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Santa Claus Rally: How Will Christmas Impact Stock MarketsSanta Claus Rally: How Will Christmas Impact Stock Markets in 2024 The Santa Claus rally is a well-known seasonal phenomenon where stock markets often see gains during the final trading days of December and the start of January. But what causes this year-end trend, and how does Christmas influence stock markets overall? In this article, we’ll explore the factors behind the rally, its historical significance, and what traders can learn from this unique period in the financial calendar. What Is the Santa Claus Rally? The Santa Claus rally, or simply the Santa rally, refers to a seasonal trend where stock markets often rise during the last five trading days of December and the first two trading days of January. For instance, Santa Claus rally dates for 2024 start on the 24th December and end on the 2nd January, with stock markets closed on the 25th (Christmas day) and the 28th and 29th (a weekend). First identified by Yale Hirsch in 1972 in the Stock Trader’s Almanac, this phenomenon has intrigued traders for decades. While not a guaranteed outcome, it has shown a consistent pattern in market data over the years, making it a point of interest for those analysing year-end trends. In Santa rally history, average returns are modest but noteworthy. For example, per 2019’s Stock Trader’s Almanac, the S&P 500 has historically gained around 1.3% during this period, outperforming most other weeks of the year. Across the seven days, prices have historically climbed 76% of the time. This trend isn’t limited to the US; global indices often experience similar movements, further highlighting its significance. To check market dynamics, head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader trading platform. The Christmas rally in the stock market is believed to stem from several factors. Low trading volumes during the holiday season, as many institutional investors take time off, may reduce resistance to upward price movements. Retail investors, buoyed by end-of-year optimism or holiday bonuses, may drive additional buying. Additionally, some investors reposition portfolios for tax purposes or adjust holdings ahead of the new year, contributing to the upward momentum. However, this pattern is not immune to disruption. Broader economic events, geopolitical tensions, or bearish sentiment can easily override it. While the Santa Claus rally is a fascinating seasonal trend, it’s essential to view it as one piece of the larger market puzzle rather than a reliable signal on its own. Why Might the Santa Claus Rally Happen? The Santa Claus rally isn’t a random occurrence. Several factors, both psychological and practical, can drive this year-end market trend. While it doesn’t happen every year, when it does, there are usually clear reasons behind it. Investor Optimism and Holiday Sentiment The holiday season often brings a wave of positive sentiment. This optimism can influence traders to take a bullish stance, especially as many are eager to start the new year on a strong note. Retail investors, in particular, may view this period as an opportunity to position themselves for potential January gains. The festive atmosphere and the prospect of year-end “window dressing”—where fund managers buy well-performing stocks to improve portfolio appearances—can also contribute. Tax-Driven Portfolio Adjustments As the year closes, many investors engage in tax-loss harvesting, selling underperforming assets to offset taxable gains. Once these adjustments are complete, reinvestments into higher-performing or promising stocks may push markets higher. This activity can create short-term demand, fuelling upward momentum during the rally period. Lower Trading Volumes Institutional investors often step back during the holidays, leaving markets dominated by retail traders and smaller participants. Lower trading volumes can result in less resistance to price movements, making it easier for upward trends to emerge. With fewer large players balancing the market, price shifts may become more pronounced. Bonus Reinvestments and End-of-Year Contributions Many professionals receive year-end bonuses or make final contributions to retirement accounts during this period. Some of this money flows into the markets, adding buying pressure. This effect is particularly noticeable in December, as investors seek to capitalise on potential market opportunities before the year wraps up. How Christmas Impacts Stock Markets The Christmas period is unique in the trading calendar, shaping market behaviour in ways that stand out from other times of the year. While some effects align with holiday-driven sentiment, others reflect broader seasonal trends. Reduced Liquidity and Trading Volumes One of the most notable impacts of Christmas is the sharp decline in trading activity. This contributes to the Santa rally, with the largest market participants—institutional