout from its rounding bottom pattern indicating a bullish scenario for equities. If liquidity conditions remain strong, stocks could see continued support, reducing the chances of a market crash. Do you agree with this outlook on liquidity’s impact on stocks? Share your perspective below!
Charts: (Include relevant charts showing the LQD-to-IEI ratio, the rounding bottom formation, and breakout potential)
Tags: #Liquidity #CorporateDebt #Treasuries #StockMarket #LQD #IEI #TechnicalPatterns
SWING IDEA - JBM AUTOJBM Auto , a leading manufacturer of auto components and systems, is showing promising technical indicators for a potential swing trade.
Reasons are listed below :
Strong Support at 1700 : The 1700 level has proven to be a robust support zone, indicating strong buying interest and a solid base for potential upward movement.
'W' Pattern Formation : The stock is forming a 'W' pattern (double bottom) at this crucial support zone, which is a bullish reversal pattern suggesting that the downtrend may be over and a new uptrend could be beginning.
Golden Fibonacci Support : The price has found support at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, often considered a strong support zone and indicating a potential reversal or continuation of the uptrend.
Trading Above 50 and 200 EMA : JBM Auto is trading above both the 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages, indicating a strong and sustained uptrend.
Constant Higher Highs : The stock has been consistently making higher highs, reflecting ongoing bullish sentiment and a sustained uptrend.
Target - 2430
Stoploss - weekly close below 1670
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
SWING IDEA - DLFDLF , a major player in the real estate sector, is showing promising technical signals for a swing trade.
Reasons are listed below :
Break of Flag and Pole Pattern : The stock has broken out of a flag and pole pattern, a continuation pattern indicating the potential for further upside in the ongoing trend.
800 Zone as a Strong Support : The 800 level has proven to be a solid support zone. The price is currently bouncing back from this level, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to support the price.
Bullish Engulfing Candle on Weekly Timeframe : The formation of a bullish engulfing candle on the weekly chart indicates strong buying pressure, which often leads to a continuation of the upward trend.
Trading Above 50 and 200 EMA : DLF is trading above both the 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages, reinforcing the bullish sentiment and indicating strong support at these levels.
Intact Uptrend : The overall trend remains intact, suggesting that the stock is in a strong upward trajectory with the potential for further gains.
Target - 967 // 1030
Stoploss - weekly close below 795
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
Analyzing Sector Dynamics and Momentum ShiftsIntroduction:
The performance ratio between the communications sector (XLC) and the technology sector (XLK) highlights two of the market's leading sectors, both of which feature overlapping companies. While XLC has been a strong performer for much of the year, it has recently shown signs of weakness, even lagging behind traditionally defensive sectors like utilities. Historically, technology has maintained more consistent strength compared to communications.
Analysis:
Sector Comparison: The XLC-to-XLK ratio helps gauge the relative momentum between these two sectors. Recent weakness in XLC, paired with XLK’s historical stability, suggests a shift in relative strength back toward technology.
Rectangle Pattern: Currently, the XLC-to-XLK ratio displays a rectangle formation, which hints at a potential continuation of the downtrend should the ratio break below the rectangle’s lower trendline. This pattern could indicate that XLC’s outperformance may have peaked for now.
Momentum Shift: Although XLC has shown some recent underperformance, any shift in momentum away from communications is likely to be gradual rather than abrupt, given the current technical setup.
Conclusion:
The relative performance of XLC and XLK is crucial for understanding current sector dynamics and where momentum may be shifting. While technology remains robust, the recent pattern in the XLC-to-XLK ratio suggests a possible weakening in communications. Traders should watch for a break below the rectangle pattern to confirm a continuation of the downtrend. What’s your view on the XLC-to-XLK relationship? Share your thoughts below!
Charts: (Include relevant charts showing the XLC-to-XLK ratio, the rectangle formation, and the potential breakout areas)
Tags: #Communications #Technology #SectorAnalysis #XLC #XLK #TechnicalPatterns
SWING IDEA - ANAND RATHI WEALTH LTDAnand Rathi Wealth Ltd , a leading wealth management company in India offering financial advisory services, is presenting a potential swing trading opportunity.
Reasons are listed below:
4300 Zone Breakout : The 4300 level has been tested multiple times, and the stock is now breaking out, suggesting renewed buying interest.
Bullish Engulfing Candle on Daily Timeframe : A bullish engulfing pattern has formed on the daily chart, indicating strong upward momentum.
Breaking Consolidation Zone of 6 Months : The stock is breaking out of a long consolidation phase, which could lead to a new bullish trend.
Trading Above 50 and 200 EMA : The price is trading above both the 50 and 200-day exponential moving averages, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
Volume Spike : An increase in trading volumes supports the strength of the breakout, indicating robust market participation.
Target - 4850
Stoploss - daily close below 3990
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
Is Tesla Finally Finishing A Bullish Triangle Pattern?Tesla has been trading sideways since 2021, which we see it as a consolidation within bullish trend, ideally as a larger bullish triangle pattern in wave IV that can send the price higher for wave V
Tesla is now breaking important 270 area after recent strong earnings. Considering it's breaking above upper triangle line, then bullish ABCDE triangle in wave IV can finally be completed. Is Wave V now underway back to all-time highs?
