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SMCI

SMCI’s Game-Changing Move: Could This Be a 500% Opportunity? Bullish Analysis for Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) 1. Valuation Metrics P/S Ratio: Previously 7.46, now just 1.43, showcasing significant undervaluation compared to historical levels. P/E Ratio: Previously 90, now 16.67, making the stock much more attractive to value-focused investors. Fair Value Estimate: According to Simply Wall Street , the fair value per share is estimated at $439.38 , suggesting substantial upside from the current price levels. 2. Strong Financial Metrics Current Market Cap: $18.87 billion. Revenue: This year's revenue is $14.94 billion, and 2025 revenue is expected to exceed $23 billion, surpassing the current market cap—a promising signal of growth potential. Financial Health: SMCI can cover all its debt twice over , with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.40 , which sits comfortably in the ideal range of 0.30–0.60. 3. Growth Drivers New Manufacturing Facility: A facility in Malaysia is expected to become operational in the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, enabling SMCI to scale up its AI server production. Liquid Cooling Expertise: SMCI specializes in liquid cooling technology , critical for the new generation of powerful chips and data centers, including Nvidia’s Blackwell GPUs , which are experiencing record demand as Nvidia ramps up production. 4. Technical and Price Action Support Levels: SMCI has established strong support at $30. Trend Reversal: The stock has broken the structure of its downtrend and is now showing clear signs of heading to the upside, further reinforcing bullish momentum. Resistance Levels: Potential price targets based on resistance areas: Target 1: $50 (52.4% increase). Target 2: $70 (113.4% increase). Target 3: $100 (204.8% increase). Target 4: $120 (265.8% increase). Long-term Target: $200+ (509.75% increase). 5. AI Market Leadership SMCI’s continued focus on AI servers positions it as a key beneficiary in the rapidly growing AI-driven computing market. Conclusion With its attractive valuation, robust financial health, strategic expansion plans, and leadership in liquid cooling and AI servers, SMCI is well-positioned for substantial growth. The recent trend reversal adds technical confirmation to the fundamental bullish case, making current price levels a compelling opportunity for investors seeking exposure to the AI and data center markets.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by ValchevFinance
$SMCI slippy downside; $29 targetWith the rebalancing of NASDAQ, removal of NASDAQ:SMCI after it got a pump from it submitting financial reports to keep it from being delisted the big dogs realize this fraudulent company isn’t worth the risk, investment and headache. I expect below $30. Easily can be down 5% this week and that’s modest. Official date is December 23rd. I will be entering $30p for a swing. There was tons of buying at sub $20’s. There will be tons of selling here. How do people invest in a company who can’t report on time, falsify numbers, auditing team quits on them? Sometimes you don’t play the charts, you play the god damn news. Look at NYSE:UNH , look at my past post & chart. That thing got smoked. NASDAQ:MRNA is next. WALLSTREETLOSER
NASDAQ:SMCIShort
by wallstreetloser001
SUPERMICRO COMPUTERS $SMCI |SUPERMICRO TO SUPER BEARISH Dec13'24SUPERMICRO COMPUTERS NASDAQ:SMCI | SUPERMICRO TO SUPER BEARISH Dec13'24 When to enter NASDAQ:SMCI : NASDAQ:SMCI BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $39.00 - $48.00 NASDAQ:SMCI DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $34.85 - $39.00 NASDAQ:SMCI SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $18.50 - $34.85 NASDAQ:SMCI Trends: NASDAQ:SMCI Weekly Trend: Bearish NASDAQ:SMCI Daily Trend: Bearish NASDAQ:SMCI 4H Trend: Bearish NASDAQ:SMCI 1H Trend: Bearish NASDAQ:SMCI has been spiraling downwards for weeks. We finally saw price come to life just this past month, but the bearish trend has continued. The break below 40.00 confirmed the bearish trend for me, and I will look to see price either continue below 34.85 or try to create some type of support here. Bulls should be eyeing a break above the 39 - 40 level to try to gain some momentum. My trend indicators are also all pointing to the downside. This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas. ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! trendanalysis, trendtrading, priceaction, priceactiontrading, technicalindicators, supportandresistance, rangebreakout, rangebreakdown, rangetrading, chartpatterntrading, chartpatterns, smci, supermicro, supermicrocomputers, audit, failedaudit, passedaudit, smciearnings, smciaudit, smciearningsreport, smcianalysis, smcitrend, smcipattern, smciprice, smcitrade, smciidea, supermicrotrend,
