Bearish pattern - XAU correction ! 2700⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices are recovering part of Wednesday’s decline from the record high of $2,759 early Thursday. The rebound is supported by a pause in the US Dollar's rise, as US Treasury bond yields stabilize ahead of the preliminary S&P Global US PMI data.
Gold is now awaiting the US PMI data for further direction. The slight pullback in the USD and yields is likely due to improving market sentiment in Asia after Wall Street's tech sell-off. US equity futures are also recovering, helped by Tesla Inc.’s positive earnings report, which provided some relief to investors.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
A HEAD AND SHOULDERS model is forming, long-term H2 frame RSI bearish divergence. Expect gold's correction to approach 2700 - 2680
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2763 - $2765 SL $2770
TP1: $2755
TP2: $2747
TP3: $2740
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2739 - $2741 SL $2744 scalping
TP1: $2735
TP2: $2730
TP3: $2720
Note the support zone: 2680
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2701 - $2703 SL $2696
TP1: $2710
TP2: $2718
TP3: $2725
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Sellsignal
XAUUSDHere is our view and update on XAUUSD . Potential short opportunity.
As per our last mind, we were waiting for signs of exhaustion on XAUUSD . We have also broken the structure and our KL (Key Level) 2737 .
In detail,
As price on XAUUSD has broken our KL (Key Level) that’s sitting at 2737 , it has also broken the upside structure . We are entering at the break of our KL at 2737.811 with SL sitting at 2749.285 as it would invalidate the trade idea and continue the bullish movement creating new highs. Our TP (Take Profit) is sitting at the previous ATH (All Time High) 2685 .
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 2737.811
- SL: 2749.285
- TP: 2685.800
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD price is showing exhaustion.
- XAUUSD broke our KL (Key Level).
- The bullish structure has been broken.
- Breaking above our SL would result in more upside.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Is it time to Sell USDCAD? Interest Rate aheadThe USDCAD pair has been trending upwards steadily since 24 September, achieving a notable gain of 3.22% without any significant retracement. It is now approaching a key resistance level of 1.3880, the most significant resistance region since 2022.
USDCAD overbought?
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicated a reading of 75.53 on 21 October, suggesting a potential overbought condition for USDCAD. The RSI is a widely used indicator in technical analysis, employed to identify possible overbought or oversold scenarios.
Classic Bearish Divergence on H4:
On the 4-hour chart, USDCAD has formed a classic bearish divergence, signalling the potential influx of selling pressure. A classic bearish divergence occurs when the price makes higher highs while the RSI fails to keep pace, forming lower highs.
This is a powerful bearish reversal pattern, particularly relevant following a significant upward movement, as is the case with USDCAD at this time.
Technical Analysis Summary:
From a technical analysis standpoint, we have identified several key factors:
1. A directional upward movement, accumulating 3.22% in USDCAD.
2. The RSI indicates signs of buyer exhaustion on the H4 chart.
3. The presence of a classic bearish divergence on the H4 chart.
These elements collectively support the notion that USDCAD may be in an overbought situation, potentially creating selling opportunities.
Sell trigger with 9-period Moving Average
Recent price action has remained above the 9-period moving average, indicating a slight uptrend in the short term.
However, if the price crosses below the SMA9 on the H4 chart, this could act as a sell trigger, leading to a potential decline towards the 1.3690 region within a few days.
Impact of CAD Interest Rate Decisions:
The Bank of Canada is currently adopting a more dovish stance, gradually lowering interest rates as inflation moves closer to control. This has been evidenced in recent meetings, with a consistent 0.25% cut implemented at each meeting. The next interest rate decision is scheduled for 23 October, with the market anticipating a potential 0.50% cut. However, given that the last three meetings resulted in 0.25% reductions, a 0.50% cut appears unlikely at this stage. If the interest rate cut is smaller than expected, the CAD may appreciate in the short term, which could further contribute to a decline in USD/CAD.
Monitoring Key Developments
In summary, as USDCAD approaches a critical resistance level amid signs of overbought conditions, traders should monitor these technical indicators and market sentiments closely. With potential selling opportunities pending and the influence of interest rate decisions looming, it will be crucial to stay alert to market developments moving forward.
Disclaimer:
74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
BITCOIN Takes A Dump!As previously stated. Are Buy above the level $60,000 has led to the major resistance of $68,000-$69,000. I believe will will have a major rejection leading to a plummeting fall towards $65,000 and below $60,000. Any break through $59,000-$56,000 could lead to a triggering fall towards $48,000. If bitcoin reacts negatively with the $48,000 support, this could consequently put us at a liquidation area of around $42,000-$38,500
This is just a prediction, please be safe trading. Good luck!
Sold 1/2 Bitcoin. Raised Stops.Even though we did not reach my 1:2 rrr target, nor did my sell signal fire off, I am choosing to take 1/2 of my Bitcoin profit here, raise my stops, and hold the remainder of the position. I should’ve done this at 68k, but wanted to see how this market would handle the top of our channel.
All along the big resistance target I have discussed has been 68k. I still believe we could break through it, however, the chart is beginning to disagree. Inside of my descending channel (which is bullish long-term) we have this ascending wedge pattern beginning to form (this is bearish). If correct and it plays out, it would take us all the way down to 48k. Sound significant? Yeah, that’s ‘cuz it is!
You’ve heard me discuss 48k many times in the past. It is the neckline of a larger inverse head and shoulders pattern seen on the weekly chart below. We wicked down once in an attempt to kiss and retest. But that may not have been enough tongue action for these bears?
Mark this wedge out on your charts and watch it closely. It is significant. And if it breaks? To 48k we’ll go.
SIDEWAY gold! 2627 - 2660 competitive price range⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) pulled back from a one-week high on Monday, ending a two-day winning streak as the US Dollar (USD) strengthened. Investors no longer expect a significant rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed) in November, keeping US Treasury yields high and attracting investment away from the non-yielding gold.
Additionally, disappointment over China's fiscal stimulus and weak inflation data over the weekend further dampened investor confidence, weighing on gold prices. However, ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East helped gold find support above the $2,640 level during Tuesday's Asian session, limiting further losses.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The psychology of waiting for November interest rates was clearly shown this week. There is not much news announced, Gold price is sideways in the price range 2627 - 2660
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2636 - $2634 SL $2631 scalping
TP1: $2642
TP2: $2650
TP3: $2655
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2629 - $2627 SL $2622
TP1: $2635
TP2: $2642
TP3: $2650
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2660 - $2662 SL $2667
TP1: $2650
TP2: $2640
TP3: $2630
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
10/15 ! XAU continue SIDEWAY over $2640XAU / USD trend forecast October 15, 2024
Gold prices pulled back after reaching a daily high of $2,666 on Monday, as China’s stimulus measures failed to lift markets and the US Dollar continued to strengthen. XAU/USD is trading around $2,650, down 0.26%.
Weekend data showed China’s economy facing deflationary pressures, jeopardizing its 5% GDP target. In response, Finance Minister Lan Foan stated that the government will maintain stimulus efforts, support the property market, and increase state bank capital to stimulate the economy.
No important economic news this week - sideways time. Gold accumulates waiting for information on interest rates in November 2024
/// SELL XAU : zone 2659-2662
SL: 2667
TP: 50 - 100 - 200 pips (2642)
Safe and profitable trading
CAD/JPY October Setup: Bearish Divergence Confirmed with TDI
CAD/JPY October Market Structure and Trading Analysis
In the month of October, the CAD/JPY pair is exhibiting a classic open high-low-close structure, indicating a potential sell setup. This bearish outlook has now been confirmed with a TDI (Traders Dynamic Index) cross, signaling the appropriate time to consider sell entries.
Key Technical Highlights:
1. Bearish Divergence: A significant bearish divergence has been present since July 19, 2024, continuing to the current market price. This divergence suggests weakening bullish momentum and a likely shift towards a downward trend.
2. Open High Structure on Daily Timeframe: The daily chart for October reflects an open high structure, which is a strong indication of a bearish trend for the remainder of the month.
3. Overbought Conditions: Following a bullish breakout that began on October 1, 2024, the market had reached overbought levels, creating a favorable scenario for a reversal.
4. Confirmed Bearish TDI Cross: As of October 10, a bearish TDI cross has occurred, confirming the presence of sellers in the market. This cross is a key technical indicator, signaling that sell positions are now supported by market conditions.
**Take Profit Targets:**
- **Take Profit 1:** 107.250
- **Take Profit 2:** 106.500
Trading Recommendations:
Even though we have the confirmation from the TDI cross, it is essential to remain cautious and ensure that valid signals continue to align with the overall market conditions. Always apply risk management strategies to safeguard your capital while trading.
If this analysis has been useful, please feel free to like, comment, and follow for more updates. I’ll be sure to follow back. Best of luck with your trades!
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Gold recovers - touch TREND H2 - SELL NOWXAU / USD trend forecast October 11, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) pulls back slightly from a three-day high, trading around $2,640 in early European trading on Friday, though still up over 0.40%. A rise in US jobless claims indicated labor market weakness, allowing the Federal Reserve to continue cutting rates. This led to a slight drop in US Treasury yields and a softer risk tone, helping gold gain for a second day.
However, stronger-than-expected US inflation data reduced the chances of another large Fed rate cut in November, supporting the US Dollar and limiting gold's gains. Traders now await the US PPI, Michigan Consumer Sentiment, and Fedspeak for further direction.
Gold recovered - broke the downtrend H1. However, the larger frame H2 - H4 still shows that the correction is still continuing. While the market psychology is worried that there will be no further interest rate cut in November.
/// SELL XAU : zone 2652-2655
SL: 2660
TP: 50 - 100 - 300 pips (2625)
Safe and profitable trading
XAU down! correction 10/10/2024XAU / USD trend forecast October 10, 2024
Gold continued its decline for the sixth straight day after the Federal Reserve (Fed) released its September Meeting Minutes. The Minutes revealed that most FOMC members supported a 50-basis-point cut, though XAU/USD remains near $2,610, down 0.37%.
While some officials preferred a 25 bps cut, all agreed on lowering rates. Most participants saw inflation risks decreasing, while concerns about the labor market increased.
H1 frame shows Gold price correction - amid news of China stopping gold purchases continuing to impact further bullish momentum. Price continues to correct below 2600
/// SELL XAU : zone 2623-2626
SL: 2631
TP: 50 - 100 - 300 pips (2596)
Safe and profitable trading
CPI ! Opportunity for gold price to fall below 2600⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) edged higher during the Asian session on Thursday, ending a six-day losing streak that brought it to a nearly three-week low. The US Dollar (USD) is in a consolidation phase as traders await the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release. This repositioning has provided some support to gold.
However, a significant rally in gold seems unlikely due to reduced expectations for aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), as highlighted by the September FOMC meeting minutes. Elevated US Treasury yields may continue to limit gains, requiring strong buying to signal the end of gold's recent corrective decline from its all-time high.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
The long-term framework H1, H4 shows that sellers prevail - the downward correction will continue towards below $2600
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2583 - $2585 SL $2578
TP1: $2590
TP2: $2600
TP3: $2610
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2649 - $2651 SL $2656
TP1: $2644
TP2: $2638
TP3: $2630
Pay attention to the trendline resistance area H1: 2633
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
EUR/JPY October Market Outlook: Bearish Setup with Key Sell Sign
EUR/JPY October Market Structure and Trading Insights
The monthly structure for EUR/JPY in October shows an open high-low-close pattern, which is indicative of a potential sell setup. However, we are currently waiting for confirmation in the form of a TDI (Traders Dynamic Index) cross, which will signal when to enter sell positions.
Key Points to Note:
1. Bearish Divergence: From August 16, 2024, through the current market high, we observe a clear bearish divergence. This is often a precursor to downward movement and strengthens the case for a sell setup.
2. Daily Timeframe Open High Structure: The daily chart for October reflects an open-high structure, reinforcing the bearish outlook for the month.
3. Overbought Market Conditions: Since the bullish breakout on October 1, 2024, the price has been in an overbought zone. This suggests that a reversal is likely as the market corrects from these elevated levels.
4. Double Top ('M') Pattern: There is a visible double top pattern, also known as an 'M' pattern, on the daily chart. The second leg of this 'M' pattern looks particularly strong, further signaling a potential bearish move.
5. TDI Cross as Confirmation: A bearish TDI cross will serve as a confirmation of the presence of sellers. This signal is essential to validate the entry for sell trades.
Take Profit Levels:
- Take Profit 1: 161.600
- Take Profit 2: 160.500
Trading Advice:
It is important to exercise patience and wait for valid confirmation signals, such as the TDI cross, before entering any trades. Always approach the market with caution, utilizing sound risk management strategies to safeguard your capital.
If you found this analysis helpful, please consider liking, commenting, and following for future updates. I will gladly return the follow. Best of luck with your trades!
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USD/JPY October Market Analysis: Bearish Structure and Key Sell
USD/JPY October Market Analysis and Trading Setup
In the month of October, we are observing an open high-low-close structure on the USD/JPY, which strongly suggests the development of a potential sell setup. At this point, we are awaiting further confirmation through a TDI (Traders Dynamic Index) cross, which will signal the appropriate entry points for sell positions.
Key Observations:
1. Bearish Divergence: Since August 16, 2024, there has been a clear bearish divergence, extending from that date to the current market high.
2. Daily Timeframe Structure: The open-high structure on the daily chart for October further strengthens the bearish outlook.
3. Overbought Conditions: The market appears significantly overbought, following a bullish breakout that began on October 1, 2024.
4. TDI Cross as Confirmation: A bearish cross in the TDI indicator will serve as confirmation of the presence of sellers, providing an essential signal for initiating sell positions.
Targeted Take Profit Levels:
- Take Profit 1: 147.500
- Take Profit 2: 146.500
- Take Profit 3: 145.500
- Take Profit 4: 144.500
Trading Advice:
It is crucial to wait for valid signals, such as the TDI cross, to confirm entries before taking action. Always trade with caution, and ensure risk management strategies are in place to protect your capital.
If you found this analysis helpful, please like, comment, and follow for more updates. I will gladly follow back. Wishing you success in your trades!
FOMC ! Is this a sharp decline or correction?⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) dropped nearly 1.5% on Tuesday, reaching a three-week low but found support near the $2,600 level. The stronger US Dollar, driven by reduced expectations of a large Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut, pressured the non-yielding gold. Additionally, news of a potential ceasefire between Hezbollah and Israel further weighed on the safe-haven metal, pushing it below $2,630.
However, the decline paused as traders await the release of the September FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday, along with US inflation data (CPI and PPI) later this week, which will influence the Fed’s rate outlook. In the meantime, the subdued USD could help limit further losses for gold
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price BREAK through the zone 2625 - 2671 - following a downtrend after news that the Chinese government has unfavorable policies for gold. Adjusted cadence is necessary
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2595 - $2597 SL $2590
TP1: $2602
TP2: $2610
TP3: $2620
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2606 - $2604 SL $2601
TP1: $2610
TP2: $2615
TP3: $2620
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2643 - $2645 SL $2650
TP1: $2635
TP2: $2620
TP3: $2610
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Sideways ! The explosion is about to take place in October! XAU⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) stays under pressure during Tuesday’s Asian session, hovering just above the lower end of a short-term range. Investors are lowering expectations for a large interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in November, as the US labor market shows signs of strength, which weighs on gold.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) has retreated from its seven-week high hit on Friday, as traders await Wednesday’s FOMC meeting minutes. Additionally, key US inflation data, including the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Thursday and the Producer Price Index (PPI) on Friday, will shape the outlook for Fed rate cuts and impact both the USD and gold.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Frame H1 moves in the downtrend line, mainly sideways. Nova is inclined to reduce sideways to the 2624-2627 area to create liquidity and continue to increase. The long-term trend is still up
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2624 - $2626 SL $2618
TP1: $2635
TP2: $2650
TP3: $2672
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2661 - $2663 SL $2666 scalping
TP1: $2655
TP2: $2648
TP3: $2640
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2684 - $2686 SL $2691
TP1: $2678
TP2: $2670
TP3: $2660
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAU/USD Demand Break Analysis and Strategic Sell ZonesWe perform a thorough study of the XAU/USD pair in this trade idea, concentrating on significant demand break levels. We will search for a sell opportunity with a target of 2622 if the market breaks below the demand level at 2638 and closes below it. This strategy enables us to efficiently manage risk and profit from negative momentum.
On the other hand, we see a low-risk selling opportunity in the 2660–65 zone if the market continues higher. This tactical method is appropriate for both novice and seasoned traders since it blends technical research with obvious entry and exit locations.
Important Points:
Level of Demand: 2638
Sell Point: 2621
Resistance Range for Possible Sale: 2660–65
Risk management: Prioritizing opportunities with minimal risk
Sideway - little volatility on the first Monday of the week⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) continues its decline for the fourth straight day, trading near $2,650 during early Monday’s Asian session. The stronger US Dollar, following Friday's upbeat Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, is putting downward pressure on gold.
The US added 254,000 jobs in September, exceeding August’s revised 159,000 and the market expectation of 140,000. The Unemployment Rate fell to 4.1% from 4.2%. These positive US data reduce hopes of deeper interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, boosting the USD and weighing on gold, which is priced in dollars.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
There is not too much information and important economic news, sideway gold price on Monday at the beginning of the week: 2625 - 2660
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2628 - $2630 SL $2623
TP1: $2638
TP2: $2644
TP3: $2650
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2670 - $2672 SL $2677
TP1: $2660
TP2: $2650
TP3: $2640
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Potential EURAUD Sell Setup: Watch for Bearish TDI Cross. TP LevEURAUD's monthly structure on the daily timeframe shows an OHLC setup indicative of a potential sell opportunity. We’re currently awaiting a bearish TDI cross to confirm the presence of sellers in the market.
My target levels for take profit are as follows:
First at 1.65411,
Second at 1.64378
Third at 1.63374 (monthly open on the daily timeframe) .
Please trade with caution. If you find this analysis helpful, please support it with a comment, like, and share.