spread wheat corn 12:29 14-Aug-19.LOG
12:29 14-Aug-19
This is a demo ac.
I have a real ac with oanda.
There is no sound recording.
I spread trade WHEAT versus CORN.
I follow more or less -
Keith Schap – The Complete Guide to Spread Trading
The guy who spreads and makes a little every day is the one who walks away with the big money.
–A veteran trader, quoted in Futures
Everytime i enter a trade in WHEAT i enter a trade in CORN with the same amount of units.
The trades canlast hours or weeks.
Patience and discipline and money management. I will not lose more than 5% of the equity.
I can trade every hour or other.
Spread
wheat vs corn 14 aug 2019 9h45This si a demo.
Spread trading, a low-risk, high-profit technique, involves buying a contract in one market while selling a different contract in another market to profit from the imbalance between those markets. The Complete Guide to Spread Trading covers the step-by-step mechanics for successfully executing more than 25 calendar, intermarket, interest rate, volatility, and stock index spreads. It explains both basic and advanced spread techniques and strategies, revealing market situations where spreads are most appropriate as well as clarifying what it means to buy or sell a spread, and more.
The guy who spreads and makes a little every day is the one who walks away with the big money.
–A veteran trader, quoted in Futures
Spread Trading corn versus wheathello
I use spread trading. This is a demo. I have a real ac with oanda . I base my strategy with -
The Complete Guide to Spread Trading (McGraw-Hill Trader's Edge Series)
-Spread trading, a low-risk, high-profit technique, involves buying a contract in one market while selling a different contract in another market to profit from the imbalance between those markets. The Complete Guide to Spread Trading covers the step-by-step mechanics for successfully executing more than 25 calendar, intermarket, interest rate, volatility, and stock index spreads. It explains both basic and advanced spread techniques and strategies, revealing market situations where spreads are most appropriate as well as clarifying what it means to buy or sell a spread, and more.
ZCK2020-ZCU2019 - Commodity Spread Trading on Corn FuturesZCK2020-ZCU2019
Spreads on corn futures almost reaching Take Profit.
Spreads are one of the most profitable forms of trading there are thanks to the statistical advantage on the seasonality of commodities.
If done respecting the rules of operation, you get on average a Winrate of 87% with a Risk Reward of 2/1.
Joe Ross is my greatest master in this field.
SPY SEP bear put spreadTook another pot shot today after the gap fill today that the index reverses and makes some retracement lower from here soon.
Bought a bearish put spread on SPY : 20 SEP 19 285/284 PUT @.25
The risk:reward ratio is only 17%, long at the 26 delta, paying less than 1/3 the width.
The market is pricing in a probability of collecting the full payout at 14% and 33% chance of collecting double the initial debt.
Breakeven is 284.75, approximately 2.55% below current SPY price of $292.19
Technically the gap is filled now and the SPY price is above today's R1 level. The index has already completed a 50% retracement of the prior move from the June ATHs to the lows of this week. The hourly buying volume is relatively weak compared to the average and the selling volume earlier this week. The May-June pattern comes to mind at this point where in May-June the index resumed selling much deeper than this after some consolidation. The selling volume this week was much much stronger than we than three months ago. Perhaps some further selling ahead after some consolidation here?
Still feeling bearish here on SPY after this buying action today I wondered:
What's the better play right now with the VIX 18% at above average?
Do I buy the bear put spread or sell the call spread?
A) Collect 1/3 the width now shorting the 26 delta with SELL -1 VERTICAL SPY 100 20 SEP 19 300/301 CALL @.34.
OR
B) Pay < 1/3 the width now buying the 35 delta put spread with BUY +1 VERTICAL SPY 100 20 SEP 19 285/284 PUT @.26
First example you collect theta but take on sizable risk with a sustained rally higher.
Second example you pay a little but the reward is worth it if the SPY resumes selling back to lows.
What do you think? Thanks for reading, and best luck with trading!
AAPL Skip Strike ButterflyApple skip strike butterfly spread 1x call at 200, 2x @ 190 and 1x @ 185, EXP September 20th
Entry was $240 debit and max loss is the debit.
Target is max profit anywhere at $240.
I won't wait till exp I plan to take the profit on the trade.
I can see Apple possibly trending lower after this earnings as they should release some information about how they are affected more by Tariffs against China since they are slowly moving their assembly locations from China to elsewhere.
HOF2020-RBF2020, Buy HeatingOil Jan20 & Sell RBOB Gasoline Jan20HOF2020-RBF2020
Our trade on this spread between Heating Oil Futures F20 and RBOB Gasoline Futures F20 has started.
In 87% of the times this spread is profitable in the seasonal window.
Our job is to find the best time both statistically and technically.
TESLA Bull Put SpreadTesla may be moving higher as its hit support at the bottom of its move. It may go lower but I'm going to assume that the move is finished and put in a long position on TSLA.
Investor meeting was fruitful and got a good reaction after hours. SPY will be moving sideways on indecision as investors are hyped due to the Powell put but still concerned about trade tariffs with China.
I think its time to put on some more condors on some high IVR stocks.
185/190 looking to get at least $110-$150 for the position and max risk is $350-390
I will update this tomorrow.
This is a journal entry and not trade advice.
CVNA Bear Put SpreadCVNA is still a bearish position for me I plan to put in a 70/75 Bear Put Spread as it seems to be continuing sideways I felt my 60/65 spread was too close and I took a loss on it. In the end it may still have been a fine position I could have over reacted out of fear.
