Using the MMRI to assess risk in this marketWatching the MMRI and assessing market risk as Powell speaks today.
If this indicator falls, the stock market will likely climb higher, and if the MMRI climbs higher, the stock market will likely fall.
Will the Santa Claus rally begin soon?
As speculators in this crazy market, we can only hope so.
Stockmarketanalysis
ADANI IS OVEREXTENDED A MASSIVE DOWNFALL COMINGADANI stock is overextended buying now is a suicide , i see people in twitter and facebook want to buy ADANI stock, i am telling you the big boys are there watching , and they are going to bleed you out.. its trend is overextended ,the big investors will start taking their partial profits and anytime soon a very deep drop will happen ⬇️⬇️
Airbus being a good market sell?Airbus - Intraday - We look to Sell at 111.86 (stop at 117.22)
Price action continued to range between key support & resistance (90 - 112) and we expect this to continue.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A higher correction is expected.
Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market.
The previous high is located at 111.04.
Our profit targets will be 98.48 and 94.48
Resistance: 112.00 / 116.00 / 119.00
Support: 105.50 / 102.50 / 100.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
US30 thoughts post CPI pre FOMCHi, and thanks for taking the time to look at our latest update. We hope everyone has been hitting some trade wins.
Today we are looking at the US30 after its wild session after yesterday's US CPI data. The data came in below expectations, and this continues the run of lower-than-expected releases. This remains a touch confusing, as last week, we saw the PPI increase. Inflation sits at 7.1% y/y. Is this enough for the fed to set a slightly more dovish stance this week?
Message from the fed has softened, but we still expect to see rates come in 50 points higher this week. This is a decrease on previous meetings, so it's a softening in that area if it does happen. The gambler in me wonders if we could see 25 points before Christmas, but the realist thinks we will most likely see the expected 50 points.
The US30 saw one heck of a fade after the CPI data, and that does make me wonder if the market is feeling edgy regarding the feds' message this week, which may coincide with a high point in the rally. For now, we see resistance at 34,600 and at 35,270.
Will that feds message this meeting cement buyer confidence, or could it start a new push lower if the message moves away from the softening tone we have started to see develop?
The FOMC, funds rate, statement and economic projections will be released tomorrow morning AEDT time at 6:00 am, followed by the press conference at 6:30 am.
Novavax in a bear flag.Novavax - 30d expiry - We look to Sell a break of 15.49 (stop at 17.01)
Daily signals are bearish.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Prices are extending lower from the bearish flag/pennant formation.
Posted a bearish Flag formation.
A break of 15.50 is needed to confirm the outlook.
The bias is to break to the downside.
This stock has seen poor sales growth.
Our outlook is bearish.
Our profit targets will be 12.12 and 11.62
Resistance: 18.00 / 18.55 / 19.50
Support: 16.30 / 15.53 / 15.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
S&P 500: Shooting star + bearish divergence RSIThe trading session on December 13 was full of important technical signals for the S&P 500 index ( US500 ).
After the release of a lower-than-expected US CPI in November (7.1% vs. 7.3% expected and down from 7.7% in October), the SPX surged to 4,137 points; however, the price action reversed sharply following sellers' profit-taking on the good news and in anticipation of the significant risk posed by tomorrow's FOMC meeting.
The Fed might save hawkish surprises that are not currently priced in by the market, which has factored in a terminal rate of 4.8% in May 2023 and more than 50 basis points of cuts in the second quarter of the year.
Technically speaking, we are seeing key signs that can indicate that the bear market rebound has peaked here and lacks the conviction to continue further gains.
A shooting-star candlestick has formed on the daily chart, which might imply that the short-term trend is about to reverse. A bearish divergence RSI signal, further supports the November bull trend reversal theory, as the oscillator failed to update new highs when prices did.
Additionally, the S&P 500's positive price action was unable to surpass the critical 50% Fibonacci retracement of the 2022 low to high, indicating that the major bearish trend is still in place.
Hawkish shocks from tomorrow's FOMC meeting might cause the SPX to retest support at 3,900 points, with the 50-day moving average (3,860) functioning as the next target.
SPX Daily TA Cautiously BearishSPXUSD daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 35% SPX, 65% Cash.
* US November PPI came in at 0.3%, a bit higher than the consensus estimate of 0.2% after rising 0.2% in October . This sent Risk-On markets lower as fears of another 75bps rate hike returned to the table. One good thing about November's PPI is that it increased 7.4% from last November, compared to 8.1% in October. Expectations for China's reopening are continuing to materialize as 28 oil tankers remain backlogged in the Black Sea due to Turkey's recent request for insurance checks on Russian oil tankers . Meanwhile the EU faces an energy crisis exacerbated by recent oil price caps and the Russia/Ukraine war that many fear will spill over into a global financial meltdown . However, if US November CPI prints lower and the FOMC follows through on a loose commitment to a 50bps rate hike, selling pressure may be alleviated in the near term.
