NASDAQ headed into a volatile January but uptrend remains intactNasdaq (NDX) is yet again testing the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) following the direct hit of December 20. Despite the pull-back, it is technically respecting the 2-year Channel Up that it's been trading in since the December 26 2022 market bottom. Its most recent Higher Low was on the August 05 2024 1W candle, which initiated the Bullish Leg we're currently in.
Until we get a 1W candle closing below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), the pattern remains intact and the strategy is to continue buying into the current Bullish Leg. The previous two Bullish Legs had one main pull-back/ correction sequence each and apart from that, the majority of the Leg was technically a straight uptrend. Given that the current Bullish Leg has been trading above its 1D MA50 since September 12, it is not unlikely to see a correction below it.
Technically, it could be similar to the previous Bullish Leg (March 04 - April 15 2024), as we are trading within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci range. This means that one more rise above the 0.382 Fib is to be expected in the first week of January but it is likely to then see a correction for the rest of the month below the 1D MA50 into the first 2 weeks of February.
If after that, the 0.5 Fib and 1D MA200 levels hold, we expect the Bullish Leg to resume the uptrend and target 25300. That would be a rise of around +48%, which is the % rise of both previous Bullish Legs.
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Signals
Palantir (PLTR): Is $79 the Key to Big Moves?Morning Trading Family
Palantir is at a crossroads, and $79 is the level to watch. Whether it holds or breaks will tell us a lot about what’s coming next. Let’s keep it simple and dive in.
If PLTR Breaks Above $79
The bulls might take charge, and here’s where we could be headed:
$82: The first stop. We’ll see if the bulls have enough strength to push through this.
$93: If $82 gets taken out, this could be the next big move.
If PLTR Stays Below $79
it could get a little rough. Here’s what to watch:
$64–$66: This is the median line and a possible landing zone if the selling continues.
What’s the Game Plan?
Keep it simple:
-Watch $79—it’s the key.
-Be ready for both the bullish and bearish moves.
-Stay disciplined and manage your risk.
If you like this breakdown, give it a follow or a like. Got questions about Palantir or struggling with another chart? Send me a DM—I’d love to chat!
Feeling stressed, burnt out, or finding it hard to stay consistent as a trader? You’re not alone. Reach out—I’m here to help you trade smarter and stay balanced. Let’s crush it together!
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Potential SThe chart highlights critical support and resistance levels along with possible price scenarios for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe. The combination of technical patterns and momentum indicators offers a roadmap for potential future movements.
Key Levels:
Resistance at $95,600:
The $95,600 level serves as a key resistance point. A breakout above this level could signal a bullish continuation toward $100,740.93, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel.
Support Zone at $91,400–$90,400:
This area is a strong support zone, highlighted in blue, and represents a potential bounce point if the price continues to decline. Failure to hold this level could push Bitcoin further downward.
Lower Support Levels:
$82,265.90 and $76,125.14 are critical lower support levels if bearish momentum intensifies.
Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If Bitcoin rebounds from the $91,400–$90,400 support zone and breaks above $95,600, we could see a rally toward the $100,740.93 target.
Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below the $91,400–$90,400 zone could lead to a decline toward $82,265.90 or even $76,125.14, driven by increased selling pressure.
Indicator Insights:
DT Oscillator: Currently in the oversold zone, suggesting a potential short-term bounce. However, confirmation is needed from price action and resistance levels.
Conclusion: Bitcoin is at a pivotal point with significant support and resistance levels clearly defined. Traders should monitor price reactions closely around the $91,400–$90,400 zone and watch for a breakout or breakdown for directional cues.
Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to follow me for more detailed analyses!
⚠ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
The Impulse Master indicator nailed the top of this rallyThe Impulse Master indicator accurately identified the top in NQ (Nasdaq Futures) and signaled a shift in market structure. The key observation here is the breakdown under the critical support level, which confirmed a reversal in the trend.
Explanation of the Pattern:
Supply Zone and Reversal Signal:
The chart highlights a supply zone where bullish momentum begins to stall. This area marks the exhaustion of buying pressure, as seen with the "Turn Down" label. The price repeatedly failed to break higher within this zone, signaling a potential reversal.
Support Breakdown Logic:
A rally typically continues as long as the price respects key support levels. Think of the structure as comprising a micro wave iv (a small corrective dip) followed by a wave v up (a final push higher).
In this case, the breakdown below the first major support invalidates the continuation of the uptrend. The failure of bulls to produce a higher high off the low created by wave iv is a clear indication that the rally has ended.
Confirmation of Trend Reversal:
Once the price broke below support, the rally's structure was compromised. This failure to sustain higher levels signals the transition from a bullish trend to a bearish phase, as confirmed by the "Trend Down" signal and the formation of resistance at 21,652.81.
Indicator Precision:
The Impulse Master indicator effectively mapped the turning points in the market, including the Breakout Zone, the critical support retest, and the ultimate rejection leading to a downtrend.
