EURUSD Technical Analysis: Bullish Reversal SetupEURUSD Technical Analysis: Bullish Reversal Setup
Market Outlook: Potential Bullish Trend Emerging
The EURUSD pair is showing promising signs of a significant trend reversal, with multiple technical indicators pointing to a potential bullish momentum in the near term. Traders should pay close attention to key support and resistance levels that could define the market's next move.
Key Technical Levels
- Support Level: 1.0520 (Potential Bullish Reversal Zone)
- Critical Support: 1.0330 (Trend Invalidation Point)
- Potential Bullish Target: 1.3200
Pattern Analysis
The market has completed a clear ABC corrective pattern, setting the stage for a potential five-wave impulse move to the upside. This technical formation suggests a strong possibility of a trend reversal and subsequent bullish continuation.
Trading Considerations
1. Entry Zone: Traders should watch the 1.0520 area carefully. This level represents a critical support zone that could trigger a bullish reversal.
2. Risk Management: The 1.0330 level serves as the trend invalidation point. Any sustained break below this level would negate the bullish scenario and require a reassessment of the market structure.
3. Upside Potential: The long-term bullish target remains at 1.3200, offering a substantial potential profit range for traders who can successfully navigate the initial reversal.
Trading Strategy
- Wait for confirmation of the bullish reversal around the 1.0520 support level
- Look for clear five-wave move to the upside
- Implement strict stop-loss measures below the 1.0330 invalidation point
- Consider partial profit-taking at significant resistance levels
As with all trading strategies, this analysis is not a guarantee of market movement. Traders should:
- Use proper risk management
- Implement stop-loss orders
- Consider multiple timeframe analyses
- Be prepared for potential market volatility
Conclusion
The EURUSD pair presents an intriguing bullish setup with well-defined technical parameters. Traders should remain vigilant, watching for confirmation of the proposed bullish reversal and the subsequent five-wave move.
Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Signals
GOLD just passed $2,700, pay attention to CPI dataWednesday (December 11) on the Asian market, OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery increased again in the short term. Gold price has just surpassed the important milestone of 2,700 USD/ounce, reaching the highest level of the day as of the time this article was completed at 2,703.65 USD/ounce.
Attention is turning to the US consumer price index (CPI) today (Wednesday) and the producer price index (PPI) on Thursday, both data will be important in influencing the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates.
According to market surveys, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to increase 0.3% in November, with year-on-year increases expected to be 2.7% and 3.3%, respectively. %.
Overall and core producer prices in the United States are expected to increase 0.2% month-on-month in November, with year-over-year increases of 2.6% and 3.2%, respectively.
CPI data in line with expectations is unlikely to hinder interest rate cuts, but if the data shows inflation progress is slowing, the likelihood of a third consecutive rate cut by the Fed may decrease.
The Chicago Mercantile Exchange's "FedWatch Tool" shows that the futures market expects an 86% chance that Fed Chairman Powell and his colleagues will cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points at their meeting on August 17-18. /12.
In addition, gold prices also skyrocketed when the Chinese central bank resumed gold purchasing activities. Meanwhile, the geopolitical situation plays an important role and still has many potential risks after Syrian President Bashar al-Assad was overthrown.
Gold is considered a safe investment during times of economic and geopolitical uncertainty and tends to appreciate in low interest rate environments.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has initial conditions for a bullish outlook as it broke out of the falling price channel after a long period of sideways accumulation.
On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index also rose above the 50 level, which should be considered a positive signal for the future growth prospects as it will move towards the 75-100 area. With that, EMA21 which was the previous resistance has now become the most notable support.
Gold prices are pushed above the original price level of 2,700 USD, keeping price activity above the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level will provide conditions for a new bull cycle with the target then around 2,730 USD where the Fibonacci retracement is located. 0.236%, more than the Volume Profile POC level.
During the day, gold has all the technical conditions to increase in price and is temporarily limited by the original price of 2,700 USD. The notable points will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,693 – 2,676 – 2,663USD
Resistance: 2,700 – 2,730USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2721 - 2719⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2725
→Take Profit 1 2714
↨
→Take Profit 2 2709
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2659 - 2661⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2655
→Take Profit 1 2666
↨
→Take Profit 2 2671
ADA 4H. Good entry point. 12/12/24At the moment, the asset is in local accumulation, but it faced horizontal resistance (with sales at a certain level) and went into correction, where the formation of “symmetrical triangle” pattern is clearly traced.