NASDAQ:SMCIShort
by TonyAiello
Super Micro Computer (SMCI): Is This the Greatest Comeback?Could this truly be the greatest comeback of 2024 & 2025? The decision for NASDAQ:SMCI is imminent, and it’s crucial to remain open to all potential scenarios. Over the past month, NASDAQ:SMCI has risen by an impressive 83% and is now trading just below a significant resistance level. Flipping this resistance would mark the first shift from a bearish to a bullish structure since the beginning of the decline. Such a reclaim would also indicate a remarkable V-shaped correction, which holds substantial significance on the weekly chart. It’s likely that NASDAQ:SMCI may experience a slight pullback this week to accumulate more buying momentum before pushing above the $50 mark. However, the stock must not fall below $25, as this remains the Point of Control (POC) since 2022—a critical level that must be respected to maintain the bullish potential.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by freeguy_by_wmc
ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES $AMD | CHIP STOCKS FALL DOWN Dec11'24ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES NASDAQ:AMD | CHIP STOCKS FALL Dec11'24 NASDAQ:AMD BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $141.50 - $166.50 NASDAQ:AMD DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $134.50 - $141.50 NASDAQ:AMD SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $110.00 - $134.50 NASDAQ:AMD Trends: NASDAQ:AMD Weekly Trend: Bearish NASDAQ:AMD Daily Trend: Bearish NASDAQ:AMD 4H Trend: Bearish NASDAQ:AMD 1H Trend: Bearish NASDAQ:AMD Oct29 earnings release started bearish trend. Bears should start targeting the previous quarter's lows. Price is currently breaking my indicator's range to the downside, and all display indicators are pointing to a bearish trend for $amd. Recently, bearish momentum breaks down from the DNT range this week. This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas. ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! trendanalysis, trendtrading, priceaction, priceactiontrading, technicalindicators, supportandresistance, rangebreakout, rangebreakdown, rangetrading, chartpatterntrading, chartpatterns, advancedmicrodevices, amd, NASDAQ:AMD , chipstocks, microchips, microchipdevices, google, googledrive, googlechip, googlesupercomputer, smci, supermicro, nvda, nvidia, nasdaq, ndq, qqq, techstocks,
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by TonyAiello
1
SMCI UpdateSMCI: Long Setup Analysis (4H Timeframe Update) Previous Idea Recap: The prior long setup on SMCI performed excellently, with the stock rebounding sharply from a prolonged downtrend caused by adverse news. The price is now in a strong recovery phase, breaking key resistance levels and surging higher. Supply and Demand Zones (Updated): - Supply Zones (Resistance): - $48.40–$50.35: The current price is testing this zone, which aligns with the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels. Expect possible resistance or consolidation here. - $55.24–$59.68: The next major supply zone, aligning with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level and the likely completion of Wave 5. - $68.90–$72.50: Higher timeframe resistance zone. If the bullish breakout sustains, this is the long-term target zone. - $88.40–$96.35: is the ultimate highest SZ up with a potential RRR of 10:1 Plan of Action: - If Holding Positions: Trail your stop below recent swing lows to secure profits while allowing the trade to run. - For New Positions: Wait for either a confirmed breakout above $50.35 or a retracement into the $38.90–$41.00 demand zone for the best entry. "Trade what you see, not what you hope." Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Always perform your own analysis and risk management.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by MESHANL
SMCI, the worst is likely behind usSMCI has crashed from this years highs, a good 80%. To me it sounds like the worst has happened. And while we may see some positivity this EOY that can help us reach new ATHs, we must remain aware of the risk the broad economy poses. Target is 130+ short term, with one more 50%+ drop coming right after. I would make sure I have the funds ready to scoop up shares if such a scenario happens. As the second dip doesn't look as bad as the first one. After that SMCI will resume its lifetime bullish climb, and keep on going for as long as the bull market lasts.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by Ilyassou