Key Takeaway:
The breakdown below ** the key support** is a crucial confirmation that the uptrend has concluded. This methodology highlights the importance of observing raising support levels as benchmarks for trend continuation or bearish reversal. ***When bulls fail to push the priceto a higher high after a corrective dip, then drops under the previously made low, it serves as a reliable signal that the rally is over and a new down trending move might have started.***
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
Analysis of EUR/USD: A Strategic Insight for TradersThe EUR/USD currency pair has extended its rally for the third consecutive day, trading near the 1.0430 level during Monday’s Asian session. This uptick is primarily driven by remarks from members of the European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council and expectations of delayed interest rate cuts in the Eurozone. However, the hawkish tone of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and a stronger U.S. Dollar (USD) could cap the Euro’s gains in the short term.
Fundamental Factors Influencing EUR/USD
European Central Bank (ECB)
Robert Holzmann, a member of the ECB Governing Council, stated that further rate cuts might be delayed. He highlighted recent inflation spikes and emphasized the inflationary pressures stemming from the Trump administration’s tariff policies, which may slow economic growth but increase inflation.
Delayed Rate Cut Expectations: Markets anticipate the ECB to slow down rate cuts due to rising inflation and the need for economic stabilization.
U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed)
The Fed reduced rates by 25 basis points during the December meeting, but the dot plot indicates only two rate cuts anticipated for 2025.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell: He reiterated that the central bank would approach further rate cuts cautiously.
Impact on USD: The Fed's hawkish messaging has bolstered the USD, acting as a counterweight to the EUR/USD rally.
Economic Policies under the Trump Administration
Tariffs and Tax Cuts: The administration’s policies are expected to intensify inflationary pressures, potentially altering the Fed’s monetary policy outlook in favor of the USD.
Short-to-Medium Term Outlook for EUR/USD
Bullish Scenario : Signals of delayed ECB rate cuts and improved Eurozone economic data could sustain support for the Euro.
Bearish Scenario : Continued hawkish Fed messaging, coupled with strong U.S. economic data, could exert downward pressure on EUR/USD..
Technical Analysis: Pivotal Levels in Play
Weekly Momentum: Momentum indicators on the weekly timeframe highlight persistent selling pressure, aligning with the prior bearish analysis.
Key Support Levels: The price is trading near the confluence of the lower boundary of a neutral channel and the median line of the Andrews Pitchfork, intensifying the sensitivity of this zone.
Potential Breakdown: The momentum suggests a higher likelihood of breaking below this support unless weekly price action signals a reversal by surging and breaking above the 1.0534 resistance level.
Conclusion and Call to Action
This analysis outlines critical fundamental and technical elements shaping the EUR/USD’s trajectory. With key macroeconomic events and technical levels at play, traders should stay vigilant for decisive moves.
👉 What’s Your Move? If you find this analysis insightful, hit the Boost button and share it with your trading community. Let’s navigate these markets together—profitably!
Gold Price Consolidates Near $2,620The gold price (XAU/USD) is in a consolidation phase around $2,620.00, showing a recovery session from previous declines, although trading volumes remain light due to the upcoming New Year holiday.
On the support side, key levels are found at the exponential moving averages ($2,625 and $2,630), with a risk of further bearish pressure if these levels are breached, potentially driving the price toward the monthly low of $2,580. Uncertainties tied to the economic policies of the incoming Trump administration and the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on rate cuts for 2025 represent a mix of potential bullish and bearish catalysts. The precious metal could benefit from safe-haven demand in the context of escalating geopolitical tensions, such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict and ongoing unrest in the Middle East, which continue to fuel risk aversion sentiment.
Gold closed 2024 with a 27% gain, driven by central bank purchases, geopolitical tensions, and accommodative monetary policies. However, the strengthening dollar and higher U.S. Treasury yields have capped further advances. The Dollar Index (DXY) remains near its highs, but the decline in 2- and 10-year Treasury yields could support the metal despite the outlook for more limited rate cuts in the coming year.
ETHUSD Will Go Higher From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for ETHUSD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,346.7.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,667.7 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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AUDJPY Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 98.074.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 96.232.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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SOLUSDT --> Consolidation. One step away from a rally!BINANCE:SOLUSDT is in the correction phase, within which the price tested the previously broken consolidation boundary.
The focus is on the flat channel 205 - 180.
False break of support will provoke further growth. As well as a break of resistance and price consolidation above 205.
SOL has good fundamental and technical prospects and the coin may show something interesting in 2025
EUR-JPY Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-JPY shot up sharply
But then the pair hit a
Horizontal resistance level
Of 165.045 and as we are
Already seeing a local bearish
Pullback we will be expecting
A bearish correction
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
MICROSTRATEGY Is it shifting towards a new paradigm?Microstrategy (MSTR) is defying all odds during this bull run and recently it achieved perhaps its most important one: it broke above its All Time High (ATH) of $335.00 registered in March 2000. This historic feat took place on the same month (November) that it broke and closed above its historical Channel Up pattern, which has been dictating its trend since the bottom of the Dotcom Bubble correction in 2002.
This is perhaps ushering a new era for the company. Along with Bitcoin it may be shifting to a new paradigm and the uptrend may be accelerated in a similar way as it did in 1998 - 2000. Technically we will be in a position to know that if the current pull-back bounces of the top of the former historic Channel Up.
