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SOYB- the soybean ETF moves on buying pressure LONGOn the 4H Chart, SOYB has moved above both tthe near and intermediate term POC lines of the respective volume profiles. Upward price volatility above the running mean on the relative volatility indicator. In confluence pric emoved above the mean basis band of the double Bollinger band. Fundamentally, supply-demand imbalances including the collapse of the Black Sea shipping deal as bad actor Russia continues to inflict chaos has a ripple effect throughout agricultural commodity markets. Soybean prices are not following the chaos and volatility of the general markets like AMEX and NASDAQ but rather they follow the beat of their own drum like seasonality crop yields shipping costs and others. This make an alternative to avoid going heavy into topping or sinking general markets. They allow diversification not unlike adding bonds to a portfolio when trying to weather the storm. Given the narrow trading range I will play this with some call options If you would like my idea of an excellent call option trade please leave a comment. See also my ideas on WEAT and CORN. se to expire after the harvest and into the planting in in Brazil.
AMEX:SOYBLong
by AwesomeAvani
Potential Bull TrapWith recent declining trend in the general crypto space. It is important to take into account the potential emergence of Bull Traps. We can see one occurring currently now with a 13% sharp drop to XRP, 14% in LTC and ~4 to 5% dancing 2 hr short candles for DOGE, BTC and UNI. Impulsive traders may see the current moment as a good idea to go Long by banking in on a potential reversal. But let me explain fundamentally why this is potentially not a good idea. With the recent outpouring of good news from the XRP side of things (recent and YTD): The relist on major exchanges, the partnership with several banks of albeit non-major countries and corporations, as well as the successful yet partial victory of its court case against the SEC; we have yet to see its impact across the wider crypto space. The legal clarity of XRP itself did not provide a significant bullish sentiment towards Bitcoin which it is still dependent upon as an market indicator. Bitcoin still remains the invisible tether that virtually pegs other altcoins to it. Unless XRP itself can shift and sail away Bitcoin. We will still be depending on Bitcoin's bullish outlook for XRP increase in value. Until then, we await Grayscale's Lawsuit with the SEC regarding Grayscale's BITCOIN ETF venture that will presumably finished this week. Or the next, who knows.
BINANCE:XRPUSDShort
by Axarpy
3
Fakeout and then new low before the halving and bull run I'm here to share my optimistic take on Bitcoin's potential trajectory! It's invigorating to witness the likelihood of BTC soaring to the 35k mark in the short term. And here's where the excitement escalates: as we approach this milestone, we might also witness a reversal, potentially dipping to take out the last low at 15.5k. This prospective dip could present an incredible opportunity to employ Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy, allowing us to accumulate more crypto holdings at a discounted rate. This strategic move positions us favorably before the upcoming halving and the anticipated bull run. With this approach, we're primed to ride the wave to new All-Time Highs (ATH), with the tantalizing possibility of reaching the 100k mark. By the way, we have 8 months left until the halving. Imagine the surge in interest and engagement in crypto during this time! Remember, the halving event has historically been a catalyst for significant bullish market shifts. As miner rewards are halved, we tend to see a decrease in new BTC circulating. This often sparks heightened demand and potential bull markets, driving us toward exhilarating milestones. For those curious about the countdown to the halving, you can track it here: Halving Countdown. As we revel in these exciting times, let's keep in mind the broader market context and the various elements at play. Feel free to jump into the discussion with your thoughts and perspectives!
by fibonaccispiral618
1
USD CAD - Demand in control, outlook to 1.40+G'day, Master Key for zones Red = Three Month Blue = Monthly Purple = weekly Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily) Orange = Daily Risk Warning Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual. Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed. Daily chart Weekly Chart Monthly Do you enjoy the setups? Professional analyst with 7+ years experience in the capital markets Focus on technical output not fundamentals Focus on investing for long term positional moves Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress. If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment. To all the followers, thank you for your continued support. Thanks, LVPA MMXXIII
by LupaCapital
Innovation boosts P/E ratios - P/E ration evolvesTechnological Innovation is Compounding Technological progress has huge impact on the P/E ratios of companies and the S&P 500. Technologically advanced companies naturally have a higher P/E as it's expected from them to have better future earnings. One of the ways better future earnings happen is through efficiency leaps. These efficiency leaps are important to businesses' margins but it all comes down to: better tech = more efficiency = lower costs = higher earnings = higher P/E These innovation cycles bring efficiency leaps that are linked to P/E ratio waves. We can observe in this chart that the P/E ratio has cycles that coincide with innovation cycles. There were, of course, macroeconomic factors and wars that impacted the P/E, but high P/E can be explained by innovation cycles. We can also see that each innovation cycle will have higher P/E ratios than the previous. By looking at this chart, it feels that the P/E ratios still have room to grow.
SP:SPXLong
by HenriqueCentieiro
Updat Gold close weekly candleUpdate Gold close weekly candle Gold is about to go through the end of the H4 down wave, when it reaches 1908 it will end the H4 down wave, and we buy small volume to bring gold back to the price balance with a bullish wave on the H1 time frame. Today there is PPI news, in my opinion, Gold sweeps the peak 24-26 then collapses to 1908, and it will be pulled up to withdraw the weekly candle. This idea I update will agree with the idea below, if everything goes well, Gold price goes up 1936-40 we sell off to 1867-1952
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EricGoldHunter
3
INFLATION INCOMING - Real world implications (Oranges)Orange Juice is a clean way to define a couple of key things: -- Weather forecasts -- Inflation -- Supply shocks -- Global trade Recently, I've taken note that OJ futures have skyrocketed more than 200% in the last 3 years. I was so surprised in fact, I had to look at it versus other commodities, which have seen a mild bounce (Wheat, Oats). And bigger spikes (Pork, Chicken) during the supply shocks of the pandemic. But OJ keeps bucking the trend! Is this the REAL effect of inflation?
ICEUS:OJ1!Long
by CrosbyVenture
1
INFLATION is coming (Real consumer costs) Orange Juice is a clean way to define a couple of key things: -- Weather forecasts -- Inflation -- Supply shocks -- Global trade Recently, I've taken note that OJ futures have skyrocketed more than 200% in the last 3 years. I was so surprised in fact, I had to look at it versus other commodities, which have seen a mild bounce (Wheat, Oats). And bigger spikes (Pork, Chicken) during the supply shocks of the pandemic. But OJ keeps bucking the trend! Is this the REAL effect of inflation?
ICEUS:OJ1!Long
by CrosbyVenture
Gold Breaks Out of Triangle Pattern, Targets $1,850Gold has been trading in a symmetrical triangle pattern since June, consolidating between lower highs and higher lows. The pattern suggests a period of indecision and uncertainty, but also implies a potential breakout in either direction. On August 9, gold finally broke out of the triangle to the upside, closing above the upper trendline and the 50-day moving average. The breakout was confirmed by a surge in volume and a bullish crossover of the MACD indicator. The triangle breakout signals a continuation of the previous uptrend that started in March, when gold bottomed at $1,677. The measured move of the triangle projects a target of $1,850, which is also near the 200-day moving average and the resistance level from May. The breakout also coincides with a weaker US dollar, as the market anticipates a lower-than-expected CPI inflation report for July. A lower CPI would ease the pressure on the Fed to taper its stimulus, which would benefit gold as a hedge against currency devaluation. Therefore, I expect gold to continue its rally towards $1,850 in the coming weeks, as long as it stays above the triangle support and the 50-day moving average. A break below these levels would invalidate the bullish scenario and suggest a false breakout.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Scelo_Sphiwe
4
My Transaction HistoryAt the beginning of July, I bought and held 2 Gold orders like the long-term idea below. I have liquidated 1 order. And sell off Gold according to the idea below with the hope that gold creates a wedge on the daily frame, which is a necessary condition for Gold to go up in the long term. My sell-off order moved my stop loss to a tie. Avoid the case of Gold going up, of course I will not liquidate this sell order soon when the price has not reached 1900-1890. And when Gold price fills the lower wedge, I will Buy more and this time hold for a long time.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EricGoldHunter
DCA opportunity of a lifetime?After the disappointments from the Iphone sales, again. We might have just stepped into prices we could never see again in years to come. Because of these strong levels, and a boring year and a half with no major breakouts. we might see some DCA opportunities arise under the recent trend line breakout that seems to indicate a weaker long term bullish trend in the next few months. The Fibonacci-golden-pockets usually gives strong levels to enter long positions if the rallies ever where to push the price so deep. Short term, there looks to be a lot of demand in this current price, and the price will probably attempt a retest towards the recent breakout level. Beyond this short-term time horizon, Apple might be able to maintain its strength and continue the bullish phase it has experienced so far this year.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by KBM_
Italy - 3rd Largest Economy in the EUItaly 40 Index - CAPITALCOM:IT40 Made up of 40 of the largest companies in the Italian equity market the Borsa Italiana , the IT40 gives us an idea of how the 3rd largest economy in Europe is performing. The Chart - 22 month cycles - 22 months increasing and then decreasing - Based on the pattern we are reaching the end of a 22 month period where price is typically up to 30% lower from current level. - A bearish engulfing monthly candle appears to be forming here. If we close this month with a bearish engulfing candle, history would suggest significant down side will follow. - We have not lost the 10 month moving average yet which typically offers confirmation of further decline. Past patterns are no guarantee of a continuation of future patterns however we can watch out for the continuation. Confirmation signals of significant downside which would be; - Bearish Engulfing Monthly Candle (end of Aug) - Losing the 10 month moving average - In the event of same decline time window once in motion would be Aug - Nov 2023 (based on pattern) Lets see what happens. PUKA
CAPITALCOM:IT40Short
by PukaCharts
ISM New Orders vs Consumer SentimentISM New Orders Vs Michigan Consumer Sentiment index ISM New orders provide an indication of current consumer demand. Utilising a chart of New Orders readings we can attempt to understand the trend of consumer demand forward. ISM New Orders could be considered an additional gauge of consumer sentiment because if businesses are reporting increases in orders month over month, this demonstrates consumers have the consistently had the resources and the desire to spend. If this continues over months a trend can form and we can capture this direction on a chart. To support the ISM predictive argument I include a chart that illustrates a correlation between the ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, the latter of which is considered one of thee leading indicators for predicting future consumer spending/demand. This will be posted in the comments. According to Investopedia "ISM data is considered to be a leading indicator of economic trends. Not only does the ISM Manufacturing Index report information on the prior two months, it outlines long-term trends that have been building over time based on prevailing economic conditions". According to the University of Michigan, the Consumer Sentiment Surveys "have proven to be an accurate indicator of the future course of the national economy." Based on the above correlation I postulate that we can use the ISM New Orders Index as an additional leading/predictive indicator to establish what direction consumer demand is trending. Something we can keep an eye on and something that will factor in this weeks MACRO MONDAY Edition which i will post immediately after this PUKA
ECONOMICS:USMNO
by PukaCharts
Shib🐶 End of year 2023 update will it hit $0.01After the rally due to the recent announcement that of a possible Price Boost From Binance ‘Loans’ A lot has changed this outcome and possible support for the future, the question still remains Will Shib see $0.01? I can't fully answer that question but the likelihood of it is high. Be warned, however; there is no telling when and if it will, the gold bars are just idea areas where it might go if shib see's major support in the coming months so take it with a grain of salt. BINANCE:SHIBUSDT COINBASE:SHIBUSD CRYPTOCAP:SHIB
by Grandmaster_Oz
2
Update plan GBPUSD 2/8 - H4On the H4 time frame, the current price is approaching 1.26525 Coming here is confirmation of the end of the H4 down wave. The down wave H4 is the correcting wave of the weekly frame. Therefore, this idea also reinforces that GU still maintains an uptrend in the medium term. I have the related ideas below, whenever there are convergence points I will increase the trading volume, which often brings me high profits. Don't forget we have news tomorrow about interest rates and then USD news, I predict GU will establish 2 bottoms in H1 frame, the latter bottom is lower than the previous one (bottom sweep scenario in H4 frame). Because this is its characteristic.
Long
by EricGoldHunter
5
The Real Alt Coin Season Starts Here!Bitcoin usually surpasses the future halving price in crypto Autumn. Shortly there after we usually start to see alt coins ripping higher at different points throughout the season, all the way up to even early crypto Winter. On this chart I have a few of those OG alt coins (XRP, DOGE & LTC) compared to Bitcoin. The green dashed vertical lines are the points where bitcoin surpassed the future halving price in the past 2 cycles. Now take a look at the parabolic rise of these alt coins after that event. Vertical! Obviously there are some pretty significant moves before then, but nothing compares to after bitcoin surpasses the future halving price! The next event is projected to be around late 2024 to early 2025. What are your thoughts?
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptoWeatherChannel
SPX 500 - where are we now?G'day, Master Key for zones Red = Three Month Blue = Monthly Purple = weekly Pink = Three, Four Day Orange = Daily Risk Warning Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual. Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed. Daily Chart Weekly Monthly Do you enjoy the setups? Professional analyst with 6+ years experience in the capital markets Focus on technical output not fundamentals Focus on investing for long term positional moves Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress. If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment. To all the followers, thank you for your continued support. Thanks, LVPA MMXXIII
OANDA:SPX500USD
by LupaCapital