Big Moment For SilverHi, this is my new update for Silver. Silver has lost 32% of its value since March 2022 and I expect we have reached the bottom. If we look at the purple rectangles we see that the area between $18 - 19.50 always acted like support and resistance level in different periods. In July 2020 we broke the multi year resistance level (2014-2020) and we never backtested. I think now we have finally backtested it like a support level and at the same time we have reached a 61.8% FIB retracement level. We also have an oversold RSI level and I expect we are going to make a double bottom in the RSI like I drew and that will give us a bullish momentum. In the short term I expect we are going from $18 - 20.50 to backtest the 200 weeks moving average and I will update you guys in the near future.
Silverlong
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Incredible opportunity at an incredible entry point with an ultra low cap early stage mining company.
Long John SilverShort Term Bounce Back, due to oversold Technicals on Silver possible.
We have divergences on the RSI and EFI (Elders Force Index)
We have found support at the 0.5Fib from Covid Low to High
Silver got decimated in the past weeks, so might be due for a bounce.
No investment advice.
I enter on a green candle based on Elder Impulse, will buy a two times leveraged Silver ETF (because this ETF has the lowest spread for any silver etf on TradeRepublic).
Silver underlying support, wave count, and target of $34+Thanks for viewing,
Big fan of silver as a way to gain leverage over an increasing gold price. So where to we sit currently?
- After a huge (~+150%) run-up From March to mid 2020 (depending on the chart source - some charts (like this one put the local high at Feb '21) silver entered a period of mostly sideways consolidation.
- The goldsilver ratio has swung dramatically, from over 120:1 in March 2020 to a low of 62.5 in Feb '21 and since then has had a mild up-trend and now sits at around 72:1. Of late, silver has performed unfavourably versus gold.
- The US Fed rate (which is updated tomorrow) currently sits at 0.25% - unchanged since March '20 (investing dot com forecasts no change at that next meeting).
- US monthly Inflation numbers (depending on the source) indicates inflation on the rise (fred.stlouisfed.org) Which will mean that low-yielding long-term government debt will stay neutral or below inflation and possibly move to a even greater negative real yield (Presently 1.3% US10y yield less 5% (5% taken from investing dot com) inflation is presently a -3.7% real yield)). If you take the CPI numbers (fred.stlouisfed.org) the real yield is almost exactly ZERO - not negative, but not exactly attractive (and also not protective to the holders in the eventuality of continued rising inflation)
- US Federal debt (on balance sheet anyway - off balance (or "unfunded") sheet debt is around 5 times higher) rose 21% since the start of 2020. I don't think it is a controversial statement to say that this level of debt will be a significant future challenge to service unless interest rates stay depressed medium to long-term and the principal is repaid in significantly depreciated currency).
Ok, there is more, but the general case for silver remains intact and the outlook for gold and silver remains medium to long-term bullish. So, what is next?
I put a possible wave count for silver and some possible support levels. I especially pay attention to areas where a number of different areas of support converge; e.g. peak or trough support, fib extension / retracement levels, trend-line etc. So we seem to have one of those levels approaching with;
- The 0.382 for the full 2020 move seeming to provide strong support,
- Fib extensions almost perfectly hit the 1.618 before bouncing three times now,
- Lower trend-line support isn't too far below current prices at around 23 (this isn't a strong trend-line as there are only two points - but the larger price trend forms a generally symmetrical triangle with around 6 points of contact),
- Seemingly strong level support sits at 23.781 and is coincident with other smaller areas of support,
- I don't expect we will see prices below $24.
The only reason why I don't point to Elliot Wave as indicating a local bottom at the current swing low is that I see another small wave down to end the current correction.
Importantly, I am starting to see some RSI bullish divergence on the 4hrly - which is also evident on the daily chart. I definitely pay attention when the RSI starts to form higher lows while the price heads lower. It's a good time to think about getting in or out - or at least scaling in / out / taking profit. At a minimum it shows a slowing in the price momentum.
So, to continue my Memoirs :) I am not looking to the next Fed rate decision - unless they suddenly hike it to above 3% (which is basically impossible now if the US is ever to service is current (and fast expanding) public debt) - the long-term case for gold and silver remains in place. I posted yesterday that I can see, one of the possible future scenarios being $2140 gold in the near-term (an 18.5% rise) and silver could conservatively be expected to double that % rise which would put it around $34/oz.
Best of luck everyone, and protect those funds.
SILVER (XAGUSD) 2 Scenarios Explained 🪙
Hey traders,
Silver is currently approaching a year's low.
Depending on the reaction of the price to that structure,
I see 2 potential scenarios:
Taking into consideration that the market is trading in a bearish trend,
we will most likely see a breakout attempt 20.46 - 20.66 horizontal support.