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Gold price has 50% chance of being in the range of 2,600-2,900At the beginning of the trading session on December 26 (US time), the world gold price increased slightly after the US announced that the number of weekly unemployment benefit applications reached 219,000, a slight increase compared to the forecast of 218,000 applications. This further strengthens the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will delay monetary policy next year.
The world gold market is still under pressure in the context of the Fed's reversal of monetary policy. Accordingly, in the context of "persistent" inflation, the US Central Bank's interest rate cut roadmap may slow down next year.
While the interest rate stance is boosting the dollar and bond yields, experts say that won’t deter investors from owning gold in their portfolios.
Tom Bruce, macro strategist at Tanglewood Total Wealth Management, forecasts the precious metal will rise about 10% next year and stay below $3,000 an ounce.
He said the biggest short-term challenge for gold in 2025 is the expected strong growth in the U.S. economy. However, gold prices will remain supported as central bank purchases create new momentum in the market.
World gold prices have not changed muchIn its Commodity Outlook 2025 report, TD Securities analysts noted that the Fed's rate-cutting cycle, geopolitical uncertainty and strong central bank demand for gold have pushed gold prices to record highs this year, but capital flows have not provided strong support.
"There is no shortage of compelling macro stories that have fueled gold's rally in recent months ahead of the US election. However, the gold rally has not been supported by capital flows.
Modules have maintained a 'maximum buy' status since August, confirmed by the largely unchanged COT report. In Shanghai, traders have sold nearly 35 tonnes of nominal gold in recent weeks as domestic investment opportunities have become more attractive.
Gold buying has been driven largely by traditional ETFs and China. Fund managers have largely eliminated short positions. At the same time, rising US dollar and US interest rates have reduced the attractiveness of gold to Western capital inflows in the short term."
Lingrid | GOLD phase of STAGNATION PersistsOANDA:XAUUSD is still moving sideways after the recent bearish move. It is currently testing the resistance zone where it previously dropped after breaking through the upward channel. The last daily candle is a small-range doji, indicating indecision. On the 1H chart, the price action is forming a bearish wedge pattern, which is typically a continuation pattern. If the price remains below the 2630 level, I believe it will retest the upward trendline, leading to further bearish movement. However, if it breaks above this level, the market may move upward to retest the channel's border at 2660. Overall, I expect the wedge pattern to play out. My mid-term goal is support zone around 2560.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Technical Analysis of AAVE/USDT: Potential Wave PathThis analysis examines the wave structure of AAVE on the 4-hour timeframe. Based on Elliott Wave Theory and Fibonacci levels, the price appears to be in a corrective phase, with key support and resistance zones highlighted.
Key Insights:
Corrective Wave (ABC):
The price has entered a corrective movement in the form of ABC after completing the third bullish wave.
The support zone between $256–$235 is identified as a potential completion area for Wave 4.
Fibonacci Levels:
The 113% ($256.08) and 127.2% ($238.48) Fibonacci levels serve as key points for potential price reactions.
Wave 5 Completion:
Upon completing Wave 4 in the highlighted support zone, the price is expected to enter Wave 5.
The target for Wave 5 could extend beyond $500, depending on the strength of the bullish momentum.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
If the price finds support in the $256–$235 zone and reverses upward, Wave 5 may initiate, continuing the bullish trend.
Bearish Scenario:
A breakdown below the $235 support zone, followed by consolidation, could alter the Wave 4 scenario and lead to increased selling pressure.
Conclusion:
AAVE is currently in a corrective phase, with the $256–$235 support zone serving as a critical level to watch for determining the next move. Traders should closely monitor price reactions at this level and utilize confirmation tools such as momentum indicators.
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USDCHF - 2 SCENARIOSHello Traders !
On Wednesday 18 Dec, The USDCHF reached the resistance level (0.90504 - 0.90114).
So, We have 2 scenarios:
BULLISH SCENARIO:
If the market breaks above the resistance level and closes above that,
We will see a bullish move📈
TARGET: 0.91250🎯
BEARISH SCENARIO:
If the price breaks and closes below the higher low (0.89137 - 0.89282),
We will see a huge bearish move📉
TARGET: 0.87900🎯
WTI OIL Will it hold the 4H MA200 and rebound?WTI Oil (USOIL) almost tested on yesterday's pull-back the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), following Monday's rebound on the former Lower Highs trend-line. This technical shift from a Resistance level turning Support, signifies the emergence of a new Channel Up pattern, which needs to hold the 4H MA200 in order to materialize the new Bullish Leg to a new Higher High.
The pattern's first Higher High was priced on the 71.45 Resistance (1) and if the current Higher Low holds at the bottom of the Channel Up, we expect an equally powerful Bullish Leg for the next Higher High. However the 1D MA100 (red trend-line) needs to break as it currently poses the strongest Resistance, having rejected the uptrend not just on the Resistance 1 test (December 13) but also yesterday (December 26).
As a result, if this level breaks, we expect the trend to hit at least Resistance 2 with our Target being $72.80.
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