I am considering opening a long position. Entry can be sought in the range of $1.0401 - $0.9042. The target is swing-high at $1.3264.
DYOR.
SOL 6H. Solana Heading to $400 in the Medium Term. 12/12/24The asset price is currently stabilizing within the $222-$204 range, which could serve as a critical support zone. Support is the level where the price tends to bounce back as buyers step in aggressively, holding the price at this level.
In the short term, I’m considering a buy position targeting $260, which marks the upper boundary of the current range. For me, this is strictly a near-term goal. In the medium term, I anticipate Solana trading between $300 and $400.
To put it clearly and concisely: I expect further growth for #SOL and do not foresee the price dropping below $204.
DYOR.
POPCAT 1D. From Meme to Moon. 12/12/24The market went into the expected correction, but no one anticipated it would happen so quickly. As a result, the technical analysis of traders worldwide was effectively nullified. Those who thought otherwise simply guessed correctly—it's as simple as that. There's no point in justifying or looking for imaginary reasons for this drop. The expected shakeout of retail traders occurred, and we just need to accept it, forget it, and move forward.
Given our targets for POPCAT, it's still not too late to invest in this asset. Moreover, your entry point could be better than most. A potential strategy is to invest 50% of your desired volume at the current price and place two additional limit orders of 25% each in the range of $1.0887 - $0.9877. The nearest target is $1.7550.
DYOR.
TNSR 1D. The Next Big Governance Asset on Solana. 12/12/24Tensor Protocol is an autonomous protocol on Solana that NFT marketplaces can use to access deep liquidity and connect their users with other NFT traders. Tensor.trade, the leading NFT trading platform on Solana, is built on the Tensor Protocol. TNSR is the governance token of the Tensor Protocol. TNSR holders can vote on proposals related to protocol development, including the use of the community budget.
Currently, the entire market is in correction, offering excellent opportunities to find new entry points. The project is quite promising, with significant growth potential. Even from the current levels, a 2x return is realistic. A potential strategy is to invest 50% of the desired volume at the current price and place two additional limit orders of 25% each in the range of $0.6269 - $0.5454. The nearest target is $1.3412.
DYOR.
USD/JPY awaiting the FED!The USD/JPY exchange rate as of December 12, 2024, reflects an increase of approximately 0.4%, reaching 152.50, driven by November's U.S. inflation data and expectations surrounding Federal Reserve monetary policy. The published data shows a 0.3% monthly rise in headline CPI, slightly above the 0.2% consensus, while core CPI remained stable at 0.3%. On an annual basis, headline inflation rose to 2.7% from 2.6%, and core CPI was steady at 3.3%, in line with projections. These results reinforce expectations for an interest rate cut by the Fed at the upcoming FOMC meeting, with an estimated 84% probability of a 25-basis-point reduction. Markets interpret the data as a sign that inflation is under control, potentially allowing the Fed to adopt a more accommodative policy to support economic growth. The 10-year Treasury yield, stable at 4.226%, indicates relative calm in bond markets, which may help limit volatility in the U.S. dollar. USD/JPY continues to benefit from the yield differential between U.S. and Japanese assets, supporting dollar strength. However, upcoming economic data, such as the PPI and initial jobless claims, will be crucial in confirming or adjusting market expectations. The 152.50 level represents a critical zone: a break above 152.80 could signal further bullish momentum toward 2024 highs, while a pullback might bring the pair to key support at 151.50. The current scenario suggests a consolidative phase, but incoming data and the Fed's decision will be pivotal in shaping future direction.
NETFLIX historic pattern targets $1500 in 2025.Last time we looked at Netflix (NFLX) was on its earnings release (October 21, see chart below), when we gave a strong bullish signal that easily hit our $840.00 Target:
Since 3 week ago, the price even broke above the dominant 1-year Channel Up and is now in search of a new pattern. This pattern can be found if we zoom out considerably on the 1W time-frame, where the underlying pattern since the U.S. Housing Crisis is a 25-year Channel Up.