investors and professional traders—stepping away for the holidays. This thinner activity can lead to sharper price movements as smaller trades carry more influence. For example, stocks with lower market capitalisation may experience greater volatility during this time. Sector-Specific Strength The most popular Christmas stocks tend to be those in the consumer discretionary and retail sectors (though this isn’t guaranteed). The holiday shopping boom drives significant revenues for companies in these sectors, often lifting their stock prices. A strong showing in retail sales, especially in countries like the US, can bolster market indices tied to consumer spending. Many consider companies like Amazon and brick-and-mortar retailers to be among the most popular stocks to buy before Christmas, given they often see increased trading interest around the holidays and a potential Christmas rally. Economic Data Releases The Christmas season still sees the publication of economic indicators. While there are no specific year-end releases from government statistical bodies, some 3rd-party reports may have an impact. Likewise, scheduled publications, such as US jobless claims (every Thursday) or non-farm payrolls (the first Friday of each month), can affect sentiment. Positive data can provide an additional boost to stock markets in December. However, weaker-than-expected results can dampen enthusiasm, counteracting any seasonal cheer. International Variations While Western markets slow down for Christmas, other global markets may not follow the same pattern. For instance, Asian markets, where Christmas is less of a holiday, may see regular or even increased activity. This discrepancy can create interesting dynamics for traders who keep an eye on global portfolios. The "Post-Holiday Rebound" As Christmas wraps up, markets often experience a slight rebound leading into the New Year, driven by renewed investor activity. This period, while brief, is closely watched as it can set the tone for the opening days of January trading. Potential Risks and Considerations While the Santa Claus rally and year-end trends can be intriguing, they are far from guaranteed. Relying solely on these patterns without deeper analysis can lead to overlooked risks and missed opportunities. Uncertain Market Conditions Macro factors, like interest rate changes, geopolitical tensions, or unexpected economic data, can disrupt seasonal trends. For instance, during times of economic uncertainty, the optimism often associated with the holidays might not translate to market gains. Traders must account for these broader dynamics rather than assuming the rally will occur. Overemphasis on Historical Patterns Historical data can provide valuable insights, but markets evolve. A pattern that held up in past decades may not carry the same weight today due to shifts in investor behaviour, technological advancements, and globalisation. Traders focusing too heavily on past trends may miss the impact of more relevant, current developments. Low Liquidity Risks The reduced trading volumes typical of the holiday season can work both ways. While thin markets may allow for upward price movements, they can also lead to heightened volatility. A single large trade or unexpected event can swing prices sharply, posing challenges for those navigating the market during this time. Sector-Specific Sensitivity Sectors like retail and consumer discretionary often draw attention during December due to strong sales data. However, poor performance or weak holiday shopping figures can cause a ripple effect, dragging down not only individual stocks but broader indices tied to these sectors. FOMO and Overtrading The hype surrounding the Santa Claus rally can lead to overtrading or ill-timed decisions, particularly for less experienced traders. Maintaining a disciplined approach, potentially combined with clear risk management strategies, can potentially help mitigate this issue. The Bottom Line The Santa Claus rally is a fascinating seasonal trend, offering insights into how market sentiment and activity shift during the holidays. While not guaranteed, understanding these patterns can help traders develop their strategies. Whether you’re exploring seasonal trends in stock CFDs or other potential opportunities across forex and commodity CFDs, having the right platform is essential. Open an FXOpen account today to access more than 700 markets, four trading platforms, and low-cost trading conditions. FAQ What Is the Santa Claus Rally? The Santa Claus rally refers to a seasonal trend where stock markets often rise during the final week of December and the first two trading days of January. It’s a well-documented phenomenon, first identified by Yale Hirsch in the Stock Trader’s Almanac. While it doesn’t occur every year, Santa Claus rally history demonstrates consistent patterns, with the S&P 500 averaging a 1.3% gain during this period. What Are the Dates for the Santa Claus