Which side will the #sp500 choose?For the past 14 days, the price of the S & P500 has been stuck between 2767 and 2813. We believe that because of the wait for Trump and China, will they reach an agreement or not? If the Chinese and the Americans reach this agreement, it is good for sp500 and if not is bad, All this in terms of Fundamental Analysis, In terms of technical analysis we see in the graph above that we are really close to serious resistance, in case the sp500 will succeed in breaking the resistance the increase in the index will be serious, Since we are at the bottom of the last 14 day range and the trend is uptrend we recommend buying with a lot of caution
Buy SP500:
Stop loss: 2760
Take Profit: 2910
Sp500long
SP500 a punto de hacer una ruptura de banderin bajista hola a todos la ultima vez di mi anaiisis sobre la caida de un HCH bajista la cual la detuvieron con una beartrap momentanea y buscando romper la resistencia anterior la cual no pudieron en los dias de esta forma se puede interpretar por un lado como un triple techo si observan bien la grafica y al mismo tiempo muestra un banderin bajista esto va traer muchas consecuencias a todo el mercado bursatil y todos sus indices de momento por ondas elliot en la caida de se hizo una onda elliot 1 en forma de ABC y despues correccion alcista extendida para hacer una onda elliot 2 een la cual esperabamos antes y llego casi a los 2800 puntos ahora si se llega a dar la ruptura que deberia de darse entonces tendriamos una caida como una onda elliot 3 por los 2429 puntos o los 2346 puntos recomiendo hacer salidas escalonadas es lo mas recomendable para los proximos dias para la onda 4 seria en la zona de los 2455 puntos y como onda 5 en los 2250 puntos para terminar de una gran onda 3
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Target reached : Long for some retracements until invalidationThere are in my opinion quite a few reasons to go long (potential sharp countertrend rally and pullback) before the global downtrend resumes, but we're still never too certain. Let's see what happens in the coming days. Let's hope no black swans will kill the markets just after the holidays.
buy the dip at 2325 on ma 50 monthly adust your trailing stopas we get stopped with few profit on the trailing stop in the last trade on sp500
this time he touched deeply the ma50 monthly and is a big big support before end of years after down around 20%
so i expect a more bif rebound and got more profit that your last trade.
i proceed the same : buy at 2325 and make a stop loss when he reach 2350 at my entry point +5 pips for fun (psychological profit)
and every 10 pts i will up my stop loss of 10 pts also until he reach if he reach lol 24xx
i hope on this trade to take at least 50 (500) pts
not if he down again direct at 2300 and a bit less i will add 1 lot
i will comment in almost real time the trade
Short Fib 23,6% now. Next short target 1900points OR retracementWhen S&P500 breaks the current level of ~2300 area, chart can drop to ~1900 levels!! But, there can also be a retracement and price will rise up again, even to ~3000 area. All depends of sentiment in the market. Fibonacci only shows what will happen when price bottom or price top gets broken, not if these levels will become broken. But IF they get broken, Fibonacci predicts which price level will be reached.
February 8, 2018 I published: "February March April I expect an horizontal move at S&P500 . After the horizontal movement we can expect a climb to 3000 points. This is just normal pattern. S&P500 has a cycle of 2/3 months. After a big short an even big long is coming of an equal percentage. OR, THE TREND REVERCES AND WE GO DOWN !" ..... Now it's December and the horizontal line came to an end. It is interesting what is going to happen now!
Will price retrace and go further long to 3000 points? or will it decline further and break through to 2000 area?
Also I invest in Crypto currencies and I trade CFD's. When you want to invest in crypto, I advise you to buy 'real coins' because on long term that will give you far more profit than speculate the chart with CFD's. I have bought Bitcoin , Bitcoin Cash , Ethereum , XRP-Ripple, ReddCoin, FeatherCoin, Adcoin ( ACC ), Bunny Token and Stellar. I still believe in crypto for the long- term!
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My strategy
My main strategy is called 'cycle-trading'. After years of learning and practicing after I bought a teaching-package from a visionair, I found a way of how to trade successful with CFD's on the stock-market. Every stock is following an certain cycle which repeats itself. So, movements are often appearing in the same percentage, aswel long as short. This cycles appear at all levels; when you analyse the chart at 1 month, 1 week, 1 day, 1 hour. (others I don't use). This is the case, because all in life is build by the fibonacci sequence. When you analyse the chart, you'll also see the stock market is behaving itself as the fibonacci sequence.
How do I decide to open a position or not? First I analyse:
- Fibonacci pattern
- Sentiment on the market
- Own created indicators
- Moving-averages and Bollinger-Bands
Trading means investing. Sometimes you lose more than you win in the beginning of a period!
Don't forget to follow me, so you get updated when I post new analysis.
Thank you for following and Succes with trading !
Richard from Rich.Exclusive.Trading
SP500 continua su caida y sera de forma abismalde momento anteriormente se esperaba los 2 camino o rompia al alza con un HCH alcista para hacer un expaded flat correction o era una bulltrap para continuar la caida ahora se ah visto un HCH bajista que daria a una onda 3 en elliot asi que puede en darle con confianza apostar a la caida esto no lo va a parar nadie y debe hacer su correccion como se debe
MA 20 days touched. When breaks 2806, possible retracementMoving Average 20 days is touched. When it breaks 2806 points, possible retracement to 2759. Stop loss at 2820 when short order opens.
February 8, 2018 I published: "February March April I expect an horizontal move at S&P500. After the horizontal movement we can expect a climb to 3000 points. This is just normal pattern. S&P500 has a cycle of 2/3 months. After a big short an even big long is coming of an equal percentage. OR, THE TREND REVERCES AND WE GO DOWN !" ..... Now it's August so the horizontal line is longer than expected but as you can see the grey squares were set like they are already at the beginning of this year. Exactly now in the corner of the grey square, the chart is starting to climb! STILL BULLISH!
