Silver -> The Bounce Is InevitableHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis.
The last three weeks Silver perfectly tested a quite obvious previous weekly support zone, which was now turned resistance and with this weeks candle the market finally rejected the zone towards the downside.
Considering the fact that we are now testing an insanely strong weekly support zone, I do at least expect a short term short covering rally towards the upside, after Fridays harsh dump towards the downside.
From a daily perspective we are also close to retesting previous support, so I am now just waiting for a deeper retest of the support zone, before I will then enter a long position on Silver.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
Silverusd
Silver Multi-Timeframe Analysis 30.01Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational technical analysis .
Silver is currently testing a very strong weekly support/resistance area amd after this massive runup there is the possibility that we will see a short term correction away from the zone.
On the daily timeframe you can see a beautiful distribution phase, where the market is starting to create lower highs and lower lows, so I am now just waiting for a break of the very strong previous support zone and then a retest,
and then I will definitely enter a short to capitalize on the continuation to the downside.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
The Road to $80 for SilverThe silver market began the initial subwave of a new, major impulsive wave, marked as the third in a sequence. This cyclical pattern can be traced back to the year 1932, with the completion of wave one in 1968, the corrective wave two in 1971, the impulsive wave three in January 1980, the corrective wave four in 1991, and ultimately, a truncated fifth wave that reached its peak in April 2011. This entire sequence can be considered as the first impulsive wave in an even higher degree. The second corrective wave ended in March 2020, with support being found at the 0.236 Fibonacci level. Currently, silver is preparing for what is expected to be the most explosive and unpredictable impulsive wave three in a very long-term scale.
Resistance points include:
— $24.69 (0.382 Fibonacci extension)
— $26.55 (0.238 Fibonacci extension)
— $31.99 (0.382 Fibonacci extension, last wave)
— $43.73 (0.5 Fibonacci extension, last wave)
— $45.29 (0.382 Fibonacci extension level)
— $49.83 (all-time high)
— $59.77 (0.618 Fibonacci extension, last wave)
— $83.11 (0.618 Fibonacci; golden ratio)
SILVER (XAGUSD): Key Levels to Watch 🪙
Here is my latest structure analysis for Silver.
Resistance 1: 24.27 - 24.55 area
Resistance 2: 25.86 - 26.2 area
Support 1: 23.1 - 23.23 area
Support 2: 22.55 -22.6 area
Support 3: 22.00 - 22.20 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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All silver traders need to watch these six data points It's important to stay informed about the market and various data reports that can affect silver prices. Here are some key data reports that traders should watch when trading silver:
1-Gold-silver ratio: The gold-silver ratio is the number of ounces of silver that are needed to purchase one ounce of gold. A high ratio indicates that silver is relatively cheaper compared to gold, while a low ratio means that silver is relatively more expensive. Traders can use this ratio to assess the relative value of silver and make informed buying and selling decisions.
2-Industrial demand: A significant portion of silver is used in industrial applications, such as electrical conductors, batteries, and medical equipment. Therefore, changes in industrial demand can have a significant impact on silver prices. Traders should watch for data on industrial production and manufacturing activity, as well as any news that could affect the demand for silver in these industries.
3-Investment demand: Silver is also used as a safe haven asset and can be bought and sold as a form of investment. Changes in investor sentiment and demand for silver as an investment can have a significant impact on prices. Traders should watch for data on investment demand, such as the level of silver holdings in exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and the level of silver bullion held by central banks.
4-US dollar strength: Silver prices are often inversely correlated with the strength of the US dollar. When the dollar is strong, silver prices tend to be weaker, and vice versa. This is because a stronger dollar makes silver more expensive for buyers using other currencies, which can decrease demand and lower prices. Conversely, a weaker dollar can increase demand for silver and push prices higher. Traders should watch for data on the value of the dollar, such as the US Dollar Index, to assess the strength of the currency and its potential impact on silver prices.
5-Inflation expectations: Silver is often seen as a hedge against inflation, as its value can potentially increase as the purchasing power of money decreases. Therefore, changes in inflation expectations can affect silver prices. Traders should watch for data on inflation, such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI), to assess the likelihood of future price increases and their potential impact on silver.
6-Interest rates: Changes in interest rates can also affect silver prices, as higher interest rates can make it more expensive for traders to hold silver and other commodities. This can decrease demand for silver and put downward pressure on prices. Conversely, lower interest rates can make it cheaper to hold silver and increase demand, potentially pushing prices higher. Traders should watch for data on interest rates, such as the Federal Reserve's benchmark rate, to assess the impact on silver prices.
