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Gold Hits New Record: Will the Fed Break Rates?Gold has now surpassed its previous record high of $2,570 an ounce, supported by strong expectations of a Fed rate cut. However, higher-than-expected US consumer price data has reduced the likelihood of a 50 basis point rate cut this month, although the market still expects a 100 basis point cut by the end of the year. Gold is considered a “safe haven” amid the current uncertainty, and if the Fed does cut rates as expected, gold prices could continue to rise.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Naoomi
XAUUSD H4 Analysis - Bullish or BearishPair Name = Gold Timeframe = H4 Analysis = technical + fundamentals Please see the Above chart To see The Gold Next Moves. We are currently in new Price Ranges. But we are also using our previous analysis and data to Follow the exact Path. Currently We Can see between two strong support and Resistance levels. As we can see at chart 2590 Gold Price level and 2663 Gold Price level. EMA 5 is indicating the trend of the market. EMA Cross over can range between 2577 to 2580. That indicates if Price breaks this level. Then we will see a small retesting period. This kind market allow us to buy the dip and cash another next trend move. Strongest retesting zone exists between the price level 2545 to 2556 price level. EMA 5 Crossing levels:- 2580 To 2577 Retracement Zone:- 2545 To 2555 Bullish Gold Levels:- 2590 2615 Bearish Gold Levels:- 2564 2556 2545 2530 Stay tune we Will update again when market will give up another good direction move. With Different different time frame we check the market to get the Accuracte analysis according market next move.Happy trading.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Alpha-GoldFX
Is Gold at Its Brightest?On the charts, gold prices are continuing their strong upward momentum, breaking through key resistance levels and moving towards testing new highs. This is supported by data from the Kitco News surveys, which show strong optimism from both professionals and retail investors on the outlook for gold. Technical analysis on the 4-hour chart shows that gold prices have broken through key resistance levels and are entering a “new price discovery zone”, a period that could see high price volatility due to the lack of resistance. The next resistance level on the chart is located at around $2,600/ounce, and this will be the next target that investors are aiming for. With the Fed expected to cut interest rates on September 18, along with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, gold is expected to continue to receive attention as a safe-haven asset. Investors should closely monitor the Fed’s statements and the geopolitical situation to adjust their investment strategies accordingly. In addition, the demand for physical gold remains high in the context of devaluation of domestic currencies, showing that gold is not only an investment channel but also a means of protecting assets. The current growth in gold prices and the possibility of continued growth in the long term is a positive signal for those who are looking for safety in their investments.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Naoomi
USDCAD Is Very Bearish! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for USDCAD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.358. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.355 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
SPY: Short-Term Selloff Anticipated After Fed Rate Cut DecisionIf you haven`t bought the recent dip on SPY: Now you need to know that as the Federal Reserve approaches its rate cut decision this week, speculation is high that we may see a larger-than-expected cut of 50 basis points rather than the anticipated 25. This could trigger a short-term selloff in equities, including the SPY (S&P 500 ETF), despite the initial market reaction. The market often exhibits a “buy the rumor, sell the news” behavior, and this situation could be no different. With expectations set for a 25 basis point cut, a surprise 50 basis point reduction might lead to concerns about the underlying economic conditions. This could prompt a selloff in major indices, including SPY, as traders and investors react to the Fed’s unexpected move. In the immediate aftermath of the Fed decision, SPY might see a brief uptick as market participants adjust their positions and optimism prevails. However, this short-term rally could be quickly overshadowed by a broader correction. As the market digests the implications of the Fed's actions and potential economic concerns come to light, SPY is likely to experience a pullback. For those looking to capitalize on this potential downturn, the $550 strike price puts expiring on October 18, 2024, could be a prudent choice. These puts offer a strategic way to hedge against or profit from the anticipated short-term decline in SPY. Given the expected correction following the Fed's rate cut, this option could provide significant value as SPY faces downward pressure. While SPY may experience an initial rise in response to the Fed’s decision, the broader market sentiment is likely to shift towards risk aversion, leading to a correction in the weeks following the announcement. By October 18, the broader market and SPY could be reflecting these adjustments, making the $550 puts a timely investment. In summary, while SPY might see some early gains next week, a correction is expected to follow as the market reacts to the Fed’s decision. The $550 strike price puts expiring on October 18, 2024, could offer a valuable opportunity for those anticipating this short-term volatility.