A triangle appears to reflect a balance of forces, causing a sideways movement that is usually associated with decreasing volume and volatility. The triangle pattern contains five overlapping waves that subdivide 3-3-3-3-3 and are labeled A-B-C-D-E. The triangle is a region of horizontal price movement, a consolidation of a prior move, and it is composed of “threes.” That means each of the A-B-C-D-E waves have three subwaves. The triangle pattern is generally categorized as a continuation pattern, meaning that after the pattern completes, it’s assumed that the price will continue in the trend direction it was moving before the pattern appeared. However, triangles also indicate that the final leg is coming before a reversal and that’s why triangles are labeled in wave B, wave X or wave 4.
Selling Pressure is Over: Ryde Group Ltd. (NYSE: RYDE)Our analysis indicates that the recent selling pressure on Ryde Group Ltd. (NYSE: RYDE) appears to have stabilised. This could signal a potential trend reversal, as evidenced by a flattening Relative Strength Index (RSI), suggesting diminished bearish momentum. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is approaching a potential golden cross, further supporting the likelihood of a bullish shift.
If RYDE’s share price holds steady within the $0.600 - $0.620 range, we anticipate a possible rebound towards the resistance levels at $0.650 - $0.700. A successful breach of these levels could close the gap from previous price movements, marking a significant step in the stock’s recovery trajectory.
FFL is going to high and highCurrent financial results of FFL are good and company is now in good profit, This is monthly chart of FFL, FFL currently is undervalued stock and it was trading between 8 and 9 levels few days ago and on last trading day it crossed psychological barrier of level of 10.
These are levels could be crossed by FFL in future, Keep in mind it is starting to rise and it will rise day by day.
Note: This is an analysis on Fundamentals and Technical basis, This is not a buy or sell call. Trade with your own will and decisions.
L'OREAL weekly (log)Hello everyone,
Weekly chart on logarithmic scale.
The long-term trend is bullish, but the channel is breaking down in the short term.
The price has just gone below the 200-period simple average.
Is L'Oréal "Because you're worth it" still in the air?
This file does not interest me for the moment.
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
► Thank you for boosting, commenting, subscribing!
VGT Post-Election Year ReturnsVanguard Information Tech ETF ( AMEX:VGT ) tends to consistently perform best in the year following a US Presidential Election. I believe given its track record, VGT could replicate the previous three post-election years. This would put the price at approximately $800 at the end of 2025.
Strategy:
My strategy has been to build a position throughout the pre-election and election year, and rotate out of the position into better yielding opportunities exactly one year after the November 2024 election.
NVIDIA weekly and logHello,
A quick look at the past.
Well, it's been going up since 2012!
A short-term trend has resumed in the long-term trend as shown by the regression line channels.
The orange line represents the 200-period simple average.
Make your own opinion, before placing an order.
► Thank you for boosting, commenting, subscribing!
Take 40% profit and going downNASDAQ:NVDA
The stock has reached our target zone, bringing us a 40% profit.
For long-term holders – don’t sell; after a correction, it will generate more returns as it’s trending and set for further growth.
For swing traders, consider closing positions as a correction is likely to push prices down. I’ll give you a buy signal again afterward.
U.S. Election affect on the Stock Market 2012 / 2016 / 2020 Here's what the market did over the last 3 elections the U.S. had.
2012 / 2016 / 2020
Obama / Trump / Biden
What's in store for 2024 ?
#SPY #MSFT NASDAQ:AAPL #AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN #AMZN NASDAQ:QQQ #QQQ #ICT NYSE:ES #ES SP:SPX #SPX #thestrat SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ AMEX:SPY #NQ NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:TSLA #TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AMD #NVDA #AMD #trump #harris #election #technicalanalysis #stocks #investing #finance
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 25, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, the S&P 500 index exhibited notable weakness by falling below the Mean Support level of 5818 and subsequently establishing a new Mean Support at 5798. This development will likely prompt a decline toward the Inner Index Dip at 5733, with a potential extension to Mean Support at 5700. This support level is critical for enabling a primary recovery and advancing into the next phase of the bullish trend. Furthermore, it is essential to recognize that achieving levels of 5833 and 5700 may result in a rapid upward price reaction.
US30 Analysis in Elliott Waves - Anticipated Correction ScenarioUS30 Analysis in Elliott Waves - Anticipated Correction Scenario :
Fibonacci extensions. This level often signals a potential reversal point, suggesting that a significant correction may be approaching in the short term.
We anticipate a possible correction towards Fibonacci levels, around 23% to 38% of the third wave. The end of this third wave has also formed an ending diagonal, reinforcing the likelihood of a pause or reversal in the trend.
Awaited Confirmation Signals
To confirm the potential for a correction, several technical signals are in place:
Divergences on MACD and RSI: A bearish divergence is present on these indicators, indicating a weakening of bullish momentum and increasing the likelihood of a trend reversal.
Break of the Trend Line: Although the market is still in an uptrend, the break of this trend line would provide final confirmation of the end of the third wave and the start of a deeper correction. Monitoring this break is crucial before entering short positions.
Price Action: On the weekly chart, a Bearish Engulfing pattern has already been observed, further supporting potential sell signals.
Price Targets
First Target (TP1): 38,418, a key support zone expected to serve as the initial correction target.
Second Target (TP2): After a minor bullish correction, we could aim for the 33,735 area as the final target of this downward phase.
After this anticipated correction, we’ll reassess the market to look for new buying opportunities if the bullish trend resumes.