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Markets Struggling to Find a DirectionS&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 08/08 With the Fed and Interest Rates not a burning issue anymore, with major earnings mostly in the rear view mirror, markets are struggling to find a direction and a relevant factor to latch onto. Currently, there doesn't appear to be any specific factor driving the markets in any direction, leading to listless markets. Our models indicate sideways markets until this resolves in either direction. The level of 4545-4550 is now the main resistance level, with 4500 the immediate support. Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4486, 4491, 4502, 4507 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4475, 4483, or 4497  with a 9-point trailing stop.  Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4505, and explicit short exits on a break above 4465. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 09:31am EST or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. Positional Trading Plans: For today, positional models indicate staying flat. By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an index-tracking instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #earnings, #usdebt, #debtdowngrade, #usdowngrade, #usdebtdowngrade, #usdebtrating
CBOE:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
SPX: reversal might continueS&P 500 entered into a short correction during the previous week. The market reacted to the news that Fitch rating agency downgraded the US long-term government debt to AA+. As economists are noting, this would have an impact on higher borrowing costs for US companies, as borrowers now need to calculate with higher risk of doing business with US clients. Certainly it will have some implications to the US economy, but some analysts say that it will actually help Fed Chair Powell to finally slow down the US economy in Fed`s fight with inflation. For the US equities this was the worst weekly trading session since March. S&P 500 was down by 2.3% ending the week at level of 4.478. Whether this is a start of a rally, remains unclear as investors are currently divided on this topic. Earnings report pushed Amazon shares 8.3% higher, while Booking Holdings gained 7.9% on better than expected quarterly results. Still, investors continue to be concerned about a potential reversal of inflation, considering that average hourly earnings rose 0.4% for the month, and higher from market expectations. During the week S&P 500 exited from the overbought side and started a short reversal. RSI reached level of 48, indicating a potential for a further move toward the downside. Lowest weekly level was 4.473, but the peak from June at 4.400 has not been tested. This might be the next target of the index for the week ahead, with some probability that 4.000 might also be reached. A move toward the higher grounds seems unlikely based on current charts and technical analysis.
CBOE:SPX
by XBTFX
Rocky week down, up next weekThe chart holds the expected movement for the beginning of the week if we are in the final wave down of Intermediate wave 1. Minor wave 4 moved nearly on target with a reversal at the maximum historically observed reversal point and ran one hour beyond the models, however it fell drastically as expected. That idea can be viewed here: I initially believed the end of Intermediate wave 1 could have been completed on Friday with the rate of the drop. However, the historical data is pointing to a new low still to come. The models right now are pointing to the bottom as late as Friday, but most models are pointing to Wednesday. The levels are outlined on the chart above. The most specific historical wave sets are the light blue levels based on waves ending in C115. and most likely contain the bottom’s location. The next set of data is based on slightly broader historical waves ending in 115 and are yellow. The broadest data levels are the white lines. The markets could drop a little further to open on Monday are begin moving upward right away which would likely plant Minute wave 1 as the low from late Friday. Regardless, the index will likely move up to or toward a high on Monday to complete Minute wave 2. Minute wave 3 down could begin later on Monday and lead to a 50-point loss bottoming out on Tuesday. Minute wave 4 will likely be a quick jog (1-3 hours) upward late on Tuesday or even ending early Wednesday and the final bottom could occur on Wednesday. The end Minute wave 5/Minor wave 5/Intermediate wave 1 will likely be between 4420-4450. My expectations are in the 4430-4400 area. After Intermediate wave 1 is completed. The market should move up for at least 3-6 days putting a top somewhere into next week (August 14-17) but further analysis will follow.
