CALM Cal-Maine Foods Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought CAL before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CALM Cal-Maine Foods prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 75usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-5-16,
for a premium of approximately $7.75.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Signalsfree
Nvidia looks pretty flat these days but it needs to MOVE ! We believed Nvidia would make the turn to validate and then break point #5, but that wasn’t the case.
Nvidia remains within the bearish sequence, but it still hasn’t been able to give us confirmation of reaching point #5. The only thing we need to consider is the structure of the bearish channel, in which the most important part of this structure is our GAP zone (blue), as that’s where most buy orders are positioned, and we can see it has respected it correctly (see green circles).
The scenario over the last few days looks very flat; Nvidia has to break the line it’s currently on to activate our point #5 or, in another scenario, retest the GAP Zone, which it has already tested and is of great importance since that's where the largest number of buy positions are concentrated.
So, if it comes back to touch our GAP Zone (Blue), you know what to do!
Best regards, and thanks for supporting my analysis.
My New Signal Strategy Has 100% Accuracy!Traders,
This is insane! My jaw literally dropped when I back-tested my new signal strategy. While I was playing around on the charts, as I do, with a couple of different indicators, by sheer chance I discovered a combination of indicators that I had never seen or heard any trader ever discuss. I had seen them discussed individually. But no one that I know has ever paired the two indicators. And while I was tracking the signals that they threw at me after some customization, I noticed something that I could not believe! In back-testing the combination on a daily basis, they showed 100% accuracy on Bitcoin for the last 2 years! I repeat 100%!
Now, I know my critics will be quick to point out that many indicators will repaint. And yes, this is true. My indicator system does also repaint. However, even with the repainting, the system still can be utilized with a +90-95% success rate pending assets.
This is why I have told all of my subscribers that I am completely ditching my old model of trading which involved an abundance of work analyzing, drawing levels, drawing trend lines, drawing patterns, and other manual activities. I will throw all of that away and replace it with this new signal model and I plan to implement this model completely starting in October.
But before then, I have a little work to do and so I wanted to at least give you all (especially my faithful paid subs ...love you guys!) a sneak peek of what I am looking at.
So, here it is.
The green vertical lines show us where we receive our buy signal. The red vertical lines show us where we are told to sell. In this example, I go one year back to September of 23 but you can go all the way back to September of 22 and still see 100% signal accuracy. I did not track it farther back than this. I am already ecstatic to have found this kind of success rate!
I also tracked the time between trades. We start with our longest trade entry on September 12th, 2023. That's held for 103 days until we are given a SELL signal indicated by the vertical red line. At that point, we can go short or just sit the sidelines. It is another 33 days until we are given a BUY. You get the idea.
The average time per trade is definitely longer than our current average of 15 days. But will you all mind with this kind of success? I am assuming not.
One more thing to note and something I think is cool is that the indicator often gives 2 or more chances to buy or sell. This means that if you follow my channel and miss a signal immediately, that may be okay. You might actually have a second chance for entry such as most recently with Bitcoin. It has given us two chances to BUY thus far since August. And yes, I just gave away a free signal.
You're welcome.
Can't wait to implement this system ya'll. Hope you'll be as excited as I am rn once we work out a few of the wrinkles.
More to come.
Stew
LEN Lennar Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LEN Lennar Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 185usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-10-4,
for a premium of approximately $5.95.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
USDJYP - Technical Analysis [Short Setup]USDJYP
Current trend is bearish
There is no divergence
Symmetrical Triangle continuation Pattern is present on the chart
Waiting for the breakout.
Trade Plan
Entry Level 142.127
Stop Loss 143.862
TP1 140.392
TP2 138.657
Risk Reward
TP1 1:1
TP2 1:2
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MRVL Marvell Technology Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MRVL Marvell Technology prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 70usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-12-20,
for a premium of approximately $9.45.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
DKS DICK'S Sporting Goods Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DKS DICK'S Sporting Goods prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 240usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $24.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on BABA:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 85usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-9-20,
for a premium of approximately $2.38.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
M Macy's Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold M before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of M Macy's prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 17usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-8-30,
for a premium of approximately $1.47.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
GOEV Canoo Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold GOEV before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GOEV Canoo prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 2.50usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-21,
for a premium of approximately $0.31.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
ZION Zions Bancorporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ZION Zions Bancorporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 45usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-8-16,
for a premium of approximately $0.80.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
KODK Eastman Kodak Company Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of KODK Eastman Kodak Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-10-18,
for a premium of approximately $0.55.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Cage Cycle Values for ENSUSDT.PCage Cycle Values: If the price is above 26.770 (Buy Point), the price target is 35.330, and if it is below 26.623 (Sell Point), the price target is 18.103. You can find the details of the Cage Cycle strategy attached. (MAKE SURE TO FOLLOW THE NEW TAKE PROFIT POINTS PUBLISHED AS TAKE PROFIT POINTS ARE INCREASED ACCORDING TO THE TRADING CYCLE)
Long Position:
Entry: 26.770
Profit: 35.330 (Will be updated if necessary in the positive direction)
Stop: 26.623
Short Position:
Entry: 26.623
Profit:18.103 (Will be updated if necessary in the positive direction)
Stop: 26.770
The Cage Cycle Strategy is a model that emerges from analyzing approximately 2 over 20 data points (1,000,000 and above tick data). The price definitely reaches one of the specified Take Profit Points as a price target. It is not possible to determine the direction with a hundred percent certainty in financial markets. Therefore, success rates are attempted to be increased by using certain models. The Cage Cycles end when the price reaches the price target in any direction in the Cage Cycle Strategy. Although it is not an investment advice, an example of use is as follows: A Long position is opened at the price level of 26.770, the Stop Loss is 26.623, and the Take Profit is 35.330. When the price reaches 26.623, instead of the Long position that was stopped, a Short Position is opened, with the Stop Loss of the Short Position being 26.770 and the Take Profit being 18.103. Transactions are monitored by stopping until the market direction is determined. Considering the number of stopped transactions and the expected time, Take Profit points are updated to increase profits (Updated Take Profit Points will never be lower than the initially specified Take Profit points). By recalculating the Take Profit points to increase profits, the aim is to compensate for the losses of the stopped transactions when the Cage Cycle ends. In the data analysis of the last 10 years, the average number of stops is 12, and the highest number of stops is calculated as 83 (These figures may vary in the future). Although it is not an investment advice, in the Cage Cycle, if the amount to be stopped is set at $1, by increasing the position by half of the initial lot amount for every 10 stops (0.5 $ for every 10 stops), a higher profit can be targeted along with the increased Take Profit point. Using the Cage Cycle data provided above as an example for Ensusdt, after 15 stops, when the cycle ends, the profit-loss calculation (Initial Stop Amount to be stopped is $1): For the first 10 stops, the loss will be 10$*1=10$, and between 10 and 15 stops, the loss will be 5*1.5$= 7.5$, resulting in a total loss of 17.5$. The profit to be obtained with the updated Take Profit points will be 1.5*27= 40.5$. The net profit, excluding commission, will be 40.5-17.5= 23$. The Cage Cycle helps you determine the Take Profit point in your own trades as well, as it is known that the price will definitely reach one of the Take Profit points. Enjoy and Good luck with your trades.
THIS IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVICE. Made by Yourcages
XAUUSD : Gold continues to rise strongly againGold prices continued to expand their gains thanks to safe-haven demand amid concerns over escalating tensions following the assassination of a Hamas leader in Iran. The war in Gaza and the deepening conflict in Lebanon have left the entire region in turmoil.
In particular, the rise of this precious metal was further boosted when US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell hinted that a rate cut could be discussed as early as September if inflation remains in line with expectations.
As expected, the Fed decided to keep interest rates unchanged at this meeting. However, Mr. Powell raised investors' hopes for a possible rate cut at the September meeting. He said that policymakers are increasingly confident that inflation is moving towards the 2% target.
XAUUSD : Gold is down but that is bullish momentumA drop below $2,380 could continue to attract buyers near the 50-day SMA, around $2,360-2,359. A break-down of the 50-day SMA would push the price towards the $2,350 support. The price could then continue to decline towards the 100-day SMA, around the $2,325-2,324 region. Further downside could see XAU/USD test the sub-$2,300 levels or the June 2024 low.
On the contrary, the bulls are struggling to capitalize on the upside momentum above $2,400. Meanwhile, if XAU/USD breaks out of the $2,400 pivot, it could face some resistance around $2,412. Gold prices could then climb to the intermediate resistance level of $2,469-2,470 and challenge the record high, around $2,483-2,484.
AMD Advanced Micro Devices Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AMD before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMD Advanced Micro Devices prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 140usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-10-18,
for a premium of approximately $13.90.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
GOLD : Gold is turning around unexpectedlyGold prices ended the US session and started the new day quite calmly compared to previous developments, trading around 2,400 USD after peaking on July 24 at 2,432 USD. Last night, the fluctuations after the release of the preliminary PMI report were not too significant. Besides, before the opening of the 5-year US government bond auction, gold prices increased slightly as yields decreased. But soon after, the 10-year government bond yield increased 2 bps to 4,274%, putting pressure on gold prices. Although the USD weakened slightly, the impact was insignificant.
CME's FedWatch tool shows a 100% probability of a 25 bps rate cut in September; while market forecasts show that the Fed could cut interest rates by a total of 53 bps in 2024.
On the economic front, the US trade balance improved more than expected, but the preliminary manufacturing PMI fell, indicating weakness. Specifically, S&P Global's July services and composite PMIs both exceeded expectations, reaching 56.0 and 55.0 respectively; while manufacturing PMI decreased from 51.6 to 49.5, lower than forecast.
Investors are waiting for the release of Q2 GDP data and the core PCE index - the Fed's preferred inflation measure - to have more basis to evaluate the economic situation and guide monetary policy. Regarding forecast, Q2 GDP is expected to reach 1.9% over the same period last year, showing that the economy is accelerating. It is worth noting that inflation calculated on core PCE is expected to decrease from 2.6% to 2.5%.
XAUUSD : Gold is plunging, will it return to 2300?Gold prices have formed a "Bullish Harami" pattern, but unfortunately cannot maintain the upward momentum and are currently struggling around the $2,400 mark. If it closes below this mark, gold prices will likely continue to decline. The RSI indicator is in the 40.0-60.0 zone and moving sideways, showing a balance between buying and selling power.
If gold prices can return and surpass $2,430, the next target will be $2,450, followed by the historical peak of $2,483 and the psychological threshold of $2,500. On the contrary, the gold price continuing to adjust below USD 2,384 may open up deeper declines. The next support levels are SMA 50 at $2,359 and SMA 100 at $2,315, respectively.
XAUUSD : Gold returns to create upward momentumWorld gold prices tend to recover after falling in the previous session, losing the mark of 2,400 USD/ounce right after Joe Biden announced he would not run for the next US presidential election.
Previously, analysts predicted that after a sharp decline from a peak of 2,482 USD/ounce, gold could witness another sharp decline at any time, when the overbought volume is dominating, especially in if it falls below the psychological mark of 2,400 USD/ounce.
Gold can only stabilize or reverse the situation, when upcoming economic data will benefit this precious metal. In particular, the US June CPI - announced this weekend is expected to continue to decrease, which supports gold prices.