The symmetry within this pattern is high and in fact since the June 2022 market bottom (which was a Higher Low on the Channel Up), the stock has been on a Bull Cycle. The Bear Cycle that preceded it had a massive decline of -77%. The last correction of this magnitude was the July 2011 - August 2012 Bear Cycle, which declined by -83%.
The two Bull Cycles that followed Netflix's golden years were identical (+825% and +847%). As a result, we assume that the current Bull Cycle will also rise by at least +825% from its bottom, which gives us a $1500 Target towards the end of 2025.
Notice also how both the 2012 - 2014 and 2022 - 2024 Bull Cycles had a 1W Golden Cross.
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MANAUSD a 1-year parabolic rally is starting. DON'T MISS IT!Decentraland (MANAUSD) almost touched its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) last week, following the bullish break-out above the Bear Cycle's Lower Highs trend-line 3 weeks ago. This is the last confirmation it needs before it validates the Cycle's parabolic rally as the 1W MA200 was were the price was rejected on March 04 2024.
This sequence resembles the bullish break-out pattern of August 03 2020 that also turned the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) into Support and after a consolidation, by late December 2020 it initiated the parabolic rally.
This rally rose by +3390% before the first correction back to the 1W MA50, so if MANA continues to repeat that previous Cycle, it can rise as high as $18 before it corrects. The 1W RSI sequences between the two fractals also highlight their striking resemblance, as both are rising on Higher Highs on a Bullish Divergence against the price's Lower Highs.
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XauUsd target done. What's next?As expected, the 2655–2660 resistance zone gave way, and after a confirmed breakout, OANDA:XAUUSD moved higher, surpassing the initial target of 2685 and hitting a local high above 2700.
The price then formed a double top around the 2704 level (5m chart) before entering a normal correction phase. During this pullback, it tested the 2675 zone, which held as a strong support area due to its confluence.
Currently, Gold is showing signs of resuming its upward trend and is trading around 2693. My outlook remains bullish as long as the 2670–2675 support zone holds. For now, buying during dips remains the best strategy.
If the price can break back above 2700, the next key resistance to watch is at 2718.
DOW JONES 25-year Cycles show the clear picture you should know.Almost 8 months ago (April 12, see chart below), just when Dow Jones (DJI) was recovering from April's correction, we sent a clear message not to lose sight of the greater picture and to stay bullish:
The reason was the index' clear cyclical pattern since the February 2009 bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis. The index has grown by +17% since that analysis (from 38459 to 45080) and we can't see a reason not to complete the pattern and hit our 48850 Target, which is our projection for this Cycle's Top.
On this updated chart is on the 1W time-frame, in contrast with April's which was on the 1M, we have added to key elements. The Channel Up that is dictating the pace of the Bull Cycle since the Feb 2009 bottom and the Fibonacci retracement levels, which show that after the Bull Cycle topped, the subsequent Bear Cycle corrected within the 0.236 - 0.382 Fibonacci Zone at least before the bottom was formed.
In fact, all Cycles hit the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) upon the Bear corrections and those didn't start before the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) was broken (1M candle close below). Our 48850 Target is technically the minimum estimate as that was the % rise of the previous one (Cycle 4), which was the least aggressive compared to others (Cycle 3 = +77.19%, Cycle 2 = +75.09%, Cycle 1 = +99.62%). If Cycle 5 peaks higher, we will draw the Fibonacci retracement levels from that top and re-adjust our expected 0.382 Fibonacci bottom for the Bear Cycle (or if the 1M MA50 gets hit first).
As far as timing of the Cycle 5 Top is concerned, we expect that to be on December 2025 the earliest, again based on the Cycle with the minimum time length (Cycle 3), excluding Cycle 1 which was the most aggressive as it was the first after the U.S. Housing Crisis bottom.
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XAUUSD potential buy signalHere is our signal on XAUUSD . Potential long opportunity.
As the price on XAUUSD has broken the long-term consolidation at 2666 , we could potentially see more upside on gold if we manage to stay above 2660 . Our entry is sitting at 2667 with SL (Stop Loss) sitting below the 2660 area at 2656.700 . Our TP (Take Profit) is sitting at the next KL (Key Level) at 2685 .
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 2667
- SL: 2656.700
- TP: 2685.000
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD broke the consolidation area.