CBOE:SPXShort
by StockSignaler
2
Rocky week down, up next weekThe chart holds the expected movement for the beginning of the week if we are in the final wave down of Intermediate wave 1. Minor wave 4 moved nearly on target with a reversal at the maximum historically observed reversal point and ran one hour beyond the models, however it fell drastically as expected. That idea can be viewed here: I initially believed the end of Intermediate wave 1 could have been completed on Friday with the rate of the drop. However, the historical data is pointing to a new low still to come. The models right now are pointing to the bottom as late as Friday, but most models are pointing to Wednesday. The levels are outlined on the chart above. The most specific historical wave sets are the light blue levels based on waves ending in C115. and most likely contain the bottom’s location. The next set of data is based on slightly broader historical waves ending in 115 and are yellow. The broadest data levels are the white lines. The markets could drop a little further to open on Monday are begin moving upward right away which would likely plant Minute wave 1 as the low from late Friday. Regardless, the index will likely move up to or toward a high on Monday to complete Minute wave 2. Minute wave 3 down could begin later on Monday and lead to a 50-point loss bottoming out on Tuesday. Minute wave 4 will likely be a quick jog (1-3 hours) upward late on Tuesday or even ending early Wednesday and the final bottom could occur on Wednesday. The end Minute wave 5/Minor wave 5/Intermediate wave 1 will likely be between 4420-4450. My expectations are in the 4430-4400 area. After Intermediate wave 1 is completed. The market should move up for at least 3-6 days putting a top somewhere into next week (August 14-17) but further analysis will follow.
SP:SPXShort
by StockSignaler
S&P500 I NOTICED A GOOD SELL AREAOn S&P500, we have a bullish setup with the price slightly retracing in the area around 4479 after touching highs at level 4645. Currently, there is an excellent reversal zone, a sell zone, at level 4525, where the price in H1 formed a strong supply level that had a significant impact on the price in the past week. In short, I'm waiting for a retracement to that level before entering a short position, aiming for a target around 4375, which corresponds to the previous major low. Let me know what you think. Have a great weekend! Nicola, CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
3
TSLATitle: Bullish Momentum on Tesla Shares Backed by Smart Money Analysis Description: In this Trading View idea, we delve into the analysis of Tesla shares and their recent price movement, utilizing the Smart Money concept to provide insights into the bullish momentum observed in the market. Smart Money Concept: The Smart Money concept involves analyzing the activities of institutional investors, hedge funds, and other large players in the market. These entities often have access to more comprehensive information and resources than individual retail traders, making their actions and positions crucial indicators of market sentiment. Bullish Signals: Our analysis reveals several compelling bullish signals for Tesla shares: Considerations: While the Smart Money concept and other indicators suggest a bullish stance, it's important to remain vigilant and consider potential risks. Conclusion: Incorporating Smart Money analysis into our assessment of Tesla shares reveals a compelling case for a bullish outlook. However, traders should exercise caution, conduct their own research, and manage risk effectively before making investment decisions. As always, market conditions can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay informed and adaptable.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Asif_Brain_Waves
Trading Plans for FRI. 08/04 - The Precarious Rally Continues...S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 08/04 As we published in our earlier trading plans: "The question on everybody's mind - whether they are a bull or a bear or a bystander - is: "How long can this rally continue?". And, nobody knows - or, can know - the answer, of course. But, as long as there are doubters, the rally will still have some steam left in it - mostly feeding on short squeezes". As we published in the wake of the US debt downgrade: "There is a potential for sudden spikes up to squeeze the shorts in the near term. Might be risky to stay short while the index is above 4500", the 4500 support level has held and the index survived any potential downfall from the US debt downgrade. At least, for now. The level of 4545-4550 is now the main resistance level, with 4500 the immediate support. Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4550, 4532, 4520, 4506, or 4491 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4545, 4528, 4516, 4502, or 4487 with a 9-point trailing stop.  Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4537, and explicit short exits on a break above 4537 (same level). Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 01:01pm EST or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. Positional Trading Plans: Our positional models carried a short overnight, with an entry of 4509.90 and a short exit at 4516 (or, the equivalent in ES futures after hours). The short exit level was hit overnight closing the short at a deemed level of 4516 for a loss of 6.10 index points. For today, positional models indicate staying flat. By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an index-tracking instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #earnings, #usdebt, #debtdowngrade, #usdowngrade, #usdebtdowngrade, #usdebtrating
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
Early High on Friday Followed By New Weekly Low Tomorrow?If we are in Intermediate wave 1 down, we are likely near the end of Minor wave 4 up. Here is confirmation of wave 3 of 3 with the pink bars aligning in the bottom indicator at Minute wave 3 (green) inside of Minor wave 3 (yellow): There is a chance Minor wave 4 up has finished and was only 2 hours long. While the other likely option and one pursued in this chart is that Minute wave B has likely finished or could finish near the open. If Minute wave B ended with the low from August 3rd, then wave C will likely conclude within the first 3 hours of trading on August 4th. Strongest model agreement has wave 4 lasting 6 hours which would mean the top occurs within the first hour of trading. Secondary and tertiary models point to a likely maximum length of 8 hours (the third hour of trading on August 4th). The possible reversal levels are based on the following datasets in order from most specific to current wave location to more broad datasets. Light Blue levels are possible locations of market top tomorrow Yellow is slightly less specific than light blue White is most broad dataset The muted pink color represents specific data for Minute wave 4s in Minor wave 1s in Intermediate wave 1s. Basically the high tomorrow will occur within the first or second hour of trading and not go above 4550. Most conservative zone for the top is between 4524-4536. If the high from August 3rd is not surpassed on August 4th, the market will likely head down (and is already) into the final wave 5 of Intermediate wave 1. Initial loose projection is for this near-term market bottom to occur next week. Once confirmation of Minor wave 4's endpoint is recorded, Minor wave 5 will be projected.
SP:SPXShort
by StockSignaler
6
The Precarious Rally Might be Stalling? Day 2S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 08/03 As we published in our earlier trading plans: "The question on everybody's mind - whether they are a bull or a bear or a bystander - is: "How long can this rally continue?". And, nobody knows - or, can know - the answer, of course. But, as long as there are doubters, the rally will still have some steam left in it - mostly feeding on short squeezes". Earnings notwithstanding, the U.S. downgrade by the ratings agencies could have the potential to stall the bull. But, the bears should be cautious about jumping the gun, yet. There is a potential for sudden spikes up to squeeze the shorts in the near term. Might be risky to stay short while the index is above 4500. The level of 4545-4550 is now the main resistance level, with 4500 the immediate support. Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4550, 4520, 4506, or 4491 with an 8-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4545, 4527, 4516, 4502, or 4487 with a 9-point trailing stop.  Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4537, and explicit short exits on a break above 4537 (same level). Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 12:16pm EST or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. Positional Trading Plans: Following our published trading plans yesterday, our positional models went short on a break below 4515 (at 3:09pm, at a short entry of 4514.93) with a 16-point trailing stop and carried the short overnight with the 16-point trailing stop effective (see the overnight exposure explanation below for positional trading plans). The short made a low at 3:55am, survived the stop till 5:10am (based on the price action in the futures markets) where it was hit, closing the position at 4526.25, for a loss of 11.32 index points. For today, positional models indicate going short on a break below 4520 or 4510, with a hard stop at 4527 and an explicit short exit on a break above 4516. By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an index-tracking instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #earnings, #usdebt, #debtdowngrade, #usdowngrade, #usdebtdowngrade, #usdebtrating