DXY, US Treasurys, VIX, GBPUSD, JPYUSD, CNYUSD, HSI, NI225, N100, Energy and Metals finished up on the day. US Equities, US Equity Futures, Cryptos, Agriculture and EURUSD finished down.
Key Upcoming Dates: US November CPI 830am EST 12/13; Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14; US November New Residential Construction at 830am EST 12/20; US Final Q3 GDP Estimate at 830am EST 12/22; US November PCE Index at 830am EST 12/23; UofM Consumer Sentiment Index at 10am EST 12/23. *
Price finished the day trending down at $3934 after being rejected by the uptrend line from 10/13 as resistance, it's now approaching a retest of $3913 minor support. Volume remains Moderate (moderate) and favored sellers in today's session after favoring buyers in the previous two sessions, a clear indication of PPI induced fears. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $4090, this margin is mildly bullish at the moment. RSI is currently trending down at 49 after being rejected by 52.68 resistance, the next support is the uptrend line from January 2022 at 46. Stochastic remains bearish after a bullish crossover attempt was rejected at 5, it is currently trending down at 3.5 as it approaches a retest of max bottom. MACD remains bearish and is currently testing 33 support. ADX is currently trending down at 15 as Price continues to see selling pressure, this is mildly bullish at the moment.
If Price is able to bounce here then it will likely retest the uptrend line from 10/13 at ~$4k as resistance . However, if Price continues to break down here, it will likely formally retest $3913 minor support before potentially retesting the 50MA at $3840 as support . Mental Stop Loss: (one close above) $4058.
CCL continues to have capped gains.Carnival Corporation - 30d expiry - We look to Sell at 10.88 (stop at 11.67)
The primary trend remains bearish.
Prices have reacted from 6.11.
Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail.
11.00 continues to hold back the bulls.
11.49 has been pivotal.
The previous swing high is located at 11.19.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 8.91 and 8.41
Resistance: 9.10 / 10.00 / 11.00
Support: 8.50 / 7.70 / 7.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Nifty Levels & Strategy for 09/Dec/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading.
Nifty: Today Nifty defended the support levels & again started heading towards 19K level. FIIs were super bearish from last 2 days. Today, they switched the gear and became bullish in F&O after Gujarat election results. They are still net seller in cash segment in Dec. Two major events are over now RBI policy (specially commentary) & election results. Now, market will wait for US Fed policy in next week.
Buying momentum is strong. Option data is indicating mild bullish move. Retail traders should look for buy on dips opportunity, book profit near lifetime highs & simply follow the trend till Nifty continue to respect & hold the major support levels.
Please find below scorecard, PCR update & options statistics for your reference:
NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 08/DEC/2022
NIFTY IS UP BY 49 POINTS
Name Price Previous Day Change % Change
Nifty 18609 18561 48.85 0.26%
India VIX 13.40 14.08 -0.68 -4.83%
OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 15/DEC/2022 EXPIRY DATA
Max OI (Calls) 18600 (Open Interest: 6106300, CE LTP: 138)
Max OI (Puts) 18600 (Open Interest: 5680700, PE LTP: 83)
PCR 0.75 (PCR is in bearish zone)
Nifty Calls:
ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Long Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
Nifty Puts:
ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
Easyjet in Inverted head and shoulders?EasyJet - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 351.1 (stop at 332.9)
A bullish reverse Head and Shoulders is forming.
Levels below 350 continue to attract buyers.
Bespoke support is located at 345.
We look to buy dips.
This stock has seen good sales growth.
338 has been pivotal.
Our profit targets will be 396.6 and 406.6
Resistance: 375 / 400 / 430
Support: 360 / 345 / 320
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
SPX500 - Points You Must Know You may already be aware what I am going to tell. But I suggest learn these points again!
Stock Market is in a Downtrend
US Stock Market is in a strong downtrend. This downtrend began in January-2022 when soaring inflation straddled the market. There is high volatility as evident by wide swings between down-trending channel. These wide swings show uncertainty, chaos and confusion - you'd know it more when you compare it with smooth long-term uptrend which followed post-Covid situation.
Stock Market is also Following a Long-term Up-trending Channel
Kick-Start since 2009 when financial crisis faded, US stock market has been lead and guided by a long-term up-trending channel. This channel has often provided support as well as resistance to the market except when Covid-19 occurred which caused a down-spike for a brief period. It is highly probable that the same channel will continue to guide the market.