Rally? The Santa Claus rally typically covers the final five trading days of December and the first two trading days of January. The Santa Claus rally in 2024 starts on the 24th of December and ends on the 2nd of January. During this period, stock markets will be closed on the 25th (Christmas Day) and the weekend of the 28th and 29th. How Many Days Does the Santa Claus Stock Rally Take? The rally spans seven trading days: the last five of December and the first two of January. While its duration is fixed, the intensity and consistency of the trend vary from year to year. Is December Good for Stocks? Historically, December has been one of the strongest months for stock markets. Positive sentiment, strong retail performance, and tax-related portfolio adjustments often contribute to this trend. Is the Stock Market Open on Christmas? No, US and UK stock markets are closed on Christmas Day, with reduced hours on Christmas Eve. Historically, What Is the Best Day of December to Invest in the Stock Market? Financial markets bear high risks, therefore, there is no best day for trading or investing. According to theory, in December stock market history, the last trading day of the year has often been among the strongest, as investors position portfolios for the new year. However, results vary based on broader market conditions and a trader’s skills. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:SPXMEducation
by FXOpen
6
What Is Quantitative Tightening and How Does It Work?What Is Quantitative Tightening and How Does It Work in Financial Markets? Quantitative tightening (QT) is a critical tool central banks use to control inflation by reducing the money supply. In this article, we’ll break down how QT works, its impact on financial markets, and how it influences the broader economy. Read on to learn more about the effects of QT and how it shapes markets. What Is Quantitative Tightening? Quantitative tightening (QT) is a type of tightening monetary policy that central banks use to reduce the amount of money circulating in the economy. When central banks like the USA’s Federal Reserve or European Central Bank engage in QT, they aim to tighten liquidity by reducing their balance sheets, typically by allowing bonds or other financial assets to mature without reinvestment or selling them outright. QT is a practice often used alongside hiking central bank interest rates, though not always. The main goal of QT is to manage inflation by increasing borrowing costs and reducing demand for goods and services. By letting bonds mature or selling them, central banks effectively pull money out of circulation. This leads to fewer funds available for lending, which raises interest rates. Higher rates make borrowing more expensive, encouraging businesses and consumers to cut back on spending, which can help cool down inflation. An example of this mechanism in action is the Fed’s QT program that began in 2022 to tackle high inflation by reducing the size of its balance sheet after years of quantitative easing. QT is essentially the opposite of quantitative easing (QE), which is aimed at stimulating economic growth. What Is Quantitative Easing? QT and QE are both used to correct the economy’s course. However, while QT refers to the tightening of monetary policy, QE loosens it. During QE, central banks buy large quantities of government bonds and other assets to inject liquidity into the economy. This increases the money supply, lowers interest rates, and is intended to stimulate economic activity, particularly during downturns or recessions. QE was used extensively following the 2008 financial crisis and during the COVID-19 pandemic as a way to support economic recovery.​ How Does Quantitative Tightening Work? Quantitative tightening works by pulling liquidity out of the financial system, reducing the amount of money available for borrowing and investment. Central banks use a couple of specific methods to achieve this, which have a ripple effect on markets and the broader economy. 1. Reducing Asset Holdings One of the most common ways central banks implement QT is by allowing bonds and other financial assets on their balance sheets to mature without reinvesting the proceeds. For example, the Federal Reserve might hold trillions in government bonds. When those bonds mature, instead of using the proceeds to buy new bonds, the Fed simply lets the money flow out of circulation. This reduces the central bank’s balance sheet and shrinks the money supply, contributing to higher borrowing costs. 2. Selling Bonds Another method central banks use is the outright sale of government bonds or other securities. By selling assets, central banks increase the supply of bonds in the market. This can push bond prices down and drive yields higher, which makes borrowing more expensive for companies, governments, and individuals alike. Rising bond yields often lead to higher interest rates across the board, from mortgages to business loans—when there’s less money available for lending, banks raise the rates they charge for loans. Effects of Quantitative Tightening on the Broader Economy Quantitative tightening has significant ripple effects across the broader economy. As central banks reduce liquidity, it impacts everything from borrowing costs to consumer spending and business investment. 