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
If the top is in, we find the bottomStill awaiting additional price confirmation we are in Cycle wave C downward, but here is the current forecast if the current market top holds. My hourly program generated the usual waypoints based on historical data. Interestingly enough, Cycle wave A (the downward period between January – October 2022 was 1365 trading hours. Not to be outdone, Cycle wave B upward (October 2022 to July 2023) was 1366 trading hours. A common ABC relationship at times is the length of A plus the length of B equaling the length of wave C. I have outlined the most common lengths the program agreed on regarding the length of cycle wave C and placed them vertically on the chart. Of course 2731 hours is one of those values which could place the possible bottom as late as February 2025. The market bottoms based on most specific dataset to the current wave structure are the light blue levels, next slightly broader dataset produced the yellow levels, and the broadest dataset of waves ending in 2C are the white levels. Based on these potential lengths and overall movements, I determined where Primary wave 1 should bottom based on historical data and each yellow outlined boxed represents these factors. I generally do not trade too much during the first wave, but instead allow the first wave to finish and then begin buying and selling based on the finalized data and historical relationships for expected movement. If Cycle wave C is 910 trading hours long, then the smallest box would likely contain the location of Primary wave 1’s bottom. The left side of this rectangle is the minimum length of time based on historical Primary wave 1 data and therefore the timeframe that wave 1 would likely reach at a minimum. The right side of this rectangle represents the third quartile of historical movement and therefore a possible maximum timeframe for wave 1’s bottom to occur. The additional boxes do the same regarding left and right bounds and all boxes correlate with the next duration in order (i.e. if the overall length is 1366 hours, the bottom should occur between the left and right bounds of the next largest rectangle). Rectangles were created for 910, 1366, 1821, 2047, 2731, and 3415 trading hours. The top and bottoms of the box relate to the potential market bottoms for the bear market. The top of the smallest box relates to the minimum historical movement if the market bottom is at 3328.09. The bottom of this same box relates to the third quartile of historical data for 3328.09. If the bottom ends between the top and bottom of this box, the market bottom could be around 3328.09. The tops and bottoms of the next box are related to an overall market bottom around 3271.95. Rectangles were created for market bottoms of 3328.09, 3271.95, 3183.44, 2972.71, 2878.89, and 2733.44. What does all this mean? Once Primary wave 1 ends, the bottom should fall in one of these boxes. We could use the endpoint to potentially rule out what the duration and bottoms WILL NOT be for this bear market. If the bottom of Primary wave 1 falls in the small rectangle which overlaps all rectangles, nothing can be ruled out yet. Additionally, the bottom of Primary wave 1 should get below 4300 at the very least, considering the market is above 4500 today, we are looking for at least a 200 point drop over the next few weeks. My initial projection for the market bottom from last July was around 2400 by March 2025. Based on all the completed data to this point, I am looking for a bottom sooner and likely in the middle of the fall of 2024. The bottom should not be as deep as originally forecasted either, and my initial call is likely no lower than 2700, but likely below 2900. So far it looks like the country’s credit rating was the first of many dominos to fall over the next year as the market moves lower. I still think a China v. Taiwan situation could do the most damage, but we shall see what happens. Oil prices have been creeping up as well over the past month and the inflated costs of goods have not begun to take form yet. Companies will be refinancing their debts at higher and higher levels moving forward and nowhere near enough companies have failed yet. Big ones will fall, and best guess as at least 4 big names go down before the market is done moving down.
