Silverlong
SILVER XAGUSD - To The Moon? Watch To See..Silver XAGUSD has been a very profitable trade for us within the month of December where we forecasted a big rally on the back of more stimulus, annual inflation and seasonality.
In terms of Silver we have to be extremely careful in our trading and "scale in" instead of going "all in", for next week we are aiming for a quick take profit level of 26.22 and we will either add more orders or protect our positions based on the reaction of the market off that level.
Silver can be extremely profitable for you, but you need an approach to trading that combines data + key levels to be consistently profitable. If you are finding yourself losing money trading, make sure to give us a like and follow to keep learning the best strategies for profitable trading.
Silver Getting Ready To Continue It's Parabolic RunSilver has been in a sideways descending channel consolidation for several months. Many are convinced Silver has lost its momentum and will cease to grow, we know this is false, Silver will rise and challenge its previous all-time high in the coming future. We need to see a close above the monthly pivot to initiate a shift in the current trend, followed by a strong close above the descending channel top resistance. Keep in mind, failure to close above the pivot "could" result in a move to the bottom of the channel, overall I expect the price to stay within this channel if it pushes down further
Silver- More to gain than GoldI was bullish on metals ever since mid-2019 when Gold broke above 1350 important resistance of the "rounded bottom" pattern and in fact, this was one of my first analyses on Tradingview.
Comparing Silver and Gold charts though, we can see that Silver's break lagged about a year, the important break here happening in mid-2020. Continuing this comparison, we can see that in the last months of 2010 we also have a correction on both Silver and Gold, but, after this correction was over, Gold only rose 50% and Silver doubled its value .
I expect also to be the case now and if history is to repeat its self, we can have a new all-time high from Silver by June 2012.
Going down on the daily chart. we can see that Silver "held" better than Gold in this correction and didn't made a new low, instead confirmed 22 as strong support.
Yesterday the price broke above important trend-line resistance and now is facing 25 psychological figure. I expect this also to be broken and from this point on the road up is clear for new ATH. Necessary pit stops I see from 2 in 2$, at 26, 28 and 30 recent high for the immediate period
Silver- my 25 target is in focusAs I said yesterday, I expect 23.50 support to hold and bulls can target 25 for their long trades.
Silver was very well bid yesterday all through the day and every dip was bought.
Now Silver is trading 1% above 24 figure and I expect a new challenge of 25 soon. A break above 24.30 should accelerate gains towards this target
Silver- New challenge of 25?After a first leg up from 22 to 25, Silver entered a period of correction/consolidation.
The price is staying above 22.20-22.50 zone support and I expect this support to hold and a new leg up to follow.
Dips towards this support should be bought for a new challenge of 25 resistance
Silver- My target remains 26Silver also had a drop yesterday and exactly like Gold, stopped in the interim support at 23.50 in its case.
And although at this point the price looks bearish, my long term outlook hasn't changed.
I will remain bullish as long as the price stays above 23 and I expect 26 to be reached in the medium-term
Dips towards this zone should be bought and only a dive under 22 would change my bullish outlook
Silver and AGQ Looks like a buyGreetings! Precious metals and therefor AGQ look attractive on several time frames for both traders and investors Here is a quick run down of why I am in AGQ as of today (p.s. this isn't financial advise, it is why I do what I do):
Price action just
retested previous horizontal resistance as support at 39.5
popped below the daily bollinger band and is recovering.
retested the 300 daily EMA as support
and the 9 seasons rainbow is suggesting we are crazy oversold
This reinforces my notion in the chart below that the flag pole created a falling wedge and we can reasonable suspect to see price action continue its way up the flagpole with this consolidation either bisecting or trisecting the total move. It is nice to see the flagpole hypothesis backed up with lots of bullish divergences as the chart shows below, with a rough target for silver futures.
A broader look at silver futures shows that price action has just completed a consolidation between the 0.5 and 0.382 fib channels levels and if the flagpole performs it gets us into a nowhere land and between the 0.618 and 0.786 retrace level. That is a pretty wide level but, as an optimist, I hope for overperformance.
The volume situation is looking absolutely lovely for blast off. The Volume Profile Visible Range is definitely something that you can use to see whatever you want so I use it with the Average true range (set to log scale here) to help me find an absolute low in volatility to help set the chart. After setting the chart properly I can then look at what price action would be doing. The Value area is set to contain 68% of price action and the fact that price action has found support on top of the value area, by interpretation, suggests we confirmed the first up-leg in this bull market. These are going to be heady times for precious metal bugs as there is a good chance that this move will set up a multi-year consolidation pattern as we see happened between 2004 and 2006 and them massive continuation and with all the quantitative easing going on I would expect a quicker consolidation this time around.
Out of everything in this post what is below is the furthest reach but it is still exciting to see a potential inverted complex head and shoulders on silver futures divided by nasdaq futures. Hell, even if I am wrong and price action just returns to the neckline this is a great chance to buy silver against equities.
The linked idea from yesterday has much of the same analysis as here but on gold. The other linked idea shows where I used a lot of the same patterns I did in this idea to nail the bottom on SPXUSD during the great dip of 2020. I have gotten pretty good at identifying these lows and getting good entries, the problem for me now is holding them closer to investments as opposed to trades. If you follow me you will see I now use the volatility stop and fib channels to help me make sure levels are met, but that isn't applicable to this post yet.
Silver- Bullish also on short term (H1 outlook)A few minutes ago I made an analysis and explained why I'm bullish Silver in the long term.
Looking at H1 chart we can see that XagUsd is also bullish in the short term...
After the drop from 2 weeks ago and the low from Monday, Silver recovered quickly and price and up just under 24.50 zone important resistance.
In this H1 chart, we can clearly see that price is pressing this resistance and it formed an ascending triangle.
A break to the upside should accelerate gains towards 26 resistance.
Interim resistance are 25 and 25.50 and 23.50 is strong support now
Dips towards this support should be bought and also buying the break can be a good strategy
Silver- To resume its aggressive uptrend?As always, when things are not so clear with Gold, I look at Silver, is more technical and often gives me "clues"
As I said in a previous analysis, unlike Gold, Silver didn't made a new local low this week and stopped in strong 22 support.
This week was finished with a bullish engulfing from this support and adding this fact to the bull trend that we are already in, I expect a continuation to the upside.
For a clear confirmation, XagUsd needs to conquer 24.50 resistance and I expect acceleration to the next important resistance at 26.
As long as the price is above 22 buy dips is my strategy
Silver- 24.40- 24.50 zone is the line in the sandSince August top at 30, Silver dropped 8usd (if we consider the low) which is approx 25%.
The drop is clearly corrective in nature and, unlike Gold, Silver didn't make a new low.
Now XagUsd is trading just under an important confluence resistance zone and a break and daily close above would signal the end of this correction
On the short term 23.50-23.60 zone is support now and dips towards this zone should be bought with a target around 24.40 resistance
SILVER on a double bottom 🦐SILVER after the bearish leg bounce for the 2nd time over the 22 level creating a double bottom formation.
The price from there creates a very strong bullish impulse until the resistance area at 24 exactly at the 0.5 fib retracement of the previous bearish leg.
IF the price will manage to break and close above the structure we can look for a nice long order according to Plancton's strategy.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
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