Sp500index
Dell Triumphant Return to the S&P 500: What’s Driving the Rally?Dell Technologies (NYSE: NYSE:DELL ) has made headlines with its upcoming re-inclusion in the S&P 500 Index, effective September 23. This marks a significant milestone for the tech giant, which was previously part of the S&P 500 from 1996 until 2013 before going private. The announcement has sent Dell’s stock price soaring, with shares jumping 6.1% in premarket trading on Monday. The re-entry into the S&P 500 is more than just symbolic; it represents renewed market confidence and a bright outlook for the company’s future.
Strong Market Position and Growth Drivers
Dell’s re-inclusion in the S&P 500 is not just about index rebalancing; it signals a broader positive trajectory fueled by several key factors. According to analysts at Citi Research, Dell’s fundamentals are strong, and the company is positioned to capitalize on multiple growth levers, making it a compelling buy.
1. Recovery in Enterprise Infrastructure Demand: Dell’s enterprise hardware products, including servers and storage solutions, are expected to benefit as businesses reinvest in critical infrastructure. After a period of constrained IT spending, Dell stands ready to capture significant market share as economic conditions improve.
2. PC Refresh Cycle: Dell is poised to gain from an upcoming global PC refresh cycle, expected to drive demand into 2025. As businesses and households upgrade aging PC systems, Dell’s personal computing segment is set to experience substantial sales growth. This cycle represents a critical growth driver for Dell’s core business.
3. AI Momentum: Dell’s focus on AI solutions positions it as a key player in the rapidly expanding AI market. As companies increasingly adopt AI workloads that require robust compute and storage resources, Dell’s expanding AI product portfolio could lead to significant revenue growth. The company’s expertise in providing the necessary hardware for AI applications aligns perfectly with emerging market needs.
4. Capital Returns and Valuation: Citi has set a target price of $160 for Dell, based on a 9.8x EV/EBITDA multiple applied to projected earnings over the next 24 months. This valuation reflects the company’s ability to execute and capitalize on growth opportunities. Compared to peers in the large enterprise hardware sector, Dell’s valuation strikes a balance that reflects both potential upside and inherent risks.
5. Challenges to Watch: While the outlook is positive, Dell faces challenges, including competition from hyperscalers and cloud computing solutions that pressure traditional enterprise hardware demand. The evolving landscape of cloud-enabled infrastructure and potential delays in the PC refresh cycle could impact Dell’s near-term growth prospects. Additionally, there is uncertainty around the pace at which Dell’s AI backlog will convert into tangible revenue.
Technical Outlook
Currently, Dell stock is up 4.48%, trading with a moderate Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 4.83%, which suggests room for further growth.
1. Bullish Flag Pattern: Dell’s daily price chart shows a bullish flag pattern, a continuation formation that signals a potential upward breakout. If the stock price reaches the $150 pivot point, it would confirm a bullish reversal, setting the stage for a sustained rally.
2. Support and Resistance Levels: Dell is trading just below its 200-day moving average, a key resistance level. A decisive break above this level would reinforce the bullish trend and attract further buying interest.
3. Volume and Momentum Indicators: Increased trading volume accompanying the recent price surge adds conviction to the bullish outlook. Momentum indicators suggest that Dell is on the cusp of a significant move higher, particularly with the backdrop of strong fundamentals and market sentiment.
Looking Ahead
Dell’s upcoming S&P 500 re-inclusion, combined with its strategic positioning in key growth areas, presents a compelling case for investors. The company’s ability to navigate the complexities of the evolving enterprise hardware market while capitalizing on the AI boom and PC upgrade cycle underpins its long-term growth potential.
While challenges remain, Dell’s re-entry into the S&P 500 is a testament to its resilience and strategic execution. With strong fundamentals, technical momentum, and multiple growth levers at play, Dell is well-positioned for continued success in the coming years. For investors, the current setup presents a unique opportunity to participate in the resurgence of a tech powerhouse.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 9-13th: S&P NAS GOLD SILVER US&UK OILThis is Part 2 of the Weekly Forex Forecast SEPT 9 - 13th.
In this video, we will cover:
S&P500 NASDAQ DOW GOLD SILVER US & UK OIL
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
FED Rate Cut Sept. 19: Market ImplicationsFed expected to cut rates ~0.5% on Sept. 19
Short-term outlook:
• Likely market correction before/during the event
• "Sell the news" expected
• Traders may capitalize on retail investors' optimism around the FED rate cut
Why? Historical patterns show corrections often precede rate cuts. this time might be no exception.
FED rate cut market dynamics:
• Institutional investors take profits around the rate cut
• Potential liquidity squeeze as positions unwind
• Volatility and TVC:VIX will increase
Long-term:
• Rate cuts generally bullish over time
• Lower rates can stimulate economic growth
• But full effects may take months to materialize
Strategic considerations:
• Market dip can be a buying opportunities
• Consider index ETFs like SP:SPX and NASDAQ:QQQ and stocks with fundamentals or even Bitcoin. Personally, I will also add the leveraged ETFs AMEX:SSO and AMEX:QLD
• Consider dollar-cost averaging during volatility
Markets are complex. This analysis isn't financial advice. Always do thorough research and consider your risk tolerance.
You Are a Puppet - How The Elite is Manipulating the MarketsWelcome back Future Demons
Let me make it very clear. I’m here to help you become a better trader, and make money. I’m not a fan of Wall Street, the Elite, the big asset management companies like BlackRock, Vanguard who own most of the biggest companies in the world.
They are known for manipulating the markets, to bait you in, and take advantage of you. They are ruthless. They have secret collabs with journalists around the world from big mainstream media, who will trick you with clickbait articles. But there is way more..
Also there is a big misconception, that the big American asset management companies only hold Western stocks.
No, my friend. They hold Russian and Chinese stocks as well. They try to disguise it of course via shadow companies and banks.
The Elite in USA, Europe, Russia and China are all "working together", and all have part in the world’s biggest companies and share the same goal. More money and more power.
This is NOT a war between sides - East vs West - as they will portrait it in the mainstream media. They have and will continue to brainwash you to believe in this narrative, while they are making money, and the people are dying in war.
This is in reality a war between up and down. The elite vs the people.
Historically it has always been like that. The church vs the illiterate people. The Kingdom vs the peasents.
And there is no difference this time.
——
Why am I telling you this?
We haven’t seen a bear market in 15 years, which is unheard of. We have been very close many times, but suddenly came COVID, which made the markets blossom again. The small businesses went bankrupt, while the giants made money again.
After some time we saw a decline again. Russia invaded Ukraine, and USA (NATO), didn’t try to stop the war. They rejected any kind of diplomatic negotiations.
Why? Obviously because they knew, that especially a proxy-war is good for the markets. All the weapons US has sold to Ukraine, made the markets recover.
Then again very conveniently Israel had an excuse to use their power against Palestine, which meant more war-money, and again the market managed to recover.
The recent little trick is now the 600,000 polio-vaccines UN will give to the Palestinian kids, who are suffering in Gaza. There is catch though, that many is not aware of.
The polio vaccine is made by a French company Sanofi. It only takes a Google search or 2 to find out, who the biggest investor is: Dodge Cox, owned by Johnson, Wells Fargo, Alphabet (Google), Microsoft and more.
Last but not least, let me also state, that the AI hype lately has been the main reason the markets has increased.
But with this post I just want to make it clear, that the Elite, the Deep State, whatever you want to call them, will do whatever it takes to make money. And they are ruthless.
What to do now?
If you are out of the markets, stay out! If you are in the markets secure profit. We have no idea how high we will go, but there is no doubt imo, that this is a huge bubble, and we will most likely soon go into a Depression like we did 100 years ago in the 1930s.
War has historically always been the last instrument before a crash.
Kind Regards
LaPlaces Demon
PS. I know that some people might disagree with my analysis, which is totally ok. What I have learnt the last 10 years trading is to follow the money. And market psychology is my biggest strength.
US indeces pre market TuesdayHere's a breakdown of why the S&P 500 might drop to the next green zone based on the technical analysis depicted in the chart:
1. Resistance Zone (Upper Red Box)
The chart highlights a resistance zone near the top, marked by a red box. This zone represents a price level where the S&P 500 has struggled to move higher and has reversed several times in the past.
The price has recently touched this resistance zone and failed to break through it, indicating that selling pressure is stronger at this level.
2. Support Zone (Lower Green Box)
The green box at the bottom represents a support zone, which is a price level where the index has previously found buying interest and reversed upward.
The chart suggests that the price could potentially drop back to this support zone if the current downtrend continues.
3. Recent Price Action
The price action within the last few candlesticks shows a downward movement after touching the resistance zone, which is depicted by the downward arrow.
This suggests that sellers have taken control, and the price is likely to continue moving lower.
4. Breakdown of Support Levels
The price appears to be breaking down through minor support levels (smaller green zones within the red box), which could indicate that the market is losing bullish momentum and could head towards the lower support zone.
5. Trading Setup
The chart suggests a short (sell) trade setup, where the expected movement is for the price to drop towards the lower green zone.
The green arrow indicates the anticipated direction of the price movement, while the red and green shaded areas likely represent the stop-loss and take-profit levels, respectively.
Conclusion
Based on the chart's technical analysis, the S&P 500 is expected to decline to the next green support zone due to the strong resistance at the current level, recent bearish price action, and the potential breakdown of intermediate support levels. If the price reaches the lower green zone, it might find support and possibly reverse, but until then, the outlook is bearish.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 2-6th: S&P NAS GOLD SILVER US&UK OILThis is Part 2 of the Weekly Forex Forecast SEPT 2nd - 6th
In this video, we will cover:
S&P500 NASDAQ DOW GOLD SILVER US & UK OIL
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
SP500 Analysis 8-26Price came back to Thursday's high to take out buyers and fall during NY session.
Sell side liquidity around 5587 and lower. We could see price push lower. Have not
taken out previous day lows. Waiting for price to rally back and find rejection around 5631 or 5640 . I took some profits on the sell.
Good Luck
Risk Management #1
Check my profile for more updates.
Either Stock or GoldIn every analysis I have done over the years, I have said that I hold either gold or equities. I have never been in cash other than equities. These charts explain why.
From 1884 to 1970, you could buy 1 SP500 share with an average of 0.74 gold or $14.75. So there is not much point in choosing between gold and the dollar during this period because the Bretton Woods system is still in place. But the real problem starts after 1970. After the Bretton Woods system was abolished, you can now buy 1 SP500 share with an average of 2 gold coins. Yes, the stock is rising relative to gold, but it is not in a continuous upward trend, so you can buy SP500 shares with 2 gold in 1972 or 2020. But in dollar terms, things are not so good. In 1970 you could buy SP500 for $100 and in 2020 you can buy SP500 for $3000.
Therefore, when you sell a share, going for gold instead of cash may put you at a speculative loss in the short term, but in the long term you are always on the winning side.
1928 Has Begun Early, Powell Has Given In. QE 3.0
The linchpin was Japan, the Japan interest rate scare has started the panic with the FRED.
1. US Debt spiral is 34.5T.
2. US Debt Interest at 1T and the system has buckled.
3. MMF at all time high
4. Majority still believe a yield curve that has not worked since 2008 will cause a recession.
5. The USA cannot have a recession or it defaults on its debt.
Rates have to be cut and fast, MMF will start pouring into the market, cheap credit will start reinflating all assets. QE 3.0 will be commenced shortly to deal with the US Debt death spiral.
This is the biggest financial crisis around the corner, people will short it who don't understand the USD currency is about to be debased by figures we can't imagine.
This is the end game and it could last years.
Its fun speculating the deflationary crash down, where's the debasement inflationary melt up?
What's S&P500 & Why Needs a Price CorrectionThe S&P 500 (Standard & Poor's 500) is a stock market index that tracks the performance of 500 of the largest publicly traded companies in the United States. It is widely regarded as one of the best indicators of the overall health of the U.S. stock market and the economy. The companies included in the index span a wide range of industries, including technology, healthcare, financials, and consumer goods, among others. The index is weighted by market capitalization, meaning larger companies have a greater impact on the index's performance.
Why SP500 needs a Price Correction?
A price correction occurs when the value of a stock or a market index, like the S&P 500, declines by a certain percentage, typically 10% or more, after a sustained period of upward movement. Corrections are a natural part of market cycles and can happen for several reasons. Here are a few reasons why stocks may need to go down in order to make a correction:
1. Overvaluation:
When stocks become overvalued relative to their earnings, assets, or growth potential, a correction helps realign prices with their intrinsic value. Investors may have driven prices too high due to speculation or overly optimistic expectations, and a correction brings valuations back to more reasonable levels.
2. Market Euphoria and Excessive Risk-Taking:
When the market experiences excessive optimism, driven by factors like low-interest rates, easy access to capital, or speculative trading, it can lead to inflated stock prices. A correction serves as a reality check, reducing excessive risk-taking and bringing prices back to sustainable levels.
3. Economic Slowdown or Uncertainty:
Economic indicators like GDP growth, unemployment rates, or consumer spending can signal a slowdown. If the economy is weakening, companies may struggle to meet earnings expectations, leading to lower stock prices. A correction allows the market to adjust to a new economic reality.
4. Interest Rate Changes:
Rising interest rates make borrowing more expensive and reduce corporate profits, which can lead to a market correction. Higher rates also make bonds more attractive relative to stocks, prompting investors to reallocate their portfolios, leading to downward pressure on stock prices.
5. Profit-Taking by Investors:
After a strong market rally, investors may start taking profits, especially if they believe prices have peaked. This selling pressure can lead to a correction as stock prices adjust to lower levels.
Conclusion
Corrections are a necessary and healthy part of the market cycle, helping to prevent bubbles from forming and ensuring that stock prices reflect the underlying fundamentals of companies and the economy. Although corrections can be unsettling for investors, they often create buying opportunities and contribute to the long-term stability of the market.
S&P 500 / It's beginning to look a lot like rate cutsIt's beginning to look a lot like rate cuts
S&P 500 Technical Analysis
The price is currently consolidating between 5620 and 5675, awaiting a breakout.
Bullish Scenario:
Stability above 5620 means will touch 5642 and above it 5672
Bearish Scenario:
If the price remains below 5620, it could lead to a corrective move down to 5584.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 5620
- Resistance Lines: 5642, 5675, 5700
- Support Lines: 5584, 5553, 5525
Today's Expected Trading Range: The price is expected to fluctuate between 5584 and 5675.
Trend: Bullish momentum
SP500 Analysis 8_21Price is looking to try and reach previous day highs but is struggling. Looking for shorts
below 5600 level to take to Monday sell side liquidity. Bulls have been pushing price higher last 2 days. will see what happens around 10 am.
Good luck trading. Risk Mngt.
Check my profile for more info.
SPY S&P500 ETF W-Shaped RecoveryIf you haven`t bought the previous correction:
Now historically, the SPY S&P500 ETF has demonstrated a consistent pattern where a Relative Strength Index (RSI) at or below 30 triggers buying activity.
This technical indicator, typically viewed as signaling an oversold condition, has reliably attracted investors looking to capitalize on perceived undervaluation.
As a result, these dips have been quickly bought up, suggesting a strong market tendency to rebound from such low RSI levels.
I expect the recovery to be V-shaped or W-shaped, ending the year higher.
Is SP500 strike to cover crisisDear All,
This is SP500 to GDP Ratio chart which is show us maybe we should ready for another crisis. If you compare this chart to Will500PR to GDP Ratio I have published before you can clearly see negative bearish divergence between these two that means total public traded shares do not touched higher top but SP500 index reaches higher rates; So its obvious to see a sharp shrinkage as soon as possible. See if FED can cover it by soft landing or not?
SP500 AnalysisPrice has been buying since unemployment news last Thursday August 8th, which was the
catalyst to begin the move to get buyers back in markets. Breaking last weeks high on Monday
still moving. Wednesday was choppy but still saw the Dump and Pump set up after Cpi News
that tricked out sellers and quickly went to the topside. Price can go either way. Looking to see price run up to 5494 and wait for a sell confirmation around there.
Check out my Profile for more info!!
Good Luck!. Risk Management First!
SP500 new ath before collapseSP:SPX
Last time we dropped 35% on covid pandemic
Now we have a correction 27% its more than enough
Last impulse up till 2025 November can be in a range 5500 - 6200 Take profit and exit line on my custom indicator, all lines are dynamic
Before we will see new trigger and end of 18 year property cycle
Than we will see big correction to 3200-3000 "Buy line" on my custom indicator
Based on my second indicator Market Mood we already 3 times passed white zone on indicator which called disbelief zone when the best time accumulate crypto, indexes, etc
Last impulse will be slowly but surely and will end on euphoria before disaster conflict between USA and China, hunger, new pandemic.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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Hey SPY Lovers! We are on a slow recoveringThe price touched our area of interest and has started to bounce back upwards. As you can see in the indicator, the SPY is beginning its slow strength. If you Compare the structure with the oscillator on the bottom, you will see there will be a bull run soon .
The question is: will this be the bull run we've been looking for, to reach our area of interest or even higher?
No one knows for sure, but for now, I want to show you that the SPY is starting the recovery process.
HERE IS THE KEY: We need to pay much attention to Nvidia's report because, if you remember, the last time they reported, it practically pushed all the markets to new highs!
Let's see what happens."