Silver (XAGUSD): Bearish Outlook Explained 🪙
Hey traders,
At the end of December, Silver reached a solid weekly structure resistance.
The market was nicely rejected from that.
Analyzing a daily time frame, I spotted a confirmed breakout of a support line of a rising wedge pattern.
It confirms the strength of the underlined zone.
I expect a bearish move to 22.84 / 22.2
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
HUGE multi-decade cup & handle pattern on Silver?I have to admit, the possibility is compelling. A 43-year pattern nearing completion and leading to a $600+ target. What do y'all think? Do you currently hold silver? Does this possibility make you more interested in holding some/more?
p.s. Had to reproduce this chart because the other one was taken down by Tradingview since I posted my company info on the chart. Absolute dumbest damn rule, especially when applied against the very people who pay them so much money every year. You pay them a ton of money and then are forced to promote your business how they say, which is far from optimal. Absolutely stupid and alienating. Thankfully there are MANY other competing platforms out there that understand they are just a tool in your business, so they don't attempt to control how you use their platform to promote your business. This allows us to utilize them in the most beneficial manner possible which increases the likelihood we will remain with them.
Silver’s rally has been strong, but a pullback could be dueI do not expect this to be a popular view, given the excitement of the rally on metals in general in recent weeks. But no trend lasts forever and we’ve not really seen much of a pullback on silver prices lately. Besides, silver has risen nearly 40% since the September low and fast approaching the upper trendline from a wide (slightly bearish) channel. The tendline also resides near the monthly R1 pivot and $25.
Prices are holding above trend support on the daily chart, but a bearish divergence has been forming with the RSI (14) as its rally has lost steam over the past couple of weeks. A bearish pinbar also suggests bulls are losing control, so we’re now waiting to either see momentum turn lower or provide a series of bearish reversal candles below $25.
The main issue with trying to pick turning points are it can leave one vulnerable to a series of false entries and/or giving up before the turn. Therefore, bears may want to use smaller positions with a wider stop, and fade into spikes below $25 before increasing exposure if momentum does finally turn lower. Alternatively, bears could wait for a break beneath the monthly pivot point to confirm a trend reversal on the daily chart.
CFDS ON SILVER52-Week High 27.500
14 Day RSI at 80% 25.112
Pivot Point 3rd Level Resistance 24.219
23.890 3-10 Day MACD Oscillator Stalls
Pivot Point 2nd Level Resistance 23.719
23.642 61.8% Retracement from the 52 Week Low
Pivot Point 1st Resistance Point 23.379
High 23.220 High
1-Month High 23.220
13-Week High 23.220
Last 23.038s Last
14 Day RSI at 70% 22.958
22.879 Pivot Point
22.696 14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 80%
Previous Close 22.637 Previous Close
Silver Analysis 01.01.2023Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
Is Silver preparing for long bull run?Comparing the last 50 years of the Silver chart along with the 80's market top along with the 2011 market top. We can see a clear cup and handle 42 years in the making.
Price action is laid over 2 indicators
The Extended Golden Ratio Multiplier
The CM Ultimate MA MTF
The focus of this chart is the pink fib line of the Multiplier and the green & red CM Ultimate MA. I have the focus area circled with what seems to be the interesting point of the chart and indicators. In 1987 the price of silver tired to push back through the MA lines but was rejected and in 89 the pink line followed and kept falling. in 2019 and 2020 try's the same move but this time price action pops through then corrects and so far seems to have found support on the MA lines. At the same time the pink line is crossing the now red CM Ultimate line which historically has happen every time price action has made moves up for months and months afterwards.
We also cannot skip or not touch upon the Dragonfly doji caused in the first half of 2020. This too is usually a very indicator that price action could be moving up over the next few candles and beyond.
Although Gold to me is showing some signs of weakness, Silver to me at least from this chart looks like a very bullish for possibly next few years. Let me Know what you think down below.
Thanks for looking
WeAreSat0shi
Stay Blessed!
Silver quick lookTechnically, silver will test strong support, as what it breached, we may see it again at 22 levels.