SMCI to $60? When?!?In this video, I use the Magic Linear Regression Channel , Multi VWAP , and Magic Order Blocks indicators to build a case for a $60 SMCI target. In short, it might be a few months away. Using a linear regression channel starting on May 8th, 2024, and ending October 29th, 2024, we can see that the channel is respected at multiple levels. In today's trading, we see a rejection from the Inner Fibonacci Level - Upper in the Magic Linear Regression Channel tool. I was expecting this a few days ago based on the projected channel. With the Multi VWAP indicator we see that the price is currently above the 5-Day anchored VWAP (AVWAP). It can potentially continue to hold that and go through some consolidation before heading back to the top of the channel. At which point, it could reject or consolidate more. I suspect that with the accounting issues behind them, SMCI price will continue to recover. However, above the upper channel lies the year-to-date anchored VWAP, which should be at around $60 by the time SMCI can get there. This will be a level of interest. On the daily chart, we see that the 5D AVWAP gets respected with a bottom wick on the 15min chart that tags it almost perfectly at around $39. We also see an order block acting at support at that same level using the Magic Order Blocks indicator. That gives us further evidence that we could potentially have the 5D AVWAP holding price up as support during a period of consolidation. Should SMCI continue its bullish momentum, there are two potential areas of consolidation - if not outright rejections - at the Inner Fibonacci Upper level and at the upper linear regression band. If it makes it through, the next target will be the YTD AVWAP.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by mwrightinc
6
SMCI This is why investors should always keep a clear mindset.It was only a month ago (November 07, see chart below) when we gave a very strong long-term buy signal on Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI), in the midst of a price collapse following the resignation of their auditor (Ernst & Young) and compliance delays with stock index requirements: Putting the fundamentals aside, we made this bold call by purely looking at the technicals, which in turbulent times like these (market fear on news) tend to deliver a clearer and more objective picture. The price had just hit the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), for the first time in 4 years (since October 26 2020), while reaching Fibonacci level 1.0, which was the former top of the Channel Up for 4 years until it broke and the stock turned parabolic from January 2023 to March 2024. At the same time, the 1W RSI touched the oversold barrier (30.00) for the first time since March 16 2020 and second since October 01 2018, which was the start of the Fibonacci Channel. As a result, that gave us a very strong buy signal combo, which as you saw was immediately translated into a price rebound. Less than a month after, the stock is about to close the gap of the October 28 2024 1W candle, which was the week of the Ernst & Young collapse. This amount of buying pressure indicates that there were a lot of long-term buyers waiting on the buy zone we identified and assuming SMCI continues to restore faith in their reported accounting practices, are looking for a new multi-year rally. Our $122.50 Target remains intact for Q3 2025, which is basically the stock's All Time High (ATH). Technically there is room for a 2025 extension within the 3.5 - 4.0 Fibonacci Zone. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by TradingShot
6
$ SMCI Target $ 65.0 Technical and Fundamental AnalysisAfter-hours price : Current: $ 29.50 Technical Analysis • Key Levels: Crossing and holding above $28 on a weekly close could act as a launchpad for targets of $35 and $42. The bullish trajectory depends on maintaining this support level. Future Price Targets • If BDO, SMCI's new auditor, resolves accounting issues without regulatory challenges, the company could aim for a long-term price target of $65. This would rely on continued growth in AI-driven hardware markets and restored investor confidence Fundamental Analysis • Revenue and Earnings Growth: SMCI's revenue grew significantly in recent quarters, driven by demand in AI and data center markets. Forward EPS growth projections for the next two years are 41.3% • Valuation Metrics: SMCI's forward P/E ratio of 5.43 and a PEG ratio of 0.15 highlight a strong value-growth balance • Margins: Over the last ten quarters, SMCI has shown gross margins averaging around 15.97%, with operating margins of 9.72% and net profit margins of 8.88%. These metrics indicate stable profitability but room for improvement in operational efficiency . Summary SMCI's technical breakout above $28 could unlock medium-term targets of $35 and $42, with the potential for $65 long-term if its operational and accounting challenges are addressed. Monitoring its new auditor’s progress and market developments in AI hardware will be crucial. *Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.*
