GBP/JPY H1 Analysis – OB Bearish and Bullish Scenarios
This chart outlines a potential price reaction for GBP/JPY on the H1 timeframe based on **Order Blocks (OB)** and possible market scenarios:
### Key Zones:
1. **OB Bearish Zone (196.750 - 197.000):**
- This is a key **supply zone** where sellers may dominate. If price moves into this area, it could trigger bearish momentum, leading to a reversal.
2. **OB Bullish Zone (195.750 - 196.000):**
- This is a **demand zone** where buyers are expected to step in. Price entering this zone could initiate a bullish push back toward higher levels.
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### Possible Scenarios:
1. **Bullish Rejection from OB Bullish Zone:**
- If the price reaches the OB Bullish Zone, we expect a possible **bounce upward** toward the OB Bearish Zone.
- **Validation:** Price forms bullish rejection candles (e.g., pin bar or engulfing patterns).
- **Target:** The OB Bearish Zone around 196.750-197.000.
2. **Bearish Continuation from OB Bearish Zone:**
- If the price hits the OB Bearish Zone after a bullish retracement, we anticipate a **rejection** and downward continuation.
- **Validation:** Price forms bearish reversal patterns in the OB Bearish Zone.
- **Target:** Break below the OB Bullish Zone, extending to lower support levels.
3. **Direct Breakdown Below OB Bullish Zone:**
- If the price fails to hold in the OB Bullish Zone, it could lead to a **bearish breakout** toward deeper support levels.
- **Validation:** Price closes strongly below the OB Bullish Zone.
- **Target:** Lower levels around 194.500 or further down.
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### Notes:
- Monitor candlestick patterns and volume near the key zones to confirm entries.
- Be cautious of **false breakouts**; wait for clear confirmation before entering trades.
- Use stop-loss levels just below/above the zones to manage risk effectively.
Smcconcepts
NQ Nasdaq 100 Trade IdeaNQ is currently hovering in midstream and waiting it for it to show what it wants to do next i.e. whether it takes out the buyside or sellside liquidity, and I will be looking for an opportunity to trade in the opposing direction after the liquidity grab.
Generally, prefer for price to take out the Equal Lows below moving into a discount and then buy the price up take out the Previous Day High liquidity.
XAUUSD Market Structure Analysis on 4 Hour Timeframe- Day swing is bullish => current is pullback
- 4H swing is bearish.
- 4H internal is bullish => current is pullback.
- M15 swing is bullish.
On the 4 hour time frame the current price is in the demand zone of the internal wave.
So we can buy up according to the increasing structure of the 15 minute time frame.
GBPJPY buyAfter an impulsive move up form the discount zone & followed by a bounce off a bullish orderblock with COCH & BOS, strong signs suggest this pair may be moving up.
You can take profit at the equilibrium area of TP1 or the upper orderblock at TP2
If you need further confluence wait till price breaks through the current bearish orderblocks below TP1
Nifty Outlook: Last Week of NovemberNifty is currently trading at 23,900.
It will come 500 points below to 23,400.
This level coincides with multiple things - previous support & 0.786 fib level of the last run.
Then it will reverse and go up till 24,700.
That is where it will take the liquidity of the previous swing highs.
GOLD HIGHT PROBABILITY SETUP!!According to Candle Range Theory (CRT), GOLD price swept the previous week high (CRT LOW), and this daily candle (today's candle (22/11/2024)) must close below the previous week high (CRT HIGH). If this daily candlestick closes below, the whole week next week (25/11/2024) gold will be selling (bearish). The target will be Previous week low (CRT LOW).
Another thing, on weekly timeframe you will see gold has touched the bearish fair value gap (FVG) which was our internal range liquidity (IRL) but on Daily timeframe we still have to touch the bearish FVG with a rejection, then we can sell.
“I just wait until there is money lying in the corner, and all I have to do is go over there and pick it up. I do nothing in the meantime.” - Jim Rogers
AUDUSD buyAfter consolidating around the discount zone without any BOS to the downside we get a COCH to the upside further confirmed by a retest & rejection of the discount zone.
This indicated that price could travel up in the next few days heading upto 0.65601
For further confirmation we could wait for the price to break through the bearish order blocks above it or when we have a bullish BOS.
BTCUSD Market Structure Analysis on Daily and 4 Hour Time Frames- 4H swing is bearish => Current is pullback.
- Day swing is bullish => Price after breaking through the strong bottom of the daily frame then increased for Stop Hunt signal.
- So the high probability of price increasing again breaking through the top
EURUSD still fallingVery strong downtrend bias on all time frames.
this pair could potentially keep falling towards the last previous low either on the daily or weekly near 1.04737 before it bounces up.
In the meantime you could wait for a pullback on the hourly or 15min chart where price pulls back and becomes oversold & rejects a bearish order block like it did yesterday
GBPJPY BuyGBPJPY has bounced off discount zone and broke out of a bullish orderblock.
It's now ranging in an area where there is a lot of buying volume. indicating a potential rise to the next orderblock.
In my opinion you could wait for another pullback to retest the previous bullish orderblock then enter or enter now with a stop loss below the bullish orderblock or discount zone.
The most likely level it could reach would be the equilibrium level if it keeps rising.
XAU/USD to continue dropping?From both technical and fundamental analysis I believe we should be seeing the beginning of a gold drop. Gold has been nothing but bullish with extreme euphoric movement. Following Donald Trumps win in the American election we can expect the dollar to begin its bullish ascent meaning that its time for the XAU/USD to finally start its descent.
from my charts we can see that I predict a slight bullish move from the market open reacting of an 8H Imbalance taking Asian high liquidity from the upside and reacting from another 8H IMB to ultimately continue in its downtrend at least until the daily zone that caused a previous break of structure to the upside.
GOLD OUTLOOK Gold a safe heaven as we have taken bunch of profits today as it was our lucky day now as we see all day activity gold price remained very choppy price didn't broke above 2748 price level of resistance also didn't broke below 2731 price level of support as price has formed immediate resistance level of 2746-48
Now we again predict a fall in price as from H4 to H1 we can observe price is in a bearish momentum although price is showing some bearish signs over Daily Time frame but still price is in a bullish trend daily as we haven't observed any CHOCH on daily TF
GEOPOLITICS
As Geopolitics is concerned tight situation between iran and israel has loosen up to some extent of some tension increases we can see a bull run over price
US ELECTIONs
As far as today's big news is concerned gold is under effect of US Congress elections and what we have observed today is election effect tomorrow at 6th we can see any predictable price movment till now we are bearish over gold as price is all sideways
EURUSD risky shortEURUSD is consolidating around 50% area near weekly high on the daily chart.
In the hourly chart we get a pivot off the SMC premium area and price has came back up but failed to break through the order block and has rejected it followed by a bearish candle.
Our indication is EURUSD will potentially fall to 1.0861
Due to high impact news we will just watch how it play instead of taking the trade.
GBPUSD: Updated Chart, Price is Approaching Buying Zone! FX:GBPUSD
As we previously stated in our chart that we expect price to drop nearby to our entry zone however, price continued to rise and then started dropping please be minded that there Amy be early price mitigation due to this vary reason. In our opinion stick with the plan and do not take any early entry as there may be trap before the actual trade begins. good luck.