- Staying above 2660 would confirm our buys.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
US30 Is Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for US30.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 44,204.8.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 45,600.0.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GOLD Is Very Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 2,695.926.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 2,617.334 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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CADJPY Will Fall! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for CADJPY.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 107.583.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 106.848 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
CHFJPY Will Go Down! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for CHFJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 172.362.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 171.702.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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DAX Strong probability for a technical pull-back here.DAX (DE40) hit last week our 20000 Target, which we established 2 months ago (October 04, see chart below):
That Target was near the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 1-year Channel Up that started on the week of the October 03 2022 bottom. As you can see, this pattern has topped both previous Bullish Waves on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level and after a pull-back consolidation phase (red Arc), it started the Bearish Legs that bottomed and made Higher Lows on Support 1, which was the previous Resistance level.
Having now already hit its 1.618 Fib ext, we expect DAX to pull-back a little and turn sideways as per the pattern, which we will short, targeting 19000 (Support 1). If however we see a 1W MA200 (blue trend-line) hit and immediate rebound and weekly closing above it, we will book our sell profit earlier.
Notice also the high symmetry on those Legs, between their 1W CCI fractals.
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BITCOIN This is why $250k is a Cycle Top candidateBitcoin (BTCUSD) is now cruising on the Bull Cycle's most aggressive phase, the Parabolic Rally. We got the final confirmation as it broke above and now established the 1st Standard Deviation from Above (grey trend-line) of the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) as the new Support.
Having already broken above the previous All Time High (ATH) Resistance, every time BTC flipped the 1st SD into Support while above the ATH, it hit at least the 2nd SD (orange trend-line) before the Cycle Top was priced. This level is currently at $181700 but rising along with the trend
What adds a more specific dynamic to the potential Cycle Top though, is that during Bitcoin's 11-year Higher Lows trend-line growth, it posted rallies of at least +1719% on each Cycle. As the Cycles progressed and due to the Law of Diminishing Returns, this rally started lower each time.
This shows the great significance of this rally and as a result, on the current Cycle with can estimate from its very bottom (November 2022). This suggests that we can reach at least $250k before or around the time the 2nd SD is tested. In addition, all Cycles have topped after the 1M RSI makes contact with its historic Lower Highs trend-line.
So what do you think? Is $250k a strong candidate for a Cycle Top? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Alikze »» Link | Scenario wave 1 of 3 rising - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Scenario wave 1 of 3 rising - 1D
- It has been moving in a downward channel on the daily time frame.
- Currently, with the failure of the descending channel, in the case of a pullback to the ceiling of the channel or the range of 12.50, it can have the target of 16 to 17 dollars in the first step.
- This ascending wave is the previous wave. But in a longer-term perspective, wave 2 correction in the green box range has ended.
- Therefore, this recent motivational wave, micro-waves, wave 1 out of 3 is rising.
💎 In addition, this increasing wave can continue to climb up to Fibo 1.272 and 1.618 if the supply zone is broken.
⚠️ Note: If the candlestick closes below the 12.50 zone, the bullish scenario is invalidated and can retest the green box zone. ⚠️
💎 Currently, according to the momentum, the first scenario or the bullish scenario is more likely.
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BINANCE:LINKUSDT
EURCHF: Intraday Bearish Signal?! 🇪🇺🇨🇭
EURCHF nicely reacted to a key intraday horizontal resistance.
The price formed an inverted cup & handle pattern on that
and violated its neckline with a bearish imbalance candle.
I think that the price may drop lower.
Next support - 0.9278
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Is EurUsd's correction over?In my previous posts about EUR/USD, I discussed the potential for an upside correction following the break below the 1.05 support level, the drop to 1.0330, and the subsequent reversal. I suggested that this upward movement could potentially push the price toward the 1.0670 resistance zone.
Indeed, the pair did rise, reaching an intraday high of 1.0628 during Friday's NFP event. However, the day ended with a downside move, leaving a red candle with a long wick on the daily chart.
The medium-term trend for EUR/USD remains bearish. This, combined with the overlapping structure from the recent low, clearly indicates that we are not witnessing the start of a bullish trend but rather a corrective phase.
The key question now is whether this correction has concluded. To confirm, we would need to see a break back below the 1.05 level.
With this in mind, if the pair revisits Friday's high, I plan to sell, placing a stop loss above 1.07 and targeting the 1.0450 support level.