So, I still expect a long to more than 3000 points, when the price passes 2.880,00. Ofcourse, we will experience retracements in the mean time, like this one.
I invest in Crypto currencies and I trade CFD's. When you want to invest in crypto, I advise you to buy 'real coins' because on long term that will give you far more profit than speculate the chart with CFD's. I have bought Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash, Ethereum, XRP-Ripple, ReddCoin, FeatherCoin, Adcoin ( ACC ), Bunny Token and looking for others every day! Bunny Token gave me good profit so far! I bought these in Pre-sale. I expect this is going to become huge!
Interesting coins, which I am looking to buy:
- EOS
- QASH
- Bitcoin-Gold
Do you have some good tips for crypto coins? let me know!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
My strategy
My main strategy is called 'cycle-trading'. After years of learning and practicing after I bought a teaching-package from a visionair, I found a way of how to trade successful with CFD's on the stock-market. Every stock is following an certain cycle which repeats itself. So, movements are often appearing in the same percentage, aswel long as short. This cycles appear at all levels; when you analyse the chart at 1 month, 1 week, 1 day, 1 hour. (others I don't use). This is the case, because all in life is build by the fibonacci sequence. When you analyse the chart, you'll also see the stock market is behaving itself as the fibonacci sequence.
How do I decide to open a position or not? First I analyse:
- Fibonacci pattern
- Sentiment on the market
- Own created indicators
- Moving-averages and Bollinger-Bands
Trading means investing. Sometimes you lose more than you win in the beginning of a period!
Don't forget to follow me, so you get updated when I post new analysis. Also read my account to be informed about what I do.
Thank you for following and Succes with trading !
Richard from Rich.Exclusive.Trading
S&P 500 Forming head and shoulders.S&P 500 Forming head and shoulders and is expected to have another leg up within the new few months to a peak of $3000 marked in yellow. Before we see the reversal and start to fall to the target areas we have shown. S&P 500 has been on a Major bull run since 2012 and is now expecting to curve the momentum.
S&P500 going to correct the downtrend(short term trade)We can see a clear divergence on SPX chart, and wolfe wave pattern on S&P 500 futures chart.
We can open a short term Long position with ±2700 first target.
Pay attention it is only a short term corrective wave of the downtrend.
I will update this trade idea.
Good luck!
p.s. I attached my previous ideas
This is How The S&P 500 Index Will RallyI saw the drop that just happened prior to it occurring. I did not see it dropping so quickly and well beyond typical intermediate wave 4s. With this most recent retracement covering 92% of all of wave 3's gains, it is time for the final uptrend to begin. Intermediate wave 3 took over 50 days to gain what intermediate wave 4 nearly lost in 14. My final analysis has the index regaining around 300 points in 25 trading days. This seems nearly impossible, but so was the recent decline. I have identified 15 possible levels for the top to occur. These levels are based on Fibonacci extensions, correlations to the other intermediate waves, and historical movement of the index since the beginning. The levels of interest are below. The bolded numbers represent the most likely top in my estimate.
2887.05
2911.46
2936.33
2948.32
2957.69
2967.80
2999.66
3034.38
3036.00
3065.17
3065.37
3094.74
3131.08
3145.97
3383.19
The full analysis is available at my site for free along with other data.
August SP500 predictions became Real!Hello dear members on Tradingview,
Maybe you still remind my predictions back in August 2018, about the SP500, and that I'm still very Bullish on it.
You can check out the trend I predicted in the chart. I not touched any line for today's estimates.
In August I estimated a quick drop down to '2875' for October 2th, but we see that there's a little delay now. The bottom is expected today or in the following days, at the '2875' level.
When the bottom's touched, we will see again a steady rise to the '2970' level, around October 20th, followed by again a drop to the previous bottom level of '2875' around November 10th.
From there on, expect the SP500 to end this year with a high level of well above the '3000' mark.
My predictions as followed:
October 10th : '2875'
October 20th : '2970'
November 10th : '2875' once again
Year end: '3050'
Future predictions 2019: first quarter SP500 rise to '3250'
Thank you for following me
Feel free to give your comments, or any corrections
S&P 500: May You Live In Interesting TimesThe SPXUSD (the perpetual contract of the SP 500) is somewhat of an indicator for domestic US investor sentiment. In comparison, I consider the DJIA to be an indicator of foreign capital flows to the US.
The US appears to be triggered by the nomination of a Supreme Court judge, or rather, the slander and innuendo associated with the nomination... and despite all the howling and nashing of teeth, the S&P500 goes nowhere but up, for slander and innuendo cannot be traded.
I mention this because US political instability is a fundamental headwind. The Supreme Court nomination is a flashpoint that reveals the deep polarization, unfocused discontent, and indoctrination in the US. Meaning, if Kavanaugh is appointed, investor sentiment will be maintained, as it represents a win for Trump, and a win for Trump is a win for business. But, a lot of people will not accept this nomination, and it will only deepen political contention. Any threat to Trump may impact the markets negatively.
But for now, the markets are optimistic. Was today the dip to buy? It was trendline and horizontal confluence. I would like to see the lower parallels tested for an even better buy entry.
As traders, the best we can do is do what needs to be done, when it needs to be done. In a bull market, that means buying the dip. If the lower parallel is taken out on a closing basis, I will naturally readjust. For now, no damage has been done.
I find it troubling that daily, weekly and monthly stock/rsi are flashing bearish divergence. Bear div can always be negated, but this needs to be monitored.
In short, stay long. Buy dips. Re-adjust if levels are taken out to the downside.