AMEX:SPYShort
by TopgOptions
BTC Bitcoin Brief Rise, But Correction LoomsIf you haven`t sold the top on Bitcoin: Now you need to know that as the Federal Reserve's highly anticipated rate cut approaches, the market is bracing for potential volatility, and Bitcoin could be no exception. While many expect a modest 25 basis point cut, a more aggressive 50 basis point reduction is also on the table. This larger-than-expected move could trigger a “buy the rumor, sell the news” scenario, affecting not only traditional assets like the S&P 500 (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) but also risk assets like Bitcoin. Initially, Bitcoin may see a slight uptick in price at the beginning of next week. This short-term rise could be fueled by optimism and increased demand for alternative assets as the market digests the Fed's decision. Bitcoin has historically benefited from periods of loose monetary policy, and in the immediate aftermath of the rate cut, it might experience some buying pressure. However, this rally could be short-lived. With broader markets such as SPY and QQQ expected to correct following the Fed decision, Bitcoin is likely to follow suit. Given its high correlation with risk-on assets during periods of market stress, Bitcoin may see a sharp pullback as traditional equity markets start to sell off. Traders could also unwind their positions in Bitcoin alongside stocks, leading to a broader market correction in both traditional and crypto assets. In the short term, a Fed rate cut that exceeds expectations might signal concerns about the underlying economy, leading to heightened volatility across the board. As risk appetite wanes, Bitcoin's upward momentum could quickly reverse, aligning with the expected correction in SPY and QQQ.
by TopgOptions
RUT2K Short-Term Selloff Likely After Fed Rate Cut DecisionIf you haven’t seen my RUT 2000 prediction for 2024: Now you need to know that as the Federal Reserve’s rate cut decision looms, speculation is rising that we may see a larger-than-expected 50 basis point cut instead of the anticipated 25. While rate cuts are typically a positive for equities, this aggressive move could lead to a short-term selloff, particularly in smaller-cap stocks, represented by the RUT Russell 2000. The reasoning is tied to the market's well-known "buy the rumor, sell the news" behavior. With expectations already priced in for a 25 bps cut, a surprise 50 bps cut could trigger concerns over economic health, prompting investors to de-risk. This would likely lead to a temporary selloff in riskier, smaller-cap stocks, with RUT2K potentially taking a hit in the near term. Given this outlook, I’m considering the $204 strike price puts expiring on October 18, 2024. These options could provide a solid hedge or a potential profit opportunity if the market reacts negatively to the Fed’s decision in the short term, as I expect smaller-cap stocks to feel the pressure more acutely than large-cap counterparts. Despite this expected volatility, the broader market should recover before the end of the month, once investors fully digest the news. By November 5th, on U.S. election day, we could even see new all-time highs in major indices like the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq 100 (NDX). Small caps, however, may take longer to rebound, adding further value to a short-term put position in IWM. Fed Chair Jerome Powell appears motivated to support a strong market ahead of the elections, which could benefit Democrats. Former President Donald Trump has indicated he would not reappoint Powell if he returns to office, potentially giving Powell incentive to maintain market stability leading up to November. In summary, while a larger-than-expected rate cut could cause IWM ( Russell 2000 ETF ) to face short-term turbulence, the market will likely stabilize by the end of September. The $204 strike price puts expiring on October 18, 2024, offer a timely opportunity for traders seeking to capitalize on this brief volatility.
TVC:RUTShort
by TopgOptions
QQQ Short-Term Selloff After the Fed's Rate Cut DecisionIf you haven`t bought the recent dip in QQQ: Then you need to know that as we approach the Federal Reserve's rate cut decision this week, there is growing speculation that the central bank may implement a larger-than-expected 50 basis point cut, instead of the anticipated 25. While rate cuts are typically viewed as bullish for markets, this unexpected move could trigger a short-term selloff, particularly in tech-heavy indices like the QQQ. Why? The market tends to operate on a "buy the rumor, sell the news" mentality. Investors have already priced in expectations of a modest 25 bps cut, so if the Fed delivers a more aggressive 50 bps cut, it may signal heightened concern over economic conditions, causing traders to pull back. Such a scenario could spook the market, leading to a temporary selloff in major indices like the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ). In light of this, it may be worth considering a bearish strategy for the short term. Specifically, the $475 strike price puts expiring on September 20 could be a prudent option, as they stand to gain value in the event of a selloff following the Fed decision. The short-term market reaction could make these puts a strategic play for traders anticipating a dip. While the reaction to the Fed decision could be sharp in the short term, it’s unlikely to be long-lasting. Market participants will soon digest the news, and I expect a recovery by the end of the month. In fact, by November 5th—U.S. election day—we could see new all-time highs in both the S&P 500 (SPX) and the Nasdaq 100 (NDX). Fed Chair Jerome Powell has been keen on maintaining market stability, which could give the Democrats a slight edge in the upcoming elections. After all, former President Donald Trump has stated he wouldn’t reappoint Powell if re-elected, possibly adding a political dimension to the Fed’s moves. In conclusion, while the QQQ might face near-term turbulence due to the Fed’s potentially larger-than-expected rate cut, the broader market is likely to recover soon, with tech stocks regaining their upward momentum as the election approaches. The $475 strike price puts expiring on September 20 could serve as a timely hedge during this brief period of volatility.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by TopgOptions
EURCAD Will Fall! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for EURCAD. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 1.503. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.498 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
2
GBPCAD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for GBPCAD. Time Frame: 15m Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.783. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.780 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1