EUR/USD: Poised for a Reversal?On November 23, FOREXCOM:EURUSD broke below the critical 1.05 support zone, reaching a low of 1.0336. However, the pair quickly reversed course and has since been trading in a range between 1.0450 and 1.06.
A closer look at the price action suggests the pair has established a strong floor and is awaiting a catalyst for an upward reversal.
That catalyst could very well come today, with the anticipated Federal Reserve rate cut and subsequent press conference. Given the accumulated market tension, an accelerated move to the upside seems likely.
Key Levels to Watch :
Support: Any dips below 1.05 should be viewed as buying opportunities, with the potential for a rebound.
Resistance: A target around 1.0750 appears realistic in the current context.
Invalidation Level: If the price falls back below 1.04, this bullish scenario would be negated.
Signals
EurNzd could rise to 1.85On October 1st, EUR/NZD reached a local low at the psychological level of 1.75, followed by a reversal that lasted until November 1st, gaining nearly 1300 pips.
A normal correction then occurred, and from mid-November, the pair started consolidating between the 1.78 and 1.80 levels.
December brought a breakout above the key 1.80 level, and since then, EUR/NZD has been in a nice uptrend.
As of now, the price is 1.8230, and it looks like a breakout above resistance is imminent.
In this scenario, the next target for the bulls is the 1.85 level.
World gold price todayGold prices continued to weaken today due to stronger-than-expected important US economic news. The US retail sales report for November showed an increase of 0.7%, 0.2 percentage points higher than the forecast increase of 0.5%.
This information made some gold investors worry that the FED may postpone the 0.25 percentage point interest rate cut after the end of the monetary policy meeting in the early morning of December 19. Since then, many people have temporarily stopped trading gold.
On the other hand, gold is also likely to have limited purchasing power due to some forecasts of rising inflation in the US, a slowing labor market..., prompting the FED to stop cutting interest rates early in 2025. At that time, the USD could increase in value very strongly, negatively affecting the world gold price trend.
The question now is whether the Fed will be more hawkish or dovish than the market has been expecting. Investors are now expecting the Fed to be more cautious in easing monetary policy, given the impact of Donald Trump’s agenda on inflation.
GOLD 1HR CHART frame Gold appears to have significant potential for upward movement in the near future, with a higher likelihood of prices increasing based on current trends and market conditions. However, as with any trading activity, it's essential to exercise caution, conduct your own research, and manage risks effectively before making any decisions. Always trade at your own discretion and be prepared for potential market fluctuations.
ETH. Ethereum’s Potential Surge to $7,000. 12/18/24BINANCE:ETHUSDT
The current price of Ethereum is nearing a level historically associated with resistance to further growth. Specifically, ETH is attempting to surpass the $4,095 mark, and it will be intriguing to see if it succeeds. Should the price break through this resistance, a powerful upward movement could follow.
I recommend using the current chart and the $4,095 price level as a reference point for analyzing other altcoins. If Ethereum manages to break this level, it may influence the performance of other cryptocurrencies as well.
The all-time high is $4,868, and if the current resistance level ($4,095) is breached, the next growth target will be this historical peak.
Locally, we might witness a correction to around $3,800, followed by a rebound and further breakout to $4,000. In the case of a more significant correction, I plan to add to my position at the $3,618 level.
My targets for Ethereum in Q1 2025: $6,000–$7,000. Keep this in mind. Ultimately, what you decide to do is entirely up to you.
DYOR.
NOT 1D. Why I Avoid High-Risk Altcoins: Lessons from NotcoinBINANCE:NOTUSDT
Before investing in altcoins, it's crucial to thoroughly analyze them and understand the associated risks.
In classical investment strategies, two key factors are always relevant: buying at a good price and selling at the right time. For example, with Notcoin, after 114 days, the token price returned to the $0.007076 support level and showed only minor growth. In the same timeframe, Bitcoin and many altcoins have already doubled in value since August 2024. Let that sink in.
In my opinion, buying altcoins like Notcoin may not be advisable, as their growth is often less significant compared to Bitcoin and other major altcoins. This makes such investments risky, at least in my subjective view.
If you hold tokens obtained from airdrops, it’s essential to sell them when prices hit their peak (ideally at swing highs), as these tokens are likely to see a sharp decline after reaching their maximum value during overhyped periods.
Specific Outlook for #NOT:
I expect a correction to the $0.007076 support level, followed by a rebound to the $0.017544 resistance level. At that point, I plan to withdraw my initial investment and might even lock in some profits from my main position.
Overall, I urge you again to avoid taking excessive risks with altcoins. Diversify your portfolio and aim to sell these types of assets at their peak.
DYOR.
SOL 1D. Solana Ready for New Highs. 12/18/24Currently, the price has formed a "descending parallel channel" and is moving within its boundaries.
I expect Solana’s price to revisit the $200 level, which serves as a key support zone. After this return, I anticipate continued growth and a move toward a new all-time high.
Trade Plan:
EP (Entry Point): $202 - $196
TP (Take Profit): $240 - $260
SL (Stop Loss): $184 - $182
Personal Approach:
I plan to buy Solana on spot in the $186 - $156 range since I’m targeting $300 - $400 levels in the mid-term (expecting another correction as well). If my futures position hits stop-loss, I won’t be upset at all because my spot position will cover any losses — I’m confident in this!
What you should do is entirely up to you.
DYOR.