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by RNB98
2
SMCI Long Setup (4H Timeframe) 🚀 SMCI Long Setup (4H Timeframe) 🚀 🔍 Trading Plan This setup aligns with Elliott Wave theory, showing potential for Wave 5 development supported by the demand zone and Fibonacci retracement/extension levels. --- 📉 Trade Details - Entry: ~$34.93 - Price is near a demand zone, aligning with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level of Wave (4). This suggests potential upward momentum as Wave 5 begins to form. - Stop-Loss : $30.24 - Placed below the demand zone and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of Wave (4) to protect against invalidation of the setup. - Take Profit Targets: 1. Target 1: **$42.37** - Corresponds to the 0.618 Fibonacci extension of the projected Wave 5. 2. Target 2 : $47.53 - Matches the 1.0 Fibonacci extension of Wave 5, indicating full potential completion of this wave. 3. Target 3 : $55.90 - A higher price level within a supply zone, representing an extended Wave 5 target. 📊 Wave 5 Development The price action suggests that Wave 5 has strong potential for development. Elliott Wave theory predicts that Wave 5 is the final impulse wave in the trend, which could align with broader bullish momentum and demand zone confluence. Wave 5 is projected to reach key Fibonacci extension levels, marking potential profit zones. 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) T1: ~1:1.3 T2: ~1:2.3 T3: ~1:3.6 Trade smart and may the market favor your strategy! 🚀 **⚠️ Disclaimer** This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with funds you can afford to lose. Always conduct your own analysis and consult a financial advisor. #Wave5 #DemandZone #ElliottWaveTheory #TradingPlan
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by MESHANL
$SMCI surged by 78% ! A comeback or final rally? Technically, NASDAQ:SMCI is overall moving in a bearish market, and it just be rejected by the resistance level of downtrend line and the high price of previous gap down candle with high volume. In this case, the price may continue to go bearish if it could not break above the resistance level. From the aspect of fundamental analysis, there is also a high possibility for NASDAQ:SMCI to go bearish due to the two reasons below. Evident 1: SMCI’s drop was driven by financial fraud, with its auditor, Ernst & Young, resigning. Additionally, NVIDIA is shifting its orders away from SMCI. And the price had a short-term callback since the company only recently found a new auditor, BDO, and submitted a compliance plan to Nasdaq. It’s worth mentioning that NASDAQ:SMCI has experienced a similar situation before. Back in 2019, SMCI faced multiple delisting warnings from Nasdaq for failing to submit its 10-K report and other financial documents on time. Ultimately, SMCI was delisted for not meeting reporting requirements and moved to the over-the-counter market to continue trading. After improving its internal controls and financial reporting, SMCI was able to rejoin the exchange in 2020. Evident 2: NASDAQ:SMCI doesn’t have any monopolistic products and its offerings are highly replaceable. Several auditing firms have been gradually lowering their ratings and pricing since August, and SMCI has long been heavily dependent on NVIDIA's GPU chips. This dependence is evident, as about 70% of SMCI’s production costs rely on NVIDIA components. Now that NVIDIA is shifting its orders to other suppliers, even if SMCI has found a new auditor and successfully submits a strong Q3 report, its future will largely depend on whether NVIDIA decides to return its orders. Therefore, the recent surge over the past few days could be due to NASDAQ:SMCI creating a breathing space for itself, namely by submitting a compliance plan to Nasdaq. Regardless of whether it can meet the requirements, submitting the plan serves as a temporary measure to buy time. This move has sparked market enthusiasm, but that enthusiasm is likely to fade. If NVIDIA does not shift its orders back and if SMCI ultimately fails to submit compliant financial reports as outlined in its plan, the recent rise in stock price may turn out to be a short-lived rally, or what could be called a final dance.
