Alikze »» TIA | Pull back to broken structure🔍 Technical analysis: Pull back to broken structure
- In the daily time frame, it is moving in a downward channel, which met with demand in the liquidity area. According to the latest analysis presented in the region, there was a demand that grew up to the ceiling of the descending channel.
- Currently, it is moving in an ascending channel within the descending channel, which can continue its growth with a pullback to the broken structure.
- Therefore, this return in the range of the green box or in the middle of the channel can meet the demand again and continue its growth until the supply area.
💎 In addition, if it faces more selling pressure in the Liquidity Area and moves sharply, it can break the range, in which case the bullish scenario will be invalidated.
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BINANCE:TIAUSDT
Signalservice
I'm starting to sell BTC. Here is my planIn my previous BTC analysis, I mentioned my belief that Trump would win the election, potentially driving BITSTAMP:BTCUSD to a new all-time high. However, I don’t expect this surge to lead to a sustained bull market. Instead, I anticipate this to be an emotional reaction, with prices likely falling after a few days.
Now, with BTC trading above $80,000, I’m preparing to build a short position. Here’s my strategy:
Since there are no clear resistance levels above this point, I plan to make my first short sale at $82,000 and the next at $87,000, giving me an average entry of $84,500. I’ll set my stop-loss at $89,500, and my target is $74,500, aiming for a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio.
I acknowledge that this trade is based more on intuition than on solid technical analysis, and I’m fully aware that it goes against the prevailing strong uptrend.
My rationale is that if BTC were to reach $100,000 in a sustained move now, without a solid drop before, it would be “too easy”—perhaps even too expected by all the traders.
And if I’m wrong, well, we can’t win them all, and I’ve already accounted for the potential loss in my outlook.
Gold- In search for a bottomTrading OANDA:XAUUSD has been nothing short of a roller coaster since early October.
Initially, it seemed like the rally might never end, but now the drop is unfolding in a similar manner.
Although I anticipated a strong decline, I’ll admit that I didn’t expect it to be quite this steep.
Gold has now fallen 2,000 pips from its all-time high, and to me, it’s clear that the 2,800 level is likely to hold for a while.
However, the outlook for the downside remains uncertain. The price has broken below several key support zones and even briefly tested levels below the 2,600 mark.
On a positive note for the bulls, each dip below 2,600 has been met with a quick reversal, which may suggest a false breakout.
Whether this holds true is still unclear and requires confirmation—a move back above 2,620 would be a positive signal, potentially setting 2,660 as the next target.
On the downside, there is significant support at 2,525, although recent rebounds from 2,600 make it unlikely this level will be tested in the coming days (though with this level of volatility, anything is possible).
In summary, I am currently out of the market but will be watching closely for clear signs of a bottom to confirm a new buying opportunity.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Short to support area 2603 (after wave 5).Dear colleagues, I believe that wave “5” is not completed yet, but it can end at any moment, so I consider 2 variants of events, but in both the target is the support area 2603.
1) The riskier one is to open a short position on the market.
2) Conservative - wait for the price to rise, and enter with less risk.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area at 67 (Again).Dear Colleagues, I believe that price is still in a five-wave downtrend. The mid-order wave “3” is in a small correction, but very soon the downward movement will continue.
I believe that the price has already closed the gap and may reach the resistance area of 74, then I expect the price to decline to the support area of 67.046.
There are 2 possible courses of action:
1) The riskier one is to open a short position on the market.
2) Conservative - wait for the price to rise, and enter with less risk.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Alikze »» FET | Wave 3 or C bullish scenarioIn the daily and weekly time, after an upward cycle in the supply area, a complex mixed correction has been corrected to the 0.38 Fibo range of the previous wave, after which it faced demand.
🔰In the lower time, it went through a full cycle up to the green box area, which again grew up to the current area after a correction.
🔰If this wave is extended and breaks the resistance zone, it can continue to climb to the next zone, but if it encounters supply in the current zone, a correction cycle can be carried out to the previous major ceiling zone and then the continuation of the upward cycle. to do in the form of a large wave 3.
If the behavior and structure of the post changes, it will be updated.
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Gold’s Pullback May Signal New Buying OpportunityGold began the week on a weak note, with its price dropping by around 200 pips from peak to trough.
However, as I mentioned in my Friday analysis, a potential bottom may be forming, giving bulls hope for a recovery.
Currently, Gold is trading precisely within a former resistance zone that now acts as support.
As long as this level holds, there is a favorable outlook for a reversal.
For now, I remain optimistic about a rebound, with potential for the price to climb back above 2700.
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
GBPJPYGBPJPY . Potential long opportunity.
Yesterday we have called buys during Asian Session . We are now waiting on a clear break of our KL (Key Level) 198.360 for potential buys . We are still extremely bullish on GBPJPY . Our main target now is to break 199.800 which would confirm our continuation buys. BoJ (Bank of Japan) still can’t risk to raise their interest rates aggressively due to the downside risk on their stock market.
KEY NOTES
- GBPJPY has broken below our KL (Key Level) 198.360.
- Targeting 199.800 break for continuation buys.
- BoJ (Bank of Japan) still can’t risk to raise their interest rates aggressively due to the downside risk on their stock market.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Short to support area at 1.06749.Colleagues, the US presidential election has made some adjustments to the wave markup and I now believe price is in a contested position.
I think that the downward movement will continue and the price will update the lows, but for now I expect the price to reach the support area at 1.06749.
If the price updates this level - I will consider that the price is in a complex correction and I will look for a long position entry, but for now I prefer short positions.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Alikze »» FLOKI | Upward wave 5 scenario🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending wave 5 scenario - Ascending triangle corner pattern
- In the 1W timeframe, a zigzag correction was preceded by an inability to break through the supply zone.
- Zigzag modification has formed an ascending angle triangle pattern.
- According to the bullish structure and behavior, it can have another bullish cycle.
- Currently, it has left the corner of the ascending triangle and has faced selling pressure in the supply area.
- Therefore, it can break the supply zone after the pullback to the broken structure and move to the next supply zone.
- This rising log can be wave 5 and the last wave of the rise, which can rise at least as much as the previous wave (wave 3). Or to be able to grow as much as the previous log.
💎Therefore, according to the size of the previous log, which has grown by more than a thousand percent, this log can grow by almost 1000 percent from the floor before the growth modification.
⚠️ Note: If the bottom is touched before, the zigzag correction will be complicated and the analysis will be invalid and need to be re-checked. ⚠️
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BINANCE:FLOKIUSDT
Politics vs Profits | The US elections & Crypto Harris, Trump, or Crypto ? Only One Goes Brrrr !
1/ The crypto market typically dips ahead of US elections
In 2016, there was a 10% dip, in 2020, a 6% decline, and so far in 2024, a 6% decrease. However, these drops aren't unusual; they can happen without clear triggers on any given day or week. So attributing extra significance to the current dip due to election is overblown it’s just business as usual in crypto
2/ The election results will trigger either a market boom or bust
Markets crave certainty over specific candidates. Once the election is over, investors can look ahead and allocate accordingly. In the grand scheme, Bitcoin and the wider crypto market don’t care who sits in the Oval Office. Whether it’s a red, blue, or mixed government, historically, crypto trends upward over time.
3/ Trump/Harris will be terrible for the economy
While Republicans and Democrats have vast differences (more so now than ever), unity isn’t our forte. How can we bring the nation together? Maybe start with a common interest and go from there
One thing’s certain, both parties have an affinity for money printing , While it’s a headache for the US’s debt situation, it benefits crypto.Why? Because a share of that newly minted money typically flows into crypto assets, which have limited or predictable inflation.
In essence, money printing devalues the US dollar but bolsters the value of scarce assets (like crypto) over time.Regardless of who wins, the money printer is expected to stay active.
While election may provide market clarity, it’s not a sure thing. Close elections can take days to finalize. So, if you feel like panicking, just remember this:
Zoom out → stay calm → remember…In the long run, crypto tends to prevail.
November is off to a roaring start with several significant market events – and that’s just in the first week! But before we look ahead, let’s review October to see where we stand:
1/ October Recap
Expectations were high for ‘Moontober,’ and it delivered (though gains were modest).
October saw:
- $ BTC up 11%, with the broader crypto market up 10%
- US Bitcoin ETFs purchased 5.83 times more CRYPTOCAP:BTC than was mined in October.
This demand and limited supply helped push the total crypto market cap out of an 8 month descending trend, signaling a potential reversal.
2/ Macro Outlook
Now, on to November. This week features two major macro events:
- US Elections – Tuesday, Nov 5th
- Rate Cuts – Thursday, Nov 7th
Markets expect a 0.25% rate cut. Though smaller than September’s 0.50% cut, it could ease market pressure.Lower borrowing costs reduce debt servicing expenses, freeing up cash for spending and potentially boosting both the economy and crypto markets.
The bonus? Historically, Bitcoin’s average return in November is +43%
If this trend holds, we could see CRYPTOCAP:BTC hit $100k by month’s end!
Cross your fingers, toes, and eyes!
3/ Token Unlocks
October had $5.4B worth of token unlocks, creating potential sell pressure. Thankfully, November’s unlocks are lighter at $2.6B, which may limit that pressure.
4/ Earnings Reports
This week brings earnings from:
- Franklin Templeton (managers of the AMEX:EZBC Bitcoin ETF)
- Arm (semiconductor architecture designers)
- Qualcomm (wireless tech products)
- Sony (self-explanatory)
But November 20th is the main event, with Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) – the AI powerhouse – reporting earnings.That’s November in a nutshell.
We’ll be here daily with updates as events unfold
Gold: Will the Falling Wedge Breakout Ignite a +16% Rally?Hey Realistic Traders, let’s dive into the analysis of NASDAQ:GOOGL
In the daily timeframe, Google has broken above the upper trendline of the falling wedge pattern. The price has consistently remained above this trendline for the past three trading days, with rising price movement accompanied by bullish divergence.
Bullish divergence on the MACD indicates that while the price makes lower lows, the MACD line forms higher lows. This divergence suggests a weakening of bearish momentum and the potential for a price reversal to the upside.
Given these technical factors, we forecast a potential upside movement toward the designated target of 181.36 . After reaching this level, a pullback to the green zone around $160 may occur before the price advances to the second target at 191.52.
This technical outlook remains valid as long as the price stays above the support area at 148.77.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Google.
Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
HIVE Digital Technologies Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of HIVE Digital Technologies prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-12-20,
for a premium of approximately $0.50.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Alikze »» ETH | Ascending channel🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel and corner alcove formation in the green support box area
- Continuing the analysis of the previous post , the Ethereum currency faced selling pressure after reaching the daily and weekly supply range.
- After the formation of a Double Top pattern, it has had a zigzag correction to the green box range.
- It is currently moving in an ascending channel, where the recent correction has intersected with the bottom of the channel and the green box.
- Therefore, I expect it to grow up to Fibo 0.78 and the dynamic trigger after the swing breaks and creates a higher LH.
- In addition, a corner pattern with higher bottoms of the ascending channel is also formed.
💎 Alternative scenario: If it fails to break the swing and does not stabilize above it, and also sharply corrects towards the green box, it is most likely that it will break it and continue correcting towards the Buyer Zone.
💎 Probable scenario: Currently, the probable scenario is the bullish scenario according to the bullish channel and also the corner pattern pattern. Therefore, after reaching the goal, the dynamic update will be done again.
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BINANCE:ETHUSDT
STGUSDT (StargateFinance) Updated till 09-11-24STGUSDT (StargateFinance) Daily timeframe range. we can see a nice move here now all it needs a clean close over 0.4177 that can push it further. for the pump not get invalid it needs to stay above 0.3147. re-entry is valid from recent support from a retrace candle.
Alikze »» ETH | Wave 3 or rising C scenario - 8H🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or rising C scenario - 8H
- According to the analysis presented in the weekly time frame, after a short growth, it has entered a corrective phase up to the green box area, so we expect it to enter an upward phase up to the dynamic trigger area.
- It is moving in an ascending channel in the 8-hour timeframe.
- The 2062 range of wave B correction is over.
- After the demand in the range of 2062, a complete movement cycle in the form of 5 waves towards the ceiling of the growth channel has continued.
- A double top has been created in the area of the channel roof, which has entered a correction phase after that.
- The corrective phase has completed a 5-wave cycle to the origin of the movement of the 2310 range.
After that, it has a three-wave pattern up and a three-wave correction that can now enter the 3-of-3 microwaves.
- In the first step, this upward cycle can continue until the supply zone (the first red box), after which it can have a short correction.
💎After that, it is expected that the big wave 3 in the middle of the channel, after a temporary correction, will enter the next bullish phase to the second red box range.
💎Therefore, the second step of the movement can have the goals of 3200 to 3500.
⚠️ In addition, in case of touching the range of 2151, the bullish scenario in the 8H time frame will be invalidated and should be reviewed and updated again. ⚠️
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KUCOIN:ETHUSDT
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
Target Reached on GMETV Followers, TV has taken down and removed quite a few of my posts/videos due to my QR tag being embedded in them. I was then subsequently suspended for a few days. So, I wanted to come back and just update you on a few of those posts that were removed. GME was one of them. GME reached the W-pattern target and has entered a large liquidity block. I have decided to sell here a few days ago for some nice profit. My signal has not flashed red yet, but I wanted to capture those nice gainz while I had them.
I implemented my new indicator into my trading process in September of this year. Since that time we have not had a single loss recorded on our stock tracker! ZERO! None. All wins. Currently, we are in floating profit on all stock trades and killing it! Congrats to those who are following me in these trades.
Our average time in each stock trade is around 17 days. This is exactly where I want to be in order to give you all the time to enter the trades and exit as I post my signals.
To tell you the truth, we are doing much better than I imagined and are even beating our rate of profit on the crypto tracker! We have 12 exits for 12 wins, and the current trades will all exit in profit, equalling a 100% win rate over the last two months.
I knew I had stumbled across something remarkable when I accidentally found my indicator combo while studying the charts. I am super excited about what the future holds for all of us!
Today, I have raised the stops on all of my stock entries. I feel we may be starting to get a bit over-heated. I want to capture those profits while I have them.
Best,
Stew
GBPUSD SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisGBPJPY s moving to the upper boundary of the descending channel.
The volatility of the movement has decreased.
The price has reached the resistance level.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GBPUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Hellena | GOLD (1H): Short to support area 2641.84.Colleagues, I believe that the price will continue the downward movement, but before this movement there is a high probability that the price will reach the area of 2734, then continue the downward movement.
There are only 2 options to enter the position.
Either you take a risk and enter on the market.
Or you wait for the local high of 2710 to be updated.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!