1. Higher Borrowing Costs One of the most immediate effects of QT is the rise in interest rates. As central banks shrink their balance sheets, bond prices fall, pushing yields higher. This, in turn, raises the cost of borrowing for businesses and consumers. There may also be interest rate hikes alongside QT, further tightening lending conditions. Mortgages, personal loans, and corporate debt all become more expensive, discouraging borrowing. For businesses, higher financing costs can limit expansion plans, reducing investment in growth or innovation. Households, meanwhile, face elevated mortgage rates, leading to reduced demand in housing markets and potentially lower home prices​. 2. Reduced Consumer Spending As the cost of borrowing rises, consumers have less disposable income. Higher interest rates on loans and credit cards mean households spend more on servicing debt and less on goods and services. This can slow down retail sales and reduce overall consumer demand, which is a critical driver of economic growth. Lower consumer spending typically affects sectors like retail, real estate, and manufacturing, which depend on a high volume of transactions​. 3. Slower Business Growth QT also impacts businesses by making it more expensive to access credit. Companies that rely on borrowing to finance operations, new projects, or expansions find it harder to justify taking on debt. With higher interest payments eating into profits, many businesses may delay or scale back investment plans. In addition, small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) that depend on bank loans for cash flow are often the hardest hit​. 4. Inflation Control While QT can slow economic activity, its primary goal is to rein in inflation. By reducing the money supply and making credit more expensive, it cools down demand. Lower consumer and business spending can reduce price pressures, helping to stabilise inflation. This was a key objective when the Federal Reserve resumed QT in 2022 to counter post-pandemic inflation​. 5. Potential Economic Slowdown However, if QT is too aggressive, it risks triggering an economic slowdown or even a recession. Tightening financial conditions leads to reduced economic growth, as seen in 2018 when markets reacted negatively to the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet reductions​. How Does Quantitative Tightening Affect Financial Markets? Quantitative tightening can have significant effects across different financial markets. By reducing liquidity, it influences the behaviour of key assets, from bonds to equities, and can reshape market conditions in profound ways. 1. Bond Market QT often leads to higher bond yields. When central banks like the Federal Reserve reduce their bond holdings or stop reinvesting in new ones, the supply of bonds in the market increases. As bond prices drop, yields rise to attract new buyers. This rise in yields means governments and corporations face higher borrowing costs. For instance, during the Federal Reserve’s quantitative tightening efforts in 2018, US Treasury yields rose significantly as more bonds became available in the market​. 2. Stock Market Equity markets often react negatively to QT. As liquidity tightens, the cost of borrowing rises for businesses, which can squeeze corporate profits and reduce their ability to invest or expand. Investors also tend to move away from riskier assets like stocks when bonds offer higher yields, as bonds become more attractive for their safety and improved returns. In 2018, US stocks experienced heightened volatility when the Fed’s quantitative tightening efforts combined with rate hikes led to market corrections​. 3. Foreign Exchange Market QT can also impact currency values. As central banks tighten monetary conditions and raise interest rates, their currencies often strengthen relative to others. This is because higher yields and interest rates attract foreign investment, increasing demand for the currency. For example, when the Fed began QT in 2022, the US dollar strengthened as investors sought better returns on US assets like Treasury bonds​. See how the US dollar strengthening occurred for yourself in FXOpen’s free TickTrader trading platform. 