NASDAQ:SMCIShort
by xugina78
1
SMCI one of the most high value opportunity on the Stock MarketSMCI: Bridging Gaps, Powering Growth! Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) has nailed two key market gaps at 22.85 and 38.14, proving its strength and resilience. These milestones aren’t just numbers—they’re launchpads for SMCI’s explosive growth in high-performance computing. With innovation driving demand, SMCI isn’t just playing the game—it’s redefining it. Stay ahead—SMCI is the stock to watch! Targets covered : 1. 23.85$ Per Share 2. 38.14$ Per Share 3. 49.49$ Per Share 4. 63.45$ Per Share 5. 85.03$ Per Share 6. 97.36$ Per Share The 1st and 2nd targets have been of extreme importance because they were very key gaps that we caused by Fundamental events connected with SMCI, which have already been covered, so we are moving in a strong motion towards our next stop at 49.49$ Per share, please join my group of which we follow up in depth this Stock and many more!!
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by DG55Capital
2
Super Micro Computer (SMCI): Could this be 2024’s comeback?Could we be witnessing one of the most remarkable comebacks of the year? NASDAQ:SMCI surged an incredible 123% in just eight trading days, turning our position back into profit—a scenario that seemed unlikely not long ago. This highlights how patience in trading often pays off. The key reclaim of the Point of Control (POC) at $26.59 is a pivotal development. It’s crucial that NASDAQ:SMCI remains above this level as the week ends, which could also mark a significant monthly close. On the technical side, NASDAQ:SMCI was oversold on the 3D timeframe for the first time since March 2020, which may partly explain the rapid recovery and increased buying pressure. Fundamentally, last week marked the stock’s best five-day stretch on record following the appointment of BDO as its new independent auditor. This move, combined with a submitted compliance plan to Nasdaq, aims to address the delayed filing of its annual 10-K and quarterly 10-Q forms—previously threatening delisting. If NASDAQ:SMCI successfully files these reports, investor confidence could soar, potentially driving the stock much higher. However, failure to meet these requirements could result in a sharp sell-off. While we could have added at the bottom, patience remains critical as the situation evolves. ✅
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by freeguy_by_wmc
SMCI AnalysisAt this stage, fundamentals take precedence when analyzing SMCI. While the chart reveals a clear Fibonacci retracement at the current price level (~$28), this also aligns with a strong resistance zone. Historically, such levels represent pivotal decision points for the market, and breaking through this level will require substantial momentum backed by positive fundamental developments about the company. Recently, we saw a price spike after SMCI announced the appointment of a new auditor (BDO USA) and confirmed that it had filed the necessary compliance reports to meet Nasdaq requirements. This was a major step for the company, signaling its commitment to rebuilding trust and stability. From this point onward, good news is the only way forward if SMCI aims to achieve a strong stock price recovery. The current price action reflects the significance of this area, with the stock potentially finding a base here. If upcoming news or developments favor the company, this resistance could be breached with strong bullish momentum. A breakthrough could trigger a rapid upward move, presenting a substantial opportunity to reach the $45 level—a key target that aligns with the next Fibonacci zone and historical price action. In conclusion, while technicals suggest this is a critical point, the fundamentals will ultimately dictate the direction. Investors should stay alert for further updates, as the upside potential towards $45 is significant if the company continues to deliver positive news.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by Charts_M7M
