My Take On DXY 15th June '23When figuring price out one of the things we consider is what price might want to fill and after it has filled that, what might stop price and reverse it. So for DXY we see that it's currently filling a void that was made during the bullish move. It's also at a gap that might be filled. After that I think price might drop a bit lower to take out the old low where liquidity lies and either reverse at the FVG or the bullish order block below it. However, this depends on the bearish impulse on today's candle. The gap above would be a very good take profit point and we know that this move will play out in the opposite direction on XXUSD in case it goes according to my idea
Scalping
Buyers are we Stretching the Luck? 🫢- Weekly Candle is Bullish and has pushed past the previous week's high creating a nice breakout of 77 pips
- The 3 Daily candles this week have been Bullish
- The Previous Daily candle increased by 70 pips in total ( 31 Pip Body and 40 Pips top wick )
- The previous daily candle's top wick was larger than the body of the candle itself.
- The 4hr timeframe has closed two large engulfing bear candles in the time since Interest rates
- The Market has punished late buyers with Interest rates data ( I called this out check previous post)
- The market has seen a change of character and this has known to be a frequent occurrence with interest rate releases.
- I don't think a randomness bias is associated with this Short Idea after we have seen 3 Bullish daily candles in a row ( The evidence above )
- The Market is Beast and representation of the psychology of all of it's participants. Follow your understanding of the price behavior and execute with only good Risk/Reward Ideas.
scalping on usdchfthis is how I think the frank would behave. I believe I can set a short and long order and wait to see what will be happened
⚠️ Notice:
I will enter one third of my position on 70/30% of the box and the rest of it in the middle (50%) of the box. My TP would be R/R=3 and 5.
Please trade with your own money management methodology and be aware that trading has its own risks and rewards.
Good luck ❤️
US30 Trade Analysis for Day Traders and ScalpersUS30 - Dow Jones Industrial Average Index Trade Analysis
US 30 Forming Ascending Triangle on Day time frame, Overall trend is bullish.
FOR SCALPERS
Entry Points for short trade: 34528
Target: 33321
4H / Day Trade
Entry Points for long trade: 34528
Target: 37000
manage your risk according to your portfolio size
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Creating Your Trading Strategy: Simple Steps and Common PitfallsWhen it comes to using technical analysis for making trading decisions, a solid, simple, yet robust trading strategy is an essential foundation for traders to achieve consistent profits. However, constructing that strategy can be a challenge, especially for those new to trading, as there is an overwhelming amount of information out there. There are nearly countless books written on the subject of trading strategies. We want to simplify the process so that you can develop your own approach and get started.
Step 1: Determine your market, timeframe, and trading methodology
The overall first step in constructing a trading strategy is to determine: the market, trading methodology, and time frames you wish to take on. This will help you choose the appropriate indicators and approach to your trades.
There are several markets to choose from, but it is highly recommended that you pick one when you first start trading. It is easy to look at all of the opportunities present in the market and potentially overplay your hand by trading too many, which can lead to devastating losses. As an example, if you wanted to scalp the forex market, it would be best to pick one or two currency pairs to trade rather than trying to monitor all major currency pairs for opportunities.
Defining your trading methodology is another aspect of this step. Are you intending to hold stock or ETFs long-term? Do you want to swing trade or day trade cryptocurrencies? Maybe you believe you want to scalp the forex market. Doing your own research into these varying methodologies is a paramount step in formulating your strategy. Research all of them to better understand what they are and how they may fit your overall goals and risk tolerance.
Your trading style can help determine what overall time frames you are looking at. A long-term holder will typically rely on higher time frames such as the daily or weekly timeframe. While a trader who predominantly scalps may rely more heavily on the 1-minute or 5-minute timeframes. Choosing the appropriate time frames and sticking with them for your trading decisions will help you achieve discipline and consistency.
Step 2: Choose your indicators
When choosing indicators for your trading strategy, it is important to know that there are several broad indicator categories to choose from. Included in these categories are: trend-following indicators, momentum indicators, volatility indicators, and volume indicators. Trend-following indicators help traders identify the direction of the trend, while momentum indicators measure the overall strength of a trend. Volatility indicators help traders identify the level of price volatility in the market, and volume indicators measure the amount of trading activity taking place. Traders commonly pick a combination of these to be included in their strategy to help give a clearer overall picture of the potential market direction.
It is crucial to keep your strategy simple, so we recommend using 2-4 indicators at most. Choosing the right indicator combinations can be difficult, but is crucial to the success of your trading strategy.
While it may be tempting to use multiple indicators in the hope of finding the perfect combination, having too many indicators can do more harm than good. When you have too many indicators, it becomes difficult to make clear decisions. You may end up with conflicting signals that can cause confusion and lead to losses or missed opportunities.
It's important to choose only a few indicators that complement each other and provide valuable information about the market conditions. This will allow you to make more informed decisions and stick to your trading plan with greater confidence.
Step 3: Define your entry and exit rules
Once you have chosen your indicators, the next step is to define your entry and exit rules. This will help you determine when to open and close trades. For entries, you are taking the signals generated by the indicators you have chosen in step two and making a clear and definable set of rules for entering a trade. There can be other factors, such as market structure that play a role, but from an indicator standpoint, it is good to make these rules easy to follow.
Your chosen technical indicators can also be used to exit trades. For example, traders may incorporate moving averages into their strategies, and moving averages can be used for both entries and exits. Other exit conditions include having hard set take profit or stop losses. We covered this topic in our stop loss article a few weeks back (and we highly recommend you check it out). No matter how you decide to make your entry and exit rules, please ensure you implement proper risk mitigation techniques to protect your account, and in turn, help you grow.
Step 4: Backtest your strategy and practice, practice, practice
Before putting your strategy into action it is essential to backtest it using historical data. This will help you determine if your strategy is profitable and identify any areas that need improvement. Note that while backtesting is an important part of determining if your strategy is successful, past results are not indicative of future success.
Another aspect of this step is putting your strategy into practice. We never recommend diving straight into the deep end with your money before practicing. There are many free demo account options out there to get started. It is recommended that you find one that fits your needs based on the market you will be trading. The key part of this step is patience and carrying over that patience for when you are ready to go live with your strategy.
Common pitfalls to avoid:
When constructing a trading strategy, it is important to avoid common pitfalls that can lead to losses or missed trading opportunities. Some common pitfalls include:
Overcomplicating your strategy: Using too many indicators or rules can make your strategy overly complex and difficult to follow.
Failing to backtest and practice: Backtesting is essential to ensure your strategy is profitable and identify areas that need improvement.
Ignoring risk management: Proper risk management is essential to minimize losses and maximize profits.
Losing patience and jumping right in: It is easy for anyone to find a hot new indicator they believe is their edge in the market and to subsequently jump right into trading. Don’t fall into this trap as the outcome is seldom good! Take your time and become a student of the market you are trading, and a student of your strategy
In conclusion, constructing a robust yet simple trading strategy using indicators requires careful consideration of your market and timeframe, choosing the appropriate indicators defining your entry and exit rules, and backtesting your strategy. There are other aspects of technical analysis that could be tied in between the steps listed above such as market structure and patterns. However, the goal of this article was to make the process as simple as possible to help traders get on the right path. By avoiding common pitfalls such as overcomplicating your strategy, failing to backtest, ignoring risk management, and chasing after losses, traders can increase their chances of success in the markets.
Ongoing Range above Key level 🎴We can observe the Ongoing Range above our Key Level ( Weekly Level 1.066 )
Monday Asian Session -> Bearish
Monday London Session -> Bearish
Monday NY Session -> Bullish
Tuesday Asian Session -> Range, and at best slightly Bullish
Tuesday London Session -> Bearish
Tuesday NY Session -> Bullish
Both London Session's this week have been Bearish thus far.
As we approach unemployment claims data on Thursday NY Session, I can observe a Bullish London Session and increase overall on Eurusd until then. Price is not quite having the effect it once had when we initially dipped into our Weekly level last week 1.06636. The reactions off the Weekly level are becoming smaller and less pronounced. We are still holding steady however and price has not dipped below our weekly level since the initial touch.
Short Sellers are happy that the Daily candle is closing bearish and they would prefer a close below Daily support at 1.06885. Buyers are happy that the decrease over the last 4 weeks on Eurusd has come to a halt as the Daily timeframe ranges above our weekly level through 1 week and 2 days into the next week.
The manufacturing data yesterday was bullish for Eurusd and caused an increase in the price. Consequently, this increase was corrected down to the price of EU prior to any manufacturing data. However, NY session has been bullish for the 2nd day in a row as EU holds steady above our weekly key level.
Today I had a very good trading day taking buys at lower prices near what was a 1Hr Zone at the time 1.067. The Level has since turned into a 4Hr Zone as New York has successfully rejected those lower prices.
AUDUSD short this morningI decided that this pair is relatively close to retracing as the 30min moving average crossed over to the downside and a 30min trendline break. I placed a short order based on the false break close on the monthly resistance. The 4H turned out to be a shooting star at a key area. I believe that Buys are short term over. Now is the time to profit from shorts. Looking to catch the reversal. from Bullish to Bearish.
AUDUSD reversal at 23.6% RetracementThe 4H retraced to the 23.6% fib and provided a hammer which is why I wasn't hesitant to sell, even beneath the trendline. Upon the 4H close and hammer. Price immediately progressed bullish to create a strong higher high, broken correction trendline, as well as ADX mixing in to provide confluence. Intraday the 1H timeframe is a clear opportunity to go long on this pair to at least its -27% target. or the 61.8 Major fib retracement. I believe that this pair is still in an overall downtrend until its creating daily higher highs and higher lows.
Long Scalp on ETHAfter the daily made a bearish push to the downside I wanted to see how price reacted to the 38.2 prz level. on the 4H, a hammer on top of the 38.2 fib as well as support. Breaking things down to a lower timeframe I had a correction trendline drawn from the latest swing highs. Price had broken the correction trendline and began up trending on the 15min and 30min chart so i bought with my stop loss being below the 30min low. take profit at -27.% from that 38%.
🛢️🚀 Fueling the Bullish Fire: USOIL Buy Signal Ignited! 🛢️Attention traders! We have an exciting opportunity on the horizon as we unveil a compelling bullish setup on USOIL, unfolding on the 15-minute timeframe. Get ready to ride the wave of optimism and seize the moment as price forms a bullish bat pattern, a powerful harmonic formation renowned for its success rate.
But that's not all! Recent news regarding oil has further bolstered our bullish thesis. With a significant drop in crude oil inventories, the fundamental landscape aligns with our technical analysis, providing an additional tailwind for the imminent rally.
Our focus now shifts to the Potential Reversal Zone, a critical juncture located around 71.20. This zone marks the perfect springboard for a strong bounce, presenting an excellent opportunity to catch the anticipated rally. Keep a keen eye on price action, as the formation of a bullish candlestick will signal the green light for our buy entry.
As we set our sights on profits, it's essential to identify key levels. The initial target lies at 72.50, where price is expected to revisit and potentially find resistance. Beyond that, the journey continues to our ultimate target of 73.50, where further upside potential awaits.
To add an extra layer of confidence, the RSI indicator validates our buying thesis. With the RSI strongly oversold, we're entering an attractive zone for potential buyers, further reinforcing the robustness of this setup.
all eyes on the PRZ, keep your sight on it and see price reaction
So, get ready to fuel your trading engines and embrace this bullish opportunity in USOIL.
Feel free to share your toughts in the comments section, and don't forget to press the like button if you think this insight was helpful !🛢️🚀💪
My simple 1 minute strategy (tutorial) My super simple 1m chart hyper scalping strategy that has been killing it for the last couple of weeks .. enjoy.
Whats up gold gang .. thought id hop on here with a tutorial on how i trade my key levels on the 1 min chart.
Firstly, this is a no bias strategy .. so we can take buys or sells depending how price reacts at the levels. High volume is a must here so around market opens is best.
1. Let price hit the key level.
2. if price is breaking through, wait for a 1 min candle to close and enter in that direction.
3. 10 pip TP 10 pip SL (or as close to the top of the previous candle as possible)
4. SL to BE if you like and hold for runners to target. I like to come out fully at 1:1
5. reversals .. price must print a candle in the opposite direction engulfing the previous. Enter on the break of the previous. 1:1
thats it. Super simple. It sounds dumb and too good to be true but i have been collecting the data and its working so far. I cant post a chart example on the 1m time frame to show you but ill post elsewhere so you can see.
Try it yourselves with low lot sizes and see how it works for you. If not, you can trade the way i normally do waiting for 30m candles to close in the zones.
Have a great holiday weekend .. please like this and comment if you need further help. Dont forget to follow along for constant XAUUSD updates
tommy
US30 (Week of May21st)The previous idea for US30 still holds. I will still be looking for buys to the upper supply area for temporary or major sells.I will be looking for minor breaks of structure then a retest of the current demand zone to continue higher. I would prefer to get this entry at my trading session (New York), but if price moves up without me, I will look to take sell positions if market presents it self for that condition. Updates will be provided later. Good Luck!
BTCUSDT Short 15 / 5 Minutes Scalping LevelsSince bitcoins is intend to get range bound and several times we are not able to identify it move for those times we can do some good quick scalping. As a trader everyone love to capture big move, however, what if there is no big move? Then lets capture small moves multiple times and reap the benefits of one big move.