4. Credit Market QT reduces the availability of credit as banks and financial institutions face higher borrowing costs themselves. As liquidity is drained from the system, lenders tighten their credit conditions, making loans more expensive and harder to get. This can slow economic growth as businesses and consumers find it more costly to finance investments or purchases. In effect, QT creates a tighter financial environment by reducing liquidity, pushing up borrowing costs, and shifting investor behaviour across various markets. Each asset class feels the impact in different ways, but the overall effect is a more cautious, less liquid financial system. The Bottom Line Quantitative tightening is a powerful tool central banks use to manage inflation by reducing liquidity and increasing interest rates. While it helps control rising prices, QT can impact borrowing costs, investment, and market stability. Understanding how these mechanisms work is crucial for informed trading. Ready to take advantage of different market conditions? Open an FXOpen account today and start navigating more than 700 financial markets with low-cost, high-speed trading conditions, and four advanced trading platforms. FAQ What Is Quantitative Tightening? The quantitative tightening definition refers to a monetary policy used by central banks to reduce liquidity in the economy. This involves decreasing the central bank’s balance sheet by selling bonds or allowing them to mature without reinvestment. QT is typically aimed at curbing inflation by raising borrowing costs and slowing economic activity​. How Does Quantitative Tightening Work? QT works by reducing the supply of money in the financial system. Central banks achieve this by selling government bonds or letting them mature. As the bonds leave the market, interest rates rise, making borrowing more expensive for businesses and consumers​. How Does Quantitative Tightening Affect the Stock Market? QT can negatively impact stock markets. As interest rates rise and liquidity tightens, borrowing costs for companies increase, which can hurt corporate profits. Investors may shift towards so-called safer assets like bonds, reducing demand for stocks and contributing to market volatility​. What Is the Difference Between QT and QE? Quantitative easing (QE) increases the money supply by buying bonds, while quantitative tightening (QT) reduces liquidity by selling bonds or letting them mature. The main difference between quantitative easing vs tightening is that QE stimulates economic growth, while QT aims to control inflation​. What Does It Mean When the Fed Is Tightening? When the Federal Reserve tightens, it implements policies to reduce money supply and raise interest rates. This helps control inflation by making borrowing more expensive and slowing economic activity​. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:DXYEducation
by FXOpen
1
NVDA Analysis – Watching Key Levels! Hello Folks Alright, here’s what I’m seeing on NVDA. We’re still bullish for now, but I’ve marked the level where things could shift if it breaks. First Entry: Around $140, expecting support to hold and price to bounce. Second Entry: If price breaks $151, I’ll look to add at $148 after a retest for continuation. Targets : TP1: $151.69 TP2: $162.66 Stops below $136, keeping it tight in case the CHOCH level breaks and we start heading lower. For now, the setup looks solid. Let’s see if $140 holds, or if we dip lower before the next move. What’s your thought, folks?
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by QuantumFusion
2
Can Two Paths of Wealth Lead to the Same Mountain of Impact?In an era where wealth accumulation often dominates financial headlines, Amazon's founding family presents a fascinating dichotomy that challenges our traditional understanding of success and impact. Jeff Bezos and MacKenzie Scott, once united in building one of the world's most valuable companies, now demonstrate how divergent approaches to wealth management can equally shape our future, albeit through distinctly different lenses. The stark contrast becomes apparent in their recent financial movements: Bezos's methodical $5.1 billion stock sale through a carefully orchestrated 10b5-1 trading plan showcases traditional wealth management at its finest, maintaining significant control while diversifying assets. Meanwhile, Scott's bold $8 billion divestment for charitable causes, part of her larger $37 billion philanthropic initiative, revolutionizes the concept of billionaire responsibility. This juxtaposition raises intriguing questions about the multiple paths to creating lasting societal impact. What emerges is a compelling narrative about the evolution of wealth stewardship in the 21st century. While Bezos continues to influence global markets and pioneer space exploration with his retained $213 billion in Amazon shares, Scott's approach of direct, unrestricted funding to over 2,300 nonprofit organizations challenges traditional philanthropic models. Their contrasting strategies suggest that perhaps the true measure of wealth lies not in its accumulation, but in its potential to effect change – whether through market innovation or direct societal intervention. This modern tale of two wealth philosophies invites us to reconsider our own definitions of success and impact in an age of unprecedented financial capability.