Oil Market Analysis - 17/12/2024The oil market is currently under pressure, with WTI down to $69.30 and Brent at $72.66. The main causes are:
Pemex Production Recovery: Oil platforms in the Gulf of Mexico have returned to full capacity after improved weather conditions and the end of the hurricane season. This has increased available supply, partially offsetting the decline in Russian production.
Decline in Russian Crude: Russian maritime oil exports have fallen by 11% since October due to maintenance at a key terminal. This has temporarily limited flows but has not significantly supported prices due to increased production from other sources like Pemex.
Strengthening US Dollar: The Dollar Index (DXY) is around 107.00, gaining strength thanks to preliminary US PMI data for December, which signals the fastest economic growth in 33 months, driven by the services sector. A strong dollar negatively impacts oil, making it more expensive for buyers using other currencies.
API Expectations: Crude inventory data from the API, scheduled for 21:30 GMT, could add volatility. Last week, there was a build of 0.499 million barrels.
EU Sanctions: The EU has imposed sanctions on a Dutch trader involved in trading Russian oil above the price cap. The impact on volumes remains limited for now.
Oil Technical Analysis
Price Range: Oil is trading within a range between $67.00 (support) and $71.50 (upper resistance), with this band likely extending into January 2025.
Resistance: The key resistance is located at $71.03 (100-day SMA) and $71.46, where prices encountered selling pressure last week.
A breakout above $71.03 could push prices toward $75.27, but caution is needed for quick profit-taking as the year-end approaches.
Support: The first solid support is at $67.12, a level that held prices in May-June 2023. A break below could see crude testing the 2024 yearly low at $64.75 and then $64.38, the 2023 low.
BTC IS BACK!!!hello friends
According to the registration of the new ceiling of Bitcoin, if the areas shown in the picture return, they can be good points for trading.
We have specified its targets for you in order.
This analysis is only checked from a technical point of view, so be sure to follow the capital management.
Support us if you like.
Be successful and profitable.
Alikze »» TONCOIN | Corrective scenario of ending wave 3💎 In the daily and weekly time, it is moving in an ascending channel, and currently the current wave of the 3rd ascending wave has started from the bottom of the channel.
💎 Scenario 1: Currently, it is placed in an important resistance, which according to the shaded area in the confirmation of its correction process, we can wait for the candle to confirm that this correction can continue until the green box area, which is also in the midline of the channel.
💎 Therefore, it is not recommended to buy at the moment and you should wait for the range break to continue the process.
🔔 Scenario 2: otherwise, correction should be seen up to the green box area. In case of a break, this upward trend can continue up to the channel ceiling.
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EURUSD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisEURUSD is moving in an UPWARD channel.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity EURUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
EURJPY Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for EURJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 161.37
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 159.91
My Stop Loss - 162.19
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BROADCOM made a Top on the 2year Channel. Potential danger aheadExactly 1 month ago (November 18, see chart below) we gave the buy signal on Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), which turned out to be a big success as shortly after the stock catapulted past our $223 Target:
This time however we share with you an analysis that is calling for profit taking on this amazing rally as technically it is coming to an end. The price hit yesterday the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 2-year Channel Up, which has approached another 3 times during that time.
As you can see, the pattern's structured Legs and Phases are cyclical and repeat themselves. The current Top seems to be similar to the previous Highs (orange circles) that initiated the re-accumulation phases before resuming the uptrend for the final top (red circles) of the Bullish Leg.
Both of those pre-Top Highs (orange circles) and their re-accumulation phases that followed, touched the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) before the final rally of the Bullish Leg. As a result, we won't turn bullish again on AVGO until it tests the 1D MA200 again, which given the aggression of the recent pump, the pull-back could be equally strong.
After the re-accumulation Phase is completed, we will resume our long-term bullish Target of $285.00. That represents a +121.85% rise from the August 05 2024 Low, which is the % rise that both previous Bullish Legs had.
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XAUUSD Analysis And Next Market MovePair Name = XAUUSD
Timeframe = D1
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
Details :-
XAUUSD is exactly on the way as predicted. Already In good gain after our prediction. Here it has completed the retesting Period. We can see price here around 2750. Gold is growing gradually day after day. In this Christmas Gold Will bullish
Bullish Targets :-
2800
3000
S&P500 entering a new Bull Cycle according to the Dollar IndexThe S&P500 index (SPX) has been rising aggressively since the October 2022 market bottom, as it recovered from the Inflation Crisis of 2022. Despite the All Time Highs (ATH) that it is currently trading at, we have strong evidence based on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) that it is entering a new, more structured Bull Cycle.
As you can see on this cross chart analysis on the 1W time-frame, the market has been on a multi-year uptrend with clear Phases, ever since the March 2009 bottom of the 2008 U.S. Housing Crisis. At the same time, the DXY (blue trend-line) initiated its own Channel Up.
Every time the DXY bottomed, the S&P500 transitioned from the more aggressive, recovery phase (blue Arc pattern) of the Bear Cycle to a more structured (green) Channel Up. As long as the DXY remains below its (dashed) Lower Highs trend-line, the uptrend of the Channel Up is being extended. Once broken, the stock market starts to form a top, which is natural as a strong/ expensive dollar is far from ideal for buying risky assets like stocks.
In any case, it appears that the DXY bottomed in late September 2024 and rebounded aggressively. This is rebound is the exact behavior it has when the previous two (green) Channel Up patterns started. As a result, we believe that the S&P500 has ahead of it around 4 years of growth within this Channel Up, whose pull-backs/ corrections will be the cyclical buy opportunities.
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SILVER Will Go Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for SILVER.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 30.270.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 31.022 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USDJPY Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 153.785.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 154.383 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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