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AUD USD - Fresh supply in play, awaiting the PCPG'day, Master Key for zones Red = Three Month Blue = Monthly Purple = weekly Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily) Orange = Daily Risk Warning Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual. Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed Monthly Weekly Daily Do you enjoy the setups? Professional analyst with 7+ years experience in the capital markets Focus on technical output not fundamentals Focus on investing for long term positional moves Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress. If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment. To all the followers, thank you for your continued support. Thanks, LVPA MMXXIV
by LupaCapital
Bitcoin Halving's Impact AnalysisBitcoin Halving Cycles Performance (Pre/Post 1 year performance) Halving's Pre/Post year Performance: 1. 26th Nov 2012 - Pre 416% / Post 7715% 2. 9th July 2016 - Pre 110% / Post 283% (The full move including after the 24 month period was c.955%) 3. 11th May 2020 - Pre 76% / Post 423% 4. 27th April 2024 - Pre 50% / Post 200% Pre Summary (from H2) - 110% - 76% - 50% prediction (reducing by c.25% each halving). Post Summary (from H2) - 955% - 423% - 200% prediction (reduces by c. 50% each halving) You can see the pattern in the reduced returns in each halving. The pre halving returns typically reduce by 25% a halving and the post halving returns reduce by 100% per halving. We ignore the first having as it was exponential introductory growth of the asset. Important Dates are 27th April 2024 (halving date). Good place to skim or wait for a pullback). Also the date of 25th April 2025. This is a softer date, a take profit early date potentially, most cycles have ended in Q4 of the given year thus some chips should be left on the table post April 2025 depending on the continued performance up to that point. Always a pleasure, I hope its been insightful Puka
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by PukaCharts
6
Raising Liquidity in ChinaChina pumped the most liquidity into its financial system via short-term policy loans on record, a sign policymakers are likely to keep interest rates low to bolster a nascent economic recovery. The People’s Bank of China granted lenders a net 733 billion yuan ($100 billion) of cash with so-called reverse repurchase contracts on Friday. Only a few days after the central bank made the largest injection of one-year policy loans on Monday. The injection of extra cash into the economy give a much-needed boost to China’s growth, which has been challenged by a lack of demand and a downturn in the property market this year. It will also provide lenders with sufficient funding, as Beijing and local governments are set to sell more bonds to finance stimulus spending and as the tax payment season approaches. Thus, this wealth effect will trickle down into risk assets (especially crypto) as interest rates continue to decline, alongside this. As it can also be deduced that Beijing likes to frontload Liquidity in the early months of the year. Thus Crypto is long
ECONOMICS:CNINTRLong
by BackQuant
1
Cad/Jpy bounce backTrade Idea for CADJPY Bias: Very Bullish Overall Score: 9 Commitment of Traders (COT) Bias: 3 Institutional traders are showing a robust bullish sentiment towards CADJPY, indicating a forecast of continued upside. Retail Sentiment: 1 Retail traders appear to be bearish on CADJPY. Given the tendency for retail traders to often be on the losing side, their bearish sentiment serves as a contrarian bullish signal for us, supporting our bullish view. Seasonality: 1 Current seasonal trends favor a bullish momentum for CADJPY. Trend Reading: 2 CADJPY is on an upward trajectory, further underscoring the bullish momentum. GDP Growth: -1 A slight negative in GDP growth, but the dominant bullish indicators more than compensate for this. Inflation: 2 Inflation metrics are aligning favorably, adding to the bullish outlook. Unemployment: 0 Unemployment figures are neutral and do not sway our primary bullish perspective. Interest Rates: 1 Interest rate dynamics are pointing to CADJPY strength. Additional Factor: Increasing Oil Prices Canada's role as a major oil exporter means rising oil prices often buoy the CAD. This backdrop solidifies our bullish stance on CADJPY. Conclusion: With a mix of strong bullish indicators, particularly the COT bias, retail sentiment (considered contrarily), trend direction, and rising oil prices, CADJPY appears poised for bullish movement. LIKE and FOLLOW to stay updated for more ideas like this
Long
by Elite_Forex
Candle of breaked(AAVE)❤️❤️Thanks for boosting 🚀 and supporting us! 📈When I am in a reng and that reng is broken with a powerful candle, I can decide to follow the same process from the broken side, and AAVE has exactly the same conditions. 📊 (Entry) : 119.57 🔴 Stop Loss : 111.34 🎯 Take Profit : 125-131-138-144 🔗 For more communication with us, In the footnote and send a message in TradingView. 👨‍🎓 Experience and Education: Our trading team has five years of experience in financial markets, especially cryptocurrencies.
Long
by ahmadarz
2
Bitcoin short to $3800 area Shorted 1.5 coins BTC/USD on FTMO at $42,081.05. Looking to pass the $200,000 swing trade account and this is my first trade. Looking for a break down of that level highlighted in blue with a move down to around $38,000 where the next large level of support seems to be. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD On a seasonal basis, BTC tends to see poor returns in January, starting particularly on January 8th to January 28th. So I may be a little early and get stopped out -- but the price action seemed like a good bet right now for a breakdown. If I do get stopped out I may wait a few more days and try to get short again at a higher level.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Teflonwulfie
Buy VIX Futs with an ETF for simplicity before Santa rally overDowbt Im only one who is front running reversal unjustified market rally with no earning proof driven by inflation that is diminishing no longer supporting earnings JPM'a theory basically mid this pas year but he was correct but too early to the earnings crash party! Now that Dem's fiscal punch bowl is nearly empty adding 7 trillion to national debt in less than a year to help midterms and markets just priced in 5 rate cuts and earnings multiples at 20 (long-term=15) including mag-7 take out mag-7 not so hot). Hard to justify any more growth with excelorating diss-inflation and "black-swan" risk is non-black swan character as so many increasingly potential systemic risk just keep stacking up, plus a corrupted Presidential Administration, Congress, Dept. of Justice, FBI, Dept. of homeland security, school system, universities, and mainstream media have perpetuated/caused the problem with bs employment numbers, omissions and flat out lies as well as staring wars, ruining trade agreements and unleashing the worst inflation in 40 years all about to collapse from sheer societal rejection that will most likely be exposed causing worst crash best described by Jeremy Gratham (just YouTube him if your not familiar with the oldest and most historically-successful "Wall-Streeter perma-bear") NOTICE: Expressions are not recommendation or advice. If you are not competent then obviously should consult what is called an "Advisor" on the subject. Don't blame me if you make a decision based on this as it is only an opinion and past performance does not constitute a reasonable basis for future performance or non-performance as we don't have a time-machine obviously this goes without saying but some really doubt people make it a habit to assume they know with certainty and can guarantee what the future holds and to those I say sit down and humble your self or the market will humble you for yourself in "New York Second," and that is pretty fast. Just saying, don't be a fool and use common sense and trade size and don't blame others for your decisions, and, trade responsibly.
CBOE:UVIXLong
by CurrencyCapital
1
Update Swing Gold 27/12Update Swing Gold 27/12 With this idea, we can easily see that the price is approaching the blue dotted line, but past signals show that when the price marks its territory on the blue indicator line, the price increases by 263, which is This also convinces us that when we wait to break through the line, it will be more difficult to gain profit at 263 price. One more thing, at the 4-hour frame, the price broke through the red cloud and stayed above it, the future blue cloud is thick, this is the catalyst for the gold price to increase sharply in the last days of the month without much adjustment. Maybe this is a continuing rising wave at the 4 hour frame, all factors agree and support it. See more ideas below with the morning star candlestick pattern to strongly reinforce the rising gold price line that will continue at the end of this fourth quarter without significant adjustment. Good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EricGoldHunter
BTC last UPDATE( YEARLY CLOSURE)I'm looking for 2 things at the moment, in order to have enough data to take a decision, regarding BTC. The first one is how price will react from 46k. From this first question, 2 scenarios arise in my mind: 1- a closure below 46k that will liquidate 40k will confirm the sell off towards 30k. 2- a closure above 46k will push price towards 51k, but even then, I still expect price to continue to liquidate the current lows formed on the daily chart and balance the current movement for a healthy bull market. And that's how we got to the second thing I was talking about in the beginning. 51k- this level is an imbalance left behind, right after the ATH has been formed and then price started its reversal that led BTC all the way down to 16k, after hitting 69k. Imagine how many orders are still left behind that area. Either way, I'm still looking for shorts, from both 46k and 51k. If I were to choose from those 2 by which has higher chances of respecting the shorts. I'd say 51k. But that would be valid only if price has already invalidated 46k. Which is why I'm waiting for more data to be printed. Until next time!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by sorel-investments-group
Looking to short the marketBy short the market, I mean to short the S&P500 and the Nikkei (JPN225). Reasons for shorting these markets is alignment and the extreme overbought state it is in at the moment. This is not a bear market prediction, simply using the end of the December bull seasonality factor with alignment of the markets. SP500 Short confluences: All time high Duplicate Trendline 2nd touch Round number 4800 Nikkei Confluences: All time high Round number 34000 Using breach of first high to take the last high at the round number. I am also choosing this high as the HL formed makes the first high less likely to work therefore, because I want higher probability, I will take the high above. Catch you later traders ▲
EIGHTCAP:JPN225Short
by FalkenFx
The Dragon Awakening: China's Stock Market Set for GrowthThe Chinese stock market has been volatile in recent years, but there are signs that it is on the verge of a major rebound. The government is implementing a number of reforms that are aimed at boosting economic growth and investor confidence. These reforms include tax cuts, infrastructure spending, and measures to support small and medium-sized businesses. As a result of these reforms, there is a growing sense that China's stock market is undervalued. This is reflected in the fact that the MSCI China Index, which tracks the performance of Chinese stocks, is currently trading at a discount to the MSCI World Index, which tracks the performance of stocks in developed markets. Investors who are looking for long-term growth opportunities should consider investing in Chinese stocks. The country has a large and growing economy, and its stock market is poised for a major rebound. Here are some of the reasons why China's stock market is set for growth: The Chinese economy is growing at a rapid pace. The Chinese economy is expected to grow by 7.8% in 2023, making it one of the fastest-growing economies in the world. The Chinese government is committed to supporting the stock market. The government has implemented a number of reforms that are aimed at improving the environment for investors. These reforms include measures to increase transparency and protect investors from fraud. The Chinese consumer is growing in affluence. The Chinese consumer class is growing rapidly, and this is creating strong demand for goods and services. This is a positive sign for the Chinese economy and its stock market. Investors who are considering investing in Chinese stocks should carefully research their investment options and consult with a financial advisor.
CAPITALCOM:HK50Long
by SabahEquityResearch
8