Spotgold
Longing XAUUSD through US sessionCurrently longing short through the US session. Reflecting back on preview trend following the support and resistance which is very well supported when trading gold. Went long on XAUUSD on wednesday around the 1700 area catching 100 pips each time after consolidating within each zone highlighted on the chart. Can see gold finishing shy of 1740 for the end of May!
Gold : Downside break out of range 1670-1730 is likely Spot gold is trading inside the rectangular range 1670-1730 since 5 weeks as the risk appetite escalates and investors were forced to lessen their long positions . Technically, 1670 area is the short term range bottom/the final fib support ,in my opinion a downside break out of the range and to test the 50 day exponential moving average around 1650 is likely. Investors might consider that level for fresh entries followed by 1610 area (EMA 100) if the price failed to hold the 1650 (EMA 50) major support. Hence,scalping inside the short term range is better option as of now , keep in mind stop loss hunts on range top and bottom are also likely (obvious in a range market)
Short term trend : Range Bound
Resistance : 1730
Supports : 1670 (Fib) , 1650 (EMA 50)
xauusdThis technical analysis for this pair
Please be careful because the economic calendar for this week is full of important news for the majority of currencies
Please consider the level of risk in any trade .
Conditions for entering into trading on this pair .
Close the whole body of a candle above the orange area. Entry is a buy for green bullish targets .
Stop-loss order: The closing is in the same area to exit the purchase and execute a sell order For green, bearish targets .
This technical analysis is specific to this pair during this week only .
If you are not satisfied with entering this way, you can tell me about that in the comments section below .
XAUUSD Technical and Fundamental AnalysisA bullish flag pattern seems to be forming in the D1 Timeframe, currently possibly on its THIRD rebound of the bottom of the wedge.
Short Term Opportunities to watch for:
- A STRONG REJECTION AND REBOUND FROM SUPPORT @ 1680 --> possible LONG opportunity to the top of the wedge @ 1710
- A BREAKDOWN below support 1680 --> SHORT opportunity to the nearest support line @ 1637
- A BREAKOUT above 1720 would bring us for LONG to next resistance @ 1735, and beyond that, the historical resistances last touched in 2012-13, @ 1795 and @ 1909
Fundamental Analysis:
However, I would be watching the news closely as Unemployment Rates (8 May), Jobless Claims (7 May) , CORE CPI, and Fed Budget (12 May) are due for release. The US Treasury has also said it would borrow an astonishing $2.999 trillion during the June quarter, five times larger than the previous single-quarter record. (www.investing.com)
These points to impending inflation and therefore BUYING pressure on the ultimate hedge of inflation and risk: GOLD
Just the two cents of a humble beginner trader,
Feel free to leave any comments or feedback :)
XAUUSD Technical AnalysisSo far gold has been continuously retesting the descending wedge top resistance line, more than 3 times, proving to be a major resistance level.
The descending wedge looks to be a bullish flag in the 1D timeframe.
Technical Analysis for short term:
- Breakout above 1710 --> Take profit 1 @ 1720 the first resistance + TP 2 @ 1730 the historical major resistance
- A strong rejection from the top of the descending wedge at 1708 --> Take profit 1 @ 1692 the first support level + TP2 @ 1673 if it breaks below TP1
Stochastic Oscillator displays a descending crossover towards the 40 mark, typical of a bearish pattern.
MACD displays a slightly bullish slope in the green, although it would be noted there's a hidden divergence in the decreasing buy volumes. This possibly precedes a bearish reversal in near future.
Most Techical indicators point to a dying bull pressure, to a possible strong SELL in the short term.
Fundamental Analysis for long term:
Then again, GOLD is heavily sensitive to economic forecasts:
-Highest US household debt in record
Risk adverse investors fearing a possible second wave of pandemic after gradual easing of COVID measures
US- China Tensions and possible trade war
These points to investors turning to the one historic hedge against risk: GOLD , therefore we can look for a LONG TERM BUY opportunity. Things to watch out for is the China reaction to US accusations about the virus, an easing of tension would point to a temporary drop in gold price.
GOLD SHORT - LONG TERMPrice seems to reject my 50% fib level and I think its a good shorting opportunity going long term. Also, price seems to have broken out of the previous bullish wave and has since retested the previous support- now new resistance.
MY ENTRY PRICE IS AT $1572
INVALIDATION LEVEL OF $1600
LONG TERM TARGET AT $1182
i.e. for those who asked if I could post my idea when I make my short entry.
New Gold - New RallyCheck out our chart on gold mining stocks. If you look back, you will see how gold mining stocks always boom during election years as political and economic uncertainty take hold.
Expect anywhere from 200% or more in the price of NGD . The price has been in a descending channel , but it looks like it has recently broke and flattened which could only mean it is heading up, specially how exceptionally undervalued gold stocks are vs gold spot price.
Time To SELL GOLDGold price rose in the end of 2019 by two reasons; geopolitical tension and fundamental impacts.
Now we can sell gold at certain entry and we should wait the good news of wuhan virus vaccine.
I assume that gold can fall back to 1350 region due to my techinical analysis and fundamental insight.
......
#xauusd - Does the rise find an end soon? #goldMight be a little disbelief right now, that the formerly mentioned "pump" really happened, but yes, it did and is the question are we finding a resistance now or are we going further up to the Yearly Pivot Resistance 1.
Gold is trying hard to overcome the mid term trend line (red) and I am clearly going to warn about possible fake outs at this point.
Whoever of you has been riding this after the break-out, should become more cautious towards possible profit taking now.
The Year started green all over, but January has not to end like this. There are all three options completely open here, though to also mention, Gold is has been overshooting overbought conditions and has been rising in demand.
As usual I have marked possibilities and important mid term levels to look at, watch out for things as engulfings or large wicks on 3D possibly turning this bullish picture. The most likely are where stop losses are situated at the moment is just around 1550-1530$.
So no need to panic sell at this moment.
Neru