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by signalmastermind
US30 - Markets Getting Ready for Corrections Market as a whole is in All Time High (ATH) zones and due for a correction soon. This can be evident from Warren Buffet selling majority of their stakes in companies and holding over $300bn in cash. Dollar is also in a very strong Bullish momentum which overweighs other pairs and commodities. From technical analysis point of view, Impulsive Wave 5 is nearing completion and we can expect a possible reversal to below level once MA200 is also in touching distance. Please note this a medium term approach and can change depending on macro factors. For entries, please wait for at least two candle reversals at the specified level and apply appropriate risk management. If you found this analysis helpful, please consider boosting and following for more updates. Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
FX:US30Short
by MarketsPOV
Amazon (AMZN) Long Side Analysis: Staying Bullish with CautionHey Again Folks! Just wanted to share some thoughts on Amazon (AMZN) — I’m still leaning on the 🔵 long side here, but keeping a close eye on a few key levels. Right now, AMZN is sitting around the $206-210 range, and it’s getting close to that resistance up at $213 🟢. This has been an important level before, so I’m watching to see if we can push through it with some strength 💪. If we get a strong breakout above $213 🔥, I think the next target to watch is around $236 📈. That area lines up with previous highs and could be the next stop if this momentum keeps up. But if we hit resistance and start pulling back, I’ll be watching the lower boundary of the channel and especially the $190 zone for support 🛠️.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by QuantumFusion
Tesla at a Crossroads: Breakout to $271 or Breakdown to $191Good morning, Trading Family! Tesla’s price is idling in neutral, stuck between a potential breakout to $271 or a breakdown to $191. It’s like watching Elon flip a coin—will it blast off like a SpaceX rocket, or will the bears run out of juice and send it rolling downhill? This kind of consolidation feels like the calm before the storm. Traders, keep your seatbelts fastened—whether it’s full throttle to the upside or a hard brake toward lower levels, this chart promises some action ahead. Stay patient and focused. Trade what you see, not what you hope for. – Mindbloome Trader
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Mindbloome-Trading
NVDA Breakout or Rejection? Major Levels to Watch NVDA is at a make-or-break point, and it’s time to pay attention! 🔥 Key Resistance: 👉 $137 is the line in the sand! A breakout above $137.49 could send NVDA rocketing higher. 📈 Key Support: 👀 If the rejection happens here, look for price to drop into the $132-$133 zone, where fresh opportunities might open for the bears. 📉 📌 Keep these levels on your radar — it’s shaping up to be a high-volatility move! Are you ready to take advantage? 🌊 MB Trader
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Mindbloome-Trading
Gatos Silver (GATO) AnalysisCompany Overview: Gatos Silver NYSE:GATO is positioned for an exceptional 2024, with CEO Dale Andres expressing confidence in hitting the higher end of silver production forecasts. The company’s 70% stake in the Los Gatos Joint Venture (LGJV) significantly enhances its value proposition, while ongoing aggressive exploration efforts in the region provide opportunities for new discoveries and resource expansion. Key Catalysts: Strong Silver Production: GATO is expected to deliver silver production at the upper end of its projections for 2024, which could be a key driver for stock performance. Los Gatos Joint Venture (LGJV): The company's 70% ownership in LGJV offers a solid foundation for growth, with access to one of the highest-grade silver districts globally. Exploration & Resource Expansion: GATO's exploration efforts in the Los Gatos district continue to uncover new opportunities for resource expansion, bolstering future revenue prospects. Revenue Growth: In Q1 2024, Gatos Silver reported a 16% increase in revenue, largely due to higher sales volumes, a positive sign of operational efficiency and market demand. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on GATO above $12.80-$13.00, supported by the company’s strong silver production outlook and exploration upside. Upside Potential: Our target range for GATO is $25.00-$26.00, driven by production growth, exploration success, and increasing revenues. 🚀 GATO—Silver Shining Bright with Exploration and Production Growth. #SilverStocks #Mining #Exploration
NYSE:GATOLong
by Richtv_official
Retest Complete. Dollar Should Continue Down Again.There's that retest to the underside of my pink line that I was previously expecting. As you all know from last weeks video, I was a bit surprised we didn't get it at the time I was making the video. Well, better late than never. This is a perfect retest. Though, the dollar could hover on the underside for a few more days, I expect that by mid-October you'll see the trend continuation down as we head for that very important, very old trend line coming all the way back from Orwell's 1984. Blow-off top in the U.S. stock market should continue until then. If so, crypto will follow.