I plan to put on this trade $70 profit max loss is $430 I will buy 2 spreads
$140 max and $860 max risk
Profit target is $70 and max loss is $140
Target exit will be end of June.
AAPL Iron Condor spreadAAPL could range around 160-190 as the price continues to move lower, the spy is fading and mexico tariffs are coming. This will be bearish environment as the greater trend. The lesser trend in appl is also bearish and may move sideways now that the price has dropped lower.
155/160/190/195 Iron Condor, EXP July 19, Max gain/loss 154/346
I plan to take at least $90 out of this trade, plan to exit on July 6-7 for a profit if the price is lower I will roll the pattern into an iron fly or sell one wing to cover some of my losses.
Likewise max loss will be $180.
Date to modify trade if it is moving against me will be June 26th.
This is a journal entry and not trading advice.
Credit Spread 50/52.5CGC credit spread 5x $120 premium, exp May 31
Looks like bearish divergence on RSI daily and weekly.
Trend is weakening as no new participants are really coming in after recent moves.
Journal entry and not advice.
"A" Short Idea I bought a call credit spread against "A" 72.5/77.5 Credit spread exp June 21st Fill Price 2.49
Earnings are tomorrow but due to the uncertainty in the air with the whole tariff move courtesy of trump everything that recently looked good will look less good because everyone will be skiddish. Let's see how it pans out.
Max loss $2.51 + commission
This is a journal entry and not trading advice.
Treasury Yield Spread Effects on DOW [Wasabi Analysis]Hello Everyone!
I hope you have had a great journey of investment so far!
Maybe we are at a critical moment turning around.
This indicator shows the Treasury Yield Spread with its default spread of 10 Year minus 3 Month. You can also specify 10 Year minus 2 Year in the settings.
The indicator 'Wasabi Tool: Treasury Yield Spread below' can be applied to DOW index weekly or month chart as shown in the provided example.
Please see the blue vertical lines showing negative spreads
and the red vertical lines indicating positive spreads.
It's been observed that the recession starts when the spread crosses under zero and bounces back.
Does history repeat itself this time as well?
Please subscribe and Like it.
Thanks
WasabiChart
Long Signal (Cautionary) Just Fired on AUDUSD Target is 0.69880Our Logical Trading Systems (Smart Volume Spread Analysis) signals a Cautionary Long Shakeout (Strength) Signal on AUDUSD Hourly
After a fairly long move down it looks like some *cautionary* strength is coming into the Aussie Dollar pair.
The target is the SML (0.69880) just above entry (0.69762)
While I would rather see valid strength than cautionary it does look like things may be slowing down at least for a short while. I will update as changes occur. Please note this is the hourly chart as such targets tend to be quicker. Our systems work on any timeframe or chart in much the same way on longer time frames as it does on shorter time frames.
The systems we use to trade are detailed below and all of them are available on Trading View if you are interested:
Our "Logical Volume Spread Analysis" is a vast improvement on ‘standard’ volume spread analysis. Based on 15+ year combined experience with Smart Volume Spread Analysis software which combines fundamental analysis, technical analysis, and volume price analysis into a powerful methodology that enables you to trade the markets in a way that is uniquely accurate. We have refined the analysis systems and algorithms from our core systems to provide the most powerful Volume Spread Analysis indicator on TradingView.
Our "Logical Trade Levels" (Targets and Stall Points) indicator is a simple but powerful version of support and resistance. We do a fair bit of behind the scenes algorithmic magic but essentially these levels act as very strong support and resistance for entries and also targets. Many of our previously published ideas use these levels to determine likely stall points for our entries as well as best targets up and down. You can see from those published levels how easily you know where the price will likely stall out or needs to move through.
The *Volume Trend Advisor* (The red and green indications on the chart) indicates in real-time and cannot repaint as it uses closed price and volume analysis to determine likely changes in direction/trend. The Green icon = Strength/Long and the Red icon = Weakness/Short.
Crystalballing BTC (with likelyhoods)Hello fellow traders,
in this TA I point out three possible movements by using my crystal ball and some ta skills...
Green arrow = most likely scenario, the bearish pennant plays out and we drop towards 2k and even lower ranges (A lot of other indicators point in this direction. Bearish divergences, Moving Averages, Stoch RSI 14,14,3,3 and so on)
Blue arrow = we break the first downtrend, getting rejected by the 200 EMA and downtrend A. An upward channel may be formed by inverting the former resistance and continuation of the current support.
Red arrow = unlikely, we break A and B and reach 4 to 5k regions.
If I make an educated guess I'd say 65% Green, 25% Blue, 10% Red.
Tell me how you'd rank the options
Trade save
Nik
Preparing for this weeks earnings! - GES (Guess?)Earnings: Wednesday after close
Technicals: STRONG BUY
Zacks Rank: Buy
1 yr: Seems to trade very horizontally
3 yr: Bottomed out at $9.56 in 2017. Considering it is $22.81 now, that's pretty good recovery.
It jumped March 19th, 2018:
Why?
Looking at old news articles, it soard 28.3% after they announced their Q4 earnings.
Revenue is expected to jump yty +22.6%
it is tradinga bove the VWAP
It is considered way oversold on the RSI (Might be a bug on TOS)
Action: BUY CALL or BULL SPREAD