Can a Tech Giant Rewrite Its Future While Racing Against Time?In a remarkable display of corporate resilience, Super Micro Computer stands at the intersection of crisis and opportunity, navigating regulatory challenges while simultaneously revolutionizing the AI infrastructure landscape. As the company addresses its Nasdaq compliance requirements through comprehensive reforms, including the strategic appointment of BDO USA as its new independent auditor, it hasn't missed a beat in its technological innovation trajectory - a feat that has left critics and supporters watching intently. The numbers tell a compelling story of growth amidst adversity: a staggering 110% revenue surge to $15 billion in FY2024, coupled with a nearly 90% increase in adjusted earnings. But, perhaps more impressive is Supermicro's technical leadership, maintaining an 18-24 month advantage over competitors in liquid-cooled AI rack technology and demonstrating the capability to deploy 100,000-GPU liquid-cooled AI data centers. This technical prowess, combined with strategic partnerships with industry giants like NVIDIA, positions Supermicro at the forefront of the AI infrastructure revolution. Looking ahead, Supermicro's journey represents more than just a corporate turnaround story - it's a masterclass in organizational agility and strategic focus. While many companies might have faltered under the weight of regulatory scrutiny, Supermicro has instead used this moment as a catalyst for transformation, strengthening its corporate governance while accelerating its innovation pipeline. With analyst projections indicating 40%+ earnings growth for FY2025 and revenue expected to surge over 70%, the company's trajectory suggests that sometimes, the most significant opportunities for growth emerge from the crucible of challenge.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by signalmastermind
WYSWYGThis week, NVDA reports earnings, confirming a couple of things: 1) whether it can sustain its sales, 2) whether it can increase them, and 3) who is distributing its chips( NASDAQ:SMCI , NYSE:DELL ). Similarly, today it signed an agreement with Google to develop quantum computing chips, a revolutionary step in the field of technology. Technically speaking, we have a large symmetrical triangle(D) that has just invalidated any possibility of a drop. Right now, micro-patterns are forming(B,C), pushing the price up and down within a large descending flag(A). If the flag plays out, we could return to the resistance of the massive symmetrical triangle at $122 USD, which would then act as support. On the other hand, this flag could break, as there are several patterns that could quickly invalidate it. Therefore, I believe we’ll see movement in both directions on Wednesday, but ultimately trending higher and the symmetrical end price is $173
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by AllAboutMoney
8
Reversal Incoming CRM Sells Are PossibleWhat do you know about Gravestone Doji? The Gravestone Doji candlestick pattern can be interpreted as a bearish reversal when it occurs at the top of uptrends. The Gravestone Doji can help traders see where resistance to a pricing increase is located. It is typically used with other technical indicators to identify a possible uptrend. What Does a Gravestone Doji Look Like? The Gravestone Doji chart pattern is an inverted “T”-shaped candlestick created when the open, high, and closing prices are nearly equal. The most important part of the Gravestone Doji is the long higher shadow. Why Is the Long Upper Shadow Important? Technicians generally interpret the long upper shadow as meaning that the market is testing to find where supply and potential resistance are located. Bulls Rejected by Bears The construction of the gravestone doji pattern occurs when bulls press prices upward. However, an area of resistance is found at the high of the day, and selling pressure pushes prices back down to the opening price. Therefore, the bullish advance upward was rejected by the bears. Limitations of the Gravestone Doji Although the Gravestone Doji can indicate the coming of a bearish price change, traders should not rely on this indicator alone: True Gravestones are rare since open, high, and closing prices are seldom the same. Successful traders will typically wait until the following day to verify the possibility of a downtrend after a Gravestone. If the Gravestone appears after a pricing downtrend, it can indicate that a price increase may follow. A Gravestone accompanied by higher-than-usual volume is more reliable than one with low volume.
NYSE:CRMShort
by Catchingpips_