TVC:DXYShort
by stewdamus
MRF Ltd. (NSE: MRF) – Technical Analysis UpdatePattern Formation: MRF Ltd. has been forming a cup-and-handle pattern over the past several months, indicating a bullish continuation. The stock has successfully tested the key Fibonacci retracement levels and is now moving towards potential breakout zones. Cup-and-Handle Formation: The rounded cup formed after the stock declined from its peak around ₹150,995 and found support near ₹115,601. The handle has now completed, as the stock consolidated within a falling wedge pattern, building strength for the next leg upwards. Key Resistance Levels: Immediate Resistance: ₹144,045 (4.26% upside) – This level aligns with the upper boundary of the wedge pattern. A breakout above this level would signal strength, confirming the end of the handle phase. Major Target: ₹161,250 (16.54% upside) – This represents the projected target based on the full breakout of the cup-and-handle pattern, leading towards a possible rally to the previous all-time highs. Support Levels: Strong Support: ₹133,298 – This aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, where the stock has shown significant buying interest during previous dips. Key Fibonacci Levels: 61.8% (₹133,475) and 38.2% (₹129,121) act as pivotal zones for any pullback in case of renewed selling pressure. Volume Profile & RSI: Volume Analysis: The recent volume spikes, especially during the approach to the wedge breakout, show accumulation, confirming investor confidence. RSI: The Relative Strength Index is approaching the 60-70 range, suggesting a healthy bullish trend without overbought conditions. Outlook: If MRF Ltd. breaks out of the ₹144,045 resistance level, it could see a swift move towards ₹161,250, a potential gain of 16.5% from current levels. Traders should look for strong volume confirmation during the breakout for additional momentum. Risk Factors: If the stock fails to sustain above ₹133,298, there could be a deeper retracement to test lower Fibonacci levels, with downside risks towards ₹129,000-125,000.
NSE:MRFLong
by AngshumanSaikia
Meta (Facebook) Price AnalysisMeta’s price is approaching a key daily resistance level. If we get a breakout above this resistance, it could signal the start of a strong upward move, with potential to target the next r level. Key points to watch: Breakout above the daily resistance: This could lead to a continuation of the uptrend. If the breakout happens, the price may target the next level on the chart. It’s crucial to watch the price action closely to confirm the breakout!
NASDAQ:METALong
by rebenga93
S&P bulls regain control, aiming for the new highAfter the major sell-off in the first week of September, the market has made a U-turn, rebounding to its previous highs. This outcome was anticipated as highly likely in my last review, though, as is often the case, the market exceeded boldest expectations. Currently, we have confirmed a weekly higher low, which provides a solid foundation for the continuation of the uptrend. It’s also worth noting that the rally is being driven by risk-on assets like XLK and XLY, reflecting growing investor confidence. The mid- and long-term outlook remains bullish, though heightened volatility is expected as we approach the US elections. Important levels: 539.4 - major weekly low. Bulls must protect this level to keep uptrend intact 565.2 – major monthly high. There might be some resistance at this level. Bulls must clear it for uptrend continuation. FOMC meeting is set for Wednesday but it is not expected to bring big surprises.
AMEX:SPYLong
by hermes_trisme
Morepen Laboratories Trading IdeaIntroduction Morepen Laboratories Ltd. engages in the business of manufacturing bulk drugs, intermediates, and medical devices; and business of formulation. It operates through the following geographical segments: the United States of America, Rest of World, and India. Observation Stock Trade all the Ema making rounding bottom after a rejection from 72 level in 2021. now it is trying to breakout the same level once it breakout and sustain above 72 level no one can stop this stock to reach my levels which is 120. on weekly chart you'll see a gap up open marubozu candlestick stock look strong on all the TF. Get the inside scoop! Read the rest of the article on our blog 👆
NSE:MOREPENLABLong
by SHEHBAZ_KHAN
2