Its violation and daily candle close below that will most likely trigger a bearish continuation to 19.72.
If buyers start pushing from the underlined yellow zone,
wait for a bearish breakout of a falling trend line.
Its violation will trigger a bullish move to 21.5 level.
Wait for a breakout and then follow the market!
What do you expect?
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Right Angled Descending Broadening WedgeChart Story here is.. from a Ascending broadening wedge the bears took it down.. and there was a great chance that a Bullish divergence would appear.
It did... course went up and so a Descending triangle formation was there to bring the course down again. Because the price then widens a bit on the downside in a sideways move, I consider it a Right Angled Descending Broadening Wedge for now.
Besides this pattern, you could probably also make a W pattern out of it but the characteristic of the Broadening wedge is "often", that after hitting the top or bottom 2 or 3 times the price comes back halfway during a rise or fall and then breaks out.
these scenario's makes it possible to trade them but in times of macro economic uncertainties at the moment, caution is advised at all times. manage your risks at all times.
disclaimer: this is not a financial advise
SILVER on the weekly chart looking great.SILVER weekly chart:
The most manipulated asset in world history
in my opinion and opinion of many other top
economist. Take a look at the price and the
RSI, we have classic Bullish Divergence right now,
which is a higher low on price and higher low
on the RSI...The DeMark 9 indicator is showing
we may be close to the bottom as well. Price
targets and support levels listed.
SILVER (XAGUSD) Breakout & Bearish Continuation🥈
On a today's live stream, we analyzed Silver.
We spotted a confirmed breakout of a wide demand zone on a daily.
Now the broken structure turned into a key resistance.
From that, I will expect a bearish continuation to 20.66
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
SILVER bullish outlookSILVER managed to break through its consolidation, which formed a triangle pattern on the daily graph, and now is heading for a price increase. Both indicators, MACD and RSI, are also confirming the bullish pattern.
If this pattern continues, XAGUSD will probably test its previous high around 26.10 In the opposite scenario, the price might test its previous low at 20.58
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Silver 3D Gann Fan and EW Analyse !!Hello trader,
good mood and profitable deals! 💲
In 2011 we hit the high at 49,831!!
After a long sideways period until 2020, the silver price turned around at 11,631 ☝
The Gann Fan 3/1 also points to further upward movement 👌
From here the EW count begins !!
Wave🌊 1 ended at Gann Fan 4/1 and corrected IMO in a triangle, 0.618 or sideways
Wave 🌊 3 ends at 0.786, about 40 usd
If the bulls are not as strong as assumed, the movement with Wave🌊 C ends at 0.618, approx. 36 USD,
otherwise we can still count on Wave 🌊 5 at 47-48 usd after a correction
In terms of time, I suspect that we will reach the high in 2023-24 !!
I would like to mention that all I post are just options and my own opinion!
Always trade with SL, and do not risk more than 1% of your portfolio (max 3%) per trade.
➡️If you like my posts smash the like👍👍 button, comment or follow me.⬅️
Thanks for reading my ideas!
SILVER to the MOON --- WHY 750 $ / Oz- Why is Bitcoin the only one being talked about?
- Why is Bitcoin only analyzed in a Logarithmic Chart?
- Hasn't SILVER demonstrated for years its GREAT power?
Here we will review the strength and importance that Silver will have for the next 10 years at least.
Welcome to the Logarithmic Silver Chart
Good Luck. !
Silver- False break of support?Since August last year, Silver is trading, more or less, in a range and, excepting, March and April's false break of resistance, the boundaries are pretty clear at 22 and 25.
Last week the price has broken under 22 support, but, considering the quick reversal and retest of now resistance, this can be a false break.
The confirmation comes with the price back above 22 and bulls can target 24 resistance. 23.30 is interim resistance and, as long as the recent low is in place, buy dips can be a good strategy.
SILVER | BULLISH BIASEDSILVER (XAGUSD) - has defined the bottom around 20.45. Since then the price looks in bullish trend as price is making higher highs and higher lows.
Currently, it is flirtering with EMA100 which has been reactive in the past. It has overhead resistance of 23.6% fib level.
If price has successfully break above it, one can build long position as strategy is buy on breakout.
Trade your levels accordingly.
Tue 17th May 2022 XAG/USD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a XAG/USD (Silver) Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
My new silver idea...Based on the Fed's adamant nature on raising rates over the next two meetings, I see weakness in the silver price. But not much more.
I think the Fed pauses and possibly pivots to easing after August when the true nature of the coming recession reveals itself.
Following that I see a rapid rise in the price of silver, in a similar time frame between 2008 and 2011. However I do see silver will retaking $50/oz much quicker than it did the last time.
Then the price of silver is in no man's land and we must base our projects based on measurements of silver compared to other investments or commodities.