There is a Point of Confluence
Past Long-term up-trending channel & current down-trending channel have a point of confluence shown by light red circle. At this point of confluence, SPX500 has a already taken support once. If the market comes down, it is possible that it again takes support somewhere near to the point of confluence.
PRECAUTIONS TO TAKE
1. Avoid high-debt stock unless a company shows drastically increasing profit-margin
2. Avoid a stock below 200 MA unless it takes a reversal
3. Keep cash in hand to add when dust is settled
4. Better to spend this time in learning rather than in trading
LLOY being a good buy at IH&S highs?Lloyds Bank - 30d expiry- We look to Buy at 43.71 (stop at 41.98)
Broken out of the Head and Shoulders formation to the upside.
Previous resistance at 43.70 now becomes support.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Support is located at 43.70 and should stem dips to this area.
Daily signals are mildly bullish.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
A break of support at 45.30 should lead to a more aggressive move lower towards 43.70.
Our profit targets will be 47.88 and 48.88
Resistance: 47.35 / 48.00 / 49.85
Support: 45.30 / 43.70 / 43.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
SP500 Correction Alert: Supply&Demand, Ichimoku & Trend AnalysisHello friends,
SP500 is going to experience a rough patch in 1H timeframe.
as shown in the chart, two long term and short term upward trend lines are broken .
also from an Ichimoku point of view, conversion and baseline have crossed downward with a red Kumo cloud switch and the price is below the kumo cloud. this is one the most powerful Ichimoku signals.
so its probably very wise to close all speculative long positions if you have any, meanwhile I suggest opening a short position with stop loss at: 4020, and take profit at 3730 which is the next demand zone and is marked by an order block . this short position has the risk to reward ratio of 2.6 .
Please manage your risk responsibly and make informed decisions.
Good luck!
Tomorrow the Dollar will continue it's descent!Now that we've retested the neckline of our H&S which intersects perfectly with the 200 day moving average, the dollar will have found permission from the bulls, who will give up here, to continue it's descent.
Follow the VIX in correlation with this downward trend and we will begin to observe still more bullish activity in the stock market. Should the moves be significant, we can only hope that crypto will follow slightly, or at least hold from sustaining more losses.
Best,
Stew
SPX Daily TA Cautiously BearishSPXUSD daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 35% SPX, 65% Cash.
* BOUNCE WATCH . It's volatile week with investors preparing for another FFR hike (12/14) that is widely expected to be 50bps (with a chance at 75bps) as China continues to formally lax their Covid-Zero restrictions in major cities like Beijing where people with a negative PCR test result are now allowed to congregate in certain public places . This has investors torn over a China reopening rally and more flight from Risk-On assets to DXY and US Treasurys with further FFR hikes. Russia continues to bombard Ukrainian energy infrastructure as Russia prepares to ban the sale of Russian oil to buyers participating in the new $60 price cap imposed by the G7 yesterday . In the coming years it would be reasonable to expect more of a push toward renewables like Solar energy in response to the geopolitical factors that are causing oil prices to be unsustainably volatile.
VIX, Metals, Agriculture, NI225, GBPUSD, EURUSD and JPYUSD are up. DXY, US Treasurys, US Equities, US Equity Futures, Cryptos (mixed), Energy, CNYUSD and N100 are down.
Key Upcoming Dates: US November PPI 830am EST 12/09; US November CPI 830am EST 12/13; Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14; US November New Residential Construction at 830am EST 12/20; US Final Q3 GDP Estimate at 830am EST 12/22; US November PCE Index at 830am EST 12/23; UofM Consumer Sentiment Index at 10am EST 12/23 .*
Price is currently trending down at $3954 as it approaches a $3913 minor support after being rejected by the 200MA (~$4058 minor resistance). Volume is currently Low (moderate) and on track to favor sellers for a second consecutive session if it closes today's session in the red. The VP Point of Control is at $3913 minor support. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $4102, this margin is mildly bullish at the moment. RSI is currently trending down at 50 as it tests 52.68 support, the next support is the uptrend line from January 2022 at ~46. Stochastic remains bearish and is currently trending down at 28, the next support is at 17. MACD crossed over bearish in today's session and is currently trending down at 48 as it risks losing 55.35 minor support if it breaks down further. ADX is currently trending down at 18.53 as Price is also trending down, this is neutral at the moment.
If Price is able to bounce here then it will likely retest the 200MA at ~$4040 as resistance before potentially retesting $4058 minor resistance . However, if Price continues to break down here, it will likely retest $3913 minor support . Mental Stop Loss: (one close above) $4040 .
DJI US30 Supply And demand Analysis-price inside pivot point 4hr demand
-Price above 200MA
-looking fro buys
-a lot of retail traders have this area on the chart so I would
be a little concerned about that and could see price go below.
+ price has been going nowhere but up for 45 days so a pullback is healthy.
-Need to see lower timeframe confirmation.
Bank Nifty Levels & Strategy for 07/Dec/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading.
Bank Nifty: Options data indicating mild bearishness ahead of RBI policy. Smart money/big players have added plenty of new bearish positions. USA market are already nervous ahead of another rate in next week. Tomorrow, we can expect a sideway move ahead of RBI policy. Post RBI policy market direction will be dependent on rate hike & commentary by RBI regarding inflation & growth outlook.
Red Flags to keep in mind for coming days:
1.RBI meeting is going on. Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is likely to go ahead with another rate hike approx. 0.35% on Dec-07
2.USA Fed meeting (next week). Another rate hike of 0.75% is likely to happen.
3.Gujrat results on Dec-08. Exit-poll results looking good for market
Is volatility likely to grow in coming days????? Please trade carefully with hedged positions (overnight)/strict SL (intraday)
Please find below scorecard, PCR update & options statistics for your reference:
BANK NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 06/DEC/2022
BANK NIFTY IS DOWN BY -194 POINTS
Name Price Previous Day Change % Change
Bank Nifty 43139 43333 -194.40 -0.45%
India VIX 14.04 13.73 0.31 2.26%
OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 08/DEC/2022 EXPIRY DATA
Max OI (Calls) 43200 (Open Interest: 2962250, CE LTP: 235.15)
Max OI (Puts) 43000 (Open Interest: 3863625, PE LTP: 111.2)
PCR 0.78 (PCR is in bearish zone)
Bank Nifty Calls:
ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Long Liquidation, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
Bank Nifty Puts:
ATM: Short covering, OTM:Long Liquidation, ITM:Short covering, FAR OTM:Long Liquidation
Nifty Levels & Strategy for 06/Dec/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading.
Nifty: Options data indicating sideways. Smart money/big players are adding bullish positions. However, as a retail investor, we should continue to book profit near new lifetime high & wait for good trade setup/good buy on dips opportunities.
Red Flags to keep in mind for coming days:
1.Today, RBI meeting started. Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is likely to go ahead with another rate hike (approx. 0.25%) on Dec-07 then what will happen in banking stocks?????
2.USA Fed meeting (next week). Another rate hike of 0.75% is likely to happen.
3.Gujrat results on Dec-08. Exit-poll stuff started today evening.
Is volatility likely to grow in coming days????? Please trade carefully with hedged positions (overnight)/strict SL (intraday)
Please find below scorecard, PCR update & options statistics for your reference:
NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 05/DEC/2022
NIFTY IS UP BY 5 POINTS
Name Price Previous Day Change % Change
Nifty 18701 18696 4.95 0.03%
India VIX 13.73 13.45 0.28 2.10%
OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 08/DEC/2022 EXPIRY DATA
Max OI (Calls) 19000 (Open Interest: 9728050, CE LTP: 15.95)
Max OI (Puts) 18700 (Open Interest: 5218500, PE LTP: 78)
PCR 0.68 (PCR is in bearish zone)
Nifty Calls:
ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
Nifty Puts:
ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Long Liquidation, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
LVMH in a flag.LVMH - 30d expiry - We look to Buy a break of 713 (stop at 695)
The primary trend remains bullish.
Posted a bullish Flag formation.
A break of 714 is needed to confirm the outlook.
712 has been pivotal.
The measured move target is 760.
Our outlook is bullish.
Our profit targets will be 758 and 768
Resistance: 705 / 713 / 730
Support: 689 / 680 / 670
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Air Liquide has formed a bull flag!Air Liquide - 30d expiry - We look to Buy a break of 134.52 (stop at 129.88)
Posted a Double Bottom formation.
Prices have reacted from 114.44. Posted a bullish Flag formation.
A break of 134.30 is needed to confirm the outlook.
The bias is to break to the upside.
Our outlook is bullish.
The primary trend remains bullish.
Our profit targets will be 145.88 and 149.88
Resistance: 134.30 / 138.00 / 142.50
Support: 130.36 / 127.00 / 122.50
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Selling CCL into swing highs.Carnival Corporation - 30d expiry - We look to Sell at 10.88 (stop at 11.67)
The primary trend remains bearish.
Prices have reacted from 6.11.
Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail.
11.00 continues to hold back the bulls.
11.10 has been pivotal.
The previous swing high is located at 11.19.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 8.91 and 8.41
Resistance: 9.10 / 10.00 / 11.00
Support: 8.50 / 7.70 / 7.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.