The four golden rules of trading
1 Don't be greedy
2 Always use stop loss
3 Never add other positions to the losing positions
4 Use a suitable lot for your account
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20 REASON FOR BUY SILVER 1 Structure analysis time frame DAILY
2 target time frame :DAILY
3 Current Move :IMPULSE
4 Entry Time Frame : H4
4.1 Entry TF Structure: BULLISH
4.2 entry move : CORRECTIVE
5 Suppot resistence base :H4 FAIR VALUE GAP
6 FIB: DISCIUNTED AREA FILLED
7 candle Pattern: PANIC BOTTOM
8 Chart Pattern: LOWER HIGH
9 Volume : AVERAGE
10 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL Rsi: SIDEWAYS
11 Volatility measure bollinger bands: LOWER BAND FAKE BREAKOUT BULLISH
12 strength ADX: SIDWWAYS
13 Sentiment ROC: BULLISH
14 final comment : LONG
15 : decision : BUY
16 Entry: 19.178
17 Stop losel: 18.968
18 Take profit: 20.950
19 Risk to reward Ratio: 1:10
Excepted Duration : 5 DAYS
Silver analysis: How far the bear market rally might go?Silver is in the midst of a bear market rally, up 8% in the last two weeks and 13% since the end-of-August lows.
Although silver prices are still 23% below the peak reached in March, recent price movements suggest that silver is attempting to make a trend reversal at these levels.
Slowing market pricing for Fed interest rates next year has prompted the rally in silver prices over the past weeks. Investors reduced their forecasts for interest rates in the second half of 2023, and in the last week they priced in a first drop of 25 basis points after Fed funds are expected to reach a high of 4.9% in the first quarter of 2023.
An asset like silver that is extremely vulnerable to US interest rates has been granted some breathing room by both the decrease in Treasury yields – the US 10y yield has dropped by 30 basis points in the past week – and the weakening of the US dollar – with the DXY index falling below 110. Silver has been strongly and inversely correlated with the US dollar performance throughout the year.
The Federal Reserve meeting next week poses a concern because it could reignite hawkish arguments about the need to curb inflationary increases, which might halt the silver's rally. However, understanding how likely the Fed views a recession in 2023 will be critical, given the market builds many of its expectations for the conclusion of the hiking cycle next year on this matter.
A new attempt to break the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (2022 max-min range) can be seen on the daily silver technical chart. Sellers fought back hard at this level in September, pushing prices below the $19.7–20 zone. This level was breached in early October, causing prices to rise to $21.1-21.2 (38.2% Fibonacci).
Momentum indicators indicate that bullishness is gaining traction. The 14-day RSI surpassed 50 days once more, and the MACD indicates a bullish crossover close to the zero line.
If silver is successful in breaking over $19.8, a new overshoot toward $21.1 or $21.6 (200-day moving average) is possible. At that point, sellers might resume offering fierce pushback. Next Wednesday, a very hawkish Federal Reserve could return to exert downward pressure, leading to a retest of the 18.2 support level.
Idea written by Piero Cingari, forex and commodity analyst at Capital.com
Long Term VWAP trend has turned bullish for Silver after 11 yrsAtfter 11 years of bearish VWAP trends in silver... it has turned bullish and is testing. Silver is interesting as we sit in this "inflationary" environment. I say "inflationary" with quotes as we have a CRB index rising WITH the DXY. This hasn't occurred since the early 1970's and points more towards a supply issue vs. a monetary problem. Hence we see things like food and oil scream higher while metals have been lagging. This bullish turn on the VWAP in silver could be pointing a change in the metals' action in the medium term though. A confirmation would require a break and hold above the highest VWAP, which failed and failed hard in April.
I was much more confident in a break out where we failed and was wrong... yet this setup still has strength behind it. If price gets back above the upper VWAP I will be keeping a close eye on metals into the fall.
SILVER POSSIBLE BULLISH MOVE Hello traders , today i share my silver analysis with you .
i think that silver may be bullish very soon and here is why :
- We Have Weekly Candle Closed As A Hammer on a key support level
- Bullish Rsi Divergence (Lower lows on price higher lows on Rsi )
- We Have an Inversed Head and shoulders in the making
But We have a Trendline that must be broken for this analysis to be Valid.
Silver breaks both the 50-day MA and the bearish trend lineWhat a day for silver !
Spot silver went up more than 5% to $19.7 per troy ounce in one of the best sessions this year, hitting the highest levels since August 18.
Silver's daily price action broke through both the 50-day moving average and the 2022 bearish trend line connecting the lower highs of April and August.
Momentum indicators show the daily RSI spiking above 50 and the MACD providing a bullish crossover last Friday. The latter has been a reliable bullish technical signal. The May 19 MACD bullish crossover led to a 5.7% rally until June. The July 21 MACD bullish crossover sparked a 12.1% rally to mid-August.
The following key resistance levels to keep an eye on are: 20.00 (psychological), 20.8 (August highs), and 21.15 (38.2% Fibonacci of 2022 low to high). The 50-dma at 19.23 now represents the immediate support level on the downside.
Idea written by Piero Cingari, forex and commodity analyst at Capital.com