My Daily Short Volume Indicator (1st on TradingView)Hi all,
Given the recent attention to short interest, short volume, short everything - I'm publishing this analysis about what my indicator does and does NOT do since I've already been getting a few questions about it.
Terminology:
Short Volume = the number of shares opened *or* closed short in a given day.
(Unfortunately, this data does not exist intraday for retail usage from exchanges. If you want intraday, you WILL have to buy this for an extremely expensive monthly subscription.)
Short Interest = the number of shares currently open which are held short against a specific stock / ticker.
(This is only reported by the exchanges twice monthly and has a two week lag - 2021 schedule here: www.finra.org)
Short Float = the percentage of shares currently open short / the number of shares currently float (float = in market circulation) in that stock.
Introduction:
Quandl supplies a daily total volume and short volume dataset for two main exchanges - NYSE & NASDAQ.
This indicator aggregates both of those so you have everything which is publicly and easily available via Quandl BUT and this is a big BUT:
** There are lots of other exchanges which are not included in this indicator, i.e. there are lots of other places that traders can open and close shorts outside of those two exchanges **
This indicator should be consider a sample of the market. A soft-indicator, not an exhaustive data resource.
Walkthrough:
This indicator has 3 main settings currently:
Shs Outstanding
Daily Short Volume
Short Volume Ratio
When I'm screening a stock in a potential short squeeze (Example GME, other great examples are KNDI, KODK, etc.) - what I'm looking for is:
Has the dilution changed since the last major squeeze event? (most squeezers are repeat squeezers)
What has the short volume been looking like lately?
What is the ratio of short volume to long volume lately?
Each of those settings on this indicator attempt to answer those questions and those questions only.
For instance, when using the Daily Short Volume indicator - I'm able to see the early squeeze around the 20 mark on GME and try to analyze further if there's potential for a re-squeeze (new shorts who entered at 20 get squeezed by higher prices etc.)
And when using the short volume ratio - I'm trying to predict how MUCH of the move can be attributed to short volume (opening or closing). In this case, it looks like no more than 25% was due to short volume on the NYSE / NASDAQ which is pretty significant compared to something like the KODK move in July 2020 which was pure long day trading on a small float with news catalyst.
VS.
Feel free to reach out with comments, ideas, questions, and more.
Hope this helps you find your Gamestonk before it happens next time.
Shortsqueeze
$lmnd reporting good earnings?A recent wedge i've noticed in lemonade stock could show that lemonade will have a rise in price around the end of February. This will likely be due to better than expected earnings but in the absolute best case scenario would be due to a tesla partnership which was sort of danced around in the last earnings call.
Potential Short Squeeze setup because everyone is bearishThere are a lot of small shorts opening to front run a potential next lower high but our support in this consolidation is parabolic and the 1h bearish divergence is being supported by the bulls to prevent the divergence confirmation of crossing below 60 on RSI 14.
We also had that spring with massive volume , and this trend is old; not to mention basically everyone is looking for lower highs to short.
All the ingredients are there. I give it a 55% chance we squeeze up to 40-42k or 50-52k.
If we break our parabolic support, we can then use wykoff analysis to determine if we are in a reversal to back-test 33k support or if a bullish higher low will form.
How not to get REKT by the infamous BTC Whale BearsFirst point to note: No setup is foolproof. However, past experience and history provides a high probability when you play setups correctly and are strategic with your risk management. From what I've seen, the majority of traders (I'd guess in the range of 60-80%) will lose money trying to trade this environment regardless if playing Bear or Bull. I always recommend using scalp plays and cost averaging to mitigate the risk of a short squeeze in a scenario like this one.
Okay with that being said, Here's how you play the setup:
Remember, there are fractal rising wedges all throughout the major wedge.
The major wedge will eventually reveal itself, and most likely stairstep all the way to the support above (previously the resistance before the recent dump).
The trick is not to over commit on the fractal wedges or you'll get rekt by whale bear.
Set your stop above the support or above the wedge, depending on your risk tolerance. Highly conservative traders should not enter a trade until they have seen the major wedge appear, or use a very disciplined scale in (i.e., commit more at the top of wedges, and be aware a bigger wedge may come so leave some cash to play with.
If you want to play shorter term trades, focus mainly on cost averaging, and take profits as necessary. There will likely be an opportunity to re-enter a position if this is indeed a large rising wedge pattern. In the case it is not, then definitely take profits. (So basically cost average and take profits where necessary). I try not to overthink this. Sell half the position at extreme moves or the bottom of wedges and you'll likely get to re-enter that position and improve your cost basis.
Be extremely patient and stick to your stop. The whale bears will push the price up as much as they can without breaking the major rising wedge. In the process they'll squeeze out baby bears and they'll trick bulls into giving them their money.
When the whale bears are ready, they'll take the elevator down. It usually happens very fast so have some sell targets with limit orders already set. Meanwhile, if you're extra bear-ish, save some of the position in case we find new lows.
I like to move my stops down when i'm in profits or i've achieved a nice cost basis. You can set that to break even, or whatever profit you're not willing to give up.
Remember, short squeezes can happen at any time. You should not take on more risk than you are willing to lose. Always ensure you can stay in the game. Always adapt to changing circumstances and new information.
Good luck! I hope this guide is useful.
Any experienced Bears out there that play similar setups? What did I miss or what can I improve in this play? Look forward to comments. Thank you!
Will History repeat itself? With uncertainty in the air the market not just AMC and other memestock in general is panic selling. Major general market as well is bearish, such as the SPY for example and including stocks like NFLX had recently suffers a lot downside. However I think this is the perfect catalyst for AMC short squeeze imo. Will 2008 Volkswagen occur again this year? Nobody knows. If we are to fall to $14, or $7, AMC may experience a long consolidation before a rally again. Bad for swing trader, daytrader that are bullish, but good for shares buying at lower price.
Let's play the GaME!GameStop broke this triangle 📐 up, and I think there is chance for run to 605 USD and even higher. Just bought the pullback to the BUY level, which is previous local high now acting as support. Let the game begin! 🎮
ENTRY : previous local high @ 189.33
SL : local low @ 136.5
TARGET : height of the triangle projected from midpoint of the local range (BUY - SL) @ 605
RRR : 8
INVALIDATION : when SL level hit
Like👍 & Enjoy🍿!
#GAMESTOP #GME #STOCKS #WALLSTREETBETS #WSB #SHORTSQUEEZE
BBIG Bulls/Bears fighting at the 200MANASDAQ:BBIG
The chart speaks!
The bulls and bears are toughing it out at the 200MA - can you see it?
Bullish setup: a daily candle that closes above the 200MA and retests the $5-5.30 volume shelf with the proceeding candle
Bearish setup: a daily candle closes below the 200 MA and proceeds to close a candle below the Jan 14 support level of $3.80
AMC - Squeeze Scenario (Cycles, Patterns, Crash)(Not Financial Advice) Posting this scenario, constructed using the current (62 day Cycle) I have been tracking, as well as comparing them to both Doge's and Lucid's Cycle. This scenario also takes into account the possibility of a market crash event. The market is a bit shaky and there is a lot of uncertainty, if we see pressure start to drop the index's around April then a potential cup and handle pattern would be likely to play out, a ripple effect with overleveraged shorts on AMC, would be the ultimate catalyst imo.
GME to $50 SupportUpdating monthly chart trade from before. We have hit the first monthly MA support. I think its inevitable we go lower to the lower MA for support which coincidentally aligns with the $50 resistance range that may now become support. Judging by the timeline it could be another year before any kind of MOASS, which is good for any long term holders. Good luck!
Stocks To Watch This WeekWeekly charts showing what is working in the market. I show the ETF first and them some strong names in the group. Get a pen and paper because I go quickly and make the trade your own.. These names have shown good relative strength and accumulation volume and most are in the growth sector. This may give good risk/reward entries on some of the best names. Some of these charts still need to confirm their price action. This video is my watchlist. Most of these names are at or near all time highs or multi year highs. There are 35 total stocks on this list Many of these have IPO'd in the last few years and still have a growth story ahead of them. Know your time frame and risk tolerance. Know your earnings dates! I go through these quickly so grab a pencil and paper and jot down the names that look interesting to you and then make the trade your own. Good Luck!
BTCUSD liquidity grab and bounce off yearly VALBTC grabbed ran local lows and reversed in a liquidity grab. Looking to see a rally to higher liquidity and to potentially put in another lower high before down trend continues. Retail is likely shorting here so they will get squeezed and bring higher prices in short-term.
AMC CEO sold another $7.1 million shares this weekAdam Aron, AMC`s CEO sold 312,500 shares on Tuesday, according to a filing with the U.S. SEC.
His total proceeds since November is $42 million.
Aron has still 2,302,760 shares worth more than $52 million based on AMC’s latest closing price, or maybe even less if AMC will fill the Gap to $16, which is possible.
After retail investors saved the company from bankruptcy, the CEO dumped a lot of shares lately as an act of gratitude.
Thanks, Adam!
$LGVN – SI 65%Longeveron Inc., a clinical stage biotechnology company, develops cellular therapies for aging-related and life-threatening conditions. The company's lead investigational product is the LOMECEL-B, a cell-based therapy product that is derived from culture-expanded medicinal signaling cells that are sourced from bone marrow of young healthy adult donors. It is conducting Phase 1 and 2 clinical trials in various indications, such as aging frailty, alzheimer's disease, metabolic syndrome, acute respiratory distress syndrome, and hypoplastic left heart syndrome. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Miami, Florida.
BTC - Potential Price Areas To Look ForAs BTC is grinding lower and lower there are still two potential scenarios that could happen in the upcoming days. First there is the support area where we are in right now at the time of writing (orange box). I still see it as being quite good of a support area and also a resistance during the summer of last year.
This is why i think that if this orange price area holds for now it could trigger massive short-squeeze to the upside, where if it breaks above orange area we could expect to even go as high as reaching to 55k area (green box), but of course not further. This is where it is expected for the price to reverse from (if such short-squeeze even happens). 54-60k is such a massive resistence that i don't see it breaking until the next bull run, years in the future.
If the short squeeze happens or not i still expect BTC to dip into a capitulation area (red box) eventually.
I am not a financial advisor so non of this should be taken as a financial advise. Be Well.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC Reversal IdeaHey guys,
BTC is resting on a key support, breaking this level would mean the short term up trend is broken and we will have to reassess the next zones of support.
Here are the bearish order blocks that will likely get filled.
MACD, RSI and Stochastic RSI are all trying to curve upwards currently, we are looking for a small short term bounce out of BTC before we come back down to retest the trendline, make everyone place large short trades, and then have a massive short squeeze to liquidate all the shorts.
This happens time and time again.
Just an idea for you guys.