SP:SPXShort
by StockSignaler
1
The Precarious Rally Might be Stalling? Day 1S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 08/02 As we published in our earlier trading plans: "The question on everybody's mind - whether they are a bull or a bear or a bystander - is: "How long can this rally continue?". And, nobody knows - or, can know - the answer, of course. But, as long as there are doubters, the rally will still have some steam left in it - mostly feeding on short squeezes". Earnings notwithstanding, the U.S. downgrade by the ratings agencies could have the potential to stall the bull. But, the bears should be cautious about jumping the gun, yet. There is a potential for sudden spikes up to squeeze the shorts in the near term. Might be risky to stay short while the index is above 4500. The previously stated level of 4575-4580 is now the main resistance level, with 4500 the immediate support. Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4550, 4520, 4506, or 4491 with an 8-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4545, 4527, 4516, 4502, or 4487 with a 9-point trailing stop.  Models indicate no explicit long exits, and explicit short exits on a break above 4530 or 4537. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 11:16am EST or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. Positional Trading Plans: Our positional models indicate going short on a break below 4515 with a 16-point trailing stop. If models open a short and survive into the close, models indicate continuing the trailing stop which will be effective overnight (see the overnight exposure explanation below for positional trading plans). By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an index-tracking instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #earnings, #usrating, #ratingdowngrade, #usdowngrade, #usratingdowngrade
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
Trading Plans for MON. 07/31: Will The Precarious Rally ContinueS&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 08/01 The question on everybody's mind - whether they are a bull or a bear or a bystander - is: "How long can this rally continue?". And, nobody knows - or, can know - the answer, of course. But, as long as there are doubters, the rally will still have some steam left in it - mostly feeding on short squeezes. Earnings this week should shed some more light on how the markets are shaping up in the wake of the sticky inflation. If they continue to appear to be on track or with a bias to the upside surprises then the next bull leg could get well entrenched. But, If the earnings show any unexpected weakness ("unexpected" is the key word there), then we might have seen an interim top. The previously stated level of 4575-4580 is now the key support/resistance level, with the 4603-4610 range the next resistance level. Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4583, 4561, or 4537 with an 8-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4575, 4557, or 4527 with a 9-point trailing stop.  Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4568, 4548, or 4532, and explicit short exits on a break above 4532, 4552, or 4568. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 11:11am EST or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. Positional Trading Plans: Our positional models continue to indicate staying out of the markets until otherwise stated. By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an index-tracking instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #earnings
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
Will This Precarious Rally Continue? Day 2S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for MON. 07/31 The question on everybody's mind - whether they are a bull or a bear or a bystander - is: "How long can this rally continue?". And, nobody knows - or, can know - the answer, of course. But, as long as there are doubters, the rally will still have some steam left in it - mostly feeding on short squeezes. Earnings this week should shed some more light on how the markets are shaping up in the wake of the sticky inflation. If they continue to appear to be on track or with a bias to the upside surprises then the next bull leg could get well entrenched. But, If the earnings show any unexpected weakness ("unexpected" is the key word there), then we might have seen an interim top. The previously stated level of 4575-4580 is now the key support/resistance level, with the 4603-4610 range the next resistance level. Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4592 or 4583 with an 8-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4579, 4570, or 4562 with a 9-point trailing stop.  Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4589 or 4585, and explicit short exits on a break above 4565 or 4574. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 12:31pm EST or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. Positional Trading Plans: Our positional models continue to indicate staying out of the markets until otherwise stated. By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an index-tracking instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #earnings
CBOE:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
1
SPX Index (US SP500). Important dates.Time frame 1 day. Logarithm. Secondary trend. Expanding triangle. Reversal zone. Key levels are shown. Dates marked the key time zones of potential events that can greatly affect the markets and the index of the American economy in the first place. The end of October and the beginning of November will most likely be unnecessarily wavy in the markets. If so, don't miss your chance to “accidentally get rich”. This is how it looks on a line chart.
VANTAGE:SP500
by SpartaBTC
38
How Long Will This Precarious Rally Continue?S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 07/28 In our trading plans yesterday, we published: "The risk continues to be to the downside, so longs might want to be cautious; however, bears have to wait for their opportunity strike and not jump the gun". There was a little pull back - bears should not rejoice, yet. The question on everybody's mind - whether they are a bull or a bear or a bystander - is: "How long can this rally continue?". And, nobody knows - or, can know - the answer, of course. But, as long as there are doubters, the rally will still have some steam left in it - mostly, feasting on short squeezes. The rest of this week's earnings should shed some more light on how the markets are shaping up in the wake of the sticky inflation. If they continue to appear to be on track or with a bias to the upside surprises then the next bull leg could get well entrenched. But, If the earnings show any unexpected weakness ("unexpected" is the key word there), then we might have seen an interim top. The previously stated level of 4575-4580 is now the key support/resistance level, with the 4603-4610 range the next resistance level. Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4598, 4584, 4575, or 4555 with an 8-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4588, 4570, 4563, 4550, or 4535 with a 9-point trailing stop.  Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4545 or 4580, and explicit short exits on a break above 4540 or 4583. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 10:01am EST or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. Positional Trading Plans: Our positional models continue to indicate staying out of the markets until otherwise stated. By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an index-tracking instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #earnings
CBOE:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
1
The Bull-Goldilocks Is Humming AlongS&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 07/27 Almost as everyone and their grandmother predicted, the FOMC hiked another 25 basis points. With the FOMC faded into the background, earnings stories would continue to set the market tone until they begin to feel the bull run fatigue setting in. The risk continues to be to the downside, so longs might want to be cautious; however, bears have to wait for their opportunity strike and not jump the gun. The rest of this week's earnings should shed some more light on how the markets are shaping up in the wake of the sticky inflation. If they continue to appear to be on track or with a bias to the upside surprises then the next bull leg could get well entrenched. But, If the earnings show any unexpected weakness ("unexpected" is the key word there), then we might have seen an interim top. The previously stated level of 4575-4580 is now the immediate support level, while 4603-4610 are the next resistance level. Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4598, 4584, 4575, or 4568 with an 8-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4588, 4572, or 4563 with a 9-point trailing stop.  Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4593 or 4580, and explicit short exits on a break above 4583. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 11:31am EST or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. Positional Trading Plans: Our positional models continue to indicate staying out of the markets until otherwise stated. By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an index-tracking instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #earnings, #fomc, #powell, #interestrates
CBOE:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
GOOGLE : Signal of the dayToday I share this signal on Google in which, as summarized in the image, it satisfies several criteria for a Long entry. With the use of LuBot, we see: 1. A last Swing Long signal dating back to March 16 which indicates the direction of the subsequent entries to be made. 2. SBS (start bullish structure) signal indicating the start of the short-term bullish structure 3. The TrendCloud is positive and the moving averages are also in a bullish configuration, the price has made a retracement in the last few days, moving right onto the TrendCloud which supports the new start. 4. Breaking of the trendline of the decreasing highs of the last few days 5. The predictum is in the Long phase 6. LuTrender returns positive on the Daily timeframe, it was already positive on the Weekly 7. The EVE (volatility indicator) indicates a likely increase in volatility, but it hasn't passed the excess level, so we are still in a good buy zone. On the other hand we have a resistance area between 127-128 as can be seen from the two red levels on the graph + the Predictum which, despite being in the long phase of the bottom, shows a signal of attention, so it wants to tell us that its vision is positive but could still go down before starting up. The analysis is based on the Daily timeframe, but to have better timing, I will go down to the 4H timeframe in order to wait for a decline and enter on a confirmation trigger. Considering that the PROS are greater than the CONS, I will take a short term trade with moderate risk. The stop loss could be inserted under the last lows and a take profit on 138 to be managed during the next movements. 👍 What do you think? If you also agree with my view leave a like 😁 💖 Remember to follow me so you don't miss my future analyses. 📊 Get access 🔑 for free to all my indicators for a week, write me to find out how to get free access for life 💥 TAGS: VANTAGE:SP500 , SKILLING:NASDAQ , TVC:DJI
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by LuTrader_LB
Hyperinflation Is Coming - + BRICS - CPI - UFL WAY-MAP Similarities between Japan 1989 & Weimar Germany 1923 could not be more clear. People waiting for the "recession" clueless to the break down of the USD dollar system. --MISCONCEPTIONS-- But the 10Y - 2Y yield!, did you adjust that indicator for the QE / debasement? probably not like every single other economist that refuse to acknowledge Quantitative Easing is real why? simple it keeps their assets rising self fulfilling prophecy. But inflation is coming down! Hyperinflation is solved!, did you know before the final vertical hyperinflation event inflation actually fell in Weimar Germany to zero? But the world purchases US debt because the US always pays its debt!, ok great 32.5 Trillion in US National Debt. 192.5 Trillion in US Unfunded Liabilities. US CPI going vertical & FRED raising rates in panic as the base GDP growth cannot fund this debt how do you think they are going to afford it?. That's right! they're going to be forced to print hundreds of trillions of dollars. Well done you have purchased debt of a currency on the brink of hyperinflation. --REALITY-- CPI both Weimar Germany & USA are going up way way too fast Government debt in both time periods are going vertical, what did Weimar Germany do to solve this? they debased their currency to pay the debt & interest. BRICS + Will continue their move creating a multi polar world economy and majority of countries will go with China & Russia due to their near zero debt to gdp. Japan owning the most US debt forced to raise rates to deal with local inflation and their own bonds have no option but to talk with Russia & China to save their country or they will go under with the USA its just math. USA has one option 1.Print 100's of trillions to stop safety nets failing + explosion in unemployment & introduce a new currency like Germany did at a 1:10 ratio. 2. Federal Reserve now purchased all your assets, destroyed your currency, forced you to lose your value 1:10 1:100. Welcome to Socialism. -- Final -- Between 1913 and December 1923, retail prices increased by about 1 trillion, with inflation accelerating in 1922-​​1923. After World War I, the Versailles Treaty of 1919 condemned defeated Germany to pay reparations of a disproportionate amount (equivalent to two years of its pre-​​war GDP). The State financed these payments by creating money, which led to a self-​​sustaining rise in prices: as prices rose faster and faster, people sought to buy right away for fear of having to pay more later. This flight from money led to hyperinflation: prices rose faster and faster, and increased by 1 trillion between 1913 and December 1923. Gradually, the Reichsmark lost its functions as money, as evidenced by women burning banknotes to keep warm since they were worth less than wood logs. On 15 November 1923, a monetary reform broke the inflationary spiral by replacing the Reichsmark by the Rentenmark, on the basis of 1 Rentenmark for 1 trillion Reichsmark. This hyperinflation crisis also saw the rise of mass unemployment and extremist movements, in particular the Nazi Party of Adolf Hitler, which failed its attempted coup on 8-​​9 November 1923 in Munich. -- Final -- -This started with global emergency QE in 2008 now 2023 15 years period. --USA abandoned the gold backing of its currency in 1971. USA is out of time and out of options based on history. -Weimar Germany Started printing in 1913 failed currency 1923 10 years period. --Weimar Germany abandoned the gold backing of its currency in 1914. How to counter trade this? just see where the smart money flocked to in Weimar Germany. "Investors want a spot Blackrock ETF to manipulate retail traders, no people investors want a secure fast way out of the system collapsing before your eyes".
SP:SPX
by FederalXBT
Is the Inflation Fight Still Relevant? We Shall Find Out Today!S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 07/26 With a quarter-point rate increase almost a given, today's FOMC meeting may be a non-event, and earnings could be the driving force for the next few weeks. Only some unexpectedly negative revelations/indications from Chair Powell today could influence the markets - otherwise, the FOMC release and the presser could be just fading into the background. The risk is to the downside, so longs might want to be cautious. Earnings so far this season indicate strong positive momentum. This week's earnings should shed some light on how the markets are shaping up in the wake of the sticky inflation. If they continue to appear to be on track or with a bias to the upside surprises then the next bull leg could get well entrenched. But, If the earnings show any unexpected weakness ("unexpected" is the key word there), then we might have seen an interim top. The previously stated level of 4525-4535 is now a key area of support; 4575-4580 is the next area of resistance. Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4581 or 4532 with an 8-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4575 or 4529 with a 9-point trailing stop.  Models indicate no explicit exits. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 02:50pm EST or later (i.e, way into the Chair Powell's press conference). By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  Positional Trading Plans: Our positional models indicate staying out of the markets until otherwise stated. By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an index-tracking instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #earnings, #fomc, #powell, #interestrates
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom