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H_1 SCENARIOThe current analysis for XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) suggests a mixed outlook influenced by technical and geopolitical factors The current analysis for XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) suggests a mixed outlook influenced by technical and geopolitical factors combined with a positive RSI trend, suggests a potential continuation toward higher levels like $2,668 if the bullish sentiment persists On shorter timeframes, consolidation is observed near $2,640, with potential bearish movement if the resistance levels hold. A pullback to previous levels like $2,620 could act as a pivot for further trend assessment Immediate resistance is noted around $2,668, while support lies near $2,620. Breaking either of these levels could dictate the next directional move​ Prediction: In the near term, XAU/USD appears likely to continue testing resistance levels. If the bullish momentum holds, a rise to approximately $2,660-$2,670 could occur. Conversely, failing to maintain current levels may lead to a retracement toward $2,620. Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor, and this analysis should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a professional for trading decisions.
CITYINDEX:XAUUSD
by TREXTROFX
ICT Long setup session trade, NOT swing trade NZDUSD👋Hello Traders, Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an H1 or higher timeframe ICT Long setup in NZDUSD for session trade (a couple of Hours) Here is a session trade idea (since it is near support surface, we should use small lot size) Please refer to the details Stop loss, Buy Zone,open for take profit. Next Long entry after retracement in any session. For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview. Have a good day! Please give this post a like if you like this kind of simple idea, your feedback will bring our signal to next better level, thanks for support!
Long
by ICT_Trader_SB
xauusd Bullish rejectionAnalysis: Zero Lag Trend & Fibonacci Strategy: The trend must be aligned with the Zero Lag Trend Indicator as described in the script, which shows bearish momentum on 5 and 15-minute timeframes and bullish on higher timeframes like 60 minutes and 4 hours​. Fibonacci retracement levels (e.g., 0.5, 0.618) must guide entries or pullback setups​. Liquidity and FU Candles: Liquidity zones are critical. The large wicks above previous swing highs are potential liquidity grabs, a sign of institutional moves​​. Look for FU candles where price spikes and then reverses sharply, indicating manipulation and institutional positioning​​. Imbalances: Unfilled imbalances (areas where price moved strongly in one direction without retests) are likely to act as magnets for price action​​. Trade Setup: Entry Zone: Look for an entry near 2623-2624 (highlighted yellow zone on the chart). This area is supported by previous demand and coincides with the Fibonacci retracement levels (likely around 0.618). Stop Loss (SL): Place the SL below 2616 - 2620, which is the most recent low and below the potential liquidity grab. Take Profit (TP): TP1: 2633, aligning with the high of the recent bearish imbalance area. TP2: 2637, the next key Fibonacci level and near a potential liquidity cluster. Risk-Reward: Aim for a 1:3 or higher risk-to-reward ratio, consistent with institutional trading principles​​.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by priceactionindonesia
#BTC #Bitcoin #SS2 #Short #Long #Setup 1+2 #Eddy#BTC #Bitcoin #SS2 #Short #Long #Setup 1+2 #Eddy Welcome to my Bitcoin Scalping Season 2 In the first season of Bitcoin scalping, I was at your service with 15 setups. This Setups are based on a combination of different styles and based on my personal strategy. Please don't forget to get entry approval and risk and capital management based on your own strategy. ((This setup has nothing to do with the launch of Big Short and that setup and analysis is valid.)) My Bitcoin Big Short Setup :
by Eddy_Trade_
1
Gold - 15 min ( Buy Scalping After Break 2671 ) Tp 250 PIP 💎 Gold Time Frame : 15min Chart ------ 🔻 Type :intraday 🚨Bullish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 2671 Area ——————————— ☑️Great opportunity now Please check the drawing carefully and all the reasons for entry and exit are shown in the analysis If the analysis does not agree with you, please do not take it This is a personal vision that reflects my practical way good luck for everybody And we strive to provide the best opportunities and develop your money Please apply good capital management
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by GoldenEngine
2
Grab Your XAUUSD Scalping Chance!Market Analysis Summary: Buy Opportunity: Targeting the 2750 zone from the 2730-27 level. Market Structure: Overall bullish trend, indicating potential upward movement. Short-Term Caution: Formation of lower lows may lead to a sell-off down to 2690. Upcoming Events: NFP report is on the horizon, which could introduce market volatility. Key Points to Consider: Monitor the 2730-27 zone for entry signals. Watch for price action around 2690 for potential reversals. Be prepared for fluctuations around the NFP release. Stay informed and adjust your strategies accordingly!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by bluechipfx
1
USTD.D updateThis is USDT.D, a reverse indication to how BTC will perform based on money flow concepts. It looks like USDT.D is starting to form a bullish harmonic pattern and if it does and plays out, BTC will dump. Now only that, the PRZ (potential reversal zone) on the harmonic pattern has weight being based on both yearly VWAP as well as a trend line that is based on Fib levels. Therefore, I am looking for quick short scalps today as I believe a retrace is coming. Analysis can always be wrong based on these, so no matter what or how much you trust me, trade safely and have back up plans! @Nate Alert
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by Nate36989
BTC/USDT.P UpdateI know you guys are excited about the bull action that finally came after a long wait, but this is where things can get volatile due to manipulation. Remember, if the price action is this obvious all the time, everyone would have been billionaires lol. Always keep an eye behind you and play on both sides of the market is the best way to go. With that said, we actually did not have a daily candle close "above" the previous major swing high, that is also what I considered as the CHOCH for the bullish trend change. I would be very interested to see if we can give it another attempt today and finally close above that major swing level at 70078. If we close above it on the daily candle, I'll be more bullish, until then, I expect pull backs to grab more liquidity. If it does dump, I'll be ready to accumulate more into my long positions. Trade safely guys! @Nate Alert PS** congrats to all the wins from last night's stream, glad to see so many of you making money!
by Nate36989
Swing vs. Scalping: Who Really Wins?In the world of trading, data from industry sources often paints a picture that can be misleading for individual traders. Brokers and trading platforms promote high success rates, particularly for more frequent traders like scalpers, but the reality is often far more complex. In this post, we'll break down some of the numbers presented by industry sources and contrast them with independent research to give you a clearer perspective. Industry-Sourced Success Rates According to various industry sources, here’s what the reported success rates look like: Scalper (Under 5-minute operator): Success Rate: 50-70% Reasoning: High trade frequency. Small price movements. Greater liquidity. Short-term trend strategies. Swing Trader: Success Rate: 30-50% Reasoning: Lower trade frequency. Larger price movements. Greater exposure to risk. Medium to long-term trend strategies. At first glance, it seems like scalping offers a better chance of success. More frequent trades, combined with the liquidity of short-term moves, are presented as reasons why scalpers may be more successful. But should you trust these numbers at face value? Conflicts of Interest in Industry Data These industry-reported numbers may not be as reliable as they seem. Several potential conflicts of interest come into play when brokers and trading platforms promote certain types of trading: Platform Promotion: Platforms often highlight strategies that lead to more frequent trades, as these generate higher commissions for brokers. Attracting Active Traders: Scalpers tend to make more trades, and brokers benefit from the higher transaction volume. Risk Policies: Some platforms may structure their risk management tools and incentives to favor short-term trading. What Independent Sources Say When we look at independent, non-conflicted sources, a different picture starts to emerge. Independent academic studies suggest that swing traders may actually perform better than scalpers, for several reasons: Lower Trade Frequency: Swing traders typically make fewer trades, which reduces the impact of commission fees and spreads on their returns. Focus on Trends and Fundamentals: Swing traders often use technical analysis and fundamental factors to capture larger price moves, improving their potential for larger gains. Better Risk Management: With more time between trades, swing traders tend to employ more disciplined risk management practices. Less Stress and Fatigue: Scalping requires constant focus, which can lead to poor decision-making due to stress or fatigue. Independent Studies: Swing Traders vs. Scalpers Let’s take a look at some independent studies that tell a different story from the industry narrative: University of California Study (2019): Found that swing traders had an average annual return of 12.6%, compared to 6.8% for scalpers. Journal of Trading Report (2018): Showed a success rate of 55.6% for swing traders, compared to 41.4% for scalpers. QuantConnect Report (2020): Strategies based on swing trading delivered an average annual return of 15.6%, outperforming scalping strategies. These studies highlight how swing trading can offer better risk-reward profiles compared to the fast-paced, high-stress world of scalping. Key Takeaways for Individual Traders The key lesson here is not to fall for marketing hype or industry reports that may push you towards a specific style of trading, especially one that benefits the platforms you trade on. Here’s what you should keep in mind: Be Critical: Always question the sources of information. Industry success rates might be skewed by conflicts of interest. Independent Research: Seek out independent studies, academic journals, and unbiased platforms to get a clearer picture. Understand Your Goals: Both swing trading and scalping come with risks. Choose a trading style that fits your goals, risk tolerance, and lifestyle. Focus on Long-Term Growth: While scalping may seem exciting, swing trading tends to offer better long-term results by focusing on fewer, higher-quality trades with disciplined risk management. Recommended Resources for Objective Information Academic Journals: Journal of Trading, Journal of Financial Markets. University Studies: Seek out financial studies from universities like Stanford or Berkeley. Independent Platforms: QuantConnect, Backtrader. Specialized Blogs: TradingView, Investopedia. In conclusion, while the industry may promote fast-paced trading with promises of high success rates, the reality for individual traders is often quite different. Take the time to educate yourself and base your decisions on unbiased, independent information to improve your chances of success. P.S. Stay tuned for my next post, where I'll dive deeper into the topic, going beyond the potential use of misleading advertising. I'll demonstrate, using statistical methods—specifically, a covariance analysis—why larger time frames, like those used in swing trading, are mathematically more favorable for individual traders. Don't miss it! Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading is risky, and you should always conduct thorough research or consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by CF_444
BTC/USDT.P update4h candle just closed below 236 retrace level, that means I'm currently looking for more downward momentum. I have marked 2 SRs where I think the price can potentially retrace to today, you can potentially scalp a long or DCA your long positions at that level. I am still overall bullish and this was the pull back I've been calling for days during this most recent run. No need to press the panic button as this is a healthy retrace before further upward progression can continue. Trade safely.
Short
by Nate36989
BTC reacting at trend line on Daily TFPA touched the trend line that I've been anticipating for the past few days and now showing a nice reaction. This could potentially be the beginning of the retrace on the daily TF that I've been waiting for. There is also the possibility of a minor retrace then continue momentum upwards, if that happens, I'll jump into market longs at semi-large positions. However, if it does retrace from here, I've marked the potential reversal points in yellow circles for reference. Trade safely! *Summary: I'm currently bearish during this retrace until PA proves that the